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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:05 AM
Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings - Open: -3.5, Move: -5, Move: -7

The anemic Cleveland Browns offense will play their first game since trading RB Trent Richardson. The Browns only had 112 rushing yards before the trade and now bettors are all over the Vikings.

"On Monday morning we got sharp action on the Vikes so we moved to -5," says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. "Then, after the Browns announced they traded Trent Richardson, moved game to current number of 7."

According to Perry, 90 percent of cash is on the Vikings.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:05 AM

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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:06 AM
We also like to post some great picks from around the league to include pro Dave Tuley


Matchup: San Diego Chargers at Tennessee Titans

Spread: Titans -3
Public consensus pick: 55 percent picked Chargers


Public perception: The public is fairly split on these two early-season surprise teams (both 2-0 ATS with 1 outright upset apiece and each with a cover in a straight-up loss to the Texans) but slightly leaning toward the Chargers, as their upset of the Eagles looks better than the Titans upset of the Steelers.

Wiseguys' view: This line has been split all week with the sharps who like the Chargers plus-3.5, while those on the Titans laying just 3. Many will take both sides hoping that it lands with Titans winning by exactly 3 so they cash the plus-3.5 while getting a refund on the minus-3.

Tuley's Take: I've been on the Chargers both weeks, so I can say I saw them coming. But I wasn't high on the Titans this year, even as 'dogs. The Titans are in a tough spot, as teams that overachieve as underdogs are usually bad bets when dressed up as a favorite. I also agree that the Chargers' upset of the Eagles was more impressive than the Titans' win over the Steelers.

The pick: Chargers
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:08 AM
LINE MOVES

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots - Open: 44, Move: 43.5

Tom Brady and the Pats could very well be the most maligned 2-0 football team in recent memory. The Pats squeaked by both the Bills and Jets and haven't put too many points up on the board in the process. That said, the sharps and betting public have differing views on the total.

"There is a sharp versus public split on the total," an oddsmaker with BetDSI tells Covers. "Sharps are backing the over 43.5 and public money betting the under any number."
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:08 AM
- The Texans have started the season 0-2 ATS. The last time they started 0-2 ATS was the 2008 season. They covered in Week 3 and finished the season 8-8 SU and ATS.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:08 AM
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers (-10, 46.5)

The move to snag Trent Richardson solidifies Indianapolis' commitment to the power-run game - a tactic first broached when the Colts acquired Ahmad Bradshaw in the offseason. Now, with a player head coach Chuck Pagano describes as a "rolling ball of butcher knives," Indianapolis believes it is poised to make a run at the AFC championship - and Richardson is a believer. "Playing against these guys twice, just seeing how they are around each other when they're on the sideline, it's been a big change," Richardson told reporters. "They're happy to come to work, and they're ready to go."

Teams are daring 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick to beat them through the air - and while that strategy backfired on Green Bay in Kaepernick's Week 1 explosion against the Green Bay Packers (412 passing yards, three TDs), the Seahawks proved to be far better at it. Running back Frank Gore has struggled the most, compiling just 60 yards on 30 carries against the Packers and Seahawks.

LINE: The 49ers opened as a 10-point fave. The total opened at 45.5 and has moved to 46.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (+1.5) + 49ers (-7.5) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -12.0
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 9 mph.
TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 7-0 in 49ers last seven home games.
* The Colts are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a S.U. loss.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:09 AM
BREAKING NEWS: Von Miller tried to unsuccessfully corrupt the NFL's drug testing program with the help of a urine collector.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/22/2013 10:09 AM
Browns @ Vikings (-6.5) -- 1 p.m.

Underdog playing 2nd straight road game off a loss: 178-111-3 (62% starting in 2003)

Vikings: 7-1 SU at home last year, with wins over Packers, 49ers and Bears
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