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jimmy
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Free Pick on St Louis Cardinals +

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On 10/16/2013 11:39 AM in Cappers
St. Louis vs. LA Dodgers, 10/16/2013 16:07
Money Line: +160 St. Louis

There is a lot of value on the Cardinals as such a large underdog in this game. St Louis has performed well on the road, posting a .260 batting average and scoring 4.9 runs per game. The face a Dodgers team that has struggled to put runs on the board at home, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. The Cardinals have the lead in this series, and I don't see them taking their foot off the gas today.

The matchup at starting pitcher is also very favorable for St Louis. Joe Kelly has a 1.34 ERA on the road this season and a 5-1 record in eight starts. His overall ERA on the season is 2.29, a number slightly better than his opponent in this matchup. There is no denying that Zack Greinke has had a remarkable season, but statistically his numbers are actually slightly worse than Kelly's. Kelly has also performed well against the Dodgers throughout his career, posting a 3.22 ERA, while Greinke has a 3.43 career ERA against the Cardinals.

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