Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: Preview and Pick
8 Replies | 208 ViewsOn 10/29/2013 06:56 PM in NFL
The Atlanta Falcons were expected to be a contender for the Super Bowl this season but they have failed miserably as the team has been decimated by injuries. The Carolina Panthers are surprising the rest of the National Football League by playing tough defense and winning the games that they are supposed to win. If they can do it against the Falcons they will get the rest of the league to take notice.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Odds
The NFL opening point spread for this game has the home team Panthers listed as (-7.5) point favorites which shows just how far that the Falcons have dropped of late. The betting public is starting to believe in the Panthers as over 56 percent of the early wagers are coming in on the home team and fading the Falcons. This line has yet to move but it deserves watching at many of the top rated online sportsbooks.
The Panthers haven't been above .500 since 2009, going 70 straight games without a winning record. A big reason for that is their inability to beat the teams they should beat. According to Elias Sports Bureau, the Panthers are 16-12 against teams that entered the game with a losing record. Since the Panthers beat the Buccaneers, the Panthers avoided a .536 win pct against teams that entered the game with a losing record since 2009, winning just 15 of their 28 matchups.
The secret is Cam Newton. Newton was 20-for-24 on passes that traveled 10 yards or fewer downfield for 171 yards and two touchdowns on Thursday. During the Panthers' three-game winning streak, 55 of Newton's 75 attempts traveled 10 yards or fewer. This amazing turnaround will be on display against the Falcons this week in a big game.
The latest football betting trends for this game reveals that the Falcons are in a very difficult spot. The Falcons are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the NFC South and 6-1 ATS when playing a team with a losing record. The Panthers have the edge entering this division game against the beat up birds.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Pick
With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.