Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers: Preview and Pick
7 Replies | 236 ViewsOn 11/05/2013 05:17 PM in NFL
The Green Bay Packers are one of the best teams in the National Football League, but they could fall on some hard times in the next few weeks. In the Monday Night Football game against the Chicago Bears, quarterback Aaron Rodgers was injured as he left the game. It was reported that Rodgers has a broken collar bone and will miss the next three weeks to include this game against the upstart Philadelphia Eagles.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers Odds
The opening NFL point spread for this game has yet to be released because Rodgers is that important to this Packers team. With the big performance by Nick Foles against the Oakland Raiders, the public may actually favor the Eagles as backup quarterback Seneca Wallace looked bad in relief against the Bears. Check the latest odds at the top rated sportsbooks to see what this number settles at before kickoff.
The team will really miss Rodgers. The Packers are 57-29 (.663) with Aaron Rodgers as their starting quarterback since his first career start in 2008 (Week 1). That is the 6th-best win percentage among qualified NFL quarterbacks during that span. Rodgers ranks 2nd in the NFL in touchdown passes and Total QBR during that span. He also has the best touchdown-to-interception differential in that span. Without a quarterback they will need to run the ball.
Forced to compete without Aaron Rodgers for the majority of the game Monday, the Packers ran designed rushes on 28 of 55 (50.9%) offensive plays. Coming into the game, the Packers had a 33-2 record since 2008 when calling designed rushes at least 40% of the time.
The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that the Packers do have the trends in their favor. The Eagles are 6-13-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 when playing the NFC and 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 home games. The trends may be in favor of the Packers but it will be a difficult adjustment without Rodgers under center.
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers Pick
With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.