jimmythegreek Posts:10681 Followers:377
On 11/03/2013 08:22 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 9

New Orleans -6 over NYJ:
Thanks to Rob Ryan at defensive coordinator, the New Orleans Saints (6-1) have been recognized as one of the better defensive teams in the league. Yielding just 17 points per contest coupled with a highly motivated group, it's been a major turnaround in comparison to the 2012-13 season where the Saints were last in the league in total defense. Fired by Dallas after last season, Ryan has installed a 3-4 scheme focused on getting to the quarterback and forcing mistakes. The Saints are fourth in the NFL with a plus-eight turnover differential and lead the NFC with 3.4 sacks per game.

Of course they haven't missed a beat on offense averaging 28 points per game, and Drew Brees (183/271 2290 19 TD 5 INT) remains on of the league's elite QB's with a 109.2 overall rating. Mastering the quick 5 step drop out of the pocket, he'll be in for another huge day against the inconsistent NY Jets (4-4). Jimmy Graham (40-630 8 TD) and Darren Sproles (36-366 1 TD) remain his top targets while injecting another weapon into the receiving arsenal as of late in Kenny Stils (23-327 3 TD). Marques Colston (40-342 1 TD) has been battling a knee injury and is listed as questionable this afternoon. Brees could certainly use more efficiency from the seldomly used running game, which led by Pierre Thomas (73-253 3.5) has run for just 597 total yards and 3 scores thus far approaching the halfway point.

Led by Cameron Jordan and Junior Galette, both are responsible for 10 of the 24 New Orleans sacks this season. Thanks to the 3-4 the Saints have dominated their opposition this season with a much improved secondary and an even better pass rush. That doesn't bode well for Geno Smith (150/253 1882 8 TD 13 INT) who one week looks like a world beater and the next performs like a troubled rookie. That probably sums up the best reason why the Jets have alternated their wins and losses week to week. It's essential that Smith makes better decisions in the passing game especially when it comes to avoiding turnovers. Jeremy Kerley (41-346 2 TD) and Stephen Hill (23-340 1 TD) are his top targets, but Smith has been without veteran Santonio Holmes for the last 5 weeks due to a hamstring injury. Of course we know how dangerous Smith can be with his mobility (30-154 5.1 2 TD), like New Orleans the Jets need more from their running game. Bilai Powell (100-385 3.9 1 TD) has just 159 rushing yards over the last 5 games. Chris Ivory (74-230 3.1) also struggled in a 40 point loss at Cincinnati in week 8 as both combined for just 30 yards on 16 carries (1.9).

The Jets secondary is coming off of an awful performance against the Bengals where the entire unit was dismantled. New York's backfield starting with Antonio Cromartie must bounce back and clean up their coverage issues. Rookie defensive back Dee Milliner is slated to start, but I would not be surprised to see Darrin Walls get a lot of reps as well. The Jets best defense on Sunday will be time-consuming plays on offense. The Saints are going to stack the box to stop the run and it will be up to Smith and his receivers to make some plays. The loss of Jeff Cumberland is a big blow to an already banged up pass catching group and New Orleans has just too many weapons for Brees for gang green to overcome.




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jimmythegreek Posts:10681 Followers:377
11/03/2013 08:48 AM

Seattle -14 over Tampa Bay (bought half):
Seattle (7-1) is in the midst of four games against opponents that are all below .500, however they come off an unimpressive 14-9 win in St. Louis last Monday night. The Seahawks stuffed Rams running back Daryl Richardson at the 1-yard line then forced an incomplete pass on the game's final two plays in order to survive. They registered just 7 first downs which goes down as the fewest for a franchise win and gained just 135 yards of total offense.

Russell Wilson (125/205 1628 13 TD 4 INT) has done a great job at the halfway point, however in week 7 he was sacked 7 times while completing just 10 of 18 passes for 139 yards. However he did throw 2 TD passes both to Golden Tate (32-439 3 TD), who we may not have seen this afternoon against winless Tampa Bay (0-7) had he not issued an apology for a taunting penalty not sitting well with head coach Pete Carroll. Losing Sidney Rice to a torn ACL means that Wilson will need to rely heavily on Tate and Doug Baldwin (23-372 1 TD). Ricardo Lockette, was also elevated from the practice squad Wednesday to take Rice's spot, but Seattle also got a glimmer of hope learning that Percy Harvin could return after undergoing hip surgery in August. All of the uncertainty in the receiving core could mean significantly more touches for Marshawn Lynch (146-601 4.1 6 TD) with Wilson (61-339 5.6) calling his own number.

Tampa Bay's averages of 14.3 points and 297.7 yards rank only ahead of the other winless team in the league, Jacksonville (10.8 and 286.5). With Doug Martin (127-456 3.6 1 TD) out indefinitely with a shoulder injury, the Buccaneers were held to a season-low 48 yards on the ground in a 31-13 loss to Carolina on Oct. 24th. Mike Glennon (106/181 997 6 TD 3 INT) has been a significant upgrade since the dog days of Josh Freeman, however most of his success has only looked more efficient since his stats have been padded with games out of reach. Vincent Jackson (41-623 4 TD) and Mike Williams (22-216 2 TD) are Glennon's top targets, but there's not much of a ground game to fall back on as no other RB has rushed for 100 yards. Mike James (27-96 3.6) will see the bulk of the carries otherwise Tampa Bay will likely be one-dimensional against a defense that is one of the stingiest in the league giving up just 15.6 points per game.

The Seahawks hope their offense is more attractive back at home‚ where it's known to be loud and exhausting on opposing teams. They have won 11 in a row at home‚ last losing in the Emerald City on Christmas Eve in 2011 vs. San Francisco. Given all the talk of Schiano's fate could be sealed anytime soon, the Bucs continue to experience problems on both sides of the ball. Seattle will grind it out and wear down Tampa with it's running game and a defense that allows only 289 yards per contest.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:12093 Followers:137
11/03/2013 08:55 AM

Good Luck Jimmy. Love your write ups. Thanks.

jimmythegreek Posts:10681 Followers:377
11/03/2013 09:19 AM

Kansas City -4 over Buffalo:
The Chiefs (8-0) remain the league's lone unbeaten team with the unpopular target on their back. While labeled as the worst 8-0 team most have ever seen, a lot can be said from a complete turnaround from owning the league's most futile mark at 2-14 in 2012. Kansas City hasn't won its first nine games since 2003. That year, it matched the franchise record of 13 wins before losing 38-31 to Indianapolis in the divisional round of the playoffs.

The Chiefs have yielded a league low 12.3 points per game and leads the league with 36 sacks. Buffalo (3-5) is second in the NFL with 27. As inconsistent and conservative KC has been on offense, Alex Smith (169/286 1795 9 TD 4 INT) remains effective while limiting mistakes. Jamal Charles (41-383 2 TD) is as dangerous as they come in the open field leading the team in receiving as well as rushing (153-635 4.2 6 TD). Dwayne Bowe (26-302 2 TD) and Donnie Avery (24-374 1 TD) are expected to play despite battling groin and shoulder injuries respectively. Like Russel Wilson, Smith (49-258 5.3 1 TD) is also mobile with his feet and while Charles is active while nursing a sore knee, Knile Davis could see more action in the backfield. The focus for KC is methodical getting off to fast starts and grinding it out with manageable leads with help from their defense to preserve and make plays in the second half. A monkey in the wrench could give the Cheifs more success considering Buffalo ranks 25th in the league yielding nearly 27 points per game.

WIth EJ Manuel out with a knee injury and Thad Lewis suffering from bruised ribs, third stringer Jeff Tuel will get the call to start this afternoon. No matter who is under center, Tuel couldn't do much worse for a passing offense that is 30th in the league averaging only 195 yards per game. Steve Johnson (33-387 3 TD) is listed as probable despite a hip injury and Scott Chandler (29-341 2 TD) has looked like Buffalo's most reliable thus far. However look for the focus to be on the ground game which ranks 7th in the league led by a speedy Fred Jackson (101-4254.2 6 TD) and CJ Spiller (90-362 4.0 1 TD) who should return after suffering an ankle injury. As lengthy as Buffalo's injury report is shaping up, Matt Flynn could also see some action depending on how efficient Tuel holds up.
It will be open season for Justin Houston (11 sacks and Tambia Hali (9 sacks) on Tuel.

KC is a highly motivated group under Andy Reid showing off their attitude and edge. However keep in mind that they've also been helped by a weak schedule while playing 5 of their first 8 at Arrowhead. While their defense is stacked making key plays all season to keep them perfect, the offense will gel more efficiently once again early against Buffalo's swiss cheese defense. It will be a long day for Tuel and even if the Bills experience some success in the running game they will be no match for a still undefeated KC squad.




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jimmythegreek Posts:10681 Followers:377
11/03/2013 09:42 AM

Atlanta/Carolina under 47:
The Falcons (2-5) haven't looked very energized, recording their lowest point total since the 2011 season in a 27-13 loss in Arizona last Sunday. Matt Ryan (205/305 2223 14 TD 7 INT) threw four interceptions, one shy of a career high, and was sacked a season-high four times. The Falcons were held under 300 total yards and 30 on the ground for the second straight game last Sunday despite the return of Steven Jackson from a hamstring injury. Jackson gained six yards on 11 carries, in part leading to Ryan throwing a career-high 61 passes. The banged-up Atlanta defense allowed Andre Ellington to have a field day, as he ran the ball 15 times for 154 yards and a score. Carson Palmer was able to throw for a pair of scores, connecting with Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd.

The Panthers (4-3) is above .500 for the first time in 5 years when they finished 12-4 in 2008. Cam Newton (131/202 1552 12 TD 5 INT) has busted out of a motivational funk early in the season and looks to be having fun out there once again. He's thrown for 667 yards and 6 TD's without a pick during a 3 game winning streak. He was 23 of 32 for 221 yards and two TDs last Thursday in Tampa Bay, and ran for a season-high 50 yards with another score. Newton's top targets Greg Olsen (42-360 2 TD) and Steve Smith (32-335 3 TD) could be in for productive days given the fact that Carolina's offense looks more energized with their winning ways. Newton is especially dangerous with his scrambling ability (50-229 4.6 3 TD) behind a line that could throw the Falcons off balance past their front seven. DeAngelo Williams (114-477 4.2 1 TD) is suffering from a quad injury but is listed as probable. Carolina loves to mix up their offensive scheme using play action and a methodical tempo in the running game.

The Atlanta offense may struggle to have a better performance against the Panthers' stout defense. Carolina is among the league's best with 13.7 points and 301.4 yards allowed per game, and has the second-stingiest run defense (79.3 ypg). Adding to the Falcons offensive woes is the loss of Julio Jones (60-580 2 TD) who is out for the season after fracturing his foot in a loss to the Jets several weeks back. Harry Douglas (52-489 1 TD) has stepped into the top spot nicely in the receiving core recording back to back 100 yard games. Tony Gonzalez (38-395 3 TD) hopes to make more of a standout role this afternoon after being shut down over the past few contests. Matty ice could once again be one dimensional given he has limited support from the running game led by Jacquizz Rogers (62-201 3.2 2 TD).

The Carolina defense has quietly been very good this season, with the unit not allowing a single touchdown in the first half of any of their games this season. The longer you keep their defense on the field the better your chances of avoiding being hurt by high powered offenses. That chess game could come down to who has the ball last in a close matchup that could be decided by a field goal.

Best of luck to all in week 9
YTD 20-12 .625

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spidsparks Posts:658 Followers:2
11/03/2013 09:48 AM

Thanks! Go Saints & Seahawks!!