coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:31 PM



  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-7-0
coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:36 PM

Phil Steele Picks



Very good situation for TEN at home off a short road trip vs SD off a brutal MNF loss, and Back-to-back long road trips. Philip Rivers took advantage of the Eagles missing their starting CB and shook off the media beating he took after their Monday Night opening loss throwing for 419 yards (77%, 3-0) in the upset of Philly. Eddie Royal caught 23 passes with 1 td last year and was never 100% but he is clearly the new go to guy with 3 td rec last week and 5 on the year. The Titans will surely be disappointed blowing a 24-16 lead with 2:00 to go but starting the season 1-1 after playing back-to-back road games vs last year’s #1 and #7 D’s shows their toughness. Locker did struggle last week (148 yards, 57%) but still had a 2-0 ratio and now gets some home cooking versus a D that allowed 480 ypg and 70% completions as well as a combined 5-1 ratio.
PHIL’S FORECAST: TENNESSEE 24 SAN DIEGO 20

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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:37 PM


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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:37 PM

Julian Edelman of New England Patriots has 20 catches in two games, that's one less than his ENTIRE 2012 season total (21).

  • Last 7 Days Record: 5-7-0
coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:38 PM

Last year vs a Ray Horton defense RB Peterson stormed for 153 yards (6.7) yards on the ground. While CLE’s offense is lacking (18 drives without a td) the defense is stout holding foes to 119 total yards rush (2.0) in the 1st games. While MIN put up 30 pts last week 14 came off a 105 yard KR and 61 yard fmbl return and on 3 drives to the CHI10, they settled for FG’s as Ponder was 2-5 for 21 yards in the redzone. CLE gets WR Gordon back here but this is the first game after the surprising Richardson trade. I’ll call for the home team by 6 as I’m not sold on Ponder vs an embarrassed visitor getting a key weapon back, but losing a key weapon at the same time.

PHIL’S FORECAST: MINNESOTA 23 CLEVELAND 17

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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:42 PM

You won’t find a more fired-up QB in the league after a 2-0 start than Tom Brady. His postgame press conference was typical of a 3 td loss as he led his team to 232 yards and 9 FD’s while Geno Smith led the Jets to 318 yards and 15 FD’s. NE was without Amendola (out at least 4 weeks) forcing Brady to almost exclusively go to his only trusted rec Edelman (13 of 16 rec). One definite edge NE does have is having played TB in the preseason each of the L2Y and having dual practices give Belichick extra insight and prep time. Tampa Bay has had a rough start being TWO SECONDS away from being 2-0 with a late loss to the Jets then losing to the Saints on the final play. Now they make a second trip to the Northeast in 3 weeks with a beleaguered QB who despite being a captain last year was not voted one this year. One edge the Bucs do have to their top off season pickup is available and if Revis Island can stop Edelman it limits NE’s options.
PHIL’S FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 27 TAMPA BAY 17

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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:43 PM


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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:43 PM

This is the 5th meeting in 4 years with Houston dropping both its regular season and playoff games here in 2011. The Texans have come from behind each of the last 2 weeks but on the stat sheet they dominated with a combined 51-28 FD edge and a 901-511 yard edge. The Texans D has held Tennessee with Johnson and SD with Matthews to under 100 ypg and 3.8 ypc making it more difficult on Flacco who struggled last week after Rice (36, 2.8) was injured. Houston’s defensive numbers were all without former Raven Ed Reed. The Ravens offense struggled vs Cleveland last week totaling just 296 yards and 14 points and after facing Denver week #1 will be challenged with a legitimate rush attack with the Texans now using both Tate (7-93) and Foster (19-79). Add in another offensive weapon as rookie Hopkins stepped in for an injured Johnson and caught a 3rd&10, 25 yard rec in OT as well as the game winner finishing 7-117.
PHIL’S FORECAST: HOUSTON 24 BALTIMORE 21

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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:44 PM

The situation leans with DAL getting STL off a road loss vs ATL. DAL fans may be upset with last week’s loss due to a pair of fumbles that gave KC the FG for the margin but honestly their transition to a 4-3 front hasn’t been that bad. Yes they’ve given up 42% on 3rd downs, but that’s been vs an elite QB in the 1st game and an above average QB with an elite RB on the road. They now get an avg QB (7.0 ypa, 5-2 ratio) with a below average skill group to work with (68 ypg rush, 3.2). Yes, Bradford has yet to be sacked but that’s vs ARZ with a retooled defense and an ATL unit with only 1 legit pass rusher (Umenyiora). DAL has Ware, an underrated LB unit and what should be a rowdy home crowd and simply a better offensive unit to back here.
PHIL’S FORECAST: DALLAS 27 ST LOUIS 21

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coleryan Posts:13839 Followers:19
09/22/2013 12:45 PM

Situation favors NO back at home and on turf vs an ARZ team coming across the country off a close loss to a division foe in week 1 followed by their 1st win for HC Arians. This is also a bad matchup for ARZ with Brees (57-15 ratio last 17 home games) vs a rebuilt ARZ secondary with a rookie nickel DB (Mathieu) and a less than impressive pass rush (1 sk in 74 pass att’s). ARZ also comes in with Fitzgerald (hamstring) at less than 100% and while a bit better than last year they’ve only gained 3.3 and 3.5 ypc on the ground. While NO didn’t get into a rhythm last week due to a weather delay of over an hour on a sloppy field, I really like the matchup of a healthy TE Graham (224 yards, 16.0) at home vs ARZ’s slower LB’s and inexperienced secondary.
PHIL’S FORECAST: NEW ORLEANS 31 ARIZONA 21

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