Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots: Preview and Pick
9 Replies | 281 ViewsOn 09/16/2013 03:53 PM in NFL
Two teams that are struggling will meet on the field this weekend when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to face the New England Patriots in week three of the NFL. Both of these teams have had a tough start to the season, but the Buccaneers are winless while the Patriots have yet to lose a game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots Odds
The NFL betting line for this game opened up with the Patriots listed as nine point favorites, but after an ugly game against the New York Jets on Thursday night football, the line was bet down. The Buccaneers did not beat the new Orleans Saints but they played well enough to give bettors confidence and this line can now be found at seven points at several top rated online sportsbooks. This line is most likely to go up as the betting consensus shows that the Patriots are getting 53 percent of the action early in the week.
The Patriots are at home where they rarely lose, but Tom Brady has some work to do with his young wide receivers. His frustration over dropped passes and badly run routes was evident on Thursday night against the Jets.
The Patriots won despite having more punts (11) than 1st downs (9). It was the first such win for New England in the Bill Belichick era since 2000. They will have to clean up their act if they hope to beat the Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers may be 0-2, but they have had a chance to win both games late. The Buccaneers need to clean up their game as they have a ton of penalties every weekend. The Buccaneers committed 10 penalties for 118 yards Sunday, and they lead the NFL with 23 penalties and 220 penalty yards this season. Tampa Bay has a penalty EPA of -2.94 this season, 2nd-worst in the NFL (their 2 losses are by a combined 3 points) behind the 49ers. If they can stop having penalties, they may actually get a win this season.
The sports betting trends favor New England in this game. New England is 4-2 straight up in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay and they are 12-2 in the last 14 games overall. However it should be noted that the Patriots are just 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in the last seven games. The Buccaneers are just 1-7 straight up in the last eight games that they have played and they are 4-12 straight up in the last 16 road games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots Pick
With plenty of time to go before the start of the regular season, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to game day.