jimmythegreek Posts:10898 Followers:378
On 09/22/2013 07:33 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 3

Seattle -19.5 over Jacksonville:
Given the disparity of talent, dominating defense and methodical offense the Seattle Seahawks (2-0) sport on the field throughout the 2013 season and most notably the first 2 victories, they have an even better chance to win their 3rd straight out of the gate for the first time in 7 years. This afternoon at CentruyLink Field, winless Jacksonville (0-2) will certainly have their work cut out for them following 2 losses where they have been outscored 47-11 against one of the NFC's best.

After yielding an NFL-low 15.3 points per game and ranking fourth while giving up 306.2 yards a contest last season, Seattle's defense appears even more dominant in 2013. The Seahawks held Carolina to 253 yards in a 12-7 season-opening road victory, then limited San Francisco to 207 during a 29-3 home rout last Sunday. One week after the 49ers' Colin Kaepernick threw for 412 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in a 34-28 win over Green Bay, Seattle held him to 127 and intercepted three passes. In two games, the Seahawks have allowed one touchdown and 226 passing yards, forced seven turnovers and recorded four sacks. That's all without injured defensive end Chris Clemons, suspended pass rusher Bruce Irvin and cornerback Brandon Browner, who could return after missing the first two with a hamstring injury.

Century Link Field has been known as the loudest 12th man on the field as the raucous crowd continues to break stadium decibel levels courtesy of their fans. While QB Russell Wilson (8/19 142 1 TD 1 INT) was clearly not at his best in a 29-3 rout over their NFC West rival 49ers, Seahawks receivers should have no trouble finding opportunities given the Jaguars secondary is vulnerable to say the least. The luxury for Wilson is for Seattle to succeed he can get away with simply being no better than efficient supported by Marshawn Lynch and the running game along with a defense that makes plays for the offense. Lynch gained 98 on 28 carries (3.5) and ran for 2 scores while catching 3 passes for 37 more yards and another TD. This does not bode well for the Jacksonville defense who in a 19-9 loss to Oakland last week yielded 226 yards on the ground. Doug Baldwin has been the most consistent receiving threat, but that’s not saying a lot. Cliff Avril and Michael Bennett imposed their will up front, while cornerback Richard Sherman and the Legion of Boom shut down the 49ers’ passing game in the secondary. Jacksonville’s best bet is to try and establish some kind of ground attack, but against the league’s top defense that’s a tall order, even with Maurice Jones-Drew.

Chad Henne will make his second straight start in place of the injured Blaine Gabbert. The Jags seem optimistic that Jones-Drew will play after suffering a tendon strain in his left foot last week. Drew was limited to just 34 yards on only 12 carries (2.8) against the Raiders and could struggle once again in week 3. Jordan Todman is the presumed starter if Jones-Drew isn’t able to suit up. Third-year receiver Cecil Shorts has been a bright spot for the Jacksonville offense, catching 11 passes for 133 yards, but with the Jags posing little threat on the ground, Seattle's defense should be free to key on Shorts in the passing game.

Look for Wilson and the Seahawks to try and jump-start the offense through the air and test just how good that Jacksonville secondary really is. Like Louisville's 72 point carnage of Florida International on Saturday, don't even break a sweat laying the 3 TDs, as Wilson and company should have better success moving the ball with the potential for the defense to pitch a shutout this afternoon in front of an unwelcoming Pacific Northwest environment.





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finance Posts:8473 Followers:224
09/22/2013 07:36 AM

Hit 'em hard today jtg!

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jimmythegreek Posts:10898 Followers:378
09/22/2013 07:52 AM

Denver -16 over Oakland (Monday night):
Peyton Manning has sported a 131 passer rating over the first 2 weeks of his second season for Denver (2-0). He followed up his 7 TD performance against Baltimore with 2 more last week in a 41-23 over the NY Giants. Manning is the first QB in NFL history to throw nine touchdowns and no interceptions in the first two weeks of a season. Manning's 307 yards Sunday allowed him to join Dan Marino and Brett Favre as the only players to throw for 60,000 in their careers. Monday night Oakland (1-1) visits the Mile High City coming off their first win of the season at home over Jacksonville and could easily have won their opener in a heartbreaking loss to Indianapolis.

Knowshon Moreno had touchdown runs of 20 and 25 yards and dynamic return man Trindon Holliday ran back a punt 81 yards for another score last week. Peyton's touchdown passes went to Wes Welker and Julius Thomas. The quick strike nature of Denver's arsenal makes them one of the league's most complete offenses to be reckoned with. Chris Clark, who has started just six games over six years in the NFL and signed a two-year extension this week is featured to give Manning the best protection. Meanwhile, veteran Winston Justice, who started 12 games for Indianapolis last season, was inked to a deal Wednesday as insurance.

The Raiders (1-1) feel they have their own threat under center in Terrelle Pryor, who threw for 126 yards and ran for another 50 last week after rushing for 112 yards against the Colts. Well folks, sorry to report but comparing Terrelle Pryor to Peyton Manning is like comparing chateaubriand to olive loaf. Pryor has made just 6 career starts, and while his mobility and efficiency has so far proved successful, he may need to match wits against a Broncos offense that has averaged 45 points and 463 yards per game thus far.

Darren McFadden carried 19 times for 129 yards against the Jaguars, but Denver has allowed a league-low 81 rushing yards. Given that stingy defense and an offense that possesses other weapons in Welker and Thomas, the Raiders will have their hands full all afternoon on both sides of the ball. Champ Bailey, who practiced with Denver on Thursday for the first time since hurting his left foot last month is expected to return.

The disparity is almost mind boggling when you think about the advantage Manning has. If you cover Demaryius Thomas, Welker is going to get open. If you check both of those difference-makers, Eric Decker may jump up and bite you and if by some miracle, you lock down all the receivers, here comes Thomas, a 6-foot-5, 245-pound runaway locomotive in the open field. Look for the Broncos to have their way early behind Manning and company while their defense will contain Oakland who relies on their running game and does not have enough weapons to keep pace.


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jimmythegreek Posts:10898 Followers:378
09/22/2013 08:10 AM

Detroit PK over Washington:
There are big concerns in DC as Robert Griffin III hasn't looked the same since tearing his ACL in the playoffs, and his slow starts have contributed to the team falling behind by a combined 64-7 in two losses. Last season's Offensive Rookie of the Year has completed 11 of 24 passes for 160 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions in the first half, compared to 45 of 65 for 489 yards with five scores and one pick while playing catch-up in the second. Washington (0-2) hosts Detroit (1-1) this afternoon at Fed Ex Field hoping to finally break the pattern of a slow-starting offense and a vulnerable defense falling behind way too early to overcome large deficits.

Over the first 2 games, it's easy to question Washington's heart and desire especially considering digging themselves early holes and most of RG3's success coming with the outcome already decided. Mike Shanahan knows that he can't let slow starts allowthe opposition to take advantage. Griffin at times puts too much pressure on himself and will have to use a mix of short and over the middle routes with the running game to contribute regularly. While you anticipate Griffin calling his own number, Alfred Morris notched 107 yards in the loss against Green Bay and will have to have a big game in order for Washington to be successful.

Washington has allowed an NFL-worst 511.5 yards per game and the second-most points (71) after losing 38-20 at Green Bay last Sunday. Aaron Rodgers picked apart its secondary for a franchise record-tying 480 yards and four touchdowns while James Starks ran for 132, marking the first time in league history a team had a 450-yard passer and 125-yard rusher in the same game. That doesn't bode well for the Redskins heading into a matchup with a Detroit offense that ranks among the NFL's top eight in yards (395.5 per game) and points (27.5).

Matthew Stafford has thus far completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 635 yards. He's thrown four touchdown passes including 2 to Calvin Johnson in last week's 25-21 heartbreaking loss at Arizona, and only one pick. Top targets Calvin Johnson and Nate Burleson have a combined 23 catches for 276 yards, while Reggie Bush and Joique Bell have 17 receptions for 253.With Bush taking a helmet to the knee last week, Detroit's offense went scoreless in the second half. Bell will likely get the majority of the snaps if Bush and start if Bush can't go this afternoon. That may be irrelevant since the Lions will look to air it out as much as possible against a Washington secondary that couldn't stop a nose bleed.

Defensively, the Lions are 15th in total yards allowed per game and are just looking for some consistency, especially from the secondary. Cornerback Chris Houston will have the task of checking the explosive Pierre Garcon for most of the game. He will be the key defensively for this team. The goal for Houston will be to remain focused and not allow Garcon to lull him to sleep with quick underneath passes and then surprise him with the long ball. The defensive line will need to contain this week as RGIII’s frustration might motivate him to make some plays with his feet.




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jimmythegreek Posts:10898 Followers:378
09/22/2013 08:36 AM

Houston/Baltimore over 44.5:
It's nice to see that Houston, unlike Washington has the big play game ability to come from behind against the opposition through the first 2 games. Houston (2-0) could very well find themselves in the same situation when it travels to Baltimore (1-1) who thus far has looked nothing like the Super Bowl runners up of 2012.

The Texans scored in five plays on its opening drive against the Titans, then was mostly ineffective until tying the game on Arian Foster's touchdown run and two-point conversion with 1:53 to go in the fourth. It was a similar story a week earlier as the Texans went scoreless for a 28-minute span in the middle of the game.Houston has trailed by 21 and 8 points respectively in come from behind wins over San Diego and Tennessee. However for QB Matt Schaub (60/93 644 6 TD 3 INT) that'll suit him fine not necessarily putting a definitive timeline on when to win but moreso on how to win. Schaub threw for nearly 300 yards last week but hopes to find more consistency in week 3. Houston hopes to have star receiver Andre Johnson available against Baltimore. His status is uncertain after sustaining a concussion Sunday on a fourth-quarter hit from Bernard Pollard, who was later fined $42,000. Johnson caught 8 passes for 76 yards before exiting.

The Ravens are also dealing with an injury to a star player. Running back Ray Rice left last Sunday's 14-6 win over Cleveland with a strained left hip flexor. He likely won't practice this week and is not a sure bet to play against Houston, although his injury didn't require an MRI. Bernard Pierce could get the start. Pierce had a touchdown run against the Browns and finished with 57 yards on 19 carries.Meanwhile If Joe Flacco (56/95 573 3 TD 2 INT) is hoping to bounce back from a disappointing Week 2 performance, a date with the Texans could be just what he needs. The Texans' defense has not been quite as sharp as expected through the first two games of the season, surrendering six passing touchdowns. In a matchup of what have been two traditionally strong defenses, the passing games could end up making a big impact. You cannot totally blame Flacco for Baltimore's misfortunes on offense. Receivers like Marlon Brown, Ed Dickson and Dallas Clark have had their core share of opportunities but must hold on to the ball to endure success in the passing game.

Defensively, the Ravens will have to close the gaps and not allow Arian Foster (37-136 3.6 1 TD) to get big gains on the ground. The Ravens come started off the a sloppy start this season and have to play better if they want to defend their title this year. Of course there's always Ben Tate (18-148 8.2) to deal with who despite normally more called on in shorter situations has thrived as Houston's leading rusher. The Texans passing game will have a big game especially if Johnson is a go. Baltimore's secondary has really struggled and has allowed on average 320 passing yards in their two games this season.


Best of luck to all in week 3!
YTD 5-3 .625


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