10/25/2011 10:36 PM
Tech Trends - Week 9
October 25, 2011
Thursday, Oct. 27
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
VIRGINIA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Cavs just 1-5 vs. line last six on road, although they did score upset over Canes at Charlottesville LY. Slight to Miami, based on team trends.
RICE at HOUSTON...Rice 1-4 SU but 4-1 vs. line last five vs. cross-town rival Cougars. UH 4-0 vs. points at Robertson Stadium TY, and if throwing out injury-plagued 2010 when 1-4-1 vs. line at home, Cougs 8-0 last 8 and 11-1 vs. spread last 12 as host. Rice only 2-7 vs. points last nine as visitor but 7-1 last 8 as dog within Houston city limits. Slight to UH, based on home trend.
Friday, Oct. 28
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
BYU at TCU (Cowboys Stadium, Arlington)...TCU has won last 3 SU vs. BYU and not allowed more than 7 points in any of the games (101-17 total score). Frogs 3-1 vs. line last four meetings. Cougs 6-1 vs. line, however, last seven away from Provo , and covered last five as dog. Slight to BYU, based on current trends.
Saturday, Oct. 29
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY...Cats 4-9 vs. spread last 13 on board since mid 2010. UK just 4-12 against line last 16 as SEC host. MSU has won and covered last two visits to Lexington. MSU, based on recent UK woes.
UAB at MARSHALL...UAB on surprising five-game cover streak. Blazers 6-3 against number last nine on road. Herd just 2-4 vs. spread as chalk since LY, but has won and covered last two years vs. UAB. UAB, based on recent trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at AKRON...CMU 1-7 vs. line TY, now 3-13 vs. spread last 15 for Dan Enos. Chips also 1-5 last 6 as chalk. Slight to Akron, based on recent CMU woes.
BALL STATE at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Ball State 24-8 vs. line last 32 reg. season away from home, but 2-2 in role TY. Cards 9-1 vs. spread last 10 as MAC road dog. Ball had covered 5 of 6 in series prior to LY's 45-16 loss. Broncos have won and covered last five at Waldo Stadium, however. Slight to Ball State, based on extended road mark.
WAKE FOREST at NORTH CAROLINA...Wake 2-7 vs. spread last 9 away, but Heels only 2-5 against number last 7 at Chapel Hill. Slight to Wake, based on team trends.
NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE...Wolfpack has covered last six in series and is unbelievable 9-0-1 vs. spread last 10 in series! Tom O'Brien 1-1 as dog TY and 23-12-1 in role since arriving at NCS in 2007. NCS, based on team trends.
CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH...Ugh! Dabo has covered last six TY and is 7-1 vs. line in 2011. Dabo has also covered last four as visitor. Jackets have dropped last three vs. spread after covering first five TY. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
IOWA at MINNESOTA...Floyd of Rosedale! Gophers have covered 4 of last 5 Floyd battles, but they've dropped last 4 vs. line TY. Iowa no covers last five as reg.-season visitor. Slight to Iowa, based on current trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at NEBRASKA...Huskers no covers first four at home TY and now 2-8 vs. line last 10 at Lincoln. Dantonio just 3-10 his last 13 as dog (1-1 TY). Dantonio 15-10 vs. spread away from East Lansing since 2007. Slight to MSU, based team trends.
NORTHWESTERN at INDIANA...Hoosiers have covered last three in series. Fitzgerald 2-7 as road chalk since 2007, Cats 5-19 last 24 as chalk overall. IU on 6-1 spread uptick at Bloomington. Indiana, based on series and team trends.
PURDUE at MICHIGAN...Purdue has covered last three in series, and Boilermakers slightly rallying vs. number with 4-1 mark last 5 TY. Wolverines were 2-9 vs. spread last 11 as host vs. FBS foes prior to TY. Slight to Purdue, based on series trends.
ILLINOIS at PENN STATE...Zook 4-1 vs. line against Shades since 2006. Zook 11-5 last 16 as dog. Shades 2-6 vs. spread TY and 2-8 last 10 vs. line since late 2010. Illinois, based on team and series trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE...Beamer has had at least one three-game or more cover streak in eight of the past ten seasons. Beamer 32-14 vs. line away from home since 2004, 23-10 last 33 as road chalk. VT, based on team trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at RUTGERS...Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six meetings. Mountaineers just 4-3 vs. line after SU loss since 2009 and have won five straight at East Brunswick. Slight to WVU, based on series road trends.
SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE...Syracuse had covered five straight in series prior to LY's 28-20 loss. Cuse was 6-1 vs. line away from home LY but is 0-2 in role to date TY. Cards 8-19 vs. points at home post-Bobby Petrino (since 2007) and have failed to cover last three hosting Orange. Syracuse, based on team and series trends.
BOSTON COLLEGE at MARYLAND...Spaziani has lost and failed to cover 3 of last 4 vs. Maryland. Edsall only 2-5 vs. line TY and has dropped last four spread decisions at College Park, but he was 19-6 his last 25 vs. line as host at UConn. Slight to Maryland, based on series trends.
OLE MISS at AUBURN...Houston Nutt 8-2 as road dog since arriving at Oxford in 2008. Tigers 0-2 laying DDs this season for Chizik. Ole Miss, based on team trends.
ARKANSAS at VANDERBILT...Commodores have covered first two SEC home games TY after dropping previous 10 vs. number. Petrino 25-11 vs. line last 36 spread decisions. Slight to Arkansas, based on extended trends.
KANSAS at TEXAS...Jayhawks 2-8 vs. line the last ten years in game following Kansas State. KU 3-9 vs. number last 12 away from home, and no covers last three in series vs. Longhorns. Mack only 2-8 vs. line at Austin since beating KU by 51-20 count in 2009. Texas, based on KU negatives.
BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE...BG 22-11 vs. spread away since 2007. Hazell only 1-6 vs. line in 2011, and Flashes 2-9 last 11, 4-13 last 17 vs. number since early 2010. Revenge for BG after 30-6 loss LY. BG, based on team trends.
AIR FORCE at NEW MEXICO...Lobos 11-20 vs. line since 2009, 5-10 at home vs. line against FBS foes since 2009. Falcs had covered six straight vs. UNM prior to LY's 48-23 win but no cover. Air Force, based on team and series trends.
SMU at TULSA...SMU had covered six straight in series prior to LY's 21-18 win and non-cover in Dallas. SMU, based on extended series trends.
COLORADO at ARIZONA STATE...CU no covers last 5 TY. ASU 12-4 vs. line last 16 vs. FBS foes. ASU, based on team trends.
TULANE at EAST CAROLINA...Wave on 9-25-1 spread slide since late 2008, but now moving on post-Bob Toledo. Slight to ECU, based on Tulane negatives.
MISSOURI at TEXAS A&M...Pinkel 4-1 as dog the past two years after 3-6 mark as "short" the previous three years. Mizzou 12-6 vs. spread as true visitor since 2007. Aggies 15-6 vs. line last 21 at home and in revenge mode after 30-9 loss to Tigers LY. Slight to A&M, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at TEXAS TECH...Revenge for TT after 52-38 loss at Ames LY, and Tuberville 5-2 vs. line last seven at Lubbock. Slight to TT, based on recent trends.
BUFFALO at MIAMI-OHIO...Buffalo had covered four straight in series until Miami's 21-9 win LY. Red Hawks 4-12 last 16 as chalk (though 4-2 last 6). Slight to UB, based on extended trends.
NAVY at NOTRE DAME...Midshipmen have won 3 of last 4 SU vs. Irish after record 43-game series losing streak between 1964-2006. Mids, however, have made a habit out of covering at South Bend, covering 10 straight visits since 1991. Mids 2-0 as dog TY, 11-2 in role since '09. Irish 11-26-3 vs. line at home since late '05. Navy, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...Gators are 17-3 SU and 13-6-1 vs. line in what used to be the World's Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Florida no wins or covers last three TY. Slight to Florida, based on extended series trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at LOUISIANA TECH...SJS covers in last three and five of last six TY. But LT is 9-4 vs. line last 13 at Ruston vs. FBS foes, and 31-17 vs. spread at Joe Aillet Stadium since 2000. LT, based on extended trends.
MEMPHIS at UCF...UCF fading with no covers last 5 TY after O'Leary's 22-6 spread mark in previous 28 on board. Hard to like Memphis, however, and its 10-22 spread mark last 31 on board. UCF, based on extended trends.
HAWAII at IDAHO...Idaho 1-6 vs. line last 7 vs. Hawaii since 2004. Vandals have now dropped last nine vs. line against WAC foes at Kibbie Dome. Hawaii, based on Idaho home WAC woes.
COLORADO STATE at UNLV...Rebs are 6-1 vs. spread at Sam Boyd Stadium vs. FBS foes since Bobby Hauck took over LY. Home teams are 16-2 vs. spread in UNLV games vs. FBS foes since LY. CSU 1-8 vs. line last 9 on board, 7-18 last 25 overall, and 3-12 last 15 away. UNLV, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at UTAH...Utes now no covers last five at Salt Lake City since late LY. Mike Riley 21-7 last 28 as dog. OSU, based on team trends.
CAL at UCLA...Neuheisel 0-3 SU and vs. line against Tedford, no result closer than 19 points. Neuheisel 5-14 vs. line since 2010, and 1-9 last 10 on board. Cal 0-3 vs. line away TY and 10-21 last 31 in role. Cal, based on series trends and UCLA woes.
ARIZONA at WASHINGTON...Huskies 9-2 SU and vs. spread last 11 since late 2010. Cats only 2-5 vs. line last 7 away. UW, based on recent trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON...Ducks have won last four in series by wide margins but didn't cover LY at Pullman. Ducks 9-3 vs line last 12 vs. Pac-12 foes at Eugene. Slight to UO, based on team trends.
SOUTH CAROLINA at TENNESSEE...UT has covered 4 of last 5 in series, although Vols just 2-6 vs. spread since late 2010. Gamecocks just 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from Columbia. Slight to UT, based on series trends.
OKLAHOMA at KANSAS STATE...Note that Bill Snyder is 4-1 vs. line his last five against Bob Stoops. KSU on 6-game cover streak TY and Snyder now 12-5 as dog since returning to Wildcat sidelines in 2009. KSU, based on Bill Snyder trends
BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA STATE...OSU has annihilated Baylor each of the past five seasons. Gundy 16-4 vs. line since 2010, although surprisingly 6-4 at home compared to 10-0 away! Bears 0-2 SU and vs. line away TY and 3-7 against number last 10 away from home. OSU, based on team and series trends.
WISCONSIN at OHIO STATE...Even with MSU loss, Bielema 12-2 vs. line since mid 2010. Wisconsin, based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP...Miners on surprising 6-game cover streak at moment, and UTEP 9-4 vs. spread as Sun Bowl dog since Mike Price arrived in 2004. USM has covered last 5 TY and 8-3 last 11 on board since late 2010. UTEP, based on team trends.
STANFORD at SOUTHERN CAL...Stanford actually 4-3 SU and 5-1 vs. line last 6 at Coliseum since 2009. Tree was 3-2 SU and 4-1 vs. line at Coliseum against Pete Carroll. Tree on 10-game cover streak and 12-1 last 13 vs. spread. Kiffin just 2-7-1 vs. spread as host since LY. Stanford, based on team trends.
NEVADA at NEW MEXICO STATE...DeWayne Walker 3-12 vs. line at Las Cruces since 2009, though Aggies on 4-game cover streak at moment. Nevada, based on team trends.
WYOMING at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs 6-3 against points at home since LY (2-1 TY). Wyoming 10-5 vs. line away since Dave Christensen arrived in 2009. Slight to Wyo, based on team trends.
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
WESTERN KENTUCKY at UL-MONROE...WKU has covered four in a row TY and has also covered all three away from home, now 6-1 vs. line last 7 on road. WKU, based on team trends.
NORTH TEXAS at ARKANSAS STATE...ASU now 6-1 vs. line TY including 3-0 at Jonesboro, Red Wolves also 7-2 last 9 as chalk since LY. Surprising UNT has covered 5 of last 6 TY. Slight to ASU, based on team trends.
UK-LAFAYETTE at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...ULL 9-1 vs. line last 10 away from Cajun Field. MTSU 2-7 vs. line at Jonesboro since LY. ULL, based on team trends.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: