cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/28/2013 11:30 AM

Thursday's Notebook

November 26, 2013


The NFL takes the spotlight on Thanksgiving, but the Thursday Night college football schedule features two nationally televised major conference games this week, with both games having meaning in the bowl picture. Here is a brief look at the matchups for Thursday college football this week with Texas Tech heading to Texas and Mississippi visiting Mississippi State.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (+4½) at Texas Longhorns (66) 7:30 PM ET (FS1)

With Baylor losing last week, there are still scenarios for Texas to win the Big XII. They will need Oklahoma to beat Oklahoma State next week and Texas will have to beat Baylor next week in addition to surviving this home game. Incredibly, the Longhorns have lost 11 home games since 2010 including two home losses this season, losing by 21 against Mississippi early in the season and falling in the last game two weeks ago hosting Oklahoma State in a 25-point defeat.

It has been a hard fall for Texas Tech with four straight losses after a 7-0 start, but all things considered it could end up a respectable season for first year head coach Kilff Kingsbury, who took over after the surprise departure of Tommy Tuberville. A win this week would certainly solidify that that program is in good hands, but either way the Red Raiders will get a bowl opportunity.

Statistically these teams are pretty close on both sides of the ball and while Texas has won four in a row S/U in this series, there have been many close games. On a yards per play basis, Texas Tech actually has edges on both sides of the ball compared with Texas, but the schedule for the Longhorns has been much more difficult. The Red Raiders have been exploited on the ground in Big XII play, out-rushed by at least 150 yards in all four losses and a Texas attack posting 192 yards per game on the ground could have some opportunities.

Last season, Texas won 31-22 in Lubbock as the Red Raiders were a 6 ½-point favorite and ranked in the top 25 at the time. The yardage was nearly even with Texas Tech posting 441 yards and Texas finishing with 427, but Texas controlled the game on the ground. It was a two-point game after the Red Raiders failed on a two-point conversion attempt late in the third quarter, but David Ash hit Mike Davis for a 25-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter and the defense held the rest of the way.

Texas is has won S/U in 12 of the last 14 meetings in this series including winning in each of the last four seasons, with ATS wins in nine of the last 14 meetings. Texas has been a suspect home favorite in recent years, however, going just 9-18 ATS in the last 27 games laying points in Austin. Texas Tech is just 12-17 ATS as an underdog since 2007.

Mississippi Rebels (-3) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (52) 7:30 PM ET (ESPN)

With the win over Arkansas last week, this is a huge game for the Bulldogs with a chance to get to a bowl game by reaching 6-6 this week. Mississippi State trailed most of the way in Little Rock, but rallied to tie the game and then won in overtime. The Bulldogs plays two quarterbacks, but with Dak Prescott injured, senior Tyler Russell has carried the load. Prescott is doubtful again this week and while Russell has certainly had some ups-and-downs in his career, he has played well the last two weeks and has completed over 65 percent of his passes on the season.

Ole Miss came up short in a big game last week at home against Missouri and while this is a big rivalry, there will be less at stake for the Rebels. With elevated expectations after a bowl season last year under Hugh Freeze in his first season in Oxford and a highly regarded recruiting class, things seemed to come together early this season with a 44-23 thrashing of highly-ranked Texas. After the 3-0 start, Ole Miss was quickly 3-3 with three consecutive losses, however. After rallying to win four in a row including a marquee win over LSU, last week’s defeat ended the run and the Rebels are locked into a solid but not overly satisfying bowl position.

Mississippi State had won three in a row in the Egg Bowl series before losing 41-24 last season in Oxford with the Rebels posting 527 yards. Historically, Mississippi has had a slight edge going 18-15 S/U and 19-13-1 ATS in this series since 1980, but the Rebels have not won S/U in Starkville since 2003, losing the last four trips. The home team has won S/U in eight of the last nine meetings between these state rivals.

Ole Miss has been stronger on both sides of the ball statistically overall this season, but the Rebels have been out-rushed by at least 90 yards in five of the last eight games as there could be opportunities for the Bulldogs on the ground, averaging 4.9 yards per rush and 194 yards per game this season. Without Prescott, that presence is not as great, but the Rebels are also allowing almost 64 percent completions from opposing quarterbacks. Mississippi State has faced one of the toughest schedules in the nation with a game against Oklahoma State added to a tough SEC slate and the season numbers can probably be thrown out in this rivalry game.

The trends are concerning for both teams with Mississippi going just 6-15 ATS as a road favorite since 2001, but Mississippi State is just 16-24 ATS as a home underdog since 2002. The Bulldogs are 10-3 S/U at home the last two seasons with the losses coming against Texas A&M, LSU, and Alabama so this is still a tough place to play despite the close of another marginal season for Dan Mullen in his fifth year at Mississippi State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/28/2013 11:34 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Texas Tech at Texas
The Red Raiders come in with a 3-2 record on the road to face a Texas team that is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 home games against teams that have a winning road record. Texas Tech is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Longhorns favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+5). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 28

Game 309-310: Texas Tech at Texas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.466; Texas 95.522
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 72
Vegas Line: Texas by 5; 66
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+5); Over

Game 311-312: Mississippi at Mississippi State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 98.982; Mississippi State 92.950
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-3); Under


NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thur, Nov. 28

Texas Tech at Texas, 7:30 ET
Texas Tech: 0-7 ATS in November games
Texas: 44-25 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4

Mississippi at Mississippi State, 7:30 ET
Mississippi: 5-1 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game
Mississippi State: 15-25 ATS after 2 games with a turnover margin of +1 or better


Miss. St. QB Prescott out this week vs. Ole Miss

Mississippi State QB Dak Prescott will miss Thursday night's game against state rival Ole Miss and likely the remainder of the regular season.

The odds for the Thanksgiving SEC showdown are currently off the board as Mississippi State (5-6, 6-5 ATS) will more than likely look to third string QB Damian Williams to guide the Bulldogs to a win against the Ole Miss Rebels (7-4, 6-5 ATS) and clinch their fourth consecutive appearance in a bowl game.

Williams entered Saturday's game at Arkansas after backup Tyler Russell injured his shoulder, and scored his first career touchdown for the Bulldogs, which turned out to be the game winner.

Prescott may be able to return to action if the Bulldogs if they do qualify for the Bowl season. He leads Mississippi State in passing and rushing yards, with 1,542 and 722 respectively.


NCAAF

Thursday, November 28

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Thanksgiving NCAAF action: What bettors need to know
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Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns (-4, 66)

Texas Tech hopes its first Thanksgiving Day game will snap its November woes. The Red Raiders visit Texas on a four-game losing streak and a 1-10 mark in November during the past three seasons. The host Longhorns have a 58-24-3 record on Thanksgiving and have beaten the Red Raiders in 12 of the last 14 meetings.

The Texas secondary is in the middle of a tough stretch, facing Oklahoma State, Texas Tech's NCAA-leading passing game and Baylor in consecutive contests. The injury-depleted Longhorns will also be without suspended receiver Daje Johnson on Thursday. The Red Raiders have struggled to stop the run during its slide, allowing nearly 300 yards per game.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE: The line has stayed steady with Texas favored by 4 at home. The total is currently at 66.

WEATHER: It will be clear with temperatures in the high 40s.

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (7-4, 5-6 ATS): "We've just got to find a way to (get stops)," coach Kliff Kingsbury said during his Monday press conference. "The missed tackles was concerning and we got back to the basics of that (during the bye week)." The Red Raiders, trying to avoid their second five-game losing streak in three years, lead the country in passing at 400.2 yards. Tight end Jace Amaro leads the team with 92 catches for 1,157 yards and is on pace to set the NCAA record for single-season receptions and yards by a tight end (Rice's James Casey had 111 catches for 1,329 yards in 2008).

ABOUT TEXAS (7-3, 5-5 ATS): Malcolm Brown (515 yards, nine touchdowns) and Joe Bergeron (240 yards, three TDs) have carried the load for Texas - which has the league's third-best running attack at 192.7 yards - after leading rusher Johnathan Gray (780 yards, four TDs) was lost to an Achilles injury two games ago. The Longhorns' defensive turnaround has Texas leading the Big 12 in total defense with 349.6 yards allowed in conference games. "(Texas Tech is) moving the ball so well," coach Mack Brown said. "It will really be a test for our secondary here at the end of the year. We're getting into the tempo (of) full-speed ahead Big 12 offenses."

TRENDS:

* Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in its last seven meetings in Texas.
* Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 7-0 in Texas Tech's last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 8-1 in Texas' last nine games in November.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Texas is 21-5 under Brown following a regular-season open date.

2. Texas Tech, which enters the week just ahead of Fresno State (399.9) in passing yards, is seeking to lead the country in passing for the seventh time since 2002.

3. Brown announced QB David Ash (concussion) would not return this season and the junior would seek a medical redshirt in the hopes of returning in the spring with two years of eligibility.



Mississippi Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs (+3, 52)

The battle for the Egg Bowl will return to Thanksgiving night for the first time in 10 years as Mississippi travels to take on Mississippi State Thursday. The Bulldogs are looking for their fourth victory in the last five meetings with the Rebels, who hold a considerable 61-42-6 edge in the series. "I'm excited to play this game on Thanksgiving night," Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen said. "My first experience with the Egg Bowl. I think it's a neat deal, and a really neat opportunity for us."

In addition to capturing the Egg Bowl, Mississippi can prevent the Bulldogs from becoming bowl-eligible. Hugh Freeze's team is already assured of a bowl game for the second straight season and are eyeing a .500 record in the SEC. "Thanksgiving week brings the Egg Bowl, one of the most historic and greatest rivalries in college football," Freeze said. "We know the task at hand is going to be a great challenge. Certainly we're excited about getting down there and playing."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The line opened at +3 and now Mississippi State are 4.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 52 and has been bet up to 53.5.

WEATHER: It will be clear with temperatures in the high 20s.

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (7-4, 6-5 ATS): Quarterback Bo Wallace battled flu-like symptoms in a 24-10 loss to Missouri, which is one of four ranked teams to beat the Rebels this season. Freeze was unable to update the condition of the Wallace, who has completed 64.4 percent of his passes this season for 2,908 and 17 touchdowns, but the junior was at practice Monday. "There won't be any effect at all," said Wallace, who threw five touchdowns in last year's Egg Bowl. "Tomorrow (Tuesday) I will be almost 100 percent."

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (5-6, 6-5 ATS): Damien Williams is expected to start at quarterback Thursday after scoring the winning touchdown in last week's victory over Arkansas in relief of starter Tyler Russell, who injured his shoulder. Dak Prescott leads the team in passing and rushing, but won't be available unless the Bulldogs qualify for a bowl for the fourth consecutive season. "Damien took all the reps in practice," Mullen said. "I trust him."

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
* Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU loss.
* Over is 5-1 in Mississippi's last six games following an ATS loss.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. This will be the 99th consecutive season the teams will meet.

2. Mississippi State OL Gabe Jackson is one behind Georgia's Aaron Murray for the most starts among active players with 50.

3. The touchdown for Williams against Arkansas was the first of his career

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/28/2013 11:36 AM

Thursday, November 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas Tech - 7:30 PM ET Texas -4 500 POD # 1
Texas - Over 66 500 POD # 2

Mississippi - 7:30 PM ET Mississippi -4 500 POD # 1
Mississippi State - Under 53 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 10:59 AM

Friday's Afternoon Action

November 28, 2013


**Iowa at Nebraska**

-- As of early Thursday afternoon, most books had Nebraska (8-3 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) favored by 2 ½ with a total of 47 ½. The Hawkeyes are +115 on the money line (risk $100 to win $115).

-- Nebraska head coach Bo Pelini is on the hot seat and it’s debatable whether or not a win in this situation will prevent his dismissal. The Cornhuskers are 3-4 ATS at home and have twice lost outright to UCLA and Michigan St.

-- Iowa (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) has thrived on the road this season, winning three of four games while taking the cash in each instance. The only defeat was a 34-24 loss at Ohio St. in a game the Hawkeyes led outright for a good portion of the game as 19-point underdogs.

-- Nebraska is led by RB Ameer Abdullah, who has rushed for 1,483 yards and seven TDs while averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Ron Kellog III will get the starting nod at QB. He has a 5/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio this year. Kellog got nearly all the snaps in Saturday’s 23-20 overtime win at Penn St.

-- Iowa has won three of its last four games, including a 24-21 win over Michigan last weekend. Kirk Ferentz’s squad failed to cover the number as a six-point home favorite. The Hawkeyes’ defense limited the Wolverines to 158 yards of total offense to overcome three interceptions from QB Jake Rudock, including a pick-six.

-- The ‘under’ is 6-5 overall for Nebraska, but the ‘over’ is 4-3 in its home games.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-4 overall for Iowa, 3-1 in its four road assignments.

-- Since joining the Big Ten, Nebraska has won both head-to-head meetings over Iowa. In Iowa City last season, the Cornhuskers captured a 13-7 win but the Hawkeyes covered the number as 14.5-point underdogs. In 2011, Nebraska rolled to a 20-7 win as a nine-point home ‘chalk.’

-- Kickoff is scheduled for noon Eastern on ABC.

**Arkansas at LSU**

-- As of late Thursday afternoon, most spots had LSU (8-3 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) installed as a 25-point favorite with a total of 54 ½ points.

-- Arkansas (3-8 SU, 3-8 ATS) has lost eight consecutive games since starting the year with three straight wins. The Razorbacks are mired in a 2-8 ATS slump. They had their best shot at a win since Week 4 last week, only to come up on the wrong end of a 24-17 decision to Mississippi St. in overtime. The Bulldogs took the cash as two-point road favorites.

-- LSU has been a home favorite six times this year, compiling a 3-3 spread record. The Tigers are coming off their best performance of the year in a 34-10 win over Texas A&M as 3.5-point home favorites. The defense stymied Johnny Manziel for a second straight season, intercepting him twice. Terrence Magee rushed 13 times for 149 yards and one TD, while Zach Mettenberger threw a pair of touchdown passes without being intercepted.

-- Sophomore RB Jeremy Hill leads LSU in rushing with 1,040 yards and 13 TDs. Mettenberger has a 22/7 TD-INT ratio and will likely eclipse the 3,000-yard passing plateau in the first half.

-- Arkansas freshman RB Alex Collins has one of the few bright spots for Bret Bielema’s first squad in Fayetteville. Collins has run for a team-high 998 yards and four TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC.

-- Poor QB play from Brandon Allen has been an issue for Arkansas. Allen has completed only 47.6 percent of his throws with an 11/9 TD-INT ratio.

-- The ‘over’ is 6-4-1 overall for the Hogs, 3-0-1 in their four road assignments.

-- The ‘over’ is 8-3 overall for LSU, 4-2 in its home games.

-- CBS will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Miami has failed to cover the spread in six straight games. The Hurricanes go on the road Friday to face Pittsburgh in a cold-weather game.

-- In the Civil War, Oregon has won five in a row over Oregon St., going 3-1-1 ATS. The ‘over’ is 10-1 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these bitter rivals. The Beavers have lost four straight games, including last week’s embarrassing 69-27 home loss to Washington. At one point, OSU quarterback Sean Mannion had an incredible 30/3 TD-INT ratio, but he has been intercepted 10 times in the last three outings. With that said, we should note that Oregon St. is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games as a road underdog. The Ducks are favored by 23.

-- Ohio, an 18-point home favorite vs. UMass, has lost three straight games while being outscored 128-16. Ouch!

-- SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert (21/7 TD-INT) is ‘doubtful’ at Houston.

-- During Terry Bowden’s tenure at Akron, the Zips are 1-6 ATS as home underdogs. They are 7.5-point home ‘dogs Friday vs. Toledo.

-- Arizona State RB Marion Grice is ‘out’ vs. Arizona. Grice has rushed for 996 yards and 20 TDs this year.

-- Florida starting LB Michael Taylor is ‘out’ vs. FSU after spraining his knee in last week’s 26-20 home loss to Ga. Southern as a 28-point home favorite. Ga. Southern closed with 60/1 money-line odds (Bet $100 to win $6,000) at 5Dimes. The status of UF quarterback Tyler Murphy (shoulder) remains a question mark.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:01 AM

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 29

Game 313-314: Iowa at Nebraska (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 93.561; Nebraska 93.704
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3); N/A

Game 315-316: Toledo at Akron (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 89.792; Akron 71.628
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 28; 51
Vegas Line: Toledo by 7 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-7 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Miami (OH) at Ball State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 55.188; Ball State 87.065
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 32; 59
Vegas Line: Ball State by 35; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+35); Over

Game 319-320: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 53.245; Central Michigan 76.760
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 23 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 18 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-18 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Massachusetts at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.592; Ohio 63.372
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Ohio by 17; 51
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+17); Over

Game 323-324: East Carolina at Marshall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 90.163; Marshall 96.402
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 6; 60
Vegas Line: Marshall by 2 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-2 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: Bowling Green at Buffalo (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 87.518; Buffalo 92.738
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 56
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+2); Over

Game 327-328: Arkansas at LSU (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 78.447; LSU 111.656
Dunkel Line: LSU by 33; 49
Vegas Line: LSU by 24 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-24 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Texas State at Troy (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 72.087; Troy 73.441
Dunkel Line: Troy by 1 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Troy by 7; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+7); Over

Game 331-332: Florida International at Florida Atlantic (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 54.956; Florida Atlantic 80.104
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 25; 48
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 28; 42
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+28); Over

Game 333-334: South Florida at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 71.453; Central Florida 103.208
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 32; 44
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 27; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-27); Under

Game 335-336: Fresno State at San Jose State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 97.335; San Jose State 74.557
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 23; 67
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 7; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-7); Under

Game 337-338: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 84.791; Pittsburgh 92.553
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 62
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

Game 339-340: Washington State at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 85.492; Washington 109.515
Dunkel Line: Washington by 24; 50
Vegas Line: Washington by 14; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-14); N/A

Game 341-342: SMU at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 82.762; Houston 89.423
Dunkel Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 77
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+10 1/2); N/A

Game 343-344: Oregon State at Oregon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.110; Oregon 106.505
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 11 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Oregon by 22; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+22); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:01 AM

Fri, Nov. 29

Iowa at Nebraska, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 1-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Nebraska: 2-5 ATS off a road win

Toledo at Akron, 12:00 ET
Toledo: 26-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Akron: 1-8 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Miami Ohio at Ball State, 1:00 ET
Miami Ohio: 2-9 ATS as a road underdog
Ball State: 15-6 ATS after playing a conference game

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan, 2:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 2-8 ATS as an underdog
Central Michigan: 7-0 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

Massachusetts at Ohio, 2:00 ET
U Mass: 2-8 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Ohio: 3-12 ATS against conference opponents

East Carolina at Marshal, 12:00 ET
East Carolina: 21-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Marshal: 27-44 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

Bowling Green at Buffalo, 1:30 ET
Bowling Green: 13-4 ATS as a favorite
Buffalo: 7-1 ATS after the first month of the season

Arkansas at LSU, 2:30 ET
Arkansas: 2-10 ATS in road games
LSU: 13-31 ATS in home games in November games

Texas State at Troy, 2:00 ET
Texas State: 1-5 ATS against conference opponents
Troy: 0-6 ATSin home games against conference opponents

Florida International at Florida Atlantic, 3:00 ET
Florida International: 1-8 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
Florida Atlantic: 8-2 ATS in all games

South Florida at Central Florida, 8:00 ET
South Florida: 1-8 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game
Central Florida: 31-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

Fresno State at San Jose State, 3:30 ET
Fresno St: 12-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
San Jose St: 13-4 ATS as an underdog

Miami Florida at Pittsburgh, 3:30 ET
Miami Florida: 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Pittsburgh: 25-44 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game

Washington State at Washington, 3:30 ET
Washington State: 1-9 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they forced 2 or more turnovers
Washington: 9-23 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better

SMU at Houston, 12:00 ET
SMU: 4-13 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points
Houston: 9-2 ATS in all games

Oregon State at Oregon, 7:00 ET
Oregon State: 27-13 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
Oregon: 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:02 AM

Friday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet

Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (-24.5, 54)

One bright spot for the Razorbacks in this rough season has been the pass rush. Arkansas’ 25 sacks are good for third in the SEC, and Chris Smith ranks second in the conference with 8.5 sacks. Pressuring LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger into potential turnover situations might be the only chance Arkansas has against the Tigers, who gashed the Texas A&M Aggies for 324 rushing yards last week.

At 2,926 yards for the season,Mettenberger will become the third quarterback in school history to throw from 3,000 yards, barring an injury, but much of that success came early in the season. In LSU’s last five games, Mettenberger has seven touchdowns against five interceptions after racking up a 15-to-3 ratio in the Tigers’ first six contests. Jarvis Landry leads a talented receiving corps with 67 catches for 1,059 yards.

LINE: The Tigers are listed as 24 1/2-point favorites, with the over/under holding steady at 54.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies.
TRENDS:

* Razorbacks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings at LSU.


Fresno State Bulldogs at San Jose State Spartans (+7, 71)

No. 13 Fresno State looks to complete an undefeated and untied regular season for the third time in school history when it visits San Jose State in its regular-season finale Friday. The Bulldogs have already wrapped up the West Division title in the Mountain West Conference and will play in the league championship game on Dec. 7. To finish perfect, Fresno State will have to defeat its longest-running rival, as the Spartans and Bulldogs have played 76 previous times.

A week after giving up 478 yards and 58 points in a loss to Navy, the San Jose State defense is feeling confident about going up against Fresno State's high-powered offense. Why? Because the Bulldogs are a passing team, something the Spartans are used to facing, as opposed to the run-oriented Midshipmen, who had 432 of their yards on the ground.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened at -9, but have been bet down to -7. The over/under is holding at 71.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
* Spartans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.


Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-21.5, 68.5)

Brandin Cooks is one of the offensive headliners for Oregon State, already possessing the school's single-season record with 110 receptions, just eight shy of the Pac-12 record set last season by Marqise Lee of USC. Of course, behind any record-setting receiver there is a big-time quarterback, and Sean Mannion has been terrific in 2013, completing 66 percent of his passes for 4,089 yards with 34 touchdowns.

The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the BCS prior to their loss to the Cardinal and following last week's defeat, Oregon will sit back and watch as Stanford and Arizona State play for the league title next weekend. Mariota (3,127 passing yards, 529 rushing yards, 36 total touchdowns) suffered a head injury last week but passed the concussion protocol and expects to play against the Beavers.

LINE: Oregon is a 21 1/2-point fave after opening -21. The over/under is up one point to 68 1/2.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with mostly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Beavers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
* Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games on fieldturf.
* Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.


South Florida Bulls at UCF Knights (-27, 50)

The Bulls have faced two ranked teams this season, losing to Miami and Louisville by a combined margin of 83-24. South Florida dropped a 16-6 defeat to Southern Methodist last week despite holding the Mustangs to a season-low 229 passing yards - one week after limiting Memphis to just 59 passing yards. Senior wideout Andre Davis ranks fifth all-time at South Florida in both career receptions (109) and receiving yards (1,441).

The Knights are 5-1 this season in games decided by seven points or less, although last week's 49-17 rout of Rutgers featured no such drama. Blake Bortles threw for 335 yards and recorded a touchdown through the air and another on the ground, while Storm Johnson had two rushing scores. In addition to its dynamic offense, Central Florida has committed the ninth-fewest turnovers in the country.

LINE: UCF is a 27-point fave, up one point from a -26 open. The over/under is up a half-point to 50.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 8 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulls are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU win.
* Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 7-2 in UCF's last nine games vs. teams with losing records.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:03 AM

NCAAF weather report: Black Friday's forecast

Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2, 47.5)
- Temperatures will be in the mid 30s and the will be a 11 mph wind blowing towards the North endzone.

Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls (+2, 51)
- There is a 47 percent chance of snow with temperatures in the mid 20s.

FIU Golden Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls (-27.5, 42)
- There is a 10 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid 70s. There will be a 15 mph wind blowing across the field.

Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers (+2.5, 56)
- Temperatures will be in the low 30s with an 11 percent chance of rain.

Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies (-16.5, 65.5)
- There is a 42 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high 40s.

South Florida Bulls at UCF Knights (-27, 50)
- There is a 10 percent chance of rain with a 7 mph wind blowing towards the South endzone.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:03 AM

NCAAF

Friday, November 29

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Arkansas at LSU: What bettors need to know
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Arkansas Razorbacks at Louisiana State Tigers (-24.5, 54)

No. 15 LSU is hoping to stay hot after its biggest win of the season when it hosts Arkansas on Friday afternoon in the Battle for the Golden Boot. The Tigers are coming off a 34-10 drubbing of Texas A&M last week in which its much maligned defense held the Aggies and Johnny Manziel to a 299 yards and 10 points, both lows in two years under Kevin Sumlin. LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger, who has been inconsistent over the past few weeks, didn’t have to do much as the Tigers gashed the Aggies for 324 rushing yards.

Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is trying to avoid becoming the first coach in school history to suffer a nine-game losing streak. The Razorbacks have struggled to score, averaging just 20.1 points per game (110th nationally) and to move the ball through the air at 145.8 yards per game (115th nationally). Unless Arkansas’ running game can carry them, the Razorbacks are staring at a third straight loss in the series.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The line has held steady at -24.5. The total opened at 54.5 and has move down slightly to 54.

WEATHER: It will be clear with temperatures in the mid 50s.

ABOUT ARKANSAS (3-8, 3-8 ATS): One bright spot for the Razorbacks in this rough season has been the pass rush. Arkansas’ 25 sacks are good for third in
the SEC, and Chris Smith ranks second in the conference with 8.5 sacks. Pressuring Mettenberger into potential turnover situations might be the only chance Arkansas has against the Tigers.

ABOUT LSU (8-3, 5-5-1 ATS): At 2,926 yards for the season, Mettenberger will become the third quarterback in school history to throw from 3,000 yards, barring an injury, but much of that success came early in the season. In LSU’s last five games, Mettenberger has seven touchdowns against five interceptions after racking up a 15-to-3 ratio in the Tigers’ first six contests. With one of the nation’s top receiving corps in Jarvis Landry (67 catches, 1,059 yards) and Odell Beckham Jr. (56 catches 1,101 yards), the game against Arkansas could provide Mettenberger a chance to regain his early-season form.

TRENDS:

* Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Louisiana State.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. LSU leads the nation in third-down percentage at 58.6 percent.

2. Arkansas is looking to avoid its first winless season in conference play since joining the SEC.

3. The Golden Boot is a 24-karat gold trophy molded into the shape of the states of Louisiana and Arkansas.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24992 Followers:33
11/29/2013 11:04 AM

NCAAF

Friday, November 29

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Oregon State at Oregon: What bettors need to know
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Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-21.5, 68.5)

A month ago, Oregon was on a path toward the BCS title game, but now the Ducks are simply on a path to redemption. Following a crushing defeat against Stanford on Nov. 7 and last week's stunning blowout at Arizona, No. 12 Oregon returns home looking to take out some anger against rival Oregon State in the Civil War game Friday. The Ducks appear to be catching the Beavers at the right time as Oregon State has dropped four straight games, including a 69-27 pounding against Washington last week.

The Beavers' rushing defense could be the key this weekend as they allowed 530 yards on the ground against the Huskies. The Ducks, while led by Heisman Trophy candidate Marcus Mariota at quarterback, also possess a strong rushing attack that ranks 10th in the country at 277.9 yards per contest. Oregon wideout Keanon Lowe knows that sulking is not an option at this point, saying, "It's the Civil War. We all know what the Civil War is and what that means. So we have no time to dwell on (our recent losses)."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE: The line opened at -22 and has been bet down to -21.5. The total opened at 67.5 and has been bet up to 68.5.

WEATHER: It will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the mid 40s.

BOUT OREGON STATE (6-5, 5-6 ATS): Brandin Cooks is one of the offensive headliners for Oregon State, already possessing the school's single-season
record with 110 receptions, just eight shy of the Pac-12 record set last season by Marqise Lee of USC. Of course, behind any record-setting receiver there is a big-time quarterback, and Sean Mannion has been terrific in 2013, completing 66 percent of his passes for 4,089 yards with 34 touchdowns. However, the Oregon State defense has allowed 37.5 points on average during its four-game slide and gave up 692 total yards to the Huskies last weekend.

ABOUT OREGON (9-2, 7-4 ATS): The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the BCS prior to their loss to the Cardinal and following last week's defeat, Oregon will sit
back and watch as Stanford and Arizona State play for the league title next weekend. Mariota (3,127 passing yards, 529 rushing yards, 36 total touchdowns) suffered a head injury last week but passed the concussion protocol and expects to play against the Beavers. Still, that could mean a heavier workload for De'Anthony Thomas, who racked up 227 all-purpose yards on 27 touches against Arizona.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Oregon State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five meetings.
* Road team is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Prior to throwing an interception on the Ducks' first play against Arizona, Mariota had gone 353 straight passes without a pick.

2. Oregon has won five straight in the series.

3. Oregon State has six wins, but the Beavers are not guaranteed a bowl game, as the Pac-12 has seven bowl agreements but nine teams already bowl eligible.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: