cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:26 PM

Big Ten Report - Week 9

October 24, 2013

Week 8 of the Big Ten card saw the underdogs cash in three of five games, including an outright victory by Minnesota (+12 ½) at Northwestern. Home teams went 3-2 with all three of the home winners grabbing double-digit victories, although Ohio State and Michigan State didn't cash as heavy 'chalk.' Bettors watched the 'over' go 3-2.

2013 BIG TEN STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Illinois 3-3 0-2 3-3 4-2

Indiana 3-3 1-1 3-3 5-1

Iowa 4-3 1-2 4-3 5-2

Michigan 6-1 2-1 4-3 5-2

Michigan State 6-1 3-0 3-3-1 3-4

Minnesota 5-2 1-2 4-3 4-3

Nebraska 5-1 2-0 4-2 3-3

Northwestern 4-3 0-3 2-5 3-4

Ohio State 7-0 3-0 4-2-1 5-2

Penn State 4-2 1-1 3-3 4-2

Purdue 1-5 0-2 1-5 3-3

Wisconsin 5-2 3-1 6-0-1 3-4


Ohio State (-14 ½, 56 ½) vs. Penn State (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
It was a tale of two halves for Ohio State on Saturday against Iowa. The Buckeyes trailed by seven at halftime but scored touchdowns on their first three second half drives and outscored the Hawks 24-7 in the final two quarters. OSU held Iowa to just 143 yards on 18 plays in the 2nd half – 75 yards came on one TD pass – while the Buckeyes gained 316 on 54 plays. QB Braxton Miller (222 pass yards, 2 TDs, 102 rush yards) and RB Carlos Hyde (149 rush yards, 2 TDs) led this Buckeyes offense and the defense overcame an ejection of their best pass-defender – CB Bradley Roby. Even with Roby, OSU’s pass defense has been average at best this season, but again the Bucks allowed 245 pass yards and 3 pass TD against a mediocre Iowa pass offense. OSU will again face another test this weekend against freshman star QB Christian Hackenberg of Penn State. PSU had a much-needed bye week after an emotionally draining four overtime win over Michigan in its last game. Hackenberg (11 TD & 6 INT) is far beyond his years as a starting QB and the two-headed rushing attack of Zwinack (393 yards, 8 TD) & Belton (369 yards, 3 TD) will need to have a big day against this OSU defense that ranks 15th in total defense. PSU’s defense has has allowed over 40 points against Indiana & Michigan in its last two outings, but still ranks 17th in total defense. Penn State has no bowl aspirations to live up to but coach O’Brien has shown that he has no difficulty motivating his team to play spoiler. PSU is 0-4 SU & ATS in its last four as a 14+ point underdog. Penn State is 2-5 SU & ATS in its last seven games against Ohio State, but both of those wins and covers came in two of its last three trips to Ohio Stadium.

Nebraska (-10 ½, 52) at Minnesota (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Nebraska enjoyed a bye week after handing its business against Purdue for the third consecutive game won in blowout fashion. Backup quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. threw three interceptions and completed only six passes, thus resolving the “quarterback controversy” between him and the previously injured Taylor Martinez. Martinez should make his return from turf toe this weekend and he’ll need quality reps before the Huskers begin a daunting November slate (Northwestern, atMichigan, Michigan State, atPenn State). Nebraska will be playing its first game without star guard Spencer Long which might affect the Huskers’ rushing effort (10th nationally in rush YPG). Yards won’t come easy for RB Abdullah (816 RY) against this Gopher defense that ranks 25th against the run. Minnesota is off of its most notable win of 2013 with a 20-17 upset at Northwestern. Minny held Northwestern to just 94 rush yards on 3.6 YPC and forced three NU turnovers. The Gophers were still outgained and didn’t do anything special on offense. QB Nelson relieved QB Leidner and completed 8-of-11 passes with 1 TD and no INT. Nelson will likely get the start Saturday against Nebraska but we expect to see both him and Leidner share snaps. Nebraska has won and covered both of its meetings with Minnesota as a B1G member by an average score of 40-14. Nebraska is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games as a road favorite of 10 points or more. Contrarily, the Gophers are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 as a home underdog of 10 points or more.

Michigan State (-10 ½, 50) at Illinois (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Last week we noted how Michigan State’s offense had finally turned a corner and become respectable again. We ate those words after watching MSU against Purdue last weekend. The Spartans mustered just 294 yards and one offensive touchdown against a Purdue defense that had allowed 41+ points over its last three games. MSU’s lone touchdown came late in the 4th quarter on a trick play. QB Cook completed just 13-of-25 passes for 107 yards with no scores. It wasn’t a surprise to see Michigan State’s defense pitch a shutout of Purdue’s offense. Sparty’s defense has been dominant all season long and it allowed just 226 yards and 14 first downs on Saturday. MSU ranks 1st nationally against the run, 4th against the pass, 1st in overall defense, and 4th in scoring defense. Still, this defense can only carry the Spartans so far, and they’ll need to be sharper on offense as the schedule gets tougher – starting this week with a road game against Illinois. Illinois stumbled out of the gate against Wisconsin last week, falling behind 21-0 just 10 minutes into the game. The Illini got back into the game with a 17-point 2nd quarter and took an 11-point deficit into halftime. The defense couldn’t slow the Badgers’ rushing attack in the 2nd half, though, as UW racked up 28 2nd half points and 289 rush yards overall. Quarterback play wasn't the issue, as Nathan Scheelhaase and Reilly O'Toole combined to complete 25 of 32 passes for 318 yards, but two fumbles led to Wisconsin touchdowns and Illinois' couldn’t run the ball with much success (72 yards on 2 ½ YPC). These two haven’t met since 2010, but MSU is 8-1 SU & ATS in the past nine meetings. Michigan State is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine road games while Illinois is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 home games as an underdog of 10 points or more.

Iowa (-3 ½, 53) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Iowa had an excellent game plan for Ohio State coming off the open week. The Hawkeyes racked up 17 first-half points against Ohio State and controlled the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Unfortunately, everything came unraveled in the 2nd half. Iowa was outscored 24-7 in the 2nd half as OSU scored on four straight 2nd half possessions. Iowa had a difficult time stopping the run, which was a strength through the first half of the season. OSU racked up 273 rush yards (5.4 YPC) and scored the first two rushing touchdowns of 2013 against this Iowa defense.The Hawkeyes came up short but proved that they could certainly make some noise down the stretch in the wide-open Legends Division. They’ll face another test this week against a desperate Northwestern squad coming off of three straight defeats. The Wildcats’ offense mustered just 328 yards against Minnesota last week. QB Siemian completed just 25-of-46 passes for 234 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT (one which Minnesota returned for a touchdown).Northwestern clearly missed QB Colter and RB Mark, both of whom were out with an injury. Colter is questionable for Saturday’s contest while Mark has already been ruled out. Northwestern is 6-2 SU & ATS in the last eight meetings with Iowa, including last year’s 28-17 win. The Wildcats are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 games as a road underdog.

Wisconsin - BYE
Wisconsin will have its 2nd bye week of the month after back-to-back crushing victories over Northwestern and Illinois. Last week at Illinois, the Badgers jumped out to a 21-0 lead just 10 minutes into the game. The Illini cut the deficit to 11 points at halftime, but UW scored 28 2nd half points to put the game out of reach. The Badgers tallied 478 yards and 25 first downs while only seeing 8 third down opportunities. RB’s Gordon & White combined for 240 rush yards (6 ½ YPC) and six total touchdowns. The most promising performance was an efficient game by QB Stave. Stave completed 16-of-21 passes for 189 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. Star LB Borland didn’t play in the 2nd half because of an injury and the defense was noticeably worse without the senior leader. He’ll try to get healthy during the off week as the Badgers prepare for a road trip to Iowa.

Michigan - BYE
The Wolverines’ offense was utterly unstoppable against Indiana last week. The Wolverines totaled 751 total yards of offense and 35 first downs. QB Gardner threw for 503 yards and rushed for 81 more and accounted for five total touchdowns. WR Gallon set a school record with 369 receiving yards and RB Toussaint had 151 rush yards and four scores. Michigan needed every single one of those yards as Indiana wasn’t rolling over in defeat. The Wolves defense allowed 572 yards and 28 first downs and Indiana trailed by just two points with 6:00 remaining. The defense has now allowed 45 ½ PPG over the last two weeks and it’ll need to be addressed over the bye week. Next up is a road trip to in-state rival Michigan State.

Indiana - BYE
Indiana’s offense is pretty close to unstoppable, but the Hoosiers won’t win many games as long as the defense continues to play like it is. IU ranks 9th in total offense and 11th in points per game. QB’s Sudfeld & Roberson have combined for 22 TD passes and RB Coleman has 9 rush TD. They’ve scored 35+ points in five of seven games this season. Defensively the Hoosiers rank at or near the bottom in every major statistical category. They allowed 751 yards and 63 points to Michigan last week. Fixing the issues on the defensive side of the ball will be priorities 1, 2, and 3 during the bye week. A home game against Minnesota is up next.

Purdue - BYE
Purdue’s defense showed up for the first time this season against Michigan State last week. This Boiler stop unit was allowing 37.8 PPG heading into last week’s game but held the Spartans to just one offensive touchdown (MSU scored a defensive touchdown to push their total to 14). The offense had several chances but couldn't finish drives in Spartans territory. Purdue needs to clean up its pass protection after allowing five sacks as young QB Etling barely had time to throw the ball. The Boilers didn’t get a lot going against MSU’s top-ranked defense, gaining just 226 total yards. The Boilers have a week off before hosting Ohio State next Saturday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:27 PM

Games to Watch - Week 9

October 23, 2013


Vanderbilt at Texas A&M
As of Wednesday morning, most books had Texas A&M (5-2 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) as an 18-point favorite with a total of 68 ½. Vanderbilt (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) rallied from a double-digit second-half deficit to upset Georgia 31-27 as a seven-point home underdog this past Saturday. QB Austyn Carta-Samuels was injured in the first half against UGA and isn’t expected to play in College Station. Patton Robinette will get his first career start. He helped orchestrate the comeback against UGA with a touchdown run early in the fourth quarter. Texas A&M is coming off a devastating 45-41 home loss to Auburn as a 14-point favorite. Johnny Manziel injured his shoulder in the second half and missed one series. He didn’t practice Monday but is expected to be ready by Saturday. Manziel leads the SEC in passing yards, passing touchdowns (18), total offense and passing efficiency. He is 11th in the conference in rushing yards and has six rushing scores. His favorite target Mike Evans leads the league in receiving yards. The Aggies are 5-4 ATS as home favorites on Kevin Sumlin’s watch. Vandy has compiled a 4-3 spread record as a road underdog during James Franklin’s tenure. The ‘over’ has cashed at a 6-1 overall clip for A&M, going 4-1 in its home games. The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for the Commodores, 1-1 in their road contests. This is the SEC Game of the Week at 12:20 p.m. Eastern in the South. Viewers elsewhere can get this game as a part of the ESPN Game Plan.

Tennessee at Alabama
As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Alabama (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS) as a 28 ½-point favorite with a total of 51 ½. The Crimson Tide trounced Arkansas 52-0 in Tuscaloosa last weekend. An 80-yard TD run by Derrick Henry sent ‘over’ backers to the ticket counter with a winner when all seemed lost after the Razorbacks were stopped on downs in the final two minutes. The total had closed at 49. Senior QB A.J. McCarron improved to 33-2 in 35 career starts. McCarron has a 14/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2013. Butch Jones’s squad is coming off two strong performances at home, taking Georgia to overtime before losing a heartbreaker nearly three weeks ago. In bounce-back mode after an open date, Tennessee (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) beat South Carolina 23-21 on a walk-off field goal. They won outright as 7 ½-point home underdogs. The ‘over’ is 4-3 overall for UT, 2-0 in its road assignments. The ‘under’ is 3-1 in the Tide’s four home outings. ‘Bama has won six in a row over UT, going 5-1 ATS with the lone non-cover coming in Lane Kiffin’s only season with the Vols. CBS will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma
As of early Wednesday, most spots had Oklahoma (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) listed as a seven-point home favorite with a total of 58. The Red Raiders are +230 on the money line (risk $100 to win $230). The Sooners are 27-17-1 ATS as home ‘chalk’ since 2006. Texas Tech (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) hasn’t faced a murderer’s row of opponents by any means so far, but new head coach Kliff Kingsbury is doing a masterful job nonetheless. The school’s second all-time leading passer and youngest FBS coach has used a pair of freshmen at QB in leading his squad to an unbeaten start a 4-0 record in Big 12 play. The Red Raiders hooked up their betting supporters in last week’s 37-27 win at West Virginia by outscoring the Mountaineers 14-0 in the final stanza. They took the money thanks to a 10-yard TD pass from Davis Webb to Jace Amaro with 1:01 remaining as 4 ½-point road favorites. Webb threw for 462 yards and a pair of scores without being intercepted. He and Baker Mayfield have combined to throw for 2,915 yards and nine TDs through seven games. OU won its first five games before getting thumped 36-20 by Texas. Then last week, the Sooners fell down 13-0 at Kansas before rallying for a 33-18 triumph although they failed to cover as 21-point favorites. The ‘over’ is 5-2 for Texas Tech, 3-0 in its previous road assignments. The ‘under’ is 4-3 for OU overall, 3-1 in its home games. Kickoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on FOX.

Baylor at Kansas
As of early Wednesday, most books had Baylor (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) favored by 35 with a total of 66 ½. Art Briles’s team trounced Iowa St. by a 71-7 count as a 33-point home ‘chalk’ last weekend. Bryce Petty threw for 343 yards and two TDs without an interception, while RB Lache Seastrunk ran for 118 yards and a pair of scores. For the season, Petty is completing 71.0 percent of his passes for 2,033 yards with a 15/1 TD-INT ratio. And remember, Petty has only gone the distance in a 35-25 win at Kansas St. that was the Bears’ only game that wasn’t decided by halftime. Seastrunk has run for 760 yards in the nation’s No. 1 offense that’s averaging 64.7 points and more than 700 yards of offense per game. The ‘over’ cashed in Baylor’s first four games, but the ‘under’ is 1-0-1 in their last two times out. Kansas (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) gave OU an early scare and took the cash in last week’s home loss, but second-year head coach Charlie Weis is feeling the heat in Lawrence with just three wins since he took over before the 2012 campaign. The Jayhawks are 4-2 ATS as home underdogs under Weis. The Bears are 2-4 ATS as road favorites during Briles’s tenure. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

Fresno State at San Diego State
As of early Wednesday, most books had Fresno St. (6-0 SU, 1-5 ATS) favored by 8 ½ or nine with a total of 61 ½. The Bulldogs are racking up victories for themselves, but they’re killing their backers. That continued this past Saturday when Fresno St. beat UNLV 38-14 as a 25-point home favorite. Derek Carr is enjoying a stellar senior campaign, completing 70.4 percent of his throws for 2,276 yards with a 23/4 TD-INT ratio. San Diego St. (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) has won three in a row since losing its first three. The Aztecs have had two weeks to prep for this spot after pulling out a 27-20 comeback win at Air Force. They trailed the Falcons 20-6 going into the final stanza before Quinn Kaehler threw a pair of scoring strikes to (almost) tie the game until the PAT failed. Then with 1:39 remaining, Donnel Pumphrey put SDS up for good with a 10-yard TD scamper. As a home underdog under Rocky Long, SDS has a 2-2 spread record. ESPN2 will have the telecast at 10:30 p.m. Eastern.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:29 PM

Friday's College Action

October 25, 2013


BOISE STATE BRONCOS (5-2) at BYU COUGARS (5-2)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: BYU -7 & 60
Opening Line & Total: Cougars -7 & 61.5

Two red-hot teams meet on Friday night when Boise State travels to BYU with each school trying to cool down the other one and move to 6-2.

With both teams riding winning streaks (three games for Boise State, four games for BYU) and coming off offensive explosions (557 yards for Boise State, 681 yards for BYU) this should be an exciting matchup. The Broncos are coming off a 34-17 win over conference foe Nevada, and have now scored 102 points (34.0 PPG) combined during their winning streak (Southern Miss, Utah State, Nevada). The Cougars have one-upped Boise State recently with a winning streak of four games (MTSU, Utah State, Georgia Tech, Houston) in which they have scored 153 points (38.3 PPG).

With all this offense, it is surprising that when these two teams met last season the score was 7-6, with Boise State coming out ahead when the Cougars missed a 2-point conversion late in the game. Besides that contest, these two programs have met only three times since 1992, with the Broncos winning all three SU (1-2 ATS). Boise State will be missing star QB Joe Southwick, who broke his ankle early in the first quarter against Nevada, and he will be replaced by Grant Hedrick.

With Joe Southwick out for the game, QB Grant Hedrick will replace him and attempt to take the Broncos to victory. Hedrick had only 16 attempts before their last game but did complete 12 of them. His real threat is his ability to run. So far this season, Hedrick has rushed for 192 yards on just 15 carries (12.8 YPC) including rumbling for 115 yards (14.4 YPC) and two touchdowns after replacing Southwick against Nevada. He also added 150 yards on 18-of-21 passing in that game, but did throw an interception. With an emphasis most likely being even more on the running this week, HB Jay Ajayi will try to pad his already spectacular numbers. Ajayi ranks 16th in the nation with 766 rushing yards (5.7 YPC) and is tied for the FBS lead in touchdowns scored with Arizona State's Marion Grice (12 TD).

The Broncos do not attempt to stretch the field too often with their passing attack, averaging only 10.4 yards per catch, instead they pick away and wear down opposing defenses. Both WR Matt Miller (454 receiving yards) and WR Shane Williams-Rhodes (396 receiving yards) have caught more than 42 balls this year. The Broncos defense has been stellar in its five wins (16.2 PPG allowed) but has given up an average of 39.0 PPG in their losses to Washington and Fresno State.

BYU put up a season-high 681 total yards against Houston in a 47-46 shootout and they may need to have a similar output in order to defeat Boise State. The Cougars have averaged 503 total YPG this season and can thank their 14th-ranked rushing attack (263 YPG) for much of that. Both QB Taysom Hill (772 rush yards, 6.2 YPC, 7 TD) and HB Jamaal Williams (626 rush yards, 5.0 YPC, 3 TD) have run the ball 124 times this season. Hill is coming off his third 120-yard rushing performance of the season and no one can forget his 259 rushing yards and three touchdowns in the Cougars 40-21 victory over Texas in the second week of the season.

Hill has also thrown the ball quite a bit, with 1,680 yards passing and nine touchdowns on the season. His one big downside is his eight interceptions, with at least one thrown in 6-of-7 games this year, including three last week at Houston. WR Cody Hoffman has been Hill's main target this year with 467 receiving yards on 25 catches (18.7 avg.) and two touchdowns. Hoffman had his best game of the year so far in last week's win, where he caught seven balls for 156 yards and a score. Before giving up 46 points last week, the Cougars were allowing only 17.3 PPG on average to their opposition.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:31 PM

Boise State at BYU

October 24, 2013

This week’s ESPN game on Friday night takes us to Provo where Brigham Young will take on Boise State. As of late Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had BYU (5-2 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) installed as a seven-point favorite with a total of 61 or 61.5.

Gamblers can back Boise State (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) on the money line for a +240 payout (risk $100 to win $240). For first-half wagers, BYU is favored by four with a total of 31.

Bronco Mendenhall’s team has won four in a row while covering the number at a 3-1 clip. BYU knocked Houston from the unbeaten ranks with last Saturday’s 47-46 non-covering win as a 10-point road ‘chalk.’

Trailing 46-41 with 1:08 remaining, Taysom Hill found Skyler Ridley for an 11-yard scoring strike the proved to be the game winner. Hill completed 29-of-44 passes for 417 yards and four touchdowns, but he was also intercepted three times. The southpaw signal caller ran 34 times for 128 yards.

Jamaal Williams rushed for 83 yards and two TDs on 17 carries, but he left the game at one point with a hip pointer. Nevertheless, Williams is ‘probable’ vs. BSU. Cody Hoffman hauled in seven receptions for 156 yards and one TD in the win over Houston.

For the season, Hill has completed 50.6 percent of his throws for 1,680 yards with a 9/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. However, we should point that his accuracy has vastly improved in recent weeks. In three of the last four games, Hill has had completion percentages of 73.7, 70.4 and 65.9. He has eight TD passes compared to four interceptions in the last three contests.

Hill has rushed for a team-high 772 yards and seven TDs, averaging 6.2 yards per carry. Williams has rushed for 626 yards and three TDs, averaging 5.0 YPC. Hoffman is the team’s leading receiver with 25 receptions for 467 yards and two TDs.

Chris Petersen’s team lost senior QB Joe Southwick to a broken ankle on the first play from scrimmage in last Saturday’s 34-17 win over Nevada as a 23.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The 51 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 68.5-point total to end a five-game ‘over’ spree.

Southwick is out for the rest of the regular season. His back-up, junior Grant Hedrick is more of a dual-threat option than Southwick. Hedrick completed 15-of-18 throws for 150 yards against the Wolf Pack, but he made his presence felt with eight carries for 115 rushing yards and two scores.

Hedrick is averaging 12.8 YPC and has four rushing TDs. He has completed 30-of-37 passes for 264 yards with one TD and one interception. His favorite target will be WR Matt Miller, who has hauled in 42 receptions for 454 yards and two TDs. Also, Shane Williams-Rhodes has 45 catches for 396 yards and four TDs. BSU’s ground attack is led by Jay Ajayi, who has 766 rushing yards and 12 TDs. Ajayi averages 5.7 YPC. BYU has one bad loss that came in its season opener. Playing without Hoffman due to a hamstring strain, the Cougars dropped a 19-16 decision at Virginia. Their other loss came at home to arch-rival Utah by a 20-13 count. But BYU has convincing home wins over Texas (40-23) and Ga. Tech (38-20), in addition to solid road triumphs at Utah St. and at Houston.

Boise State lost at Washington in its season opener and then came up short in a 41-40 slugfest at undefeated Fresno St. The Broncos’ best win came at Utah State, but that was after Aggies’ star Chuckie Keeton went down with a season-ending injury in a loss to BYU the prior week.

The ‘over’ is 5-2 overall for BSU, 2-1 in its road assignments. The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for BYU, 2-2 in its home games.

When these schools met on the smurf turf last season, Boise St. captured a 7-6 win in an ugly defensive struggle. The Cougars scored a TD with 3:37 remaining and Mendenhall opted to go for a two-point conversion that failed. Nevertheless, they took the cash as six-point underdogs.

During Petersen’s eight-year tenure, Boise St. has compiled a 4-2 spread record in six games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, Mendenhall has led BYU to a 25-19 ATS mark in 44 games as a home favorite on his watch.

Kickoff on ESPN is slated for 8:00 p.m. Eastern. Temperatures at kickoff could be in the low 60s but will fall into the 40s once the sun goes down.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Missouri’s best cover corner E.J. Gaines is ‘questionable’ vs. South Carolina with a quad issue. Gaines missed the win over Florida, but the Gamecocks have a much more effective aerial attack.

--Although South Carolina QB Connor Shaw was able to do enough at Thursday’s practice to earn the back-up status for Saturday’s game at Missouri, Dylan Thompson will nonetheless get the starting nod and have every chance to go the distance. Thompson started in a 27-17 win at Clemson last year, throwing for 310 yards and three TDs without an interception.

--Maryland will be without its three best players Saturday vs. Clemson. QB C.J. Brown is ‘out’ with an ankle injury and therefore, Caleb Rowe will start under center. WRs Stefon Diggs and Deon Long went down with broken legs in a 34-10 loss at Wake Forest.

--Toledo might be without the nation’s third-leading rusher in RB David Fluellen for Saturday’s crucial MAC contest at Bowling Green. Fluellen, who has rushed for 999 yards, is ‘questionable’ with a sore back.

--On Friday, Kent St. QB Collin Reardon (10/4 TD-INT) was upgraded to ‘probable’ for Saturday’s home game vs. Buffalo.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:42 PM

Tech Trends - Week 9

October 22, 2013

Saturday, Oct. 26


Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA...Mike London 5-14-2 last 21 on board since late 2011. Cavs also 2-10-1 last 13 on line at Charlottesville. Paul Johnson has won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. Hoos. GT, based on series trends.


UCONN at UCF...Huskies 1-5 vs. line TY, 4-11 last 14 on board since early 2012. UCF 14-7 vs. line at home since 2010. O'Leary 14-8 as DD chalk since 2009. UCF, based on team trends.


BALL STATE at AKRON...Pete Lembo 6-2 vs. line TY and 20-7 last 27 on board dating to mid 2011. Cards 26-9 vs. spread last 34 as visitor. Zips 2-7 vs. line as host for Bowden since LY. Ball State, based on team trends.


MIAMI-OHIO at OHIO...RedHawks 1-6 vs. line TY, 5-14 since 2012. Miami 0-4 as road dog TY and 1-9 last 10 in role. Ohio, based on Miami negatives.


BUFFALO at KENT STATE...Buff has won and covered big its last four TY. Flashes 0-3 vs. line as host TY. Buffalo, based on recent trends.


WESTERN MICHIGAN at UMASS...WMU no covers last five TY. Meanwhile, Mass 4-1 vs. line last five in 2013. UMass, based on recent trends.


HOUSTON at RUTGERS...UH 6-0 vs. line TY, now eight straight covers since late 2012. 'Gers 1-4 last five as chalk. UH, based on team trends.


BOSTON COLLEGE at NORTH CAROLINA...BC cover at Clemson was Eagles' first as visitor after 7 straight losses. Heels 6-3 as home chalk for Fedora. UNC, based on extended BC road woes.


CLEMSON at MARYLAND...Clemson has won and covered last three in series. Dabo 4-1 as visiting chalk since LY and 7-1 last 8 vs. line away from home. Clemson, based on team and series trends.


DUKE at VIRGINIA TECH...Home team has covered last four in series. Beamer on upswing with three covers in a row TY. Duke 2-7-1 last ten as dog away from Durham but did win and cover last week at UVa. VT, based on recent trends.


PITTSBURGH at NAVY...Navy 15-8 as dog since 2009. Pitt no covers last three away since late 2012. Navy, based on team trends.


UAB at UTSA...UTSA no covers last three or 4 of last 5 this season, UAB also 1-4 vs. line last 5 and 4-9 last 13 on board. UTSA, based on team trends.


TEMPLE at SMU...Owls have covered 3 of last 4 on road since late last season, although only 8-10 vs. spread since 2012. Ponies just 2-4 vs. line in 2013, 3-4 last 7 as home chalk. Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


EASTERN MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...EMU 1-6 vs. line TY and 5-14 since 2012. NIU has won last 5 meetings, covering four of those, with win margins 37 of more in the four covers. But note Huskies 1-3 laying DD in 2013 after 6-1 mark in role LY. NIU, based on EMU woes.


ARIZONA at COLORADO...Cats failed to cover both of the last two seasons vs. Embree! UA 3-8-1 as visiting chalk since 2008. MacIntyre 17-5 last 22 on board at CU and SJSU. Colorado, based on team trends.

VANDERBILT at TEXAS A&M...Ags 8-5 last 13 on board since late LY, 7-5 last 12 as DD chalk. James Franklin only 3-4 vs. line TY after successes previous two seasons. A&M, based on team trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at AUBURN...Carl Pelini's FAU 6-1 vs. line TY (all as dog) , 5-0 as road dog in 2013, and 11 straight covers as visiting dog since early 2012. Malzahn 2-2 as chalk TY. Gus did not face FAU while at Ark State LY. FAU, based on team trends.


TENNESSEE at ALABAMA...Nick 2-2 as home chalk TY but 4-9 last 13 in role. The Tide has won and covered handily the last three vs. Vols, who have not won SU in series since 2006. UT has covered its last 3 as dog TY, and Butch Jones 7-1 last 8 as dog with Cincy & Vols. Tennessee, based on team trends.


UCLA at OREGON...Bruins covered last meeting in Pac-12 title game of 2011. Mora 5-1 SU and vs. line this season, UO 6-1 vs. line. Mora 5-2 as dog since 2012, Ducks 7-7 vs. line last 14 at home. UCLA, based on team trends.


UTAH at SOUTHERN CAL...SC 5-15 vs. line since 2012 but Troy is 7-3 last 10 as home chalk. Utes 25-14 as dog since '03. Utah, based on team trends.


TULSA at TULANE...Wave has covered last 3 and 5 of 7 this season, while Tulsa 1-5 vs. spread in 2013. But Tulsa has owned this series, winning and covering all eight meetings since joining C-USA in 2005. If Tulane chalk, note Tulsa still 7-4 as road dog since 2009. Slight to Tulsa, based on series trends.


CAL at WASHINGTON...Bears 0-7 vs. line TY and 3-17 dating to 2011. Sonny Dykes now on 0-12 spread run since mid 2012 at La Tech and Cal. Huskies have won and covered last four meetings. UW, based on team and series trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS STATE...WVU 1-6 vs. line last 7 away from Morgantown. Snyder pounded Holgorsen 55-14 LY. Snyder 7-3 as home chalk since LY. KSU, based on recent WVU road negatives.


MICHIGAN STATE at ILLINOIS...MSU 6-1 as visiting favorite since 2010 and 14-3-1 vs. line as visitor since 2008. MSU, based on team trends.


WAKE FOREST at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Wake 6-14 last 20 as road dog. Al Golden 18-7-1 vs. line since mid 2011. Miami, based on team trends.


NC STATE at FLORIDA STATE...NCS has covered 7 of last 8 in series. But Pack is now 1-8 vs. line last 9 away from Raleigh dating to mid 2011. Jimbo in revenge mode from LY's 17-16 loss and is now 8-2 last 10 as Doak Campbell chalk. FSU, based on recent team trends.


TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA...Home team has won last 9 meetings SU and covered last 7 in this wild series. But TT 10-3 vs. spread as visitor since 2011. Slight to Texas Tech, based on team trends.


TEXAS at TCU...Mack only 6-9 as dog since 2009. Horns 1-4 vs. line last 5 as visitor. TCU just 6-14-1 last 21 on board since late 2011 and 1-7 last 8 in Fort Worth. Slight to Texas, based on team trends.


NORTHWESTERN at IOWA...NU his lost pointspread mojo with five straight Ls after 14-1 mark in previous 15 for Fitz. Cats have won and covered 4 of last 5 vs. Iowa and are 8-3 vs. line last 11 away from Evanston. Ferentz just 2-5 vs. line last 7 at Iowa City. NU, based on series and team trends.

UNLV at NEVADA...Pack has won last 8 Fremont Cannon games (6-2 vs. line). UNLV 1-24 SU last 25 away. Nevada, based on series trends.

WYOMING at SAN JOSE STATE...Caragher now 4-2 vs. line with SJSU, which is now 17-4 last 21 on board. If Wyo a dog however note 15-4 spread mark in role as visitor since Christensen arrived in 2009. He's 19-8 vs. spread overall as visitor that span. Wyo, based on team trends.

STANFORD at OREGON STATE...Tree 4-1 SU, 3-1-1 vs. line last five in series. Tree 1-2 vs. line away TY after 13-3-1 visitor spread mark 2010-12. OSU 23-10 as dog since 2008. Slight to OSU, based on recent trends.

TROY at WESTERN KENTUCKY...WKU has won and covered last two meetings and has covered 4 of last 5 vs. Troy. Trojans just 7-8 vs. line as visitor since 2011. WKU, based on series and team trends.

NOTRE DAME at AIR FORCE...Force 0-4 vs. line as host TY, 5-18 vs. spread at home since 2010. Irish only 2-6 vs. line last eight on board. Slight to ND, based on Force negatives.

GEORGIA STATE at ULM...GSU now 5 covers in a row! ULM 2-6 last 8 on board since late LY and 2-5 last 7 as chalk. GSU, based on recent trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at TEXAS STATE...Jags have quietly covered last 5 TY. Franchione 1-3 vs. line as host in 2013. USA, based on recent trends.

IDAHO at OLE MISS...Vandals 1-3 vs. line away TY and 3-9-1 last 13 vs. spread on road. Hugh Freeze 5-2 vs. line non-SEC games with Rebs.. Ole Miss, based on Idaho negatives.

NORTH TEXAS at SOUTHERN MISS...USM SU losing streak now at 18, 4-14 vs. line in those games! Mean Green 6-2 last 8 on board since late LY. UNT, based on USM negatives.

LA TECH at FIU...Tech just 2-4 vs. line TY and 2-9 last 11 on board since late 2012. Skip Holtz extended spread numbers 6-21-1 last 28 on board w/USF & FIU. Golden Panthers two covers in a row. FIU, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSOURI...If favored. Spurrier only 4-5-1 as visiting chalk since 2010. Tigers 6-1 vs. line TY. Mizzou, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE...OSU has won and covered 3 of last 4 meetings, but Cowboys no covers last six as visiting chalk. ISU 3-1 last 4 as dog. ISU, based on recent trends.

BAYLOR at KANSAS...Home team has covered last three in series. Can't think of much else that might help Kansas, now 2-6 last 8 vs. line since late LY. Baylor 11-1 vs. line last 112 since mid 2012. Baylor, based on team trends.


NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA...Huskers won last two years by near identical scores (38-14 & 41-14). Gophers 4-8 as dog since LY. Huskers 0-8-1 last 9 as visitor vs. line prior to recent Purdue win. Slight to Nebraska, based on series trends.


LOUISVILLE at SOUTH FLORIDA...USF has covered 3 of past 4 meetings. Ville only 3-4 vs. line TY and Charlie Strong just 2-4 as visiting chalk since 2011. Cards only 9-12 last 20 on board. USF has covers in last two outings TY, but was 5-19-1 previous 25 on board. Taggart 3-1 as dog TY, however, and he's 14-2 as dog since 2011 at WKU & USF! USF, based on Taggart trends.


TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN...Nearby rivals. Rockets 8-2 as visiting dog since 2011 (2-1 TY). BGSU 15-7 last 22 on board since late 2011. Note home team has covered last 4 in series. Slight to BGSU, based on series home trends.


PENN STATE at OHIO STATE...Buckeyes have won and covered three of last four meetings. O'Brien now no covers last 3 away from home, but 4-1 as dog since LY. Urban Meyer 9-2 last 11 on board. Ohio State, based on recent trends.


UTEP at RICE...Owls now 11-3 last 14 vs. line, and have won and covered last 2 and 7 of last 8 vs. UTEP. Rice 9-1 vs. line last 10 meetings, too. UTEP 1-5 vs. line TY, 5-17-1 last 23 on board. Rice, based on team and series trends.


FRESNO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...FSU 1-6 last six vs. number since late LY, but had covered 11 of previous 12. Bulldogs have also covered both of last two years in series. Slight to FSU, based on team trends.


COLORADO STATE at HAWAII...CSU 8-2 vs. line last 10 since late 2012, UH also 7-2 last 9 since late 2012. But Rams just 1-12 as visiting chalk since 2003! Slight to Hawaii, based on CSU road chalk mark.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/25/2013 06:46 PM

ust a terrible night last night....Bouncing back tonight.....


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/24/13 0-­4-­0 0.00% -­2200 Detail
10/22/13 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/19/13 23-­25-­2 47.92% -­2250 Detail
10/18/13 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/17/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
10/15/13 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/12/13 49-­43-­1 53.26% +­850 Detail
10/11/13 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/10/13 3-­3-­0 50.00% -­150 Detail
10/05/13 56-­43-­1 56.57% +­4350 Detail
10/04/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/03/13 5-­1-­0 83.33% +­1950 Detail

Totals 143-­126-­4 53.16% +2200


Friday, October 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boise State - 8:00 PM ET Brigham Young -7 500 POD # 1


Brigham Young - Over 61.5 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/26/2013 09:19 AM

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 71.5)

Bruins' sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley (13 touchdowns, six interceptions) had his poorest effort of the season against Stanford, passing for a season-low 192 yards and being intercepted twice. The Bruins were unable to run effectively without leading rusher Jordon James (463 yards), who remains questionable with an ankle injury.

Ducks QB Marcus Mariota has gone 265 attempts without throwing an interception to set a Pac-12 record and senior Josh Huff (627 receiving yards) and sophomore Bralon Addison (543) share the team lead with 32 receptions. Sophomore Byron Marshall (team-best 746 rushing yards) has stepped up in the absence of De'Anthony Thomas and recorded four consecutive 100-yard outings.

LINE: The Ducks opened as 21.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 70 and is up to 71.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Ducks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks (+34.5, 66)

Fifth-ranked Baylor could easily look past what is expected to be another blowout victory when it travels to Kansas on Saturday, but quarterback Bryce Petty has other ideas. "It's just about a one game at a time kind of mentality,'' Petty said. "To us it doesn't matter where we play or who we play or when we play. It's always about Baylor."

The Jayhawks decided to burn the redshirt of freshman quarterback Montell Cozart during last week's 34-19 loss to Oklahoma as the 6-2, 180-pound star recruit rushed for eight yards on three carries in two series of action. Cozart will likely see more time against Baylor as Weis - who won three Super Bowls as New England Patriots offensive coordinator - tries to resurrect a unit that is averaging a Big 12-worst 18.3 points and ranked 112th among the 123 FBS teams in the nation.

LINE: The Jayhawks opened as 35.5-point home dogs and are now +34.5. The total opened at 66.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing toward the S endzone at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Jayhawks last five home games.
* Bears are 17-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers (-2.5, 53.5)

The Gamecocks began the season ranked seventh but have underperformed and are in danger of falling out of the Top 25 if they can't right the ship this week. Backup quarterback Dylan Thompson will get the start in place of Connor Shaw (knee), meaning they're likely to lean on running back Mike Davis, who has recorded six 100-yard rushing games.

The Tigers' first season in the SEC was derailed by injuries, but Missouri didn't miss a beat with redshirt freshman Maty Mauk under center in last week's 36-17 win over Florida. Mauk stepped in for injured senior James Franklin and passed for 295 yards and a touchdown while adding a rushing score to earn SEC Freshman of the Week honors.

LINE: Missouri opened -3 and is now -2.5. The total opened at 52 and is now 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks last nine conference games.
* Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Furman Paladins at LSU Tigers (-45.5)

The Paladins notched a 27-10 victory over Appalachian State last week thanks to a 98-yard interception return for a touchdown by Gary Wilkins – one of five turnovers forced by the Furman defense. Reese Hannon was efficient for the Paladins, completing 13-of-19 passes for 164 yards and a touchdown, while Hank McCloud contributed 89 yards on 13 rushing attempts.

The Tigers have one of the nation’s top wideout duos, with Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry combining for 95 catches, 1,600 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns through eight games. The Tigers’ air attack has somewhat overshadowed sophomore running back Jeremy Hill, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in four of his last six games, although his 4.0 yards per carry against Ole Miss was his worst mark of the season.

LINE: The Tigers opened as 45.5-point home faves.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s.
TRENDS:

* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
* Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Auburn Tigers (-23.5, 51)

Owls coach Carl Pelini was worried about his team keeping fresh during the bye week, so he made sure to have a full-speed scrimmage at a practice. “The most important thing we get out of these days is full-speed work,” Pelini told the Palm Beach Post. “You don't want to go two weeks between playing full speed.”

After last week's win over Texas A&M put Auburn in control of its own destiny in the SEC West, many see the Tigers as potential national-championship contenders. But Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has his team focused on what's ahead, as in this week's game, rather than the big picture. “The only thing we talked about is this week and Florida Atlantic,” Malzahn said at his weekly news conference. “We're not talking about anything else or thinking about anything else. We're going to keep the same approach.”

LINE: The Tigers opened as 25.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 51.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Owls are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Tigers last six home games.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes (-14.5, 56.5)

Freshman quarterback Christian Hackenberg has taken the reins of the offense and has the Nittany Lions ranked 26th in the nation in passing (283.7 yards per game), and he'll need to be sharp against an Ohio State defense that doesn't give up much on the ground. It helps that Hackenberg has the Big Ten's top receiver in Allen Robinson, who has 43 receptions for 705 yards and five TDs.

The Buckeyes have been prone to slow starts in their three conference games but have outscored opponents 58-27 in the second half over that span. Ohio State ranks 18th in the nation in total offense (494.6 yards per game) led by quarterback Braxton Miller (831 passing yards, 8 TDs; 335 rushing yards) and has been especially strong on the ground with Carlos Hyde (443 yards, 5 TDs) and Jordan Hall (438 yards, 8 TDs) leading the way.

LINE: The Buckeyes opened as 14-point home faves and are now -14.5. The total opened at 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s and wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Ohio State.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last five games overall.

Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs (+7.5, 62)

Bulldgos Davante Adams continues his meteoric rise as one of the nation's top wide receivers. He tied a school record with four touchdown receptions last week and remains the nation’s active career leader in receptions (8.5) and receiving yards per game (106.8). He’ll be up against a San Diego State secondary that allows an average of 280.2 passing yards a game, 15th most in the nation.

The Aztecs have been wildly inconsistent in the fourth quarter over the last month. They blew a nine-point lead with less than three minutes remaining in a loss to Oregon State on Sept. 21, outscored New Mexico State 15-0 in the final quarter of a 10-point win the following week, blew a 21-point lead against Nevada before winning in overtime and then stormed back from a 14-point deficit in their most recent game, a 27-20 victory at Air Force.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 8.5-point road faves and are now -7.5. The total opened at 61.5 and is up to 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing toward the E endzone at 4 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last seven games following a bye week.

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+3.5, 56.5)

The Cardinal have excelled under the steady guidance of quarterback Kevin Hogan (62.9 completion rate, 13 touchdowns, five interceptions), who is 11-1 as a starter. Hogan's top target is wide receiver Ty Montgomery (36 catches, 15.7 yards per reception, five TDs) and the junior is also a major threat on special teams as he has returned two kickoffs for scores.

The Beavers, who have played only one home game since Sept. 7, are tied with Missouri for the most interceptions with 14 while cornerback Steven Nelson shares the national lead with five. QB Sean Mannion, who leads the nation in touchdown passes (29) and yards (2,992), faces a defense which is tied for 22nd in the nation with 19 sacks.

LINE: The Beavers opened as 5.5-point home dogs and are now +3.5. The total opened at 55 and is up to 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oregon State.
* Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/26/2013 09:24 AM

Essential betting tidbits for Week 9 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The South Florida Bulls are 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in the last four home meetings with the Louisville Cardinals.

- The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones are 12.5-point home dogs Saturday.

- The Nebraska Cornhuskers have won 16 straight meetings with the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

- The Houston Cougars are tops in the nation with 6-0-0 ATS. The Cougars are 7-point road dogs at Rutgers Saturday.

- Under bettors will have been targeting the Akron Zips recently. The Under is 13-3 in the Zips last 16 games. Saturday's total against Ball State is 52.5.

- The UConn Huskies are mired in a seven-game losing streak and are 1-6 ATS in that stretch. The Huskies are 23-point road dogs at Central Florida.

- The Under is 7-1 in the previous eight meetings between Northwestern and Iowa. Saturday's total is 52.5.

- Since getting blown out by Clemson, Wake Forest is 2-0 SU and ATS with wins over NC State and Maryland. The Deacons are 24-point road dogs at the Miami Hurricanes Saturday.

- Texas A&M has scored at least 40 points in a school-record and FBS-leading 10 consecutive games.

- Virginia leads the nation in third-down defense, forcing fourth down 73.4 percent of the time. The Cavaliers are 10-point home dogs against Georgia Tech.

- The Under is 6-0 in Navy's last six home games. The Middies host Pitt with a total of 52.

- The Ohio Bobcats have won six of the last seven meetings with Miami (Ohio) and are 5-2 ATS over that stretch. The Bobcats are 25-point home faves Saturday.

- Something goes awry with Toledo coming off a bye week. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games following a bye. They are 4-point road dogs at Bowling Green Saturday.

- The SMU Mustangs are 14-point faves with Temple in town Saturday. The Mustangs are 0-1 ATS as favorites thus far this year.

- Northern Illinois RB Jordan Lynch leads all active FBS players with 17 100-yard rushing games.

- The dog is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between Buffalo and Kent State.

- The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between Illinois and Michigan State. The Spartans are 9.5-point road faves Saturday.

- Tulsa is 8-0 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings with Tulane. The Golden Hurricane are 3-point road faves this time around.

- Since outscoring its opponents 159-41 during its 4-0 start, Maryland has been outscored 123-37 while going 1-2 over its last three contests. The Clemson Tigers are 16.5-point road faves at Maryland Saturday.

- If the Florida State Seminoles defeat the North Carolina State Wolfpack, it will be the 'Noles first 7-0 start since winning the national title in 1999. The 'Noles are 32-point home faves.

- Oklahoma has allowed only two teams to go over 200 yards passing, led by Tulsa’s 226-yard effort on Sept. 14. The Sooners host Texas Tech, which is averaging 416.4 passing yards.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies lead the all-time series with the Duke Blue Devils 13-7, but have won 12 straight. The Hokies are 13.5-point faves Saturday.

- The Tennessee Volunteers have lost nine consecutive SEC road contests. The Volunteers are at Alabama as 28-point dogs Saturday.

- The top Covers consensus pick on totals is the Under 58.5 in the Boston College at North Carolina matchup (65 percent).

- The Over is 8-1 in the previous nine meetings between Rice and UTEP. Saturday's total is currently 59.

- Special teams will be a factor between West Virginia and Kansas State. The Mountaineers rank third nationally in net punting. Kansas State ranks first in the country with an average of 24.7 yards per punt return.

- The Troy Trojans still lead the nation with a 7-0-0 O/U record. Troy is at Western Kentucky with a total of 62.

- The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between Notre Dame and Air Force. The Irish are 19.5-point road faves.

- The Under is 4-0 in UTSA's last four conference games. The Roadrunners host UAB with a total of 59.5 Saturday.

- The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are 5.5-point road faves at Florida International.

- The Nevada Wolf Pack are the top Covers consensus pick this week at 73 percent. The Pack are 6.5-point home faves over UNLV.

- Oregon is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS in the last four meetings with UCLA at Autzen Stadium. The Ducks are 23.5-point home faves Saturday.

- The Under is 7-3 ATS in Southern Mississippi's last 10 home games. The Golden Eagles are 11.5-point home dogs against North Texas.

- The South Alabama Jaguars are on hot streak against the spread. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and are 2-point road faves at Texas State.

- Baylor has scored 70 or more points four times this season - it accomplished that feat three times in its first 111 years of football.

- The Over is 5-1-1 in San Jose State's last seven conference games. The Spartans host Wyoming with a total of 71.5.

- Missouri has forced a turnover in 37 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS. The Tigers' 14 interceptions are tied for the most in the nation.

- It's homecoming at Ole Miss Saturday. The Rebels have won 14 of their last 16 homecoming games and are 41-point faves against Idaho Saturday evening.

- Auburn is a big 23.5-point home fave with Florida Atlantic in town, but the Owls are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.

- The Texas Longhorns are 20-5 after a bye week under head coach Mack Brown. Texas is a 2.5-point road dog at TCU after its most recent bye week.

- The Over is 10-1 in Penn State's last 11 Big 10 matchups. Saturday's total is 55 as the Nittany Lions travel to Ohio State.

- Arizona’s 56-31 victory last season was just its second in 15 games with the Colorado Buffaloes. The Wildcats are 13-point road faves Saturday evening.

- The San Diego State Aztecs have won their last four home games against Fresno State but are 1-3 ATS in that stretch. The Aztecs are 7.5-point road faves.

- The Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between Stanford and Oregon State at Reser Stadium. Saturday's total is currently 56 this time around.

- The Cal Golden Bears are the only FBS team to not cover a spread this season. The Bears are 0-7 ATS and are 27.5-point road dogs at Washington.

- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the previous four meetings between Hawaii and Colorado State. Hawaii is a 2.5-point road dog Saturday and are 2-1 ATS in its home games this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/26/2013 09:25 AM

Texas Tech at Oklahoma: What bettors need to know

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 59)

Texas Tech worked its way to the top of the Big 12 under first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury on the back of a strong passing attack. The ninth-ranked Red Raiders get their biggest test yet when they visit No. 12 Oklahoma on Saturday. Texas Tech is averaging 416.4 passing yards but has yet to face a defense like the Sooners, who are surrendering the fewest yards in the Big 12.

Kingsbury is putting his faith in a pair of freshmen quarterbacks including Davis Webb, who delivered with 462 yards and two touchdowns in his first career road start at West Virginia last week. Oklahoma is allowing opposing passers a nation-low 149.7 yards but was burned by the big play in its lone loss against Texas. The Red Raiders notched road victories in two of their last three games but struggle running the ball - something they could be forced to go to against the Sooners.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Oklahoma opened as a 8-point favorite and has been bet down to -6.5. The total has moved from 59.5 to 59.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 49 percent chance of thunderstorms and wind blowing SSW at 7 mph.

TEXAS TECH (7-0, 4-0 Big 12, 5-2 ATS): The Red Raiders are second in the nation in passing yards but rank 98th in rushing average and are still waiting for their first 100-yard rusher this season. Kingsbury shifted from one freshman quarterback to another when Baker Mayfield (knee) got hurt, and Webb stepped right up like nothing ever happened with over 400 yards in each of the last two games - wins over Iowa State and West Virginia. Kingsbury is not sure which freshman will get the nod Saturday, depending on Mayfield’s health. “We’ll see how Baker feels and take it from there,” Kingsbury said.

OKLAHOMA (6-1, 3-1, 3-4 ATS): The Sooners roll the opposite way, leaning on the running game for an average of 227.9 yards while quarterback Blake Bell provides a dual threat under center. Oklahoma held the Longhorns under 200 yards passing in the 36-20 loss on Oct. 12, but were burned by passing touchdowns of 59 and 38 yards. The Sooners cleaned up those mistakes in a 34-19 victory at Kansas last week, holding the Jayhawks to a total of 16 passing yards.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The last time Texas Tech visited Oklahoma, on Oct. 22, 2001, the Red Raiders snapped the Sooners’ NCAA-best 39-game home win streak.

2. Texas Tech is looking for its first 8-0 start since beginning the 2008 campaign with 10 consecutive victories.

3. Oklahoma has allowed only two teams to go over 200 yards passing, led by Tulsa’s 226-yard effort on Sept. 14.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
10/26/2013 09:27 AM

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Here is a look at some of the notable weather around college football stadiums for Saturday's matchups:

Ball State Cardinals at Akron Zips

Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 20 mph.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes

Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

Houston Cougars at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Wind will blow toward the NE endzone at 11 mph.

Northwestern Wildcats at Iowa Hawkeyes

Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones

Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 14 mph.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas A&M Aggies

There is a 20 percent chance of rain at Kyle Field.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Cavaliers

Wind will blow across the field at 11 mph.

Miami (OH) Red Hawks at Ohio Bobcats

Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons

There is a 15 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 20 mph.

Western Michigan Broncos at Massachusetts Minutemen

Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.

Temple Owls at SMU Mustangs

There is a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes

Wind will blow across the field at 20 mph.

Michigan State Spartans at Illinois Fighting Illini

Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Northern Illinois Huskies

Wind will blow across the field at 17 mph.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners

Forecasts are calling for a 68 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Troy Trojans at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Wind will blow across the field at 12 mph.

Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks

Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 8 mph.

South Alabama Jaguars at Texas State Bobcats

There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs

There is a 70 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Colorado State Rams at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: