cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:05 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 10

November 3, 2013


Georgia Tech (-11 ½) 21, Pittsburgh 10: The line on this game was at -10 or -10 ½ most of the week and those that waited to back the favorite were punished with the 11-point final margin. The Yellow Jackets were up by 11 at halftime, but covering seemed unlikely and winning the game was in doubt as Pittsburgh scored early in the second half to trail by just four. Georgia Tech had a costly fumble later in the third quarter, but neither team was able to get a substantial drive going with much of the second half featuring stalled drives near midfield. Getting the ball back with about 10 minutes to go in the game, Georgia Tech put together a long clock-burning drive, surviving a fumble as the Yellow Jackets eventually put in the touchdown after 13 plays and over seven minutes off the clock. Down 11, Pittsburgh made a late charge to win for the underdog, getting the ball inside the Georgia Tech 20 in the final seconds, but an interception ended the threat and left most on the favorite victorious.

Western Kentucky (-19) 44, Georgia State 28: Western Kentucky took a 31-7 lead midway through the third quarter to sit past the heavy road favorite spread, but the Hilltoppers let Georgia State back in the game as the Panthers would score twice before the start of the fourth quarter, trailing only by 10 points. Western Kentucky brought the lead back to a comfortable 17 points early in the final frame, but had little incentive to pour it on while sitting just short of the spread. After an interception set up Western Kentucky in good field position, they were able to rush down the field to take time off the clock, eventually scoring with just over three minutes to go in the game and leading by 23 after they missed the extra point try. The favorite cover was to be short lived, however, as Georgia State managed to score, aided significantly by a pass interference penalty on a key third-down play to take the margin past the spread to just 16 points. Georgia State actually recovered the onside kick, but did not add any more points.

Kansas State (-17 ½) 41, Iowa State 7: While the final score looks like a blowout, Kansas State led just 20-0 entering the fourth quarter, just barely by the spread. For the second straight week the Wildcats did substantial scoring in the fourth quarter, adding three touchdowns in less than six minutes of game clock to pull away. Iowa State scored late to spoil the shutout, but it was far too late to catch up to the spread by then.

Middle Tennessee State (-3 ½) 24, UAB 21: The Blazers led 10-0 in this game well into the second half, but Middle Tennessee State finally finished a drive late in the third quarter to get within three points. UAB added a field goal early in the fourth to create a six-point lead, which made the underdog cover likely. A few minutes later, Middle Tennessee State hit the big play it needed with a 93-yard pass play to take the lead for the first time in the game. Momentum stayed with the Blue Raiders with a 40-yard interception return touchdown that put the margin to eight points and past the road favorite spread. UAB did not fold however, putting together a 70-yard drive that featured a big fourth down conversion and then delivering the two-point conversion to knot the game at 21-21. Getting the ball back with less than two minutes to go, Middle Tennessee State wasted no time and moved to the edge of field goal range in just a few plays against an exhausted defense. Logan Kilgore hit Marcus Henry for a 33-yard pass play, but he was down short of the end zone and UAB kicked the game winning field goal in the final seconds as the underdog held on narrowly in a wild finish.

Georgia (-3 ½) 23, Florida 20: It appeared that Georgia was going to run away with this game with a 20-0 lead early into the second quarter, but Florida proved resilient. Florida scored its first touchdown with six minutes to go in the third quarter and then later got a safety to shift momentum a bit. On the next possession, the Gators were able to find the end zone and with a successful two-point conversion, it was a three-point game early in the fourth quarter. Georgia moved to its own 39-yard line and opted to go for it on fourth and short, failing in a play that looked like it could prove very costly and open to great scrutiny. A personal foul penalty on Florida would set them back and despite being near the edge of field goal range, Florida had to punt after being sacked on third and long. Georgia had the ball back with still eight minutes to go in the game and the Bulldogs were able to impressively run out the clock with a 15-play drive. While Georgia was within the Florida 15-yard line, they did not need to add points and a push was the most common result though a win or loss could have been had on either side depending on the timing.

Florida State (-21) 41, Miami, FL 14: The big game of the week was just a seven-point game at halftime, but Florida State pulled away with a 35-14 lead going into the fourth, even with the common late week spread though many likely were sweating sitting with tickets at -21 ½ or -22. Florida State maintained control in the fourth with a big interception and two long sustained drives. While the Seminoles only added two short field goals, the defense held despite Miami threatening to score late in the game.

Wisconsin (-9) 28, Iowa 9: Iowa dominated the first half of this game, but the Badgers were able to connect on a big play late to take a 7-6 lead into the break. The Badgers led just 14-9 going into the fourth quarter and that score stood well into the final frame. The Badgers busted a big run that led to an eventual touchdown and then added another touchdown with under two minutes to go to create a misleading final in what was a tight game by most measures.

Arkansas State (+3) 17, South Alabama 16: The Jaguars led 13-7 entering the fourth quarter, but a long field goal for the Red Wolves early in the final frame cut the margin to just three points, dead even with the spread. South Alabama would settle for a short field goal after failing to get in the end zone a few minutes later to leave the door open for Arkansas State and the Red Wolves took advantage with a 75-yard touchdown drive to take the lead with about six minutes to go. Arkansas State managed six punts and a fumble on its first half possessions, but they rallied to win and held on late with two stops late in the game for a minor upset.

Florida Atlantic (-3) 34, Tulane 17: In a difficult week with head coach Carl Pelini stepping down, a flat start against division leader Tulane was not a big surprise despite strong recent play from the Florida Atlantic. The Owls trailed 17-7 at the half, but managed to tie the game by the start of the fourth quarter. With dominant defense and a few big plays, Florida Atlantic managed to pull away in the fourth quarter as they had interceptions on four consecutive Tulane possessions at one point in the second half, getting two late rushing touchdowns to double Tulane’s final score, holding the Wave to just 167 total yards in the game.

Boise State (-7) 42, Colorado State 30: After a slow start, Boise State took control in Fort Collins with some big plays to lead 42-17 with less than 10 minutes to go in the game. Colorado State moved the ball well all night and found the end zone twice in about four minutes of game clock to trim the margin to just 12 points, with one more touchdown potentially changing the spread result. Colorado State got an onside kick after the second score, but quickly threw an interception to end that threat. Boise State managed to get a few first downs, but did not burn a lot of clock with timeouts used by the Rams and they had to punt the ball back with still over two minutes to go. It did not take long for Colorado State to move into the red zone, but the Rams were stopped and the backdoor cover threat was held off.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:06 AM

Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 10

November 5, 2013

Week 10 of the 2013 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the BCS rankings and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1: Alabama (Bye)
The Tide are ready for their biggest challenge of the year left remaining in all likelihood against LSU.

2: Oregon (Bye)
There are a few tests that are left for the Ducks, but their biggest is the one coming up this week against Stanford.

3: Florida State (W-W vs. Miami 41-14)
The Seminoles now have their second primetime blowout win against a Top 10 team this year after destroying Miami.

4: Ohio State (W-W vs. Purdue 56-0)
OSU was up 42-0 at halftime against the Boilers and never looked back, but it really doesn't matter for as long as the teams above it keep winning.

5: Stanford (Bye)
The Cardinal have a chance to become the first one-loss team in the land to really make an impact nationally if they can beat Oregon on Thursday.

6: Baylor (Bye)
After eight straight games as 17-point favorites or greater, the Bears are finally going to get tested against Oklahoma this week.

7: Miami (L-L vs. Florida State 41-14)
It's not all over for the Hurricanes yet, as they can still win the ACC, but they are out of the National Championship chase after getting crushed by FSU.

8: Clemson (W-W vs. Virginia 59-10)
Tajh Boyd went 24-for-29 for 377 yards and three scores against the Hoos in victory.

9: Missouri (W-W vs. Tennessee 31-3)
The Tigers could have just folded after losing for the first time two weeks ago, but they came out and looked like a Top 10 team against the Vols.

10: Oklahoma (Bye)
OU already ended one undefeated team's season. It can do it again this week against Baylor.

11: Auburn (W-W vs. Arkansas 35-17)
There's no excuse not to be 10-1 and a Top 10 team by the time the team hosts Bama in the Iron Bowl.

12: Texas A&M (W-W vs. UTEP 57-7)
The Aggies didn't even score a point in the fourth quarter and still blew out the Miners.

13: LSU (Bye)
Remember the last time the Bayou Bengals stormed Tuscaloosa? Don't be shocked if it happens again!

14: South Carolina (W-W vs. Mississippi State 34-16)
A 17-0 third quarter was what really got the Gamecocks past the Bulldogs on Saturday.

15: Texas Tech (L-L vs. Oklahoma State 52-34)
The Red Raiders were undefeated two weeks ago, but they are going to end up finishing in the bottom half of the Big XII race when it's said and done.

16: Fresno State (W-L vs. Nevada 41-23)
It's another game where Fresno State posted a victory but not a cover against Nevada.

17: Northern Illinois (W-W vs. Massachusetts 63-19)
The Huskies dropped 63 on the Minutemen on Saturday, but they aren't really going anywhere in the BCS.

18: Oklahoma State (W-W vs. Texas Tech 52-34)
These Cowboys might be set to go on a bowl ban for the SI investigation, but they might get to the BCS before the NCAA can react.

19: Louisville (Bye)
The Cards were off this week, but they have got to hope that UCF loses eventually, and perhaps twice to get back into the BCS bowl game discussion.

20: UCLA (W-L vs. Colorado 45-23)
Outside of Brett Hundley, the rest of the Bruins only had a total of 70 yards against a bad Colorado team.

21: Michigan (L-L vs. Michigan State 29-6)
The Wolverines probably won't be seen in the Top 25 again this year after getting crippled by Michigan State.

22: Michigan State (W-W vs. Michigan 29-6)
The blowout win for the Spartans was big. They're clearly in the Rose Bowl chase at this point in spite of a horrid offensive season.

23: UCF (Bye)
The Knights can perhaps effectively win the AAC this week if they can knock off Houston, perhaps their biggest challengers left to the automatic BCS spot.

24: Wisconsin (W-W vs. Iowa 28-9)
The Badgers were only up 7-6 at halftime and 14-9 at the end of the first half against Iowa, but they ultimately got the job done.

25: Notre Dame (W-L vs. Navy 38-34)
A Tarean Folston TD run with 3:47 left won the game for the Golden Domers against Navy.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:09 AM

Sooners defense preps for No. 5 Baylor

November 4, 2013

NORMAN, Okla. (AP) - When Oklahoma revamped its defense during the offseason, it was because the Sooners knew they'd face games similar to the one they'll play Thursday.

Hurt by spread offenses run by West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Texas A&M during the final stretch of 2012, No. 12 Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1 Big 12 Conference) switched to an alignment with three defensive linemen and five defensive backs.

It's worked well for most of the season, as the Sooners rank 10th in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total defense, allowing 314.3 yards per game.

But No. 5 Baylor (7-0, 4-0) will present the most difficult challenge so far this season for the Sooners.

The Bears' offensive numbers are eye-popping - they lead the FBS in scoring average (63.9 points), passing offense (417.3 yards) and total offense (718.4 yards) and are seventh nationally in rushing offense (301.1 yards).

Oklahoma did get a bit of a preview of what they might see Thursday when the Sooners beat Texas Tech and its high-powered offense 38-30 on Oct. 26.

''We did it for most of the teams we see in our league,'' Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops said Monday of the Sooners' change in defensive schemes.

''We just saw it with Tech and Baylor is also a part of that, you know, on and on. We felt it gave us more versatility. It played to our strengths better and it put more speed on the field. Hopefully, it will continue to help us.''

Oklahoma is 21-1 all-time against Baylor, but the one was memorable, as then-Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III made a huge impression in the Heisman Trophy race on his way toward winning that honor in 2011.

The Bears' offensive juggernaut continued through last season with Nick Florence and Bryce Petty is Baylor's quarterback and he's fourth nationally in passing yards per game (350.4).

Stoops said the Bears like to spread defenses out with Petty and their speedy wide receivers, then attack in the middle of the field with running back Lache Seastrunk, who has rushed for 869 yards and 11 touchdowns. That combination limits the number of things an opposing defense can do, Stoops said.

''You can only do so much, in that ... when they line two guys up all the way out there,'' he said, pointing one way, ''and all the way out there,'' pointing the other way, ''you've got to go out and cover them, so there's only so many left.

''At the end of the day, there's only so much you can do. You have to be able to play. You've got to be able to cover them out there and you've got to be able to stop the run game with what's left in here.''

Oklahoma defensive coordinator Mike Stoops said the Bears' ability to effectively run the football with Seastrunk is what makes their up-tempo offense click.

But it isn't necessarily Baylor's style that causes opposing defenses so many problems, Mike Stoops said.

''They have great speed on the perimeter and they use it and they isolate you,'' he said. ''That, to me, is what is stressful about it. They run the football. They create so much room on the football field that most people can't or don't do.

''It's hard to get underneath help because the splits are so wide. It's hard to get people underneath. Everything is isolated and it's hard to buy help for corners and safeties and all of that. Again, they know what they are doing and they are very effective.''

It's a system that places a premium on winning one-on-one matchups and this season, Baylor's offensive players have excelled in doing that and making big plays.

''You just have to challenge them,'' Oklahoma cornerback Aaron Colvin said. ''What you're trying to do as a defensive back and what we're trying to do as a defense is you're trying to make every play a challenging play.

''They've been able to get easy plays at times because of their athleticism and defensive guys not really staying on their assignment or whatever the case may be. As a defense, we have to stay locked in.''

Mike Stoops said if Oklahoma is to win, the Sooners must keep the Baylor offense off the field - whether that means long offensive drives or stopping the Bears on third down.

''If we play 90-100 snaps (on defense), it's not good,'' he said. ''You can't win a game, I don't believe, playing Baylor if we have to play 90-100 snaps. That's not a game that you want to be in. You hope your offense can control the football and you can control the tempo of the game.

''If they are running in those numbers, it means they have the ball and they are running very efficiently and that's going to stress your defense more than the D-line. It's going to stress your players covering those guys for 100 snaps. Covering them for 100 snaps is virtually impossible.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:10 AM

Oregon, Stanford coaches a mirror of success

November 5, 2013

STANFORD, Calif. (AP) - Oregon coach Mark Helfrich and Stanford's David Shaw shared some laughs when they met for the first time this offseason during an annual Pac-12 Conference meeting.

Although they had never talked before, the similar circumstances that brought them together made them feel like they had known each other for years. Both had been promoted from offensive coordinator to replace popular predecessors, Chip Kelly and Jim Harbaugh, after each moved on to NFL jobs.

''You take over and everybody says, `Who?''' Shaw said. ''But at the same time, both of us are coaching lifers that don't care about what our name means or trying to take the limelight. It's just about being smart football coaches and recruiting great players and keeping great coaches and giving them a chance to do what they do.''

Nobody is questioning either coach's credentials this week.

Helfrich has No. 2 Oregon (8-0, 5-0) undefeated heading into Thursday night's matchup at sixth-ranked Stanford (7-1, 5-1) in what has once again shaped up as the Pac-12's game of the year. All Shaw has done is go 30-5 since taking over in 2011, leading the Cardinal to a conference championship and the program's first Rose Bowl victory in 41 years last season.

Both coaches are quick to credit the other for sticking with what worked already and not making any major changes, even if it means not getting the same recognition as their predecessors.

Shaw stayed with the power running game and physical defense that Harbaugh built before leaving for the San Francisco 49ers after the 2010 season. And while Kelly is with the Philadelphia Eagles now, Oregon's up-tempo offense and aggressive approach - faking punts, not punting on fourth down and going for two-point conversions - are still staples in Helfrich's first season.

''It was very similar in terms of what they've done and what we've done has been really good and how can we do it a little bit better,'' Helfrich said. ''Not, `How can I come and change this so everyone thinks it's my idea?' As soon as you start doing that, you lose focus. The biggest thing in all of this is what your players believe in, what they can perform the best, how your program can continue to ascend because of what they do. I think we have a very similar approach in that way.''

Both coaches saw no reason to overhaul their programs. They inherited championship contenders led by Heisman Trophy favorites - Marcus Mariota at Oregon, and Andrew Luck at Stanford - in their first season, which brought the added pressure of keeping pace on the national stage.

Some changes still had to be made. Shortly after Shaw opened his first spring practice, he noticed some defensive players were not quite as comfortable with him yet, a few maybe even unsure of his abilities.

Shaw, now 41, said that when an offensive player made a mistake or took a ''cheap shot'' at a defensive player, he made sure to call them out in front of the entire team ''just to show that I'm not the offensive coordinator who's sitting in the coach's office.''

''It was kind of a seamless transition,'' Stanford linebacker A.J. Tarpley said. ''We didn't change much as a team. We kept a lot of the same coaches and all the players can all lean on each other.''

Helfrich, who turned 40 last week, hasn't dealt with such challenges yet - though he's in the honeymoon phase of his tenure, avoiding the kinds of questions and criticisms that come after losses.

But players praise Helfrich in similar fashion. He has carried on the culture that Kelly started, and that attitude no longer seems tied to just the head coach.

''It's the Oregon way,'' linebacker Derrick Malone said.

The most noticeable difference with the past and present coaches is the way they carry themselves.

While Harbaugh was constantly screaming at officials, waving his arms and pumping-up players by smacking their helmets, Shaw rarely shows emotion or screams on the sideline. Helfrich also comes off as more approachable and personable than Kelly, who often publicly challenged players and got defensive with reporters.

''I wouldn't say that we're both low key. I would say quietly competitive,'' Shaw said. ''I would say we both lean toward the cerebral approach as opposed to the emotional approach. We both talk in the same tones.''

And although their teams form the most talked-about rivalry in the Pac-12 North right now, don't expect either coach to antagonize the other the way Harbaugh and Kelly often did.

''As much as everybody would hate to hear it,'' Shaw said, ''we actually get along really well.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:14 AM

LSU's Hill expects to be better vs. 'Bama

November 5, 2013

BATON ROUGE, La. (AP) - As Jeremy Hill prepares for this week's eagerly awaited visit to top-ranked Alabama, the LSU running back is spending considerable time reflecting on his performance in last year's memorable clash - and on how disappointed he was with himself afterward.

If LSU hadn't lost a lead in the final minute of a 21-17 setback, Hill might have taken some pride in the trouble he caused the Crimson Tide's normally suffocating 2012 defense. With 107 yards and a touchdown, Hill was the first of only two running backs all of last season to rush for 100 yards against the national champs. (Georgia's Todd Gurley was the other in the Southeastern Conference title game).

Hill, however, has spent a year dwelling on the yards he failed to get - yards which could have helped LSU run out the clock or at least set up an easier field goal than the 45-yarder Drew Alleman missed with 1:34 to go.

''It haunts me all the time,'' Hill said, pointing specifically to a 3-yard loss on a second-and-7 play from the Alabama 29 with about 2:30 left.

The play design called for Hill to cut back left, toward the wide side of the field, after taking the handoff. Instead, he tried to bounce outside to his right and was swarmed under.

Looking back at video of that play, Hill saw there was probably room for a modest gain where he was supposed to run.

''If I had just gotten maybe 4 or 5 (yards), it might have changed the complexion of the game,'' Hill said. ''I was trying to do way too much. ... You can't do those kinds of things on Alabama. They're way too well coached, way too assignment sound. So it's just getting what's there. If it's 3 yards on a play, take that 3.''

Hill pledged he'd be more disciplined and trusting of his teammates when No. 10 LSU meets the Crimson Tide on Saturday night.

Alabama, meanwhile, expects Hill to be a handful again.

Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban emphasized the 6-foot-2, 235-pound running back's ''really good balance and body control.''

''He's got great speed for his size,'' Saban said. ''We obviously thought he was an outstanding player in high school. We recruited him very, very hard.''

Hill, who grew up around Baton Rouge, decided to stay close to home, in part because of the patience LSU coach Les Miles showed with Hill's legal trouble following his arrest for a sexual relationship with a 14-year-old girl in his high school, when Hill was 18. Hill's freshman season of college football should have been 2011, but he could not enroll until 2012, when his charges were reduced to a misdemeanor.

Hill wound up leading the Tigers in rushing in 2012 with 755 yards and 12 touchdowns, but landed in more trouble last offseason, when he was caught on video landing a punch outside a bar.

Hill pleaded guilty to misdemeanor battery, and while that violated his earlier probation, a judge allowed him to stay out of jail on further restrictions, including a curfew and bar-ban. Hill says he's embraced a new lifestyle in which his social life is largely on hold, and his focus is almost exclusively on school and football.

On the field, at least, the results bear that out. He has 922 yards and 12 touchdowns in eight games this season, averaging a whopping 7.2 yards per carry.

And while Hill remains bothered by some of his runs from his last meeting with `Bama, he also will enter Tuscaloosa with abundant confidence, given his previous numbers against the Tide.

''I never get intimidated by anyone. I never let anyone put fear in me. I play with the same intensity level and the same passion every game,'' Hill said. ''I think I did a good job of that last year, I just kind of, in situations - I tried to do too much.

''Those guys will be ready for me this year and I can't even sit here and act like they're not,'' Hill added. ''It's going to be exciting. I'm looking forward to it.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:17 AM

Big Ten losing streak weighing on Illinois

November 5, 2013

CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (AP) - Illinois linebacker Jonathan Brown was ready with his answer on Monday.

Asked how much the senior linebacker thinks about Illinois' 18-game losing streak in the Big Ten, he first tried to stay with the script.

''It's not something ...''

But then Brown paused, smiled a bit as he appeared to weigh the wisdom of saying what he was about to say, and said what you might have already guessed was true.

''I think about it a lot, to be honest,'' he said. ''It's what we work for.''

Brown and the Illini (3-5, 0-4 Big Ten) haven't won a Big Ten game in more than two years. Not since Oct. 8, 2011, to be exact. On the road at Indiana.

Illinois coasted - a verb not easily used to describe how the Illini have played in many games since - past the Hoosiers 41-20 in that one.

Illinois heads back to Indiana (3-5, 1-3) on Saturday for what appears to be the easiest of the four games left on their schedule. The other games are at Purdue and at home against Ohio State and Northwestern.

And as surprising as some may think it is for a team that's lost four straight and been stuck on three wins since September to be talking bowl games, Illinois is.

''In order for us to go to a bowl, we've got to get three of these next four games,'' Brown said. ''That's the main focus right now.''

Illinois' conference losing streak is not extreme by national standards. Kansas has lost 26 and counting.

And it's nowhere near the worst the Big Ten has seen. Northwestern lost 38 straight in the late 1970s and early `80s.

But with each loss, it gets a little tougher for the Illini to take.

No. 18, last Saturday at Penn State, added a little more pain than most, though.

The Nittany Lions won in overtime, 24-17, after trailing Illinois 17-14 late in the game. The Illini came back from an early 14-0 deficit.

Illinois has only come that close a couple of times in its string of Big Ten losses - last season at Purdue in a 20-17 loss and back in 2011 in its last trip to Penn State, a 10-7 loss.

Quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase threw an interception in the end zone that ended Saturday's loss, and stood and stared as Penn State celebrated.

''Having that comeback and really feeling like we were dominating them for most of the game, and not be come up with that one,'' he said. ''Yeah, it stung a little bit more than I guess some of them would.''

A dozen of the losses in the streak are on Tim Beckman's record. The second-year head coach isn't trying to talk down the importance of ending the streak, particularly before seniors such as Brown and Scheelhaase leave campus.

''It's big,'' Beckman said. ''I want these players to get it - it's not about me.''

NOTES: Beckman said starting tailback Josh Ferguson is fine after leaving Saturday's game with an injury. Ferguson, who became a starter just a few games ago, is getting used to the workload and all that goes with it, Beckman said. ''He's going to get more and more used to the toll it takes as a Big Ten back.'' ... Illinois is getting just 95.5 yards rushing a game in Big Ten play, and moving away from the run early in many games. Beckman says early deficits are to blame. Illinois trailed Penn State 14-0, Wisconsin 21-0 and Nebraska 17-0 before clawing back in each of those games. ... Loss aside, Brown sees a pretty big silver lining in the Penn State game for the weary Illini defense. ''I think it was probably the most complete game this season as far as defense. I think we really played our butts off.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:32 AM

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences

Team to watch: Utah State Aggies (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS)

This week: -13.5 at UNLV

Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton is out for the season, but backup Darell Garretson is doing just fine, especially after getting one start under his belt. In his last two games, the freshman has completed 43 of 64 passes for 514 yards and four touchdowns with just one interception. The Aggies beat New Mexico and Hawaii by a combined score of 92-20 in those two contests.

On the other side of the ball, Utah State starts seven seniors and three juniors. The lone sophomore of the experienced unit, Kyler Fackrell, earned Mountain West Defender of the Week honors for his performance against Hawaii. UNLV head coach Bobby Hauck praised his opponents' defense for disguising its formations and throwing off quarterbacks with different looks.

The Aggies are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six against the Rebels.

Team to beware: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-6 SU, 1-7 ATS)

This week: +17 at East Carolina

The Golden Hurricane have scored 22 total points in their current two-game slide. Head coach Bill Blankenship apologized to fans after last week's dreadful 34-15 Homecoming loss to Texas-San Antonio. Tulsa linebacker Trent Martin is questionable after missing the last two games due to a knee injury. Despite playing in five of eight games he is still third on the team with 4.5 tackles for loss.

Tulsa is 1-7 ATS in its last eight overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The Golden Hurricane may have a hard time reversing those trends because this doesn’t look like a great matchup for them. Taking to the ground is their strength on offense but they are going up against an East Carolina defense that is giving up just 85.3 rushing yards per game.

Total team: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (6-2 SU, 5-3 O/U)

This week: 67.5 vs. Troy

Louisiana-Lafayette is averaging 43.7 points per outing in its current six-game winning streak. It scored 35 in the second half of last week's 49-35 win over New Mexico State and running back Alonzo Harris ran for five touchdowns. Troy, Thursday's opponent, may be without stud safety Camren Hudson, who will be a game-time decision. For ULL, linebacker Chris Hill (sixth leading tackler on the team with 30, including three for loss) missed last week’s game against New Mexico State due to a concussion and is questionable.

The over is 6-0-1 in UL Lafayette's last seven home games. It is 14-2 in Troy's last 16 overall, 4-1 in its last five on the road, and 8-2 in its last 10 conference games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:33 AM

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Michigan State Spartans (8-1 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)

The Spartans defeated their rivals Michigan in East Lansing by a score of 29-6 Saturday. They own the nation's third-ranked defense, allowing just 11.6 points per game. Connor Cook has settled in at quarterback and, while he doesn't put up impressive numbers, he's doing enough to give them a chance to win.

The Spartans close out the season with games against Nebraska, Northwestern and Minnesota, and all of those are very winnable games. Michigan State might just have a shot at the Big Ten title.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)

The Red Raiders have made my list before, as the most overrated team in the Top 25. After starting the season with seven straight wins, they've now dropped back-to-back games against ranked opponents (Oklahoma and Oklahoma State).

They host Kansas State this week, and the Wildcats defense has really been impressive lately. Only a fourth-quarter fumble deep in their own territory prevented them from pitching a shutout over Iowa State last week. It figures to be a tough game for the Red Raiders and a loss will surely see them drop outside the Top 25.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Mississippi Rebels (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)

The Rebels have lost three games to Alabama, Auburn and Texas A&M. Two of those losses came in close games, and all three of those teams are near the top of the rankings.

This week they host Arkansas and the Razorbacks have collapsed, losing six in a row. They'll face Troy the following week and if they can put together back-to-back wins, they should get back into the rankings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:34 AM

Central Michigan at Ball State: What bettors need to know

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (-20.5, 55.5)

The Ball State Cardinals face the Northern Illinois Huskies next week in a game that could very well decide who finishes atop the Mid-American Conference's West Division. But the Cardinals can't afford to look past this week's matchup as they bring their unbeaten conference mark into Wednesday night's showdown with the visiting Central Michigan Chippewas. Ball State has reeled off six consecutive wins, while Central Michigan is coming off a 38-17 loss to the Huskies.

Ball State's fortunes rest on the cannon arm of senior quarterback Keith Wenning, who is well on his way to locking up conference Player of the Year honors. Wenning leads the MAC in passing yards (2,865) and touchdowns (28), and is coming off an impressive five-TD performance in a 42-24 victory over the Akron Zips back on Oct. 26. The Chippewas will be in tough against the Cardinals' high-powered offense, having surrendered a whopping 33.4 points per game.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2
LINE: Ball State opened as a 19.5-point favorite and has since been bet up to 20.5. The total has come down from 58 to 55.5 points.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with showers expected and wind blowing north across the length of the field at 8 mph.

ABOUT CENTRAL MICHIGAN (3-5, 2-2 MAC): For Chippewas fans seeking reason for optimism, Cooper Rush has provided plenty over the past two games. The freshman quarterback struggled following an impressive three-touchdown debut Sept. 7 against New Hampshire, but has returned to form with five TD passes against just two interceptions over his previous two games. Starting running back Saylor Lavallii has racked up 388 yards over his last three games.

ABOUT BALL STATE (8-1, 5-0 MAC): A trio of receivers have benefited the most from Wenning's outstanding senior campaign. Willie Snead leads the conference in receptions (65), receiving yards (1,057) and touchdowns (10) while teammate Jordan Williams ranks second in yardage (792) and scores (seven). Senior wideout Jamill Smith has also been solid so far this season, ranking seventh in the conference with 592 receiving yards and adding four TDs.

TRENDS:

* Chippewas are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
* Cardinals are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last seven games after scoring 40 or more points in their previous contest.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25172 Followers:33
11/06/2013 01:36 AM

Top 5 NCAAF Trends

CMU
BALL Under is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

CMU
BALL Chippewas are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

CMU
BALL Over is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 games following a bye week.

CMU
BALL Under is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 conference games.

CMU
BALL Under is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 games on fieldturf.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: