cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:32 AM


Monday, November 11

Sunday's NFL Week 10 betting cheat sheet: Late action

Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5, 43)

Carolina's offense has flourished of late, topping 30 points in four straight games and five of the past six. Cam Newton has returned to the dynamic form he showed as a rookie, completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,801 yards and 13 TDs and rushing for 251 yards and four scores. The defense has provided a big assist, though, as the Panthers have forced at least one turnover in every game and have recorded three or more takeaways four times.

The defending NFC champions had a couple of early stumbles in ugly losses to Seattle and Indianapolis, but they've been nothing short of dominant while winning five straight. The 49ers rank last in the league in passing, but they've rolled up an NFL-best 153 yards per game on the ground and have limited their mistakes during the winning streak. The defense has been solid against the run and the pass and has forced 13 turnovers the past five games.
LINE: The 49ers opened -6.5 but are now-5.5. The total opened at 41.5 and is up to 43.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies.
POWER RANKINGS: Carolina (-2.0) + San Francisco (-6.5) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -7.5


* Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* 49ers are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games on grass.
* Over is 12-3 in San Francisco's last 15 games.

Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals (-3, 42)

Houston was enduring a disappointing season on the field before it began to worry about its head coach, and squandering a 24-6 lead with 4:25 left in the third quarter of last week's loss to Indianapolis represented a new low point. The Texans rank first in the NFL in passing defense, surrendering an average of 158 yards, but allowed three passing touchdowns in the final 15:05 to watch its lead evaporate.

Arizona went into its bye week on a high note with a 27-13 victory over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 8. The Cardinals were most effective against the Falcons in the secondary, intercepting Matt Ryan four times, and got a strong October from rookie safety Tyrann Mathieu, who was named the NFC’s defensive Rookie of the Month. Mathieu and Rashad Johnson combined for three picks from the free safety position against Atlanta.

LINE: The Cardinals are 3-point faves after opening -3.5. The total opened 43 and is up to 43.5.
POWER RANKINGS: Houston (+3.5) - Arizona (+2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Cardinals -4


* Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games.
* Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. teams with losing records.
* Over is 30-11 in Arizona's last 41 games after finishing with fewer than 150 passing yards in their previous outing.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+7, 58)

The bye week did not provide a much-needed respite for the Denver Broncos, who lost their head coach for perhaps the rest of the season when John Fox underwent a surgical procedure to repair a heart valve. Quarterback Peyton Manning, who's often been likened to a coach on the field, has thrown for 2,919 yards and 29 touchdown passes so Denver is not expecting a dip in its offensive efficiency in Fox's absence.

Philip Rivers is experience a career revival in Mike McCoy's offense following a pair a pair of turnover-riddled seasons, throwing for 17 TDs against seven interceptions and posting a 106.5 passer rating - third best in the league. Ryan Mathews had back-to-back 100-yard games, but he was limited to 34 on seven carries at Washington and San Diego failed to score from the 1-yard line on three tries in the final seconds of regulation.

LINE: The Broncos opened as 7-point road faves. The total opened at 56 and is up to 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 4 mph.
POWER RANKINGS: Denver (-8.0) - San Diego (-1.0) - home field (-3.0) = Broncos -4


* Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. AFC West opponents.
* Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an SU loss.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:33 AM

Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

The second half of the NFL season is in full swing and news of a few key players that could return from injury has odds on the move:

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers - Open: -3.5, Move: -2.5

News that EJ Manuel gets the start for the Bills had bettors backing Buffalo. But can the rook turn the Bills' season around? The AFC East cellar dwellers were 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS with Manuel under center this season.

"The 3.5 opener didn’t last long before being a juiced 3," Black tells Covers. "Pittsburgh struggles against the run, and with RB’s CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson coming at them, the Steelers' defense may struggle with the run again this week. Action so far is split down the middle."

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons - Open: +6, Move: +4.5

The Seahawks narrowly escaped their last two games with victories. They required a comeback to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and barely beat the St. Louis Rams. They have won four-straight games, but are 1-4 ATS in their last five.

"Atlanta WR Roddy White is upgraded to probable, and that has moved the line, but the line was already moving before that," confirms Black. "The running game has been one of the main pillars of Seattle's success, but injuries to the offensive line are causing concern for those looking to back them away from home at a desperate Falcons team. Action still likes the Seahawks at about a 2-to-1 clip ATS, but SU sees a little more on the Falcons."

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears - Open: +1, Move: Pick

Another player set to make a return is Bears QB Jay Cutler. News of such an upgrade had bettors backing the Bears, but injury concerns on the defensive side of the ball have them treading lightly.

"The line has bounced back and forth from small-fave Detroit to small-fave Chicago, but it should end up as a Pick or slight Bears fave," says Black. "Action likes the Bears at a 2-to-1 clip."

Black also confirms that bettors like the Over in this matchup. The total opened 52 and has been bet up to 52.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:33 AM

NFL betting: This week's top 5 key injuries

The quarterback position continues to be a merry-go-round for several teams heading into Week 10 of the NFL season.

The Buffalo Bills welcome back their electrifying rookie signal caller, while the Green Bay Packers face their first full game without their starting QB. Other teams face shortages at key positions - including the Seahawks, who are still waiting for their prized free-agent acquisition to make his Seattle debut.

Here are five key injuries entering a busy Sunday:

Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks (out, hip)

The hype over Harvin possibly returning in Week 7 or 8 has given way to a more realistic assessment. After suffering a minor setback in his return from a major offseason hip injury, the 25-year-old still hasn't been added to the Seattle roster and isn't practicing with the team yet. As badly as Harvin might like to return for the Seahawks' Week 11 tilt with his old team, the Minnesota Vikings, it's likely the speedy wideout will remain on the sidelines beyond the team's Week 12 bye with an eye on returning the following week against New Orleans.

Seattle is installed as a 4-point favorite for Sunday's showdown with host Atlanta. The total is 45.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers (out, collarbone)

The Packers' postseason hopes took a major hit after Rodgers suffered a fractured collarbone in Monday night's 27-20 loss to the Chicago Bears. The team has placed a 4-to-6-week timetable on Rodgers' return to the lineup, though historical precedent would suggest that Rodgers probably won't be back in four weeks' time. Veteran Seneca Wallace, who went 11-for-19 for 114 yards and an interception, will be under center - and judging by the nine-point swing in this week's line, bettors don't have much faith in his abilities.

The Packers are a one-point underdog vs. the visiting Philadelphia Eagles, with the total at 47.

Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans (out, back)

Foster won't give up on returning this season despite reports he's dealing with a significant disc problem in his back that may require surgery. The fifth-year running back is considered week-to-week, but is reportedly seeking other medical opinions in an effort to be cleared to return as soon as possible. His absence leaves a major hole in Houston's already mediocre offense, with the underwhelming Ben Tate expected to see the bulk of the carries. Dennis Johnson, signed late last month, will back him up.

The Texans go into Arizona as a 3-point underdog against the Cardinals. The total is set at 42.

Roddy White, WR, Atlanta Falcons (questionable, hamstring)

Falcons fans will be ecstatic to know that White will finally return to the field in an attempt to salvage what has been his worst season to date. The 32-year-old has been dealing with a hamstring issue that has kept him out the last three games, but he reportedly looked spry in practice and has declared himself good to go. White will instantly boost a Falcons' passing game that has been decimated by the loss of Julio Jones (foot). White's presence gives Matt Ryan another reliable option in the passing game to complement Tony Gonzalez and Harry Douglas.

Atlanta is installed as a 4-point underdog against visiting Seattle, with the total at 45.

E.J. Manuel, QB, Buffalo Bills (probable, knee)

Manuel has exceeded even the most recent timetable; despite not being expected back until next week, the first-year QB looked good in practice and will get the start Sunday barring any setbacks. Manuel hasn't played since Week 5 after suffering a sprained LCL in a 37-24 loss to the Cleveland Browns. The Bills have already used three different quarterbacks this season, so the return of Manuel not only gives them the best chance to win - it also means some much-needed stability for what has been a beleaguered pass offense.

Buffalo enters Sunday's game in Pittsburgh as a 3-point underdog, with the total set at 43.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:34 AM

NFL betting weather report: Sunday's forecasts

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (+1, 45)
Wind will blow toward the E endzone at 15 mph. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (Pick, 53)
Skies will be clear and temperatures will be in the low-40s. Wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (+1, 47)
Temperatures will be in the low-40s and wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.

Oakland Raiders at New York Giants (-7.5, 44)
Temperatures will be in the high-50s and wind will blow across the field at 15 mph.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-13, 41)
Skies will be clear and temperatures will be in the mid-50s. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 6 mph.

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 43.5)
Wind will blow across the field at 16 mph and temperatures will be in the mid-40s.

Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5, 43)
Temperatures will be in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+7, 58)
Wind will blow toward the E endzone at 6 mph. Temperatures will be in the high-60s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:34 AM

Essential betting tidbits for Week 10 of the NFL

- The Bengals defense gives up 18.4 points per game, but has now lost All-Pro defensive tackle Geno Atkins for the season. The total is currently at 45.

- The last three times these teams have met in Baltimore, the Ravens have gone 3-0 straight up, outscoring the Bengals by a combined score of 88-44.

- Reggie Bush gashed the Bears for 139 yards back in Week 4 and the Bears are ranked 29th against the run this season.

- Jay Cutler returns under center for the Bears since leaving in Week 7 with a groin injury. They average 28.6 points per game with Cutler in the lineup and have beaten the Lions five straight times at Soldier Field.

- Nick Foles has not been intercepted in 118 attempts this season and the Packers have only picked off QBs five times through eight games.

- Seneca Wallace is only the fourth QB to start for the Packers since 1992. He is 6-15 as a starter and has a career completion percentage of 59.1.

- Since rookie sensation Zac Stacey has joined the Rams backfield, he is averaging 113.2 yards per game, including 307 yards in the past 2 games. The Colts allow 124.9 rushing yards per game.

- The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a losing record.

- Despite the Seahawks' strong start to the season, they are just 1-4 ATS in the last five games.

- Matt Ryan been picked off seven times for the Falcons in the last two games and the Seahawks are tied for the league lead in interceptions with 13.

- Darren McFadden has been ruled out for the Raiders this week, who are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

- The Giants rushing attack will look to get a boost to their as they welcome back RB Andre Brown, who broke his leg in the pre-season. The Giants only average 69.9 yards rushing per game this season, but they have out-rushed opponents the last 3 games and gone 3-0 ATS in that span.

- The Titans rushed for 198 yards last week versus the Rams. The Jaguars give up a league-worst 161.8 rushing yards per game.

- Both teams score a combined 32.4 points per game and the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings. The total is currently at 41.

- First round pick EJ Manuel will be back at QB for the Bills this week. The Bills ware 3-2 ATS with Manuel under center this season.

- The Steelers have given up 197 yards rushing to Oakland and England in the last two weeks. The Bills rank seventh in rushing.

- During the Panthers four game winning streak, Cam Newton has completed 74.8 percent of his passes and they are 4-0 ATS in that span.

- The 49ers are on a six-game winning streak and are 6-0 ATS over that stretch. The Niners have out-rushed the opponent in each game, but the Panthers own the second ranked rush defense this season.

- The Texans will try to avoid the longest losing streak in team history, and will have to do so without star running back Arian Foster and head coach Gary Kubiak. They are 1-7 ATS this season.

- The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS at home this season and 5-0 ATS in the last five games against teams with a losing record. The Cards are currently favored by a field goal.

- The Broncos are 8-0 O/U and are averaging a league best 42.9 points per game, the total is currently at 58 for their matchup against the San Diego Chargers.

- Chargers head coach and former Broncos offensive co-ordinator Mike McCoy has brought the magic back to Philip Rivers' game. Rivers averages 309.1 passing yards per game and the Broncos pass defense is ranked 30th in the league.

- The Cowboys have been up and down this year with 5-4 record, but are a league-best 7-2 ATS this season. Dez Bryant is expected to play despite a back injury.

- The Saints are 4-0 ATS at home this year and have only given up 12 points per game in that span behind Rob Ryan's defense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:36 AM


Sunday, November 10

Raiders at Giants: What bettors need to know

Oakland Raiders at New York Giants (-9.5, 44)

The New York Giants are rather shockingly still alive in the NFC East, where a two-game winning streak is cause for much celebration. The Giants will look to turn that into a three-game run when they host the Oakland Raiders on Sunday. New York is in last place in the East after its 0-6 start but is beginning a three-game homestand and has three divisional games remaining against the Washington Redskins (two) and the Dallas Cowboys (one).

The big change during the Giants’ two wins came on the defensive side of the ball, where they held Minnesota and Philadelphia to seven points apiece after surrendering an average of 34.8 during the 0-6 start. New York’s strength is in stopping the run while the Raiders do their best work on the ground with Terrelle Pryor and Darren McFadden. Oakland had plenty of trouble stropping the pass against its last NFC East opponent, the Philadelphia Eagles, who threw for seven touchdowns in a 49-20 shellacking last week.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The Giants are -9.5 home favorites. The total opened at 43.5 and moved up to 44.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid 50s with a 15 mph wind blowing across the field.

POWER RANKINGS: Raiders (+6.0) - Giants (+2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Giants -6.5

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (3-5): Pryor leads the team in rushing with 485 yards and is 45 yards shy of passing Rich Gannon for the club record for a quarterback. Where Pryor struggles is in the passing game, with four interceptions and no touchdowns in the past two contests, and he could have his running attempts limited due to a knee sprain. Oakland is trying to move on from its terrible effort against the Eagles. “Absolutely, there’s no question there’s a bad taste in our mouth right now, but that one’s over with,” head coach Dennis Allen said. “That one’s done and I can promise you we’ll have a bunch of guys who will be ready to get back to work.”

ABOUT THE GIANTS (2-6): One of the reasons the defense was able to be so effective the last two games is because Eli Manning and the offense weren’t putting it into bad positions with turnovers. The former Super Bowl MVP threw 15 interceptions in the first six weeks but was not picked off in either of the two victories while focusing on shorter passing attempts. New York is ranked 30th in the league in rushing at an average of 69.9 yards but is expecting Andre Brown to make his season debut in the backfield after sitting out the first eight games with a broken leg.


* Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games with a losing record.
* Under is 8-1 in Raiders last nine games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last five home games.


1. Giants RB David Wilson (neck) was placed on season-ending injured reserve while RB Brandon Jacobs (hamstring) is questionable.

2. McFadden (hamstring) was limited to five carries against the Eagles and is questionable for Sunday.

3. New York WR Victor Cruz, who has 18 catches for 282 yards in two games against AFC opponents this season, sat out practice on Wednesday with a neck injury but expects to play Sunday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 11:38 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Most popular, least popular picks in the LVH Super Contest, where 1,034 contestants pick five games each week of the NFL season........they paid $1,500 each to be in this contest, by the way.

Most pop. (14-40-1 vs spread)

1) Saints 380
2) 49ers 307
3) Cardinals 284
4) Bears 266
5) Chargers 232
6) Buccaneers 230

Least popular (30-23-1)

26) Colts 89
25) Dolphins 98
24) Raiders 109
23) Cowboys 112
T21) Jaguars 119
T21) Texans 119


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday......

13) Vanderbilt 34, Florida 17-- Commodores hadn't beaten Florida since 1988, hadn't won in Gainesville since 1945, which is also the last year the Cubs played in the World Series. Go figure. Gators are 4-5 and look like a longshot to play in a bowl game. Yikes.

12) Texas 47, West Virginia 40 OT-- Mack Brown's first OT win; Horns converted 10-23 on 3rd down, have now won six games in row. McCoy had 283 passing yards and three TDs. Why is West Virginia in this league?

11) Duke 38, NC State 20-- Wolfpack led this game with 4:00 left, then the Blue Devils scored three TDs in a bizarre 0:26 span to move to 7-2. DeVon Edwards had a kick return for a TD and two pick-6's, in one of the greatest days any defensive player has ever had, ever.

10) Celtics 111, Heat 110-- Boston scored five points in last 0:01.6 to steal a game in South Beach and win its third game in a row after an 0-4 start. Not a lot of excuses for a team losing when they led by 4 with 0:03 left.

9) UCLA 31, Arizona 26-- Bruins' freshman Myles Jack ran ball six times for 120 yards; he's a defensive player!!! Kid was playing both ways like a damn high school player. Jack had eight tackles and a fumble recovery- very good. .

8) Alabama 38, LSU 17-- SEC coordinators make almost $1M a year; LSU had ball on 1-yard line with that kid Hill at RB, a future NFL star, and they give it to a fullback who fumbled and was never seen again for the rest of the night. Bama might've won anyway, but 7-0 would've been a nice start.

7) Pitt 28, Notre Dame 21-- If I ran NBC Sports and was throwing my cash at South Bend, I'd sure as hell want a better product than what they're putting out on field. 18-38 passing, in this day and age? They were lucky to beat the Naval Academy last week. Underdog is now 8-0-1 vs spread in this series.

6) Manhattan 99, LaSalle 90 (2 OT)-- Explorers have four starters back from LY's Sweet 16 team, so this is an excellent win for the Jaspers, picked to win the MAAC this winter. Manhattan made 12-27 shots behind the arc.

5) Pacers 96, Nets 91-- On the Nets TV commercials, "championship" gets said like every other second. Now they're 2-4 and Indiana in 7-0; doubt Indy touted themselves as league champs in their ad campaigns this fall.

4) Nebraska 17, Michigan 13-- Wolverines had minus-21 rushing yards, as sacks count as rushing attempts; in their last two games, Michigan, the team Bo Schembechler made famous, has minus-69 rushing yards. Oy.

3) San Diego State 34, San Jose State 30-- Nice comeback win for Aztecs, who trailed 30-20 with 8:00 left, but RECRUIT A KICKER!!!! They missed seven consecutive FGs and five straight PATs before finally making a PAT in 4th quarter. Its not that hard; go try out some soccer players.

2) Virginia Tech 42, Miami 24-- Hurricanes got beat twice by Florida State, once last week, again Saturday, as they ran ball for only 28 yards with star RB Johnson out for year (leg). Hokies outgained Miami 549-352 after losing to Duke/Boston College the last two weeks.

1) Texas A&M 51, Mississippi State 41-- Johnny Manziel is must-watch TV; kid was 30-39/446 yards, with three of nine incompletions picked off, so he is fun to watch and never dull- he takes chances. You watch Alabama play and then realize A&M lost to them 49-42. Very, very good player.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 12:18 PM

I will be coming up with my 4 team parlay of the week also

Sunday, November 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 1:00 PM ET Cincinnati +1 500
Baltimore - Over 44 500

Detroit - 1:00 PM ET Detroit +1 500
Chicago - Over 52 500

Philadelphia - 1:00 PM ET Green Bay +1 500
Green Bay - Over 47 500

St. Louis - 1:00 PM ET Indianapolis -7.5 500 POD # 3
Indianapolis - Under 43 500

Seattle - 1:00 PM ET Atlanta +3.5 500 POD # 2
Atlanta - Under 47 500

Oakland - 1:00 PM ET Oakland +7.5 500 POD # 1
N.Y. Giants - Under 41.5 500

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville +11.5 500
Tennessee - Under 42 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET Buffalo +3 500 POD # 1
Pittsburgh - Under 42.5 500

Carolina - 4:05 PM ET Carolina +5.5 500 POD # 1
San Francisco - Over 43.5 500

Houston - 4:25 PM ET Arizona -3 500 POD # b4
Arizona - Under 41.5 500

Denver - 4:25 PM ET San Diego +7 500 POD # 1
San Diego - Under 57.5 500


Parlay Wager - 1 Parlay of 4 Teams
Ticket #*
Picks Odds Risking To Win
* For ticket number(s) go to Open Bets

NFL[207] BUFFALO +2½ 1.95

NFL[209] OAKLAND +7 1.91

NFL[219] CAROLINA +5 1.91

NFL[224] SAN DIEGO +7 1.87

1 Parlay of 4 Teams X $50 = $50 $615.16

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 12:25 PM

NFL Consensus Picks

November 10, 2013 »

Sides (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM St. Louis +7.5 1488 39.22% Indianapolis -7.5 2306 60.78% View View

1:00 PM Jacksonville +11.5 1645 43.54% Tennessee -11.5 2133 56.46% View View

4:25 PM Houston +3 1627 43.56% Arizona -3 2108 56.44% View View

8:30 PM Dallas +6 1713 44.06% New Orleans -6 2175 55.94% View View

1:00 PM Buffalo +3 1596 44.15% Pittsburgh -3 2019 55.85% View View

4:05 PM Carolina +5.5 1700 44.27% San Francisco -5.5 2140 55.73% View View

1:00 PM Philadelphia -1 1990 52.44% Green Bay +1 1805 47.56% View View

1:00 PM Oakland +7.5 2046 53.27% N.Y. Giants -7.5 1795 46.73% View View

1:00 PM Cincinnati +1 2269 55.18% Baltimore -1 1843 44.82% View View

1:00 PM Detroit +1 1759 55.84% Chicago -1 1391 44.16% View View

1:00 PM Seattle -3.5 2527 63.35% Atlanta +3.5 1462 36.65% View View

4:25 PM Denver -7 2539 64.97% San Diego +7 1369 35.03% View View

Totals (Over/Under)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

1:00 PM Cincinnati 44 1152 43.00% Baltimore 44 1527 57.00% View View

1:00 PM Buffalo 42.5 1256 51.56% Pittsburgh 42.5 1180 48.44% View View

1:00 PM Jacksonville 42 1373 53.16% Tennessee 42 1210 46.84% View View

1:00 PM Seattle 47 1485 56.12% Atlanta 47 1161 43.88% View View

1:00 PM Philadelphia 47 1487 57.57% Green Bay 47 1096 42.43% View View

1:00 PM Detroit 52 1225 57.67% Chicago 52 899 42.33% View View

4:25 PM Houston 41.5 1502 60.98% Arizona 41.5 961 39.02% View View

1:00 PM St. Louis 43 1650 62.83% Indianapolis 43 976 37.17% View View

4:05 PM Carolina 43.5 1797 66.51% San Francisco 43.5 905 33.49% View View

1:00 PM Oakland 41.5 1851 68.73% N.Y. Giants 41.5 842 31.27% View View

4:25 PM Denver 57.5 2100 74.13% San Diego 57.5 733 25.87% View View

8:30 PM Dallas 53.5 2246 76.89% New Orleans 53.5 675 23.11% View View

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24360 Followers:32
11/10/2013 06:19 PM

Dallas at New Orleans

November 8, 2013

DALLAS COWBOYS (5-4) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (6-2) Line & Total: New Orleans -7 & 54.5
Opening Line & Total: Saints -7 & 53.5

The Saints look to remain undefeated in the Superdome when they host the Cowboys on Sunday night.

Dallas is coming off of a tight 27-23 home victory over the Vikings, but New Orleans was unable to beat the Jets on the road. The Cowboys are just 1-3 SU on the road, but 3-1 ATS, and have another tough matchup against the Saints who are 4-0 (SU and ATS) in their own building and beating visitors by 17.2 PPG.

Last season, New Orleans earned a 34-31 win as an underdog in Dallas in a game that featured 400+ passing yards for each team. That continues the Saints' dominance in this series where they are 7-2 (SU and ATS) versus the Cowboys since 1994, including 4-1 ATS (3-2 SU) at home. New Orleans is also 17-4 ATS in home games over the past three seasons, including 11-1 ATS as a home favorite of seven points or less. However, Dallas has been a great underdog wager under Jason Garrett, going 7-1 ATS when getting between 3.5 points and 9.5 points from the lines.

The Cowboys defense should benefit from the return of DE DeMarcus Ware (quad), but WR Miles Austin (hamstring) is doubtful to play for the Cowboys. Both SS Roman Harper (knee) and WR Marques Colston (knee) could be out for the Saints, but RB Darren Sproles (concussion) has already returned to practice and should play on Sunday night.

With just 35 seconds remaining against the Vikings last week, QB Tony Romo connected with WR Dwayne Harris for a game-winning touchdown. Romo is having a great season, throwing for 2,553 yards (7.4 YPA), 20 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He also lit up New Orleans last year with 416 passing yards (9.7 YPA) and 4 TD. WR Dez Bryant had 224 of those yards and two scores on nine receptions (24.9 avg.), but he caught just six passes for 64 yards last week. With the Vikings keeping Bryant in check, Romo turned to his old go-to pass catcher in TE Jason Witten, who finished with eight receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown in the win.

The Cowboys ran a franchise-low eight times in the game, and will need to get back to using RB DeMarco Murray against the Saints. Murray is averaging 4.8 yards per carry this season and in his four rushing attempts against the Vikings, he ran for 31 yards (7.8 YPC). He also caught six passes out of the backfield for 19 yards.

The Dallas defense will have a tough time stopping Saints QB Drew Brees on Sunday if they don’t tweak some things. The club is allowing 305.2 YPG through the air (2nd-worst in NFL) and Brees leads the Saints offense that is third in the league with 317.6 passing YPG. The return of DE DeMarcus Ware (115 career sacks) should help put more pressure on Brees.

New Orleans suffered a disappointing 26-20 loss to the Jets last week, but now Drew Brees gets a dream matchup with a Cowboys defense that really struggles against the pass. That was certainly the case when these teams met last year when Brees completed 37-of-53 passes (70%) for 446 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT. Brees has thrown for 2,672 yards, 21 touchdowns and just seven interceptions this season, but two of these picks came in last week's defeat. TE Jimmy Graham, who caught two touchdowns as part of 116 yards against the Jets, remains his go-to option, especially with both RB Darren Sproles (concussion) and WR Marques Colston (knee) slowed by injury.

The Saints would like to have both Sproles and Colston back after they each tallied more than 100 receiving yards in last year's win in Dallas. But Graham, who had 88 receiving yards in the 2012 meeting, has been completely dominant this season, catching 49 passes for 746 yards and an NFL-best 10 touchdowns. The Saints will need to find a way to get their ground game going, as they rushed for just 41 yards in the loss to the Jets.

New Orleans’ defense doesn’t have a favorable matchup against Tony Romo and the explosive Cowboys offense, but they have done an excellent job against the pass so far, allowing just 211.9 yards per game through the air (5th in NFL) and a lot of the credit should be given to Rob Ryan, the team’s defensive coordinator. The Saints defense was miserable last season, and is now one of the league’s best in terms of defending third downs (34.7%, 6th in NFL) which has prevented long drives and led to its meager 27:05 time of possession on defense (2nd-best in league). SS Roman Harper would be a tough loss for New Orleans, however, as it will need all of its secondary players available to defeat pass-happy Dallas.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: