jimmythegreek Posts:11430 Followers:384
On 09/29/2013 07:44 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 4

Kansas City -4 over NYG:
Defense has been the key as well as a dominant running game to support the undefeated Chiefs (3-0) who have seen two of those wins come against the NFC East consecutively. That doesn't bode well for the winless and under protective Giants who have already been sacked 11 times in just 3 games. Kansas City looks to continue the trend this afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium.

The pass rush was clicking on all cylinders in their Thursday night 26-16 win over Philadelphia sacking Michael Vick 6 times while forcing 5 turnovers. Their +9 turnover ratio is a far cry from 2012' s league worst margin of -24. They've also recorded 15 sacks so far with half of them coming from Justin Houston who recorded 4.5 alone in the win over the Eagles. The opposition would need to establish a pregame plan in order to endure offensive success as teams have averaged only 309 total yards through the first 3 games. The Giants, who have yet to find their offense are tops in the league with 13 turnovers are last in the NFL in rushing at 44.3 yards per game and are giving up an average of 129 overall on the ground.

Kansas City has completely shut down the opposition's No. 2 receiving option so far this season, allowing a combined eight catches for 74 yards and zero touchdowns to Ace Sanders, Miles Austin and Riley Cooper. With Victor Cruz being Peyton Manning's obvious go-to target right now, Hakeem Nicks could struggle to get looks against the Chiefs. Manning (67/114 931 5 TD 8 INT) was sacked 7 times by Carolina in a 38-0 blowout loss last week. Cruz (16-261 3 TD) hasn't hit paydirt since week 1 where he scored all of his 3 TD in a loss to Dallas.

Alex Smith (64/105 669 4 TD) has not thrown a pick all season and may have one of his breakout games feasting on one of the league's most vulnerable defenses. The Giants are allowing a league-worst 38.3 points per game and rank 24th in total defense yielding 382 yards per contest. Smith has adjusted well to Andy Reid's West Coast offense in his first year in Kansas City and appears on track to perhaps have the best statistical season of his career. Week 4 against the Giants presents as good of an opportunity as any for Jamaal Charles (52-224 4.3 2 TD) to break the 100 yard barrier. Running backs are averaging 112 rushing yards per game against New York, which includes a 120-yard performance from DeAngelo Williams in Week 3. Donnie Avery (11-190 1 TD) could also have a big game if big blue doesn't maintain their secondary man to man routes and contain Smith's options.

Kansas City's front-seven is scary. Their pass defense is 6th in the league. What's more is that their defensive line and linebacker groups make up one of the toughest front-sevens in the league. This is a terrifying group, and a group that will stop the Giants offense from doing much of anything Sunday.



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finance Posts:8709 Followers:228
09/29/2013 07:56 AM

Good luck jtg!

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jimmythegreek Posts:11430 Followers:384
09/29/2013 08:04 AM

Indianapolis -9.5 over Jacksonville:
The Colts (2-1) cquired running back Trent Richardson from Cleveland earlier in the week and wasted no time employing a style that many observers thought it wasn't capable of playing. Facing a big and physical San Francisco team, the Colts outplayed the 49ers in the trenches and wore them down en route to a 27-7 road victory Sunday. Jacksonville (0-3) gave up 156 rushing yards in a 45-17 loss at Seattle on Sunday and has the worst run defense in the NFL at 167.7 allowed yards per game. The defeat was the franchise-worst eighth overall for the Jaguars, who have allowed 29.1 points per game while dropping 15 of 16.

Ahmad Bradshaw (41-186 4.5 2 TD) will not play this afternoon due to a sore neck but gained 95 yards on 19 carries (5.0) and a score in last weeks rout of the 49ers. That gives Richardson who also scored a TD last week and gained 35 yards on 13 carries (2.7) an opportunity to further expedite the running game taking pressure off of Andrew Luck (60/92 658 3 TD 1 INT). Luck in 3 games has also been essential in calling his own number (14-100 7.1 2 TD) while doing some nifty work with his feet. Luck threw for 4,374 yards as a rookie last season, when Indianapolis averaged 104.4 yards on the ground, but he's passed for fewer than 200 yards in two of the first three games.

The Colts defense turned in their best performance of the season limiting San Francisco to just 254 total yards while sacking Colin Kaepernick 3 times along with an interception. That doesn't bode well for the Jaguars who average only 230 yards through the first 3 games. They are likely to get starting QB Blaine Gabbert (16/35 121 1 TD 2 INT) back this afternoon. The Jaguars would like to get star running back Maurice Jones-Drew going, but he's averaging a career-low 2.6 yards per carry while battling an ankle injury. Jacksonville (0-3) gave up 156 rushing yards in a 45-17 loss at Seattle on Sunday and has the worst run defense in the NFL at 167.7 allowed yards per game. Indianapolis ranks 26th in the league against the run at 129.0 yards a game.

Without being able to get a ground game going and not being able to stop the run, the Jaguars seem to always lose the battle of field position and cannot get anything going downfield. Their 52 rushing average per contest is right near the bottom of the barrel in the league. Indianapolis also doesn’t turn the ball over and created turnovers on their own. They have a +4 turnover ratio, control the line of scrimmage and have committed only seven penalties all year. Luck will have his way finding Reggie Wayne (17-200 1 TD) and TY Hilton (11-157) and this one will be done with early with potential to get ugly.

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jimmythegreek Posts:11430 Followers:384
09/29/2013 08:34 AM

Seattle -2.5 over Houston:
Seattle (3-0) has the league's stingiest defense, something that head coach PEte Carroll has always stressed as the recipe for success primarily this season. The unbeaten Seahawks are allowing an NFL-best 241.7 yards per game, and its 10 forced turnovers are tied for second-most. It has given up a league-low 27 points and had three takeaways in last week's 45-17 win over Jacksonville. Houston (2-1) boasts the league's second-ranked defensive unit that allows an average of 249.0 yards per game, but it has forced only one turnover while the offense has given up the ball four times.

Seattle has also averaged 29 points per game, with a lot of the credit going to the defensive unit making plays setting up opportunities for Russell Wilson (47/73 664 6 TD 2 INT). Of course your options are nice when you have Marshawn Lynch (62-210 3.4 2 TD). Lynch carried 17 times for 68 yards last week (4.0) but was unable to find the end zone. Lynch could have his work cut out for him on the ground in week 4 but his versatility also makes him a factor in the short and screen corner passing game. Doug Baldwin (9-177 1 TD) and Golden Tate (10-158) are Wilson's top targets. Wilson threw for 4 scores against Jacksonville, 2 each to Sidney Rice and Zach Miller and could give Houston's secondary fits this afternoon given the choices out in the flat and running deeper routes.

Houston was unable to make this a meeting of unbeaten teams as it was hammered 30-9 in Baltimore last weekend. The Texans had rallied to win each of their first two games, but couldn't overcome 17 straight points scored by the Ravens in the second quarter. Matt Schaub (85/128 838 6 TD 4 INT) was intercepted on the team's first drive for the second time and had a pick returned for a touchdown for the second consecutive game. The Texans also allowed an 82-yard punt return for a score and committed a franchise-record 14 penalties.

Andre Johnson is easing his way back to practice after being forced out against the Ravens with a bruised shin. He also suffered a concussion in a 30-24 overtime win over Tennessee the week prior. He is expected to play against Seattle. Arian Foster (49-190 3.9 1 TD) rushed only 12 times for 54 yards last week while Schaub finished 25 of 35 for 194 yards. Houston had 264 total yards after averaging 450.5 over its first two games. Foster's job won't get any easier against the Seahawks this week – Seattle allowed 17 points to Jacksonville last week, but it sat most of its starters in the final two quarters and held Jaguars' running back Maurice Jones-Drew to just 43 yards on 19 carries. The Seahawks also stuffed Frank Gore in Week 2, but they allowed Carolina's DeAngelo Williams to run for 86 yards in Week 1, and quarterback Cam Newton also added 38 yards on the ground.

The Seahawks know this with be a defensive battle which may benefit those of you looking at the under. Seattle will be able to get the ground game going in order to keep the Texans on their feet and to open the field to make some plays in the air. Also, the Seahawks feisty secondary will most likely get some double coverage on Johnson and are capable of putting pressure on Schaub which may mean more touches for a struggling Foster.



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jimmythegreek Posts:11430 Followers:384
09/29/2013 08:48 AM

Chicago/Detroit over 49:
Looking for their first 4-0 start in seven years, the visiting Bears (3-0) try to continue their success against the Lions (2-1) on Sunday. For the second time in four years, Chicago is undefeated through three games thanks to the ball-hawking approach of its defense. Major Wright returned an interception 38 yards for a touchdown and Julius Peppers took a recovered fumble 42 yards for a score as the Bears forced five turnovers in a 40-23 win at Pittsburgh last Sunday. Though the Bears are tied for 19th in scoring defense at 24.7 points per game and rank 25th in yards allowed at 383.0, they've scored three defensive touchdowns in the last two games while recovering six fumbles and intercepting five passes in 2013.

Jay Cutler (68/101 693 6 TD 3 INT) is off to a fast start and has spread the ball nicely to a receiving core led by Brandon Marshall (20-269 2 TD) and Martellius Bennett (21-135 3 TD). Matt Forte (55-225 4.1 2 TD) also sets the offense up with a dual threat (20-138) that has made opposing defenses forced to play cover 2 leaving opportunities for Cutler to feast. When Chicago is healthy and running on all cylinders they use their depth to their advantage on both sides of the ball.

Detroit can grab a share of the early division lead Sunday after earning its first-ever win at Washington last week, 27-20.The return of Reggie Bush from a knee injury could boost an already potent offense that ranks fourth in the NFL with 410.7 yards per game and sixth at 27.3 points a contest. Bush can also emerge as a single back set doing double duty considering the fate of Nate Burleson. The veteran, who has a team-leading 19 receptions for 116 yards and made six catches against the Redskins, suffered a broken arm in a single-car accident early Tuesday when he reached over to keep two pizza boxes from falling off the front passenger seat.

The Lions may have to rely more on second-year receiver Ryan Broyles, who made three catches for 34 yards Sunday in his first game since suffering a season-ending knee injury in December. Broyles had three catches for 51 yards and a touchdown in Detroit's 13-7 loss at Chicago on Oct. 22. Either way you slice it, Matthew Stafford (77/121 1020 6 TD 2 INT) will be keeping the hungry Detroit offense looking for every opportunity to show why they are a force to be reckoned with.

Chicago's defense is giving up an uncharacteristic 24.7 points per game, but the offense is averaging 31.7 points to ease the burden on the defense. If the Lions are smart, they’ll make sure Chris Houston is always covering Brandon Marshall because Rashean Mathis and rookie Darius Slay would struggle to contain someone of his talent. Over as in rover all day.

Best of luck to all in week 4!
YTD 8-4 .667


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jimmythegreek Posts:11430 Followers:384
09/29/2013 04:47 PM

Who's got a broom??? No seriously who's gotta freaking broom??!!! We swept Saturday's best bets giving you Miami and Oregon later at night, and Sunday we follow it up with a sweep of the 1pm EST's in dramatic fashion going 4-0 thanks to a 45 yard field goal in OT by Hauschka!


Let's hope we can carry the pigskin momentum into the MLB playoffs next week! Again thanks and congrats to all that followed!


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marksmoneymakers Posts:19618 Followers:140
09/29/2013 07:00 PM

Awesome!!!!

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