coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:06 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:06 AM

When East Carolina team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off 1 ATS lost; 10-0 SU

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:07 AM

Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (+13.5, 56)

Redshirt freshman QB Maty Mauk has kept the Tigers' high-powered offense on track with James Franklin (shoulder) sidelined, and he had his best game yet in a 31-3 win over Tennessee last week. Missouri rolled up 339 rushing yards against the Volunteers and ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The defense has been overshadowed somewhat but Missouri ranks fourth in the SEC in scoring defense (20.6).

The Wildcats have struggled in coach Mark Stoops' first season, but they've been close to pulling off a quality win with narrow defeats at South Carolina and Mississippi State. The offense was impressive last week, albeit against Alabama State, as Whitlow rushed for 101 yards and two touchdowns and threw for two more scores. Kentucky has faced trouble stopping the run, allowing 197.6 yards per game.

LINE: The Tigers opened -14 and are now -13.5, with the total set at 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an SU win.
* Over is 18-7-1 in Kentucky's last 26 games following an ATS win.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:07 AM

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-13)
ATS pick: LSU


This climbing number is big enough for us to bite on the visiting Tigers, although we still think our preseason projection that Alabama's first loss will be in the SEC championship game is the most likely scenario. It will take a competent passing team to threaten the Tide, as the difference in this year's defense is the inexperience in the secondary, not issues with the standard shutdown run defense.

LSU certainly qualifies, with a pair of top receivers plus a quarterback who broke out against Alabama last year and is now thriving under new coaching. Both attacks figure to make plays in this game, though both red zone defenses will probably prevent the offenses from finishing enough drives to turn this into a shootout.

All of the pressure is on Alabama on Saturday night, and a Tide squad that's facing one of the softest schedules in school history isn't exactly battle-tested. Laying significant weight in this series is typically not in the winner's playbook, and there isn't enough separation in 2013 to warrant an exception.

Score: Alabama 26, LSU 20

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:08 AM

Purdue is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a home underdog. Boilermakers getting 16 from Iowa

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:08 AM

Hawaii Warriors at Navy Midshipmen – Open: +19.5, Move: +16.5

This Mountain West matchup has had its spread trimmed as many as three points at some books. Sharp money was on Hawaii earlier in the week and 69 percent of action is on the Warriors.

“Maybe wiseguys are thinking this will be a letdown game for Navy, who are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame,” says Perry. “On Sunday, we got sharp play on Hawaii +19.5 so moved to +18. Then on Monday, we got another sharp play on the 'Bows so moved to our current number.”

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:09 AM

WEATHER REPORT


  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:09 AM

Early winner for game day signs...

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:10 AM

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 55)

The Tigers feature the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack (306.2 yards per game), led by running back Tre Mason, who rushed for 168 yards and four touchdowns last week to earn SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Auburn did not know if quarterback Nick Marshall would start last week because of a shoulder injury, but the junior finished with 177 yards of total offense and is expected to be completely healthy against Tennessee.

The Volunteers have to shore up their run defense after allowing a season-high 339 yards on the ground against Missouri. Tennessee has allowed 76 points the past two weeks in losses to Alabama and Missouri. Dobbs completed 26-of-42 passes against Missouri and is the third freshman to start at quarterback for Tennessee in the past four years.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 7-point fave, while the total opened at 55.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the high-50s.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records.
* Volunteers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 9-4 in Tennessee's last 13 conference games.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0
coleryan Posts:19250 Followers:23
11/09/2013 10:10 AM

Fresno State is 12-0-1 ATS (7.1 ppg) since November 21, 2008 on the road but not in Hawaii after a win at home where they were not favored by more than 30 points.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 6-6-0