jimmythegreek Posts:10376 Followers:376
On 10/20/2013 12:36 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 7

Kansas City -6 over Houston:
The unbeaten Chiefs (6-0) currently tied with Denver atop the AFC West may have not been winning pretty as of late, or for that matter all season long. However when you sport one of the league's more intimidating dominanting defense and combine it with fundamental special teams the main objective is to keep pace. The Chiefs will look to capitalize on their offensive consistency Sunday when it hosts Houston (2-4), which will have to overcome a murky quarterback situation to avoid its first five-game losing streak in nearly 8 years.

Kansas City has scored 5 TD's this season courtesy of their defense and special teams. Husain Abdullah's 44-yard interception return for a score with 1:35 left helped seal a 24-7 home victory over Oakland on Sunday. On offense, The Chiefs' 326.3 yards-per-game average ranks 25th in the NFL. Alex Smith (122/216 1330 7 TD 3 INT) has been nothing short of efficient, however the passing game has been conservative averaging just barely over 6 yards per completion. Their leading rusher Jamaal Charles (114-475 4.2 5 TD) also leads the team in receptions (33-300 2 TD) and uses blazing speed up the middle along with the ability to make his presence felt in the open field. Former Pro Bowler Dwayne Bowe (20-229 2 TD) and Donnie Avery (18-310 1 TD) will need to take advantage of Houston's secondary and get more involved especially when the Chiefs face stiffer competition down the road. Lucky for Smith, while completing only 57% of his passes he has made few mistakes under center and has the ability to scramble (37-190 5.1) out of situations down the field in situations where his receivers are covered. Houston announced earlier in the week it will be without starting safety Danieal Manning for the rest of the year due to a right knee injury suffered Sunday in the loss to St. Louis.

Houston isn't nearly as upbeat despite allowing 252.8 yards per game, easily the best mark in the NFL. While the Texans' offense is averaging 395.7 yards, seventh most in the league, they're only scoring 17.7 points per game which is seventh lowest. The Texans have committed 12 turnovers during their four-game slide. After throwing 9 interceptions in the previous 5 games, Matt Schaub (150/233 1552 8 TD 9 INT) was finally turnover-free in a 38-13 home loss to St. Louis on Sunday. Schaub however will not play after leaving last week's game with a lower leg injury suffered on a third-quarter sack. That means it's likely that Casey Keenum will get the start. TJ Yates was 12 of 17 for 98 yards in relief of Schaub, but was picked off twice and sacked twice in just over a quarter of play. Kansas City leads the league with 31 sacks including 10 against Oakland in week 6.

Andre Johnson (44-495) leads Houston in the receiving core but has so far been unable to find the end zone thus far. DeAndre Hopkins (25-340 1 TD) and Arian Foster (22-183 2 TD) will get their chances, but may have to run successful routes to give Keenum a chance to excel in the passing game. Owen Daniels (24-252 3 TD) will miss the next 2 months with a fractured fibula. Foster (117-531 4.5 1 TD) like Charles is one of the more versatile duo backs in the game but must rely on his offensive line to create opportunities in the ground attack. The Texans will be double challenged in the passing game with Keenum making his first career start coupled with a fast secondary and strong front seven. Eric Berry has become one of the best safeties in the league. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston are a terrific tandem when it comes to getting pressure on the opposing quarterback. Derrick Johnson leads the team with 39 tackles from his linebacker position.

It will be tough to see if Keenum can rescue the reeling Texans from their losing ways now that the status of Schaub is virtually shut down until further notice. Johnson may need to have a breakout game and the only way for Houston to stay close is to try and speed up the game. While it's tough to move the ball on the Chiefs, they have so much ability to make plays leading to opportunities for Smith and company. If Charles has a good game it won't take much more for Smith to be efficient at best which means the defense will take care of the rest.



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jimmythegreek Posts:10376 Followers:376
10/20/2013 01:13 AM

San Diego -6.5 over Jacksonville (bought half):
It's anybody's guess which Charger team will show up in week 7 on Sunday. San Diego (3-3) has been about as Jeckyl and Hyde as any team in the league, but a matchup at winless Jacksonville (0-6) could be the catalyst that gets Mike McCoy and company over the mendoza mark for the first time during the 2013 campaign.

The lightning bolts' confidence has to feel awfully upbeat especially after their 19-9 mild home upset in week 6 against Indianapolis. The Chargers held the Colts nearly 19 points under their season scoring average and got another strong performance from rookie receiver Keenan Allen. Allen had a season-best nine catches and topped 100 yards for the second straight game. He also scored the game's lone touchdown on a 22-yard pass from Philip Rivers early in the second quarter. Rivers (162/223 1847 14 TD 5 INT) is off to one of the best starts in his storied career. Of course it helps when you have one of the more prominent well known tight ends in Antonio Gates (36-466 2 TD) as your top target. Allen (23-332 2 TD) will look to build on his career best performance from last week against one of the more vulnerable inept passing defenses in the league. Danny Woodhead (36-267 3 TD) is versatile in the receiving core and tied with Gates for team lead in receptions. Ryan Matthews (89-336 3.8) had by far his best ground game of the season against the Colts with 102 yards on 22 carries (4.6).

While Jacksonville put up a spirited and respectful effort against unbeaten Denver last week, there may be something to build on in what as otherwise been nothing short of a nightmarish season. Despite being one of three winless teams in the league in addition to Tampa Bay and the NY Giants, Chad Henne will look to rally the troops after throwing for a season high 303 yards against the Broncos. Henne (80/137 904 2 TD 4 INT) will have Justin Blackmon (19-326 1 TD) back in the lineup after missing several weeks due to suspension and a hamstring injury. Cecil Shorts (31-408 1 TD) is also probable despite nursing a shoulder injury. One area of concern to take some of the pressure off of Henne is the underachieving of Maurice Jones Drew (94-279 3.0 2 TD) who has looked steps slower than in recent years despite facing strong opposing rushing defenses. The best all-around game by a RB against the Chargers this season came back in Week 3 when Tennessee's Chris Johnson rushed 19 times for 90 yards. San Diego has yet to give up a rushing TD this season.

The Chargers defense is coming off of their best performance and they need to continue that effort in Jacksonville. The team needs to keep the pressure coming led by Eric Wettle (42 tackles). The team will likely will be without Donald Butler again, but Jarret Johnson will be back on the field. Corey Liuget and Kendall Reyes had their best games last weekend. and was able to confuse Andrew Luck forcing him to throw the football out quick making the overall defense look all the more prepared.

The public is caught up in the myth of coming across the country after a big home win against a high-end opponent increases your vulnerability to be upset the following week. I'm not buying into that trend this time around. San Diego on paper is too talented, regardless of logistics or elements, and they'll keep the hapless Jags winless in convincing fashion.


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jimmythegreek Posts:10376 Followers:376
10/20/2013 01:43 AM

Carolina -6.5 over St. Louis (bought half):
The Panthers (2-3) are showing some growing confidence at home as evident of their 38-0 shutout against the NY Giants in their last home game in Week 3. A win at home in week 7 against St. Louis (3-3) could put themselves back in the NFC South race as New Orleans is currently on their bye week. The Rams showed their versatility and dominance coming off a surprise week 6 win over an overmatched Houston Texans team at Reliant Stadium.

Cam Newton (93/153 1127 9 TD 5 INT) hopes more bold play-calling will help them find some consistency. Earlier season issues with character and discipline seemingly played a role in the Panthers' direction with Newton at the helm. However head coach Ron Rivera has since stood by the top pick in the 2011 draft preaching that wins will alleviate even the toughest of situations. Newton completed 20/26 for 242 yards and 3 TD's while running for a 4th score in a 35-10 win over Minnesota in week 6. Greg Olsen (23-292 1 TD) and Steve Smith (23-224 2 TD) are tied for the team lead in receptions and are Newton's top targets. Of course we know from his Auburn days how dangerous Newton is with his open field scrambling ability (29-153 5.3 2 TD), however DeAngelo Williams (91-394 4.3) is off to a slow start so far being kept out of the end zone. That may change in week 7 as the Rams have given up an average of 166 yards per contest over the last 4 games.

The Rams bounced back with a 34-20 victory over winless Jacksonville on Oct. 6th and are coming off their most impressive performance of the season, a 38-13 win in Houston last Sunday. Sam Bradford (138/232 1432 13 TD 3 INT) was the top overall pick in 2010 and has been a big part of St. Louis' turnaround. He's completed 31 of 50 passes for 339 yards and six touchdowns with a 121.6 passer rating over the past two games after coming under increased scrutiny while posting a 77.1 mark during the skid.The receiving core is a plentiful three-headed monster featuring Tavon Austin (24-159 2 TD), Austin Pettis (23-234 4 TD) and Jared Cook (22-311 2 TD). To say the Rams haven't done much in the ground game has been somewhat of an understatement, as Daryl Richardson (58-167 2.9 ) managed just 5 yards on 3 carries last week. Zac Stacy (33-161 4.9) is probable after suffering from a rib injury. The Rams are seeking their first rushing TD of 2013 and may have to wait a bit longer after Sunday's outcome. Carolina ranks fourth in the NFL with 88.8 yards allowed per game after holding the Vikings to 75. The Panthers are third in the league in total defense, yielding an average of 299.2 yards, and they've given up 230.0 over the past three games while creating eight turnovers.


The Panthers need to get Bradford out of game manager mode and force him to make plays down the field while under pressure. Carolina is confident they can control time of possession and field position. Carolina’s offense lacks glitz, but the ground game is producing an average of 135.8 yards while St. Louis enters with the league’s third-word run defense. Jordan Gross is still going strong in his 11th season, but he’ll have a big test with Robert Quinn bringing an NFC-best 6.0 sacks to town. With Chris Long on the other side, Quinn is often free to work one on one.

It's going to come down to which Carolina team shows up in week 7. The one that blew out the Giants and Vikings? Or the one that laid an egg against the Bills and Cardinals? Carolina has played tough at home and can slowly pound St. Louis into submission with its ground game.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10376 Followers:376
10/20/2013 02:07 AM

Minnesota/NYG over 47 (Monday night):
Josh Freeman was named the starter for Minnesota's road contest against the winless New York Giants on Monday night, which comes less than two weeks after he signed with the club. He was granted his release Oct. 3 and signed a one-year contract with Minnesota (1-4) on Oct. 8th. The 25-year-old former first-round pick now will be tasked with helping to improve a Vikings offense that gained 290 yards in last week's 35-10 home loss to Carolina and has committed 12 turnovers on the season. New York (0-6) is off to its worst start since it lost a franchise-worst nine straight to open the 1976 season. Manning finished 14 of 26 for 239 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions in last Thursday's 27-21 loss to Chicago, with one pick being returned for a score.

The duo combining Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel has not gotten the job done this season. Freeman (43/94 571 2 TD 3 INT) was told by his former Tampa Bay coach Greg Schiano that his job was safe after receiving a vote of confidence two days before being benched. Schiano publicly stated Sept. 23 that Freeman would be the team's starting quarterback despite his struggles. Freeman, though, was told soon after he would be benched in favor of rookie Mike Glennon. His first test with the Vikings comes against a Giants team that has all sorts of issues, including with their two-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback, Eli Manning.

Adrian Peterson (102-483 4.7 5 TD) is still reeling from the effects of learning last week that his 2 year old son was fatally beaten. Peterson has also dealt with a hamstring injury but expects to be a go Monday night. Freeman will have an opportunity to become familiar with his new receiving core featuring Jerome Simpson (23-372), Kyle Rudolph (21-200 2 TD) and Greg Jennings (20-286 2 TD). Freeman is fortunate for getting a second chance given his recent struggles and unfair treatment in Tampa Bay although he let his feelings known to the media minutes after his release.

Eli Manning (123/229 1721 9 TD) 15 INT) is suffering through his worst season with winless big blue, sporting just a 64.0 passer rating which is third-worst in the NFL and one spot ahead of Freeman. Though Manning will be facing a Minnesota defense that ranks 29th against the pass allowing an average of 308.0 yards, the Giants have committed a league-high 23 turnovers and have lost 11 of their last 14 games after missing last year's playoffs despite a 6-2 start. Not all of Manning's picks have been his fault, but nonetheless he didn't help himself on the first 2 possessions at the Bears last Thursday. Top target Victor Cruz (35-541 4 TD) will look to expose the Vikings vulnerable secondary in an effort to earn the Giants first win all season long. Hakeem Nicks (25-442) recently was the subject of trade rumors last week though the importance of unity by Tom Coughlin quickly shot down the speculation. Brandon Jacobs (44-154 3.5 3 TD) ran for a season best 106 yards on 22 carries (4.8) and 2 scores in week 6. David Wilson (44-146 3.3 1 TD) is out for at least the next month with a neck injury which led to the re-signing of Da'Rell Scott (20-73 3.7).

Freeman has ideal size and arm strength for the position, and he's also capable of buying time with his feet. He could give the Vikings' downfield passing game a lift. Jennings and Jerome Simpson each have field-stretching speed. The Vikings' defense has disappointed this season. Opponents are scoring close to four offensive touchdowns per game against them. However, the Giants have committed nearly four turnovers per game through six contests, and they haven't exceeded 21 points in any of the last four games.

Perhaps Manning can bounce back a little on Monday night. The Vikings'secondary has been vulnerable, and this was before safety Harrison Smith was placed on injured reserve/designated for return with a toe injury on Friday. The Giants' offensive line has begun to jell, and their receiving corps could be tough for Minnesota to stop. This should be a shootout. Both teams have capable offenses and MIN allows 31.6 points a game, No. 30 in the NFL. The Giants are even worse at 34.8, which is 32nd (last).

Best of luck to all in week 7
YTD 15-9 .625

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 11491-11762-422
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bamajohn Posts:627 Followers:17
10/20/2013 02:23 AM

GL jimmy

ROLL TIDE
bobalou Posts:4915 Followers:142
10/20/2013 10:07 AM

Great stuff! GL with this weeks insider picks JTG



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