World Series 2011
14 Replies | 1154 ViewsOn 10/19/2011 02:48 PM in MLB
Added info is the weather looks cold and windy tonight. Wind chill will be in the 30's. I get conflicting reports, one saying blowing in, the other saying going left to right. Either way, that helps. Tomorrow, small breeze with a low of 35.
We have two good umps. Layne goes tonight who's zone is fair, doesn't tend to squeeze the plate. Tomorrow it is Gibson who has one of the widest zones of all. He's something like 21 unders out of 30 games this year.
I think both managers play it close to the vest tonight trying to play it one run at a time.
Both aces go tonight. The Cards best chance is with Carpenter. He's the best on both teams and my angle will rely on the Cards getting the win tonight.
Tomorrow, Garcia and Wilson get the starts. Here, at least Garcia pitches much better at home. I'll beg off the side but will hope the weather and ump help this game stay low.
What I did:
Monday I bet the Cards to win the series at +145.
Today I played:
Cards to win game one at -121.
Cards game 1 Under 7.5 at +106
Cards game 2 Under 8 at -105.
The key to this bet is getting the Cards in with the win, regardless of the score in game one.
That way we have one winner and I'll scalp the series price by taking Texas to win the series which I'll guess will be around even money or better.
At that point it will be about picking my spots, if any, in the remaining games.
Worst case for these bets and angle is that Texas wins game one. Then, I'm holding a ticket that may be headed for the bottom of the bird cage.
But, life is a gamble anyway.