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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks: Preview and Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks: Preview and Pick
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are not having the season they thought they would have. They assumed that they would be in competition for a playoff spot and instead they have yet to win a game. They got rid of their quarterback and they have a coach on the hot seat. To make matters worse , this week they go up against Arguably one of the best teams in the league when they face the Seattle Seahawks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks Odds
The NFL point spread for this game is a double digit line. This comes as no surprise as the Seaahwks are a very good team and have a dominating home field advantage. The line opened with the Seahawks favored by an amazing (-18.5) points. The public started pounding Seattle although they are on a short week as over 70 percent of the early wagering is coming in on Seattle. Despite the cash coming in on the birds, the line has actually dropped and can be found at (-16.5) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.
The Seahawks are 12-1 in their last 13 regular-season games with Russell Wilson, dating back to Week 13 last season. Wilson has 18 wins since he was drafted, tied for the 2nd-most wins by an NFL quarterback in the last 2 seasons. If they want to keep winning they have to protect him. Russell Wilson was under pressure on 12 of 25 dropbacks Monday, and has been under pressure on 38.5% of dropbacks this season, the highest rate in NFL. Included in that, he was sacked a career-high 7 times. The Bucs will come after the quarterback and hope to get a huge upset as their first win of the season.
The latest football betting trends for this game reveals that the betting angles favor the home team. The Buccaneers are 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game and 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks Pick
With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.
It doesn’t matter how ugly it was, a win is a win. After narrowly defeating the Sam Bradford-less St. Louis Rams, Seattle takes on the 0-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers for what should be considered their second trap game in a row.
The Bucs offense is one of the worst in the league and they rank either at the very bottom or the bottom 10 in every meaningful category. Tampa Bay’s 14.3 points per game and 297.7 yards of total offense are both the second worst in the league, just in front of the Jacksonville Jaguars in both stats.
Tampa’s passing attack averages only 204.1 yards per game, in the bottom 10 of the league ranking 26th overall. Lots of this has to do with Josh Freeman being traded to Minnesota a few weeks back, but it’s still a terrible amount of yards.
Since taking over at quarterback for the Bucs a few weeks ago, Mike Glennon has done a mediocre job. While he hasn’t won any games, you can’t blame him for the team’s troubles. He’s completed 58.6 percent of his throws for 997 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions for a quarterback rating of 78.0.
The one bright spot for the Bucs, at least by comparison, is their rushing attack. The 93.6 yards per game ranks them 21st in the league, but it’s their only offensive statistic to not be in the bottom 10. But it’s probably about to get worse for the Bucs.
Doug Martin is the leading rusher on the team by far with 127 rushes for 456 yards and one touchdown. With a shoulder injury suffered against the Falcons two weeks ago, the Muscle Hamster is out for a few weeks. Mike James is now the starter and has only ran the ball 27 times for 96 yards and no touchdowns.
Only three Bucs have caught more than 20 passes and have more than 200 receiving yards. Vincent Jackson leads the team in receptions, yards and touchdown catches with 41, 623 and four, respectively. Mike Williams has 22 catches for 216 yards and two touchdowns. Timothy Wright is just behind Williams with 20 receptions, 201 yards and one touchdown.
Tampa’s defensive statistics are much better than their offensive ones, but that’s not much of a compliment. The Bucs give up 23.3 points a game, 338.4 total yards which are the 18th and 14th best in the league, respectively. Out of the total yards, 243.9 yards come through the air, ranking 19th in the league. The one true bright spot for Tampa Bay is their rushing defense, which gives up only 94.6 yards on the ground each game, the only top 10 ranking at seventh.
So while this looks like another walk in the park for the ‘Hawks, just remember how close St. Louis came to handing Seattle its second loss of the season.
The Seahawks are favorites at home, where crowd noise often interferes with opposing offenses. Seattle boasts the NFC’s top-rated defense, led by a stellar secondary. CB Richard Sherman and S Earl Thomas have four interceptions apiece, and the Seahawks lead the league with 21 takeaways. QB Russell Wilson is poised and efficient, while Marshawn Lynch is the NFL’s No. 4 rusher. Wilson’s favorite target, WR Golden Tate, is also a dangerous punt returner, averaging 11.3 yards.
The Bucs have dropped 12 of their past 13 games, and a defense that had been stout in September has yielded 31 points in three consecutive games. Injuries are mounting, with WR Mike Williams (hamstring), RB Doug Martin (shoulder) and G Carl Nicks (foot) all sidelined. Rookie QB Mike Glennon faces his toughest test, and his only proven weapon is veteran WR Vincent Jackson, who leads all NFL players with 18 third-down catches. Second-year OLB Lavonte David is playing at a Pro Bowl level.
The Seattle Seahawks appeared to have a favorable stretch in the schedule, but their most recent game showed that might not be as easy as it seemed.
Not having one of their starting receivers likely won't make it any easier.
The Seahawks are hoping that Percy Harvin can return for Sunday's visit from the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers and help them overcome the loss of Sidney Rice.
Seattle (7-1) is in the midst of four games against opponents that are all below .500, but it had to fight for a 14-9 win in St. Louis in the opener to that stretch Monday night. The Seahawks stuffed Rams running back Daryl Richardson at the 1-yard line then forced an incomplete pass on the game's final two plays.
Seattle's seven first downs were the fewest in a victory in franchise history, and its 135 yards of offense were the least since gaining 128 in a 27-3 loss to Arizona on Oct. 18, 2009.
"I think championship teams are able to win the ugly games, where things aren't going right, ball isn't going their way, and they are still able to stand up when they need to," cornerback Richard Sherman said.
Russell Wilson was sacked a career-high seven times but managed to throw a pair of touchdowns, including an 80-yarder to Golden Tate in the third quarter. Wilson has been playing in front of an offensive line that's missing tackles Russell Okung (toe) and Breno Giacomini (knee), and Seattle has given up 27 sacks, four more than any other NFC team.
The Seahawks' offense became even more short-handed after Rice suffered a season-ending knee injury Monday. That makes getting Harvin back even more critical.
Harvin, acquired from Minnesota in March for multiple draft picks, hasn't played this season after undergoing hip surgery in August. He returned to practice last week but was ruled out two days before the game in St. Louis and remains day-to-day.
Even if Harvin returns, the loss of the 6-foot-4 Rice means the Seahawks won't have a wide receiver taller than the 6-2 Ricardo Lockette, who was elevated from the practice squad Wednesday to take Rice's spot.
Seattle, however, might not need much help to outduel one of the league's worst offenses.
Tampa Bay's averages of 14.3 points and 297.7 yards rank only ahead of the other winless team in the league, Jacksonville (10.8 and 286.5). With leading rusher Doug Martin out indefinitely with a shoulder injury, the Buccaneers (0-7) were held to a season-low 48 yards on the ground in a 31-13 loss to Carolina on Oct. 24.
Mike James had 39 yards on 10 carries in his first career start. The Buccaneers are also missing guard Carl Nicks and receiver Mike Williams, who will miss the rest of the season after undergoing hamstring surgery.
Even before Williams' injury, coach Greg Schiano was planning on tweaking the offense to help rookie quarterback Mike Glennon.
Glennon has thrown more passes than any player in league history in his first four games (181) but is averaging less than 250 yards. He had career highs of 30 completions, 51 attempts and 275 yards in last week's defeat.
Glennon, though, couldn't get Tampa Bay into the end zone until he connected with Tim Wright on a 10-yard pass with 2:53 remaining.
"When you're 0-7 you look at every single thing, and I'm sure we're going to be stronger for it moving forward," Schiano said. "I think we've put Mike in a bad spot. He's thrown too many passes. ... We shouldn't put him in that spot as coaches. We've re-evaluated that and we're going to try to play a little more balanced."
Tampa Bay will seek to avoid its worst start since losing its first nine games in 1985 by earning a fourth straight victory over Seattle. The Buccaneers won 38-15 at home in the most recent matchup Dec. 26, 2010.
Seattle won seven of the first eight meetings between the teams, who both came into the league in 1976.
There is, of course, one obvious reason for Seattle’s offensive line issues the past few weeks — the absence due to injury of starting tackles Russell Okung and Breno Giacomini.
Offensive line coach Tom Cable, though, said Thursday that’s not enough to explain what happened Monday night, when the Seahawks gave up seven sacks and managed just 135 yards in a 14-9 win over the St. Louis Rams.
“We have to execute better,” he said. “No excuses. We just got our tails kicked, and we’ll learn from it and we’ll be better this week. At the end of the day, we have to play better.”
Cable said that same unflinching message has been passed along in team meetings this week as Seattle prepares for Sunday’s 1:05 p.m. game at CenturyLink Field against Tampa Bay.
“You have to be real to it,” he said. “We have a saying about telling the truth. So don’t shy away from it. We got our tails kicked. So own it and learn from it and be better all week in preparation for the next one.”
Okung, Seattle’s starting left tackle, is out until at least the Nov. 17 game against Minnesota, and Giacomini, a right tackle, might also be out a few more weeks.
Rookie Michael Bowie is starting in place of Giacomini. Paul McQuistan moved from guard to tackle to take over for Okung. Coach Pete Carroll said Wednesday no lineup changes are being considered, and Cable reiterated that Thursday.
“That’s the cool thing about the NFL,” he said. “You have what you have, so you’ve got to find your way to make it work.”
Six of the Rams’ seven sacks came from their starting defensive ends — Robert Quinn and Chris Long, who had three apiece.
“We are getting run by (on the edge),” Cable said. “It’s just a matter of that depth in the pocket is just closing in from the outside.”
Cable said the Seahawks will continue to look for ways to aid the tackles in pass protection, such as assigning tight ends or running backs to help out.
Carroll says Harvin won’t play: Carroll didn’t meet with local media Thursday. But in an interview with SiriusXM NFL Radio, Carroll said receiver Percy Harvin won’t play Sunday.
“He’s getting close, but not close enough,” Carroll said.
Wednesday, Carroll had said Harvin wouldn’t practice on Wednesday and characterized his status as day-to-day. At that time, he said the team would continue to be patient with Harvin.
“With the workload that he’s had to endure to get back and get in shape, there is going to be some stuff,” Carroll said. “And he’s been a little bit sore from last week, so we just want to make sure that we don’t go too far too fast.
“We’re looking for the long-haul thinking here in his recovery, so we just want to make sure that we can manage our way through that. We’re being very careful, and he didn’t do a whole lot last week, he did very little. It seems like it’s best to keep him in that mode for a little bit longer. We’ll see.”
We've all been wondering why Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerback Darrelle Revis has been playing so much zone this season.
Disgruntled Bucs fans, in particular, have had near conniptions pondering why a shutdown cornerback with the nickname "Revis Island" would be used in zone.
Revis addressed the issue Thursday during his weekly radio program, saying his reconstructed left knee wouldn't allow him to patrol the island solo. "Earlier in the year, I didn't have the explosion to play press; the receiver would just run the (vertical) 9-route on me and I didn't have the stamina to do that play in and play out, especially playing press," Revis said, per the Tampa Tribune.
"... I'm starting to get that back now, which is awesome because I like to be in receivers faces and try to put my hands on them and try to be physical with them," he added.
It had previously been reported that, among other issues, Revis was frustrated by the lack of man-to-man coverage.
Revis said he played more press coverage last week during the Bucs' loss to the Carolina Panthers. He expects that amount to increase as the year progresses and he gets stronger.
Bucs coach Greg Schiano intimated earlier this week that the team was considering how to best use its defensive playmakers. If Revis is healthy enough he should see more alone time on his island.
Running back Jeff Demps (groin), running back Doug Martin (shoulder) and guard Carl Nicks (foot) remain out for the Buccaneers. Safeties Mark Barron (hip) and Dashon Goldson (knee) are questionable.
The Seahawks won’t have running back Derrick Coleman (hamstring), tackle Breno Giacomini (knee) and safety Jeron Johnson (hamstring). Wide receiver Percy Harvin (hip) won’t play either, although he’s technically not on the injury report.