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jimmy
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Free Pick on Arizona Cardinals +

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On 10/17/2013 12:15 PM in Cappers
Seattle vs. Arizona, 10/17/2013 20:25
Point Spread: +6/-107 Arizona

Seattle is a bit overvalued based on all the hype surrounding them earlier this season. The reality is, they have only won two games by more than seven points this season. Both of those games were at home, with one coming against a bitter rival, and the other coming against the worst team in football this season. The Seahawks squeaked by Carolina, Houston and Tennessee.

With the Seahawks having such a strong run bias, that should give the Cardinals a big advantage in this game. Arizona's run defense has been their greatest strength, holding opponents to 3.5 yards per carry and just 72 total rushing yards per game when they are playing at home. Russell Wilson has not been very accurate throwing the ball, completing 59.8% of his pass attempts on the road for a mere 199 passing yards.

The Cardinals have scored 23.5 points per game at home while Seattle is averaging 21 points per game on the road. Arizona's strength of schedule has been every bit as difficult as Seattle's, so those scoring averages are very relevant. I can see this game ending the same way most of Seattle's games have been played. The Seahawks have a 3-7 point lead late in the fourth quarter, and rely heavily on their defense to save the game. There is simply too much value on Arizona getting a touchdown to pass up.

***Jimmy is now on a 6-2 (75%) MLB playoffs run after cashing another big winner last night. Don't miss Thursday's 2-For-1 Totals in College Football and NFL action!***

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