Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins: Preview and Pick
10 Replies | 463 ViewsOn 10/01/2013 05:15 PM in NFL
The Miami Dolphins started the season off with a hot start winning the first three games of the season. Now after a demoralizing loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football, they will only have a short time to prepare for the defensive minded Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Odds
The NFL betting line for this game opened up with the Dolphins listed as (-3) point favorites. The line has yet to move, but the early public wagering is on the Ravens after watching the Dolphins lose under the prime time lights. As of the writing of this article, 40 percent of the public is backing the Dolphins. At this time the line can still be found at three points at many of the top rated online sportsbooks found here at Bang the Book.com.
The Saints defense carved up the Dolphins defense. Drew Brees was 20-of-27 for 295 yards and four touchdowns when the Dolphins sent 4 or fewer pass rushers. Coming into the game, the Dolphins had allowed 6.1 yards per attempt when sending a standard pass rush, third-best in the NFL. That defense will have to get well quick to take on the Ravens who are looking for a better game after losing to the Bills.
The Dolphins may have better luck against Joe Flacco. Flacco threw a career-high 5 interceptions against the Bills, upping his season total to 7. His 7 interceptions is tied for the 2nd-most through the 1st 4 games by the defending Super Bowl MVP. Until Ray Rice is 100 percent healthy the Ravens may have trouble putting up points. Bernard Pierce is a good back up, but the Ravens will be a much better team with a healthy Rice in the lineup.
The latest NFL betting trends for this matchup reveal some interesting betting angles leading up to kickoff. In fact both teams have some positive trends. The Ravens are 18-7-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS against a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in the last eight games overall.
The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in the last seven games overall. If the trends are any indication of how this game will turn out, the Dolphins are the play.
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins Pick
With plenty of time to go before kickoff so, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.