jimmythegreek Posts:10311 Followers:375
On 10/06/2013 09:12 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 5

Denver -9 over Dallas:
Peyton Manning (117/156 1470 16 TD 0 INT) and the unbeaten Denver Broncos (4-0) visit Tony Romo (110/152 1017 8 TD 1 INT) and the Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at AT&T Stadium this afternoon. This will be Manning's first appearance at the new stadium and is set to deliver a performance similar to that of the cost which was $1.2B. With a rating of 138, Denver features the league's most explosive offenses against a pass defense and secondary that has proved to be extremely vulnerable despite the Cowboys atop the NFC East with a squared mark. The Broncos are averaging league bests of 44.8 points and 483.0 yards of offense. Last week's win was a team-record 15th straight in the regular season, and Manning extended his streak of throwing at least one TD pass to 27 games.

While Manning has looked immortal, Denver is looking to get more out of the running game. The Broncos are averaging nearly 120 yards per game and are balanced with 3 backs taking the load of the carries. Knowshon Moreno (46-238 5.2 3 TD) ran for 78 on 12 touches (6.5) and a score in last week's 32 point rout over Philadelphia. Montee Ball (39-123 3.2) needs to hold on to the ball and is still looking to find the end zone. The last time Manning faced the Cowboys, he went 36 of 48 for 365 yards and two touchdowns, but also threw four interceptions in Indianapolis' 38-35 overtime loss Dec. 5, 2010.


The acquisition of Wes Welker (26-266 6 TD) has proved profitable thus far. Manning has connected with Welker for a team high in TD passes and certainly enhancing each's fantasy value. Against Philadelphia he caught 9 more passes for 76 yards and seems unaffected by the recent ankle injury. Manning also seems to be on the same page with Demaryius Thomas (29-393 4 TD) who could have a career afternoon on the stat sheet. Eric Decker (24-340 1 TD) and Julius Thomas (18-234 4 TD) complete the core and give Manning numerous options to spread the wealth. Brandon Carr, Morris Claiborne and DeMarcus Ware will have their hands full on the outside and over the middle if Manning's quick drop and release throws their timing and set patterns off. This is where Anthony Spencer is missed most with Bruce Carter struggling as well.

The good news for Romo is that he is capable of being as effective and keeping up the tempo if his receivers are on the same page. Against San Diego last week the Charger defense clamped up after allowing all 21 points Dallas scored in the second quarter. That means no cases of the dropsies for Dez Bryant (23-282 4 TD) who could be a worthy test for Denver's secondary. Jason Witten (21-192 2 TD) also needs to have a big game considering his opportunities have descended to excel in the open field. If the approach is to utilize DeMarco Murray (72-356 4.9 1 TD) to slow down the Denver momentum, Romo could also use him as a slot or screen receiver (21-138) methodically. Miles Austin (15-125) continues to nurse a sore hamstring and is listed as doubtful.

For Denver on defense, they could also have their hands full especially if the game is close in the 4th quarter. With Von Miller still suspended and no Elvis Dumervil, the Broncos are without their top two pass-rushers. Champ Bailey will be a game-time decision, and Ryan Clady is on injured reserve with a lisfranc injury to his right foot. That could enhance protection for Romo, who is as accurate as they come against weaker pass defenses but must convert given the opportunities deep in Denver territory.

Don't expect to see Manning throw up a clunker on Sunday for how well the Broncos have been over the course of four weeks. He just seems to be in a zone of his own and actually needs 405 yards passing (60‚957) to move ahead of Hall of Famer Dan Marino (61‚ 361) for second-most in NFL history. but the Cowboys will be amped for this one and would enjoy knocking off one of the few unbeaten teams around the league. But Dallas has to extend drives‚ convert on third down and protect the football on offense. Sustaining those tasks will be a tall order as Denver pulls away in a toe t toe shootout.





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jimmythegreek Posts:10311 Followers:375
10/06/2013 09:57 AM

Carolina -2.5 over Arizona:
With Carolina (1-2) coming off a bye week, Cam Newton and company will have an opportunity to revitalize the Panthers standing given their next 5 opponents are against teams with non-winning records. The Panthers travel to Glendale Stadium this afternoon against Arizona (2-2) looking to build on their surprising 38-0 shutout win over the Giants. The Cardinals (2-2) have relied on their defense to overcome their anemic offense. They however saved their best for last against Tampa Bay scoring 10 of their 13 points in the final 3 minutes.

Newton (52-88 577 6 TD 2 INT) straightened himself out after a slow start where most critics continued to question his team attitude and desire. He completed 15/27 for 223 yards with 3 TD and only 1 INT while running for another score. That boost is likely to continue facing the Cardinals, who have allowed 342 yards passing to Drew Brees, 278 yards to Matthew Stafford and 299 yards to Sam Bradford. The combination of Greg Olson (16-194 1 TD), Steve Smith (14-143 1 TD) and Ted Ginn (7-143 2 TD) may give Newton another worthy performance if he maintains a steady effective pace. DeAngelo Willians (62-291 4.7) is off to a nice start but has still not found the end zone. He ran for 120 yards on just 23 carries (5.2) in his last game and has owned the Giants dating back a couple of seasons ago with his average nearly unchanged per touch. The Panthers, third in the league with 151.0 rushing yards per game but could face a challenge against an Arizona team that ranks second against the run (75.0 ypg) after limiting Tampa Bay's Doug Martin to 45 yards on 27 carries (1.7).

Carson Palmer (87/152 1010 4 TD 6 INT) is off to a rocky start. Palmer hit Larry Fitzgerald (21-245 3 TD) for a game-tying 13-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter last week, but he also threw two interceptions in the first half. Running back Rashard Mendenhall (52-176 3.4 1 TD) lost the first of his 2 fumbles in the opening half to set up Tampa Bay's only touchdown. Turnovers have been a major problem for Arizona that have killed successful drives and leaving potential points on the field. Palmer also has Michael Floyd (16-240) and Andre Roberts (13-145) as part of the receiving core. Floyd had his best game last week with 5 catches for 87 yards.

The strength of Carolina's defense is their linebacker corps, led by Luke Kuechly, who has 29 tackles in three games. The Panthers are good at stopping the run but need to be disciplined against the air attack of Palmer. Defensively, the Cardinals welcome back linebacker Daryl Washington after a four-game suspension. Arizona must make sure Newton does not escape the pocket and rack up the rushing yards. He's one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL. The Patrick Peterson-Steve Smith matchup will be fun to watch but Olsen can hurt the Cardinals down the middle of the field and in the red zone. He's an underrated tight end.

The offensive line will have it’s work cut out for it as Arizona is a good defensive team versus the run. No matter what the level of success experienced with the running game, Carolina needs to stay committed to it. This afternoon marks the debut of explosive Kenjon Barner against Arizona. Barner is a “home run” threat type of running back. He could alleviate some of the load on DeAngelo Williams.

The Panthers can convincingly win this game, and the motivation factor could definitely serve as a confidence builder after shutting out big blue. Arizona has the capability on defense to keep things close, but also must take care of the ball. Carolina should be able to stifle the anemic Arizona offense and roll to victory evening their 2013 mark.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10311 Followers:375
10/06/2013 10:48 AM

Philadelphia +2 over NYG:
The winless Giants (0-4) host an Eagles (1-3) team that has looked lost defensively while dropping three straight in Sunday's matchup of once-proud franchises headed in the wrong direction. New York has totaled seven points in consecutive losses and Eli Manning has thrown a league-high nine interceptions while getting sacked 14 times, five fewer than all of 2012. The Eagles started 2013 under new coach Chip Kelly with a 33-27 victory at Washington. They haven't won since and are allowing 34.5 points per game after last Sunday's 52-20 loss at Denver.

Manning (85/151 1148 6 TD 9 INT) will try to get an offense untracked that has produced the fewest amount of points in consecutive games. The two-time Super Bowl MVP is getting hit more as a result of a patchwork offensive line that played without starters David Baas, Chris Snee and David Diehl in last Sunday's 31-7 loss at Kansas City. Top target Victor Cruz (26-425 4 TD) seems to be doing the majority of the receiving and is the lone bright spot. Opposing defenses are taking advantage of a very thin Jints' offensive line. Manning will have to be more accurate out of the pocket and utilize Hakeem Nicks (12-230) and Brandon Myers (16-173 1 TD) in the passing game. The ground game, or lack thereof has scored only 1 TD all season by Brandon Jacobs. With Da'Rell Scott released, Wilson (38-130 3.4) will have to be more efficient to set up play action for Manning to take some of the pressure off. Cruz could be open often against a Philadelphia defense yielding 461.3 yards per game for the NFL's second-worst mark.

Chip Kelly's high-octane offense leads the NFC with 480.5 yards per game, but Michael Vick (65/118 1080 5 TD 2 INT) has been sacked 14 times to match Manning and the Jets' Geno Smith for the third-highest total in the league. However Vick is still a legitimate threat with his legs (26-228 8.8 2 TD) scrambling out of the pocket and can depend on LeSean McCoy (78-468 6.0 2 TD) to have a big game for the league's top rushing offense. The Giants give up 102 rushing yard per contest and McCoy's speed combined with a fairly protective offensive line can open up seems for large gains throughout. Vick's top target DeSean Jackson (21-397 2 TD) is off to a fast start as is Jason Avant (12-146 1 TD). McCoy is also particularly dangerous as a 3rd receiving option coming out of the flat (7-140) and over the middle especially following his blocks for gained yardage after the reception.

The Giants lead the league in turnovers with 16 and have allowed nearly 37 points per contest. Defensively, the Eagles are hurting, allowing a No. 31 ranked 35 points per game and a NFL worst 447 yards per game with two interceptions 10 sacks and four fumble recoveries. The Giants secondary has come away with four interceptions this season, including two last week off of Alex Smith, who rarely turns the ball over. Prince Amukamara, Aaron Ross, Ryan Mundy and Antrel Rolle have each picked off one pass this season, so Vick will have to be wise in his decision-making. However, the Giants defense ranks 19th in the NFL in passing yards allowed, with opponents averaging 261.8 yards per game through the air. New York’s defense appears to present a prime opportunity for Vick to improve his 55.1 completion percentage and get the Eagles offense back on track.

The Eagles defensive line had trouble generating pressure against Manning,save for Cedric Thornton's sack at the end of the second quarter. Thornton has been one of the team's standouts so far and continues to improve with each game. He and Fletcher Cox are an excellent duo for the defense to build around at defensive end in the 3-4 scheme.As bad as things are for both of these teams, Dallas is atop the NFC East but with only a 2-2 mark. A win could keep both teams intact for postseason consideration considering Washington has also struggled tied with the Eagles at 1-3. Big blue certainly will feel better just getting on the board after dropping their first 4 contests. Philly keeps the Giants winless in a close one which the final outcome could be determined by special teams or who possesses the ball last.



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bobalou Posts:4887 Followers:142
10/06/2013 10:55 AM

GL JTG! With ya on a couple of those! (One I left alone) let's do this and win BIG!

Women are Angels.
And when someone breaks our wings, we simply continue to fly...
Usually on a broomstick but we're flexible like that
jimmythegreek Posts:10311 Followers:375
10/06/2013 11:37 AM

New England/Cincinnati under 46:
New England (4-0) seeks its first 5-0 start in six years Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium while looking to keep the offense of Cincinnati (2-2) kept off balance. New England finally got their offense somewhat more on track edging the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday night 30-23 at the GeorgiaDome. Cincinnati looked lost and were not able to execute anything in a 17-6 loss to the Cleveland Browns.

If the Bengals' offense looks anything like it did last week, the Patriots may not have much to worry about. Cincinnati committed two turnovers and totaled 266 yards, including 63 on the ground. BenJarvus Green-Ellis (52-147 2.7 2 TD) who played four seasons with New England and had a 1,008-yard campaign in 2010, rushed only 6 times for 13 yards (2.2). While the Patriots, who have won three games by seven points or fewer, seek their best start since going unbeaten in the 2007 regular season, Tom Brady (93/158 1014 7 TD 2 INT) knows there's still plenty of question marks surrounding the team given its overall health and execution in the receiving core.

The Patriots faithful would be hard-pressed to recognize any of the receivers on the overall roster compared to the last few seasons, however Brady got some good news when he learned Danny Amendola (10-104) was expected to play against the Bengals. Amendola has missed the last 3 games with a groin injury. Julian Edelman (34-319 2 TD) gained 118 yards and caught 7 passes in week 4 and Brady threw for 316 yards along with 2 scores. New England hopes to also have Kendrell Tompkins (39-257 3 TD) after injuring his shoulder. It's important for Brady to keep the offense honest by utilizing Stevan Ridley (47-174 3.7) and LeGarrette Blount (34-155 4.6 1 TD) in the backfield. Rob Gronkowski did not travel with the New England Patriots to Cincinnati and will not play Sunday against the Bengals, delaying the star tight end's season debut by at least another week. Gronkowski is recovering from back and forearm injuries and has still not played all season.

Andy Daulton (94/148 1003 5 TD 4 INT) has looked at times unbeatable in 2 home games but away from Paul Brown Stadium has performed like he's still in hibernation. He's got two primed targets in AJ Green (26-300 3 TD) and Jermaine Gresham (18-181), but struggled in the loss to Cleveland throwing for only 206 yards and a key INT to Buster Skrine with under 4:00 remaining. The Bengals understand that last week could have been a confidence builder int e passing game for Brady and company, so keeping their offense off the field is essential. That could mean more carries for Ellis and Giovani Bernard (32-147 4.6 2 TD) in an attempt to engineer longer and successful drives to keep Dalton honest and effective.

The young Patriot defense has been tenacious this season. Jerod Mayo leads the team in tackles with 24. He’s also got a sack on the year. Leading the team in sacks is Chandler Jones with 3. Aqib Talib is leading in interceptions with 4 and also has 7 tackles, a forced fumble and 7 passes defended. Vontaze Burfict has been the clean leader for the Bengal defense. Leading the team in tackles with 26, Burfict also has an interception and a pass defended. Carlos Dunlap has 3 sacks on the season while Geno Atkins has 2.5 of his own. Four total players have an interception.

Luckily, the Patriots have been making a habit of shutting down star receivers, and haven’t allowed a wide receiver to score since Week 1. The lion’s share of the credit for that belongs to Talib, who hopes to add Green to the list of Vincent Jackson and Julio Jones of stars that he’s neutralized (Jones’ backbreaking 4th quarter haul didn’t involve Talib). It’s been a while since New England has had a true shutdown corner, and if Talib can continue to provide that, the Patriots’ infamous pass defense woes may be over.

Best of luck to all in week 5
YTD 12-4 .750

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