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therock
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GOOD READING - 12 Vegas Football Stories That Will Surprise You

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On 10/21/2011 05:08 PM in NCAA Football
Top 10 Teams Killing Bookies!
(Based on the AP poll the week the game was played)
Top 10 teams are . . .
16-1 ATS the last two weekends
38-14 ATS on the season
29-3 ATS when teams were favored by 27 or less points
16-0 ATS for teams ranked #6, #7, or #8
Non-Top 10 teams favored by 20 or more points are only 48-46 ATS on the season.
* ATS stands for “against the spread”
* 4 games in which Top 10 teams played each other are disregarded
* 1 game was an point-spread TIE (aka: a push)

Kansas Yet to Play a Team with a Loss!
Kansas is the first team since at least 1980 that started the season vs. SEVEN STRAIGHT opponents who were undefeated at the time!

16-0 Odds for Packers?
Vegas odds say Packers have 7% chance of ending regular season undefeated (13 to 1 against). Packers are favored in all 10 remaining games.

Suck For Luck:
Odds of current winless teams going 0-16:
Colts: 2.5% chance (39 to 1 against)
Dolphins: 1.5% (65 to 1 against)
Rams: 1.1% (93 to 1 against)
Slightly less than 5% odds of at least ONE TEAM going winless the entire season.

Dolphins, favored by 1.5-points over Denver this week, are NOT currently favored in any of their remaining 10 games this season!

Tim Tebow Slight Downgrade:
Las Vegas considers Denver Broncos to be ONE-POINT WORSE with Tim Tebow at quarterback rather than Kyle Orton.

Carson Palmer Considered Upgrade:
Raiders odds to win Super Bowl dropped from 30-1 down to 20-1 after Carson Palmer trade.

Packers (-8 at Minnesota)
1984 was the last time the Packers were favored by OVER a touchdown AT Minnesota.

Colts +14 (at New Orleans)
Only ONE OTHER TIME since 1993 have the Colts been underdogs of two-touchdowns or more.

Dallas -13 over Rams
Only 3 other times since 1998 have the Cowboys have been favored by 13 or more points.

College Football:

Tennessee +30 at Alabama
Tennessee has never been a 30-point underdog in recorded point-spread history (back to 1980). The biggest prior point-spread in the Alabama/Tennessee series was 17 (each team has been favored by 17 over the other one time).

Notre Dame -9.5 hosting USC
Notre Dame has not been this big of a favorite over USC since 1996.

Kansas State Makes History!
Kansas State, with win over Texas Tech, become only the 5th BCS team since 1980 to win 4 straight games as an underdog in all 4 games

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Pfile Nickname therock
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10/21/2011 05:09 PM
South Carolina closed a 3.5-point favorite over Miss St.

Leading 14-10, SC took an intentional safety on the LAST PLAY OF THE GAME.

http://scores.espn.go.com/ncf/recap?gameId=312880344

Making the final score 14-12.

Underdog covers.

An estimated 80% of bets were on S. Carolina.

An estimated $50 million was bet on the game worldwide (estimated $40 million on S.C and $10 million on Miss St.)

Meaning the safety on the last play COST bettors an estimated $30 million dollars!

(Although exact numbers of worldwide action are impossible to determine [percentage of bets and percentage of money does not perfectly correlate] this estimating technique has earned strong confidence.)

Adding even more juice to this story: South Carolina point-shaving rumors swept the Internet this week.

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Pfile Nickname jb
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10/21/2011 06:49 PM
WOW!!! That's some REALLY cool shit!!

≡✪≡ ELECTILE DYSFUNCTION:
the inability to become aroused over any of the choices for President put
forth by either party in the 2012 election year.
≡✪≡
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Pfile Nickname jb
  • Posts:1537
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10/21/2011 06:50 PM
Do tell though.....with all this great info on the teams mentioned, which ones in your mind would be the ones to take this weekend?

≡✪≡ ELECTILE DYSFUNCTION:
the inability to become aroused over any of the choices for President put
forth by either party in the 2012 election year.
≡✪≡
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