coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:38 AM

In 4 seasons under Shanahan, Redskins have covered only 3 times as a home favorite.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:38 AM

- The Green Bay Packers secondary could be without CB Tramon Williams, S Morgan Burnett and CB Casey Hayward against Cincinnati. The Pack already own the league's third-worst passing defense yielding 359 yards per game.

- The Bengals are 0-5 O/U in their last five games at Paul Brown Stadium. The total for the matchup with Green Bay is currently 49.5.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:39 AM

Cover Watch: Jacksonville (+19.5) at Seattle

Jacksonville is really, really bad. Seattle is really, really good. And at home, Seattle is extra good.

But 19-and-a-half points?

According to Spreadapedia, this is the highest September point spread in the NFL since at least 1978. And the record of a favorite this huge covering the spread is really, really bad.

Teams favored by 17 or more points are 16-26-3 against the spread since 1978. Teams favored by 17 or more points are even worse ATS in recent years: 4-11-2 since 2000. And when we start getting near 20? Teams favored by 19 or more points are 2-9 ATS since 1978.

Favorites have won the past 22 straight games with lines of 17 or more points. No favorite this large has lost outright since the 1995 Cowboys were upset by Washington 24-17 in Week 14 of 1995, so Seattle is almost assured of winning this game. It just takes one or two strange bounces or late drives to turn a Seattle blowout into just another satisfying (but point-spread-failing) 17-point win over the lowly Jaguars.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:44 AM


  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:44 AM

Jacksonville WR Mike Brown is doubtful Sunday. TE Marcedes Lewis is out

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:45 AM

San Francisco QB Colin Kaepernick, LB Aldon Smith are probable Sunday. TE Vernon Davis, DE Ray McDonald, S Ed Reid, RB LaMichael James are ?

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:46 AM

Houston walloped Baltimore last year in a 43-13 home win as -6½ point favorites.It was a dominant effort by the Texans, who held a 420-176 edge in total offense,a 27-12 edge in FDs, a 181-55 edge in rushing and a 38:16 to 21:44 edge in time-of-possession. Houston is 8-0 ATS in games where the line is between +3 and -3 and 7-1 ATS against AFC North opponents,

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:46 AM

Browns getting it all week long


  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:46 AM

Since Jason Garrett took over as coach, Cowboys have played 29 games decided by seven points or fewer, most in NFL (15-14, .517).

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0
coleryan Posts:13941 Followers:20
09/22/2013 10:46 AM

Coach Shanahan’s last 26 games as home favorite (at Washington & Denver): covered 5 and lost 21 against the spread.

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-8-0