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coleryan
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New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: Preview and Pick

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On 11/11/2013 11:01 AM in NFL
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: Preview and Pick

The New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills started the season with high expectations as both of these teams may have young quarterbacks, but they still have visions of making the playoffs. Although that vision has not changed, time is running out for both of these football teams as they season starts to wind down.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Odds

The opening NFL point spread for this game opened up as a pick ‘em as both of these teams are even on the field. However early football betting favors the home team as 60 percent of the money coming in is backing the Bills. This has caused a slight line move as the point spread can now be found at Buffalo (-1) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks. This line is subject to change so check the odds before making a wager on this AFC East matchup.

The Jets were enjoying a bye week, while the Bills were struggling against the Steelers. The Steelers defense was effective at limiting E.J. Manuel, rebounding nicely from a bad Week 9 loss in New England. Manuel finished 7-of-16 for 92 yards and an interception on throws deeper than 5 yards downfield. Manuel will have more time to prepare for this meeting against the Jets and the Bills are hoping their defense will play well.

The Bills had four sacks, pushing their season total to 33, including a career-high five by defensive end Jerry Hughes. Geno Smith will have to watch the rush if the Jets have a chance of winning this game.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that we could be in store for a defensive minded game. The total has gone under in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home. The NY Jets are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games when playing Buffalo, but they are 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games on the road to include a 2-4 against the spread (ATS) record in their last 6 games on the road. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets and 1-7 straight up in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets. Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games and 1-5 straight up in its last 6 games.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Pick

With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.
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11/12/2013 04:15 PM
David Nelson isn’t holding anything back: this week’s game has extra meaning for him. The wide receiver spent his first three seasons with the Bills before the team declined to tender him a contract in the offseason. Nelson said he’s looking forward to facing his old squad.

“Anybody who tells you when they go play an old team or a team that cut them, they tell you it’s just another game, is lying to you. Because this is definitely more than just another game for me,” Nelson said. “That’s kind of been my motivation for the past seven, eight, nine months since that happened. That’s kind of what’s still driving me. To return back there and have that continually in the back of my head is going to be exciting.”

He spoke highly of his time with the Bills but clearly wasn’t happy with how his relationship ended. He found out they weren’t tendering him a contract on Twitter while attending a Chicago Blackhawks game, he said, and was given no explanation. “It’s going to be an emotional game, it’s going to be a fun game, this game holds a little more in my heart than most others,” Nelson said. “That’s just the way it is.”

Nelson has been somewhat of a pleasant surprise for the Jets, catching 16 passes for 199 yards in his five games with Gang Green since joining the team in October.

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11/13/2013 03:21 PM
The 2013 Buffalo Bills schedule features six games, three of which are divisional games in the AFC East, against opponents that are coming off extra rest via a Thursday night game or a bye week.

Via his weekly radio appearance on WGR radio in Buffalo, Bills CEO Russ Brandon says the Bills have formally addressed the issue with the National Football League.

“We certainly have talked to the league about this because it’s been disappointing where teams are coming off a bye or a long week,” said Brandon.

”This (Sunday) is the second time we’re playing the Jets coming off a Thursday night game and now we’re playing them coming off a bye. We lead the league in amount of games coming off of extra time or a bye week. It is a very, very tough job what they have in scheduling with all the different things that go into the formula and the stadium commitments and TV schedules, but it’s certainly something that needs to be addressed.”

Buffalo's game with the New York Jets this weekend at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the third time this season the Bills will face a team off their bye week. It also happened against the Miami Dolphins in Week 7 and New Orleans Saints in Week 8.

The Bills will face two more teams coming off Thursday night games this season when playing Atlanta in Week 13 and the Jaguars in Week 15. Buffalo's bye week comes in Week 12 prior to the match up with the Falcons in Toronto.
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11/13/2013 03:24 PM
After EJ Manuel's rough afternoon in Sunday's 23-10 loss in Pittsburgh, it's a question worth examining: Should the Bills consider Thad Lewis as their starter, instead?

The New York Jets will be Manuel's next opponent, and their head coach, Rex Ryan, was asked Wednesday on a conference call with Buffalo reporters about how "some have given up" on the Bills' rookie quarterback.

"Well I think it's a ridiculous statement," Ryan said. "This young man beat Carolina. He's been... hey, put him on waivers and see what happens. That's ridiculous. Because he's only going to get better, and believe me, he's pretty darn good right now."

Bills CEO Russ Brandon confirmed Wednesday that the Bills want to keep Manuel as their starter.

"You look at it from a standpoint with EJ, he's played five games. Let's keep him on the field," Brandon said. "He's 23 years old. He's seeing things for the first time in this league. We all know that it's far different from playing in college. So from that point of view, I'm excited about keeping him on the field and seeing where his growth is by the end of the year."

Ryan has his own rookie quarterback in Geno Smith, who has led the Jets to a 5-4 record. In 2009, Ryan's first season in New York, then-rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez led the Jets to the AFC Championship Game, so Ryan is no stranger to the trials a rookie passer faces.

"I can promise you this: It's not easy. There's nothing easy about it, that's for sure. But you focus on the team. You don't focus on the individual," Ryan said. "Geno just has to play the position. You don't place more than that on the young man, you just go out and as a team, you have to win."

Patience with Manuel, Ryan said, is key.

"Will these young guys make some mistakes? Yeah, sure. But, they're also doing a lot of positive things, and they're both going to get better," he said. "That bodes well for us and it bodes well for Buffalo as well."
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11/14/2013 01:16 PM
The surprising New York Jets have tied an NFL record by alternating wins and losses through their first nine games.

Facing the struggling Buffalo Bills could help them finally make it two in a row.

Looking to continue their quest for a playoff spot, the visiting Jets go for an eighth victory in nine matchups against the Bills on Sunday.

Projected by many to finish near the bottom of the AFC, New York (5-4) has instead managed to hold its own. After watching several contending teams lose last weekend, the Jets come out of their bye with a one-game lead for the second wild-card spot.

"I think we have a great opportunity in front of us and that's where the excitement lies because we know that as a team, our best football is ahead of us," said rookie Geno Smith, whose 13 interceptions are tied for third-most in the league.

"We have been inconsistent and we've shown flashes of being a good team, but we've also had moments where we haven't looked so good. We know that as long as we clean up our mistakes and we handle the things that we can control, we'll have an opportunity."

The Jets followed a 30-27 overtime win over East-leading New England with a 49-9 loss at Cincinnati in Week 8, but they got back on track Nov. 3 by beating NFC South-leading New Orleans 26-20.

Chris Ivory ran for a season-high 139 yards and a touchdown against his former team as New York outgained the Saints 198-41 on the ground. The Jets intercepted Drew Brees twice and made it through the game without a turnover, improving to 5-2 when committing two or fewer.

"We embrace the challenges," tight end Konrad Reuland said. "We truly believe we can beat any team we line up against."

The Jets have to be feeling good about posting back-to-back wins given their recent domination of the Bills (3-7). New York, which won 27-20 on Sept. 22 behind Smith's season-high 331 passing yards and three total TDs, have averaged 29.3 points in taking seven of eight from Buffalo.

Coach Rex Ryan, though, knows it would be foolish to take the Bills lightly.

"Nobody's thinking about, 'Hey, let's run seven in a row off,'" Ryan said. "The only way to get there is to handle your business, and that's what we have to do."

One player Ryan is hoping can help the Jets end their inconsistency is Ed Reed, who agreed to terms Thursday one day after being waived by the Houston Texans. The nine-time Pro Bowl safety - who criticized Texans teammates and coaches after Sunday's 27-24 loss at Arizona - was one of the anchors of Ryan's defense during his time as coordinator with the Baltimore Ravens, and can only help a Jets pass defense currently ranked 26th in the league at 268.9 yards allowed per game and tied for 27th with only five interceptions.

It's uncertain just how much offseason hip surgery affected the 35-year-old Reed, who missed the first two games of the season recovering and had been recently demoted to the second string in Houston. He had 16 tackles in seven games and failed to add to his 61 career INTs in his brief time in Houston.

Buffalo has dropped three straight and five of six, losing 23-10 at Pittsburgh last Sunday. Rookie EJ Manuel returned from a sprained right knee and went 22 of 39 for 155 yards with a touchdown and an interception as the Bills were held to a season-low 227 yards of total offense.

"The kid missed four weeks and just came back. He's trying his best," coach Doug Marrone said. "He's going through his footwork too quick and not (slowing) down to see things develop as quick. That happens to young quarterbacks.

"Do we expect him to play better than he did last game? Absolutely. Will he play better? Yes. Yes he will."

Manuel could be in for another long day with two of his favorite targets uncertain to be available. Stevie Johnson, leading the team with 41 receptions and 471 receiving yards, is dealing with a groin injury, and rookie wideout Robert Woods is likely to miss a second consecutive game with a sprained left ankle.

The Jets could have veteran Santonio Holmes (hamstring) available for the first time since Week 4. Holmes had five catches for 154 yards and a TD in September's meeting, and he's scored in four of his last five games against the Bills.

New York is getting tight end Kellen Winslow back after he served a four-game suspension for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing substances. Winslow is tied for the team lead with two touchdown catches.

The Jets will also be looking for big things from wideout David Nelson with Jeremy Kerley (elbow) unlikely to play. Nelson, whose three-year career in Buffalo came to an end after the Bills decided not to tender him a contract as a restricted free agent this offseason, is looking forward to Sunday.

"Anybody who tells you when they play an old team or a team that cut them, that it's just another game, is lying to you," said Nelson, who signed Oct. 2. "This is definitely more than just another game for me. It's going to be an emotional game. It's going to be a fun game. This game holds a little more in my heart than most others."

Nelson posted 80-yard efforts against the Patriots and Bengals before catching one pass for 19 yards versus the Saints.
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11/15/2013 01:03 PM
Before Week 1, the New York Jets' fortunes were forecast with P words like putrid and pathetic. Don't look now, NFL, but Gang Green fans are starting to toss around another P word as the team returns from its bye for a Week 11 visit to AFC East rival Buffalo.

Playoffs.

Having beaten Buffalo in seven of their last eight meetings, the Jets find themselves in possession of the AFC's final wild card playoff spot with a one- game lead over Miami, Tennessee, Cleveland, Baltimore and San Diego.

New York will play the Dolphins twice in its final seven games, along with both the Browns and Ravens.

The Jets already played the Titans and dropped a 38-13 decision in Week 4, part of a maddening run that's seen them alternate wins and losses through nine games - equaling the league's longest all-time streak of results inconsistency.

"We have a great opportunity in front of us and that's where the excitement lies because we know that as a team, our best football is ahead of us," said QB Geno Smith, whose inaugural season has featured moments worthy of either aforementioned P-word extreme.

His 13 interceptions are third-most in the league, but he's also engineered late comebacks in wins over Tampa Bay and Atlanta and passed for a career-high 331 yards in a 27-20 defeat of the Bills at home in Week 3.

"We have been inconsistent and we've shown flashes of being a good team, but we've also had moments where we haven't looked so good. We know that as long as we clean up our mistakes and we handle the things that we can control, we'll have an opportunity."

For a sampling of the up and down nature of the 2013 New York performance, take a look at the last three games prior to the bye week.

New York defeated the NFC South-leading New Orleans Saints, 26-20, in Week 9 while coming off a 40-point road loss to Cincinnati. A week before the Bengals blew them out, the Jets defeated New England, 30-27, in overtime.

Go figure.

"We embrace the challenges," tight end Konrad Reuland said. "We truly believe we can beat any team we line up against."

Running back Chris Ivory galloped for 139 yards and a touchdown against the Saints, with whom he'd played three seasons before arriving in New York. The Jets came within two yards of hanging 200 rush yards on New Orleans while intercepting Drew Brees twice.

They also didn't turn the ball over, improving to 5-2 when they give it away once or not at all.

"Nobody's thinking about, 'Hey, let's run seven in a row off,'" New York coach Rex Ryan said. "The only way to get there is to handle your business, and that's what we have to do."

Future Hall of Fame safety Ed Reed will be around to help Rex and Co. handle that business moving forward. The veteran safety, who was released by the Houston Texans on Tuesday, agreed to terms with the Jets two days later.

Reed spent his first 11 seasons with the Baltimore Ravens and will reunite with his former defensive coordinator for four of his seasons there, Ryan.

The nine-time Pro Bowl selection, who has 61 career interceptions and a league-record 1,541 interception return yards, may not be able to help in Buffalo this weekend but should eventually bolster a Jets pass defense that ranks 24th in the league entering Week 11 and has picked off a mere five passes this season.

Buffalo has gone 1-5 since a 2-2 start, though it got rookie quarterback EJ Manuel back last week after he'd missed several games with a right knee sprain. The youngster was 22-of-39 for a TD, an interception and 155 yards in a 23-10 loss at Pittsburgh, in which the Bills compiled a season-low 227 total yards.

"The kid missed four weeks and just came back. He's trying his best," coach Doug Marrone said. "He's going through his footwork too quick and not (slowing) down to see things develop as quick. That happens to young quarterbacks. Do we expect him to play better than he did last game? Absolutely. Will he play better? Yes. Yes he will."

Hampering that effort could be the absences of two key receivers.

Stevie Johnson and his 41 catches for 471 yards are questionable with a groin injury, while rookie Robert Woods (23 catches, 349 yards) is doubtful with an ankle issue.

Potentially back for New York is veteran Santonio Holmes, who's not played since a hamstring injury in Week 4. Holmes is listed as probable, and the Jets will also have the services of tight end Kellen Winslow, who was shelved for four games on an NFL suspension mandated by the league's performance-enhancing drugs policy.

Holmes caught five passes for 154 yards and a score in the Week 3 game against Buffalo.

Also in the fold for New York is wide receiver David Nelson, who played three years with the Bills before heading to the Jets after Buffalo did not offer him a new contract.

Nelson has 16 catches for 199 yards in five games with his new team since signing on Oct. 2.

"Anybody who tells you, when they play an old team or a team that cut them, that it's just another game is lying to you," he said. "This is definitely more than just another game for me. It's going to be an emotional game. It's going to be a fun game. This game holds a little more in my heart than most others."
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11/15/2013 01:03 PM
No run. No way.

The Jets entered the bye week with the league's best rush defense and emerged from it with the same standing. Their 73.8-yard average is nearly 10 better than the second-best team, Carolina (82.0 yards per game), and it was shown effective in the Week 3 game with Buffalo when C.J. Spiller was held to nine yards on 10 carries -- though teammate Fred Jackson did gain 72 on seven attempts, including 59 on one run. To what degree those two are limited in the absence of healthy receivers could be decisive.

Make something happen, kid.

Rookie QB Manuel was the second-best passer on the field the first time he competed with his fellow first-year starter from New York. Manuel was just 19- of-42 against the Bills, though he did hit Scott Chandler for a 33-yard TD to tie the game in the fourth quarter. He'll have to play better than he did in his injury return last week against Pittsburgh, a task that won't be easy if Johnson and Woods are either unavailable or at less than full strength.
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