cnotes Posts:27520 Followers:33
On 10/20/2011 10:12 PM in Other Sports

Cnotes CFL Best Bets 10/21-10/22 !

Canadian Bacon: Week 17 odds and picks

Edmonton Eskimos at Toronto Argonauts (+3, 48)

The Argos got an upset win in the last moments of their game against the Calgary Stampeders, but while it might have been their best performance of the season, don’t expect much moving forward.

Quarterback Steven Jyles looked good in the first half but he only threw for 118 yards with one TD and four picks.

The Stampeders really shot themselves in the foot more than anything else and it would be surprising to see the Eskimos, who still have legitimate chance on first place, doing the same.

The Eskimos have piled up seven sacks, six interceptions and allowed only one TD in their last two games. Edmonton will play the Lions next week in a game that could decide first place in the West. But for that game to bare any significance, they first win in Toronto.

Pick: Edmonton

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders (+1, 52.5)

Drew Tate will orchestrate Calgary’s attack after coach John Hufnagel decided to make a quarterback change and put Henry Burris on the bench. Tate, who took over against the Argos after Burris was pulled, threw for 263 yards with two touchdown passes. Now he’s looking to put an end to a two-game slide.

Ken-Yon Rambo, still nursing an Achilles tendon injury, will miss a third game in a row. Nik Lewis, who has fought a virus, claims to feel much better and has been active in full practices all week.

If the Stampeders’ offense is a disappointment, Saskatchewan’s has been frankly pathetic. Darian Durant, who has a left foot fracture, claims it would be best if he was not starting now that Saskatchewan is out of the playoff picture but coach Ken Miller thinks otherwise.

Last week, in a loss that ended the club’s playoff hopes, kicker Chris Milo scored all 18 points for this team. Now the Roughriders only hope is to spoil any chances the Stampeders still have of finishing first.

Pick: Calgary

Montreal Alouettes at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+1, 52.5)

The Blue Bombers, after winning seven of the first eight games of the season, have lost five of their last seven. Buck Pierce isn’t helping matters. He had 10 TD passes and six picks in the first eight games but threw 10 picks and only three touchdown passes in the last seven.

The Alouettes head to Winnipeg riding a four-game winning streak. Winnipeg won in Montreal 25-23 in mid-September but lost a few weeks later in front of its home fans at Canad Inns when the Bombers had three chances to win it from the 1-yard line with a few seconds left.

A Montreal win would assure Marc Trestman’s squad of hosting the East division final at the Big O.

Pick: Montreal

B.C. Lions at Hamilton Tiger Cats (+1, 53)

The Lions have won eight in a row and are still in the thick of the West division title, but this has been a short week and last week’s win was costly on the injury front. Receiver Shawn Gore suffered a concussion and won’t play against Hamilton. Rookie Marco Iannuzzi will take his place. Cornerback Dante Marsh also suffered a concussion but practiced all week and might play. Running back Tim Brown is out with a rib injury and will be replaced by Jock Sanders, who joined the Lions only last week. On special teams, Hamid Mahmoudi will replace Jason Arakgi (ankle) and linebacker Solomon Elimimian should miss a second game in a row.

The Tiger-Cats are struggling and coach Marcel Bellefeuille is playing yo-yo with his quarterbacks Kevin Glenn and Quinton Porter. I can’t recall any team having much success alternating quarterbacks during a game like he did last week in Montreal.

Pick: B.C.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27520 Followers:33
10/20/2011 10:16 PM

CFL
Dunkel


Week 17

Edmonton at Toronto
The Eskimos look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home games. Edmonton is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 491-492: Edmonton at Toronto (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 116.134; Toronto 109.713
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-3); Over

Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 104.646; Calgary 116.071
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 11 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Calgary by 10 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-10 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 495-496: Montreal at Winnipeg (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.565; Winnipeg 117.453
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 3; 55
Vegas Line: Montreal by 1 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1 1/2); Over

Game 497-498: BC at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 119.337; Hamilton 116.056
Dunkel Line: BC by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 17

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Friday, October 21

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EDMONTON (9 - 6) at TORONTO (4 - 11) - 10/21/2011, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
EDMONTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 11) at CALGARY (8 - 7) - 10/21/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a division game this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a division rival this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 102-67 ATS (+28.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 88-60 ATS (+22.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-5 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-5 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 22

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MONTREAL (10 - 5) at WINNIPEG (9 - 6) - 10/22/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 6) at HAMILTON (7 - 8) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL


Week 17

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 21

6:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
Toronto is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton

9:30 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games at home
Calgary16-7-1 SU in its last 24 games at home


Saturday, October 22

3:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 15-5-2 ATS in its last 22 games
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
British Columbia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 12 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27520 Followers:33
10/20/2011 11:03 PM

CFL

Friday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Edmonton - 6:30 PM ET Edmonton -3 500

Toronto - Over 48 500

Saskatchewan - 9:30 PM ET Calgary -10 500

Calgary - Under 52 500


Saturday, October 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 3:00 PM ET Montreal -1 500

Winnipeg - Under 52.5 500

BC Lions - 7:00 PM ET BC Lions -1 500

Hamilton - Under 53.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27520 Followers:33
10/21/2011 06:58 PM

Als go for division-clinching win Saturday

MONTREAL ALOUETTES (10-5)

at WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (9-6)


Kickoff: Saturday, 3:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Montreal -1, Total: 52.5

Montreal can clinch the East and end the Blue Bombers’ Cinderella run for first place when it visits Winnipeg on Saturday.

The upstart Bombers have fared very well against the Als this year. They upended them at home in on Sept. 18. And on Sept. 30, they nearly mounted a huge fourth-quarter comeback in Montreal despite being without QB Buck Pierce, losing 32-26 while getting stuffed twice on the one-yard line. Still, while Montreal has lost three straight ATS, it has won four in a row SU. With the one-point spread, all the Als have to do is win, and the veteran defending champs know how to do that. MONTREAL is the pick, and the FoxSheets have a trend showing Als head coach Marc Trestman’s team hasn’t underachieved often:

Trestman is 10-2 ATS (83.3%, +7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of MONTREAL. The average score was MONTREAL 36.0, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 1*).

The Blue Bombers have dropped three of four and five of seven SU, and they looked downright bad in Edmonton last week. Pierce threw for just 143 yards and was intercepted three times in a 24-10 loss. The Blue Bombers have the top-rated passing defense in the CFL (233.1 yards per game allowed), but they’ve given up at least 24 points in three of their past four games.

Montreal has had close calls in two of its past three games, including the Sept. 30 win over Winnipeg and a 27-25 home win over Hamilton last week. They lost two fumbles and needed to stymie a late two-point conversion to beat the TigerCats. Als QB Anthony Calvillo threw for 341 yards and two touchdowns in the win as he continues to be unstoppable. He threw for 335 yards and three TD in their win at Winnipeg on Sept. 30.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27520 Followers:33
10/22/2011 01:48 AM

CFL

Friday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Edmonton - 6:30 PM ET Edmonton -3 500

Toronto - Over 48 500

Saskatchewan - 9:30 PM ET Calgary -10 500

Calgary - Under 52 500


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/21/11 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: