Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens: Preview and Pick
8 Replies | 695 ViewsOn 10/07/2013 04:20 PM in NFL
The Baltimore Ravens are defending Super Bowl champions, but they have had a rough go of things to start the season. Between changes on both sides of the ball and injuries, the Ravens are struggling at times. This weekend they host the high octane Green Bay Packers fresh off a win over the Detroit Lions.
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens Odds
The NFL betting line for this game opened up with the Packers listed as (-3.5) point favorites which shows that the oddsmakers completely overlooked the game that Baltimore played in Miami. The betting public is also looking past the Ravens as over 70 percent of the early money is coming in on the Ravens. Despite the money influx, the line is actually moving in favor of the Ravens and can now be found at (-3) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.
The Ravens got back to running the rock to win ballgames. Ray Rice had 102 total yards on 33 touches. In Rice's career, the Ravens are 23-3 when Rice has at least 25 touches and 30-24 when he is active and does not. Baltimore has won 20 straight games when Rice has at least 25 touches. Meanwhile the Packers won big over the Lions, a team that they have owned over the years.
This game fits a system play that has done well this year. Bet on a home underdog who is off an outright win as a road underdog. This cashed last week with the Arizona Cardinals over the Carolina Panthers. This could make the Ravens a sweet home dog to watch against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Getting the Ravens as a home dog is a very rare thing and it could pay off big for football betting fans, willing to fade the Packers on the road and out of conference.
The latest sports betting football trends for this game reveal that the home team has the better trends. Baltimore is 20-2 straight up in its last 22 games at home, 6-2-1 straight up in its last 9 games, but 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay. Something has to give with the total as the total has gone over in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road, but the total has gone under in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home.
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens Pick
With plenty of time to go before kickoff of this week, I will wait to announce my pick when we get closer to game day. Check back the day of the event for my pick on this great game.