cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:20 PM

Cardinals And Rangers Go To Decisive Game 7

This year's World Series started off as a best-of-7 between the Texas Rangers and St. Louis Cardinals. It then turned into a best-of-5 followed by a best-of-3.

It's now a winner-take-all with Game 7 set for Busch Stadium on Friday (8:05 p.m. ET). Ron Washington will send left-hander Matt Harrison to the mound for Texas; Tony La Russa has not announced St. Louis' starter, but he's expected to hand the ball to Chris Carpenter on short rest. Kyle Lohse and Edwin Jackson remain two more options for the Cardinals.

St. Louis forced the decisive finale with an 11-inning, 10-9 win in Game 6 on Thursday. David Freese delivered the deciding blow with a walk-off homer to center. Played 20 years and one day after the memorable 10-inning, 1-0 Game 7 of the 1991 Series between Minnesota and Atlanta, Game 6 of this year's Fall Classic will go down in MLB postseason lore as the antithesis to that game in terms of scoring, but equally exciting.

Twice the Rangers were a strike away from their first MLB title, and twice Cardinals batters denied them. The boxscore looks like it came from an All-Star Game as La Russa and Washington combined to use 42 players, 15 of them pitchers. You almost expected Washington to call in Rangers team president Nolan Ryan from the stands. There were 12 lead changes or ties, with Freese's triple in the ninth extending the game to extra frames before his walk-off clout.

A record crowd (47,325) at the latest Busch Stadium saw it all in person with millions more watching on TV. Friday's encore performance, the first Game 7 in the World Series in nine Octobers, will be hard-pressed to match Game 6. Instant classic indeed.

For all the twists and turns this year's Series has taken, one of the more interesting stats has to be Harrison closing as the chalkiest pitcher for any single game. Texas ended up on a -180 line for Game 3 which turned into the Albert Pujols show with neither Harrison nor Lohse making it through the fourth inning.

Harrison was partly done in by umpire Ron Kulpa's missed call at first base in the top of the fourth as well as a throwing error by Mike Napoli who was playing first that night for the Rangers. Washington said all week he was sticking with Harrison for Game 7 regardless of the situation. Wednesday's rainout means he could have gone with Derek Holland for this contest on regular rest, but the Rangers dugout commander instead used the lefty for two innings of relief on Thursday.

Holland only needed 23 pitches to get six outs for Washington, and should be available from the 'pen again tonight.

While Washington remained steadfast in returning Harrison to the mound in Game 7, La Russa has been evasive about who might be his hurler. He said Carpenter told him he could pitch in Game 7, but La Russa avoided making any official announcement.

Carpenter pitched on three days rest for the first time in his career nearly four weeks ago, taking the mound for Game 2 of the NLDS vs. Philadelphia and not faring well (3 IP, 4 ER). He burned through 101 pitches this past Monday in Game 5, a very similar count to the 106 he threw in his final regular season start before his first NLDS appearance.

Colby Lewis, who went through 95 pitches in his 5 1/3 innings in Game 6, is likely the only pitcher not available to Washington tonight. The Rangers are also monitoring two of their hitting stars, Napoli (ankle) and Nelson Cruz (groin), after both suffered injuries on Thursday. They are each listed as probable for Friday's game.

La Russa was not so sure about his slugger Matt Holliday who injured a finger in a slide while being picked off third base in Game 6. The Cardinals bullpen might also be short a couple of arms. In addition to the 59 pitches Jaime Garcia threw to begin Game 6, Fernando Salas (48) and Lance Lynn (32) worked a little extra on Thursday and may not be in the mix for Game 7.

The early MLB odds have Carpenter and the Redbirds -140 with an 8-run total. The last eight times a World Series has been pushed to a seventh game, the home team has won them all.

Crew chief Jerry Layne will be behind the plate on another crisp autumn evening in St. Louis, the thermometer starting around 50ºF and dropping to the low-40s by 10:00 p.m. local time. This will be Layne's third assignment under the mask this postseason, and all will have come here in St. Louis. He worked Game 3 of the NLDS between the Cards and Phils along with Game 1 of this Series. Both ended with identical 3-2 scores.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:23 PM

Carpenter tries to finish off Rangers in Game 7


TEXAS RANGERS

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS


World Series Game 7 - Series tied 3-3
First pitch: Friday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: St. Louis -140, Texas +130

One night after mounting two incredible comebacks, St. Louis hosts Texas on Friday night in the first World Series Game 7 since 2002. David Freese’s 11th-inning, walk-off home run gave the Cardinals a 10-9 win and new life.

Texas has some psychological hurdles to get over after blowing two-out, two-run leads twice in Game 6. But the Rangers haven’t lost back-to-back games since August 23-25 against Boston, rebounding from a loss 13 consecutive times. And they’ll also have lefty Matt Harrison going on normal rest, unlike the Cardinals’ burned-out pitching staff and Chris Carpenter going on three days’ rest. The emotion of Game 6 will play a big role for bettors, but don’t buy into it. As underdogs, TEXAS is the pick.

The FoxSheets show a three-star trend concerning tired pitchers:

Play Against - Any team (ST. LOUIS) - starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games. (111-71 since 1997.) (61%, +51 units. Rating = 3*).

Both teams have major injury concerns, as St. Louis LF Matt Holliday exited Game 6 with a severely bruised pinkie finger and Texas RF Nelson Cruz suffered a strained groin. The status for both players is uncertain, but it would be surprising to not see either of these sluggers in the starting lineup. Holliday has a .419 on-base percentage and 13 runs in 16 postseason games, but is just 3-for-19 in the World Series. Cruz homered in Game 6 to tie a MLB record for most home runs in a postseason (eight).

There have been several hitting stars in the World Series, as St. Louis has four regulars with a four-digit OPS in the series: Lance Berkman (1.127), Albert Pujols (1.109), Allen Craig (1.088) and Game 6 hero David Freese (1.083). Texas only has one, Mike Napoli (1.313), who injured his ankle in the fourth inning of Game 6. But he was able to stay in the game and is expected to start on Friday night.

The home team has won the past eight World Series Game 7’s, which is good news for the Cards. Manager Tony La Russa has used his bullpen aggressively throughout the playoffs, and Game 7 should be no different. The entire staff is likely to be available, headlined by ace Chris Carpenter (11-9, 3.45 ERA during the regular season). But Carpenter has pitched on three-days rest only once in his career, at Philadelphia for Game 2 of the NLDS earlier this month, and it didn’t go well. He allowed four runs and eight base runners in just three innings of work.

Rangers manager Ron Washington never wavered from Harrison (14-9, 3.39 ERA during the regular season) as his Game 7 starter. The lefty’s final line in Game 3 was ugly: 5 runs (3 earned) over 3.2 innings. But he gave up one run over the first three innings before a blown call, followed by a costly error, led to a four-run fourth inning for St. Louis.

In his previous two playoff starts Harrison was decent in short outings, allowing two runs over five innings each time, both Texas road wins. He threw 90-plus pitches each time, striking out 12 in those 10 innings but also walking five.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:27 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at St. Louis
The Rangers look to bounce back from last night's 10-9 loss and build on their 13-3 record in their last 16 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in the previous game. Texas is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28

Game 965-966: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 16.931; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.812
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 28

Carpenter goes on three days' rest; he is 3-0, 3.33 in five starts this fall; he has a 2.00 RA in his last four home starts. Harrison is 1-1, 4.61 in his three postseason starts; he hasn't gotten more than 15 outs in any of the three games.

Cardinals scored 32 runs in this World Series, but 26 of them came in Games 3/6; they're 5-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-5 away from home; over is 5-3 in those games.Under is 4-3-1 in St Louis home tilts. Redbirds scored 3 or less runs in four of six series games. Texas is 8-1 when it allows 3 or less runs in playoffs this fall, 2-5 when it allows more. NL park, no DH in this game. In this postseason, St Louis is 7-2 if game goes over, 2-5 if it stays under.

After watching last night's game, and I am not rooting for either side, but how could you bet against St Louis after last night's near-death escape?




MLB

Friday, October 28

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Trend Report
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8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games
St. Louis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home


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MLB

Friday, October 28

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Rangers at Cardinals - Game 7: What bettors need to know
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-140)

Series tied 3-3

THE STORY: The St. Louis Cardinals staged one of the top World Series comebacks of all-time in Game 6 to set up a winner-take-all finale against the Texas Rangers on Friday. Texas was one strike away from winning in both the ninth and 10th innings but the Cardinals rallied both times and won 10-9 on David Freese’s dramatic 11th-inning homer. The St. Louis comebacks – and Texas collapses – prompt the first World Series Game 7 since the Anaheim Angels defeated the San Francisco Giants in 2002.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers LH Matt Harrison (0-1, 7.36 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-0, 2.77 ERA)

Harrison lasted just 3 2/3 innings in Game 3, won 16-7 by the Cardinals. Harrison gave up five runs (three earned) and six hits. He hasn’t gone longer than five innings in any of his three postseason starts.

Carpenter allowed two runs in each of his World Series starts, pitching six innings to win Game 1 and hurling seven innings while taking a no-decision in Game 5. All the runs off him have come on homers – Mike Napoli’s two-run shot in the opener and solo shots by Adrian Beltre and Mitch Moreland in Game 5.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: Freese etched his name into St. Louis lore in Game 6 by smacking a game-tying two-run triple with two out in the ninth in addition to his game-winning homer. Lance Berkman delivered the game-tying single in the 10th as part of 3-for-5 game in which he homered, scored four times and had three RBIs. Albert Pujols had a double in Game 6 for his first hit since going 5-for-6 with three homers in Game 3. Matt Holliday left Thursday’s game with a bruised right pinkie but expects to play Friday. Allen Craig also homered in Game 6.

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli reached base five times in Game 6 and had his 10th RBI of the season but also sprained his left ankle. Postgame X-rays were negative. Nelson Cruz (strained groin) also is ailing and left the game a few innings after belting his record-tying eighth homer of the postseason. Josh Hamilton hit a two-run homer in the 10th for his first blast of the postseason and had three hits and three RBIs. Beltre also homered. Neftali Feliz (ninth) and Scott Feldman (10th) were the relievers who blew late leads and Mark Lowe served up Freese’s game-winning shot.

TRENDS:

* Rangers are 1-4 in their last five World Series road games.
* Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six World Series home games.
* Under is 7-2 in Rangers' last nine World Series games.
* Under is 6-2 in Cardinals' last eight World Series home games.


UMPIRE - Jerry Layne:

* Under is 4-1 in Laynes last five games behind home plate.
* Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven games with Layne behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight games with Layne behind home plate.
* Under is 3-0-1 in Laynes last four interleague games behind home plate.

FINAL PITCH: The home team has won the last eight times the World Series has featured a Game 7. The last road team to win a Game 7 was the 1979 Pittsburgh Pirates.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:28 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (106 - 72) at ST LOUIS (100 - 79) - 8:05 PM
MATT HARRISON (L) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 76-50 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-33 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-18 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 101-80 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 36-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 100-78 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CARPENTER is 15-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 10-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 101-66 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 79-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 79-47 (+18.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 45-25 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 53-38 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 107-71 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 52-28 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
HARRISON is 8-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 9-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-23 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CARPENTER is 4-8 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-3 (+0.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

MATT HARRISON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HARRISON is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. TEXAS since 1997
CARPENTER is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.38 and a WHIP of 1.677.
His team's record is 5-8 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.6 units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:29 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, 10/28/2011

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 7 - TIED 3-3
TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
HARRISON: 15-3 TSR 2nd half of the season
CARPENTER: 8-11 TSR as home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25703 Followers:33
10/28/2011 06:32 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/27/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
10/24/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/23/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/22/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1355 Detail
10/20/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/19/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/16/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1085 Detail
10/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/14/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/13/11 0-­3-­0 0.00% -­1725 Detail
10/12/11 1-­0-­1 100.00% +­500 Detail
10/11/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/10/11 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1225 Detail
10/09/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/07/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% +­255 Detail
10/06/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% +­215 Detail
10/05/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1005 Detail
10/04/11 3-­3-­1 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/03/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/02/11 5-­1-­0 83.33% +­2505 Detail
10/01/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1000 Detail
Totals 34-­26-­2 56.67% +4650

Friday, October 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas - 8:05 PM ET Texas +121 500

St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: