cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 10:45 PM

Texas Rangers, St. Louis Cardinals World Series Game 6

The Series tied two games apiece and Game 5 knotted with the same 2-2 score in the eighth inning, the Texas Rangers needed a big hit.

David Murphy's infield grounder, just evading the glove of St. Louis Cardinals reliever Marc Rzepczynski's glove, doesn't really fit the conventional definition of a 'big hit.' Indeed, Mike Napoli's ensuing double brought home the deciding runs. But Murphy's worm burner back through the mound proved big enough for the Rangers who now hold a 3-2 lead in the 2011 World Series following Monday's 4-2 victory over the Cardinals.

Texas can wrap up its first MLB title when the Fall Classic shifts back to St. Louis for Game 6 on Wednesday (8:05 p.m. ET). That is assuming Mother Nature cooperates, more on that later.

The mound duel for the sixth game will be a rematch of Game 2 starters, Colby Lewis of the Rangers and Cardinals lefty Jaime Garcia. St. Louis is the slight favorite with the Redbirds on a consensus -115 line. Wednesday's total is 7½, the 'under' costing a few pennies extra at -115.

The Series has all but defied the odds with four of the five games staying 'under' the totals. After both Texas and St. Louis came out of their LCS matchups seemingly clubbing everything thrown at them, this World Series was not supposed to be a stage for pitchers to shine.

But that has been the case, and it was especially true when Lewis and Garcia met in Game 2. Garcia hurled seven scoreless frames, striking out seven would-be Texas hitters and surrendering just three safeties, all of them singles. Lewis just about matched Garcia's effort, falling an out shy of seven innings and giving up just a run on four hits.

St. Louis nursed the 1-0 lead into the top of the ninth before the Rangers finally got off the schneid. It took a couple of singles, a risky stolen base by Ian Kinsler, a rare fielding miscue by Albert Pujols and two sac flies, but Texas pulled off the 2-1 victory.

The two lineups have seen Lewis and Garcia now, and it will be intriguing to see how any of the hitters adjust. Making it all the more interesting is Lewis will be the first right-handed starter the Cardinals have seen since Game 2, and Garcia the first southpaw starter the Rangers have faced since the same game.

There are enough hitters in both lineups to quickly turn Game 6 into a plate crossing festival, but the two that might hold the key on Wednesday are Michael Young and Lance Berkman. Young's double started Texas' 8th-inning rally in Game 5, and he went 1-for-3 against Garcia in Game 2, the first and only time he has faced the young Cardinals pitcher.

Lewis has owned Berkman in the past, albeit a very small sample. Still, 0-for-10 with six strikeouts is enough history for my money, especially since all but one at bat in that mix is from the past two seasons. That includes 0-for-3 with two K's in Game 2.

It's obvious that Rangers manager Ron Washington is no longer going to let his hurlers pitch to Pujols. It's also obvious that St. Louis manager Tony La Russa needs to tell his runners to quit trying to steal second with Phat Albert at the plate. That puts a little extra burden on Berkman, as well as Matt Holliday, to break through hitting behind Pujols in the lineup.

Gary Cederstrom is finally going to get to work the plate in a World Series game after being on the job for 23 seasons. He was in line to work Game 5 of the 2005 Fall Classic, but the White Sox finished their broom job vs. the Astros the night before. Cederstrom was 20-12-2 to the 'under' this past regular season, finishing on a 3-0 run below the totals.

His 'under' streak was stretched to 4-0 when he worked Game 5 of the NLDS earlier this month in Philadelphia, a 1-0 win for Chris Carpenter and the Cardinals against Roy Halladay and the Phils.

Rain? During the MLB playoffs? Surely you jest. No, it's not a joke, and pardon me for calling you Shirley. There's an 80 percent chance of rain during the day in St. Louis on Wednesday, and the likelihood only decreases to 70 percent when the evening arrives. Game time temps will be in the mid-to-low 50s with a 12-15 mph wind from the NNW ( in from left).

Should Game 6 be postponed, Thursday and Friday look fairly dry in the St. Louis area, though the thermometer will dip into the 40s during both evenings. A Wednesday postponement would also open both managers to bringing back their Games 1 and 5 starters on short rest in a potential Game 7 on Friday.

For the moment, Game 7 is set for Thursday night with Washington already confirming he would send Matt Harrison to the hill. La Russa and the Cardinals remain undecided, and you've got to think that everyone but Garcia is a candidate.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 10:48 PM

Preview: Rangers (96-66) at Cardinals (90-72)

Game: 6
Venue: Busch Stadium
Date: October 26, 2011 8:05 PM EDT

ST. LOUIS (AP) - It's already been a productive postseason for Colby Lewis. Next up, a shot at the biggest prize yet.

In Game 6 of the World Series on Wednesday night, Lewis gets the first chance to pitch the Texas Rangers to their first title. No doubt while pitching oh-so-carefully against Albert Pujols and the St. Louis Cardinals, he'll be leaning on past October triumphs.

``Well, you definitely think when you're in a kid, you want to be in this position, be on this stage,' Lewis said. ``I think just being in the situation that we were last year throughout the playoffs gives you more of an edge, more relaxation. That's for sure.'

Jaime Garcia is back home where he's most comfortable, and the wild-card Cardinals are back in a familiar win-or-go-home mode, heading into a mound rematch from Game 2.

Three of Garcia's four postseason starts have been at Busch Stadium and the 25-year-old lefty has a 1.93 ERA at home. He outpitched Lewis in the first matchup with seven innings of scoreless, three-hit ball before the bullpen failed in a 2-1 loss.

Garcia was in top form in Game 2 with seven strikeouts and one walk.

``It's been the same for me the last two months basically, and I'm still going to try to do the same thing. Don't change anything, don't try to do too much because this is the World Series. That's kind of how I feel,' he said.

Lewis beat the New York Yankees in the clinching Game 6 in the AL championship series last year. He doesn't mind being on the road, getting nine of his 14 wins with a 3.43 ERA, and has been stingy all postseason with a 2.95 ERA.

Facing Lewis in Game 2, the Cardinals were limited to one run on four hits with one extra-base hit in 6 1-3 innings. Manager Ron Washington expects to see the same pitcher again, and is confident there'll be zero stage fright.

``He totally believes in what he's trying to do out there,' Washington said. ``He never gets away from what he does best. Colby never doubts what he's capable of doing, and I think that's what makes him apart from some guys at this stage.'

Garcia had plenty of must-win starts in September, steeling him for the postseason. The Cardinals overtook the faltering Braves on the final day of the season and Garcia was a key contributor, going 3-0 the final month.

He doesn't plan on changing much from his Game 2 start.

``It doesn't matter which team, which lineup, what part of the season it is,' Garcia said. ``It's just going out there and worrying about the little things that you can control.'

The bigger question in La Russa's mind is what to expect from the lineup. The Cardinals were 1 for 12 with runners in scoring position in their 4-2 loss in Game 5 loss Monday night at Texas.

``Our confidence is very good that he's going to pitch well,' manager Tony La Russa said. ``And we're challenging our bats to do more.'

La Russa twice declined discussing a potential Game 7 starter, although ace Chris Carpenter volunteered for duty on two days' rest. Carpenter, who allowed two runs in seven innings in Game 5, played catch Tuesday and said he felt fine.

``I think everybody's available for the rest of the year, don't you?' Carpenter said to reporters. ``Whatever (La Russa) needs.'

Kyle Lohse would be on regular rest but has struggled in the postseason. Edwin Jackson allowed three runs in 5 1-3 innings, throwing 109 pitches in Game 3. Fifth starter Jake Westbrook is a fringe option, having worked just one inning in the postseason.

``There isn't any part of me that doesn't want to have a Game 7,' La Russa said. ``But every other part of me says let's think about Game 6 first.'

Matt Harrison, who lasted just 3 2-3 innings in the Cardinals' 16-7 blowout in Game 3, would be on turn to start Game 7 for the Rangers.

``We have two games to do it, we've got to play .500 ball,' Lewis said. ``But we definitely want to get it done as soon as possible, that's for sure.'

Washington said he's tired of getting asked about pitchers being fatigued. Though the Rangers have two games to do it, there'll be no holding back.

``Every single person that's still playing baseball right now is tired,' Washington said. ``So that's no excuse.'


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 10:49 PM

Rangers try to clinch first World Series title


TEXAS RANGERS

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS


World Series Game 6 - Texas leads series 3-2
First pitch: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: St. Louis -115, Texas +105, Total: 7.5

Cardinals lefty Jaime Garcia has been outstanding at home throughout his career, and St. Louis needs him to deliver in a do-or-die game when they host the Rangers for Game 6 of the World Series on Wednesday night.

Garcia is 15-9 with a 2.22 ERA in 33 career Busch Stadium starts, including seven shutout innings against the Rangers in Game 2 (closer Jason Motte blew the game in the ninth). Texas counters with starter Colby Lewis who has been strong for a second straight postseason, but Garcia outpitched him in Game 2. Plus, the Rangers have struggled against left-handed pitching all postseason, posting a .190 team batting average and .522 OPS against lefties. With the money line close to even despite the Cards’ home field advantage, ST. LOUIS is the pick.

The FoxSheets provide two more trends backing the Cards:

ST. LOUIS is 24-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game this season. The average score was ST. LOUIS 5.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*).

ST. LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. The average score was ST. LOUIS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*).

Lewis (14-10, 4.40 ERA during the regular season) is 4-1 with a 2.22 ERA over seven career postseason starts. After making all his playoff starts at home in 2010, all three of his starts during this year’s postseason have been on the road. He held the Cardinals to one run over 6.2 innings in Game 2 in St. Louis, but he gave up three home runs in his previous two starts, and Detroit tagged him for four runs in 5.2 innings in the ALCS.

Garcia (13-7, 3.56 ERA during the regular season) has a 1.93 ERA over three home postseason starts, striking out 15 while walking three over 18.2 innings. But the Cards lost two of those three games, as they’ve scored only six runs during those 18.2 innings. Garcia also has a career 1.71 ERA in four home starts against American League teams.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 11:16 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: Stingy ump to work Ranger-Cards

Weather to watch

Meteorologists expect a wet and chilly Game 6 of the World Series Wednesday night. As of Thursday evening the forecast predicted a 60 percent chance of rain with temperatures around 50 degrees with 12 mph winds blowing in from left field toward first base.

Who’s hot

NCAAF: Connecticut is riding a 9-0 run against the spread against teams with a losing record.

MLB: St. Louis is 13-3 in its last 16 games following a loss.

NHL: The over is 4-0 in Philadelphia’s last four games.

Who’s not

NCAAF: Pitt is 0-4 against the spread in its last four games as a favorite.

MLB: Texas is 1-4 in its last five games following a win.

NHL: Calgary is 0-5 in its last five meetings with Colorado.

Key stat

14-3-1 – The under is 14-3-1 in the last 18 games that Gary Cederstrom has worked behind home plate. Cederstrom is expected to be calling balls and strikes for Wednesday’s Game 6 of the World Series.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Chris Pronger, Philadelphia Flyers – The Flyers’ captain is expected to be sidelined for at least two weeks after taking a stick to the right eye during Monday's 4-2 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Pronger was hit as Toronto's Mikhail Grabovski followed through on his shot during the first period. The 37-year-old defenseman, who does not wear a shield, immediately clutched at his face and skated to the bench before heading to the locker room.

Game of the day

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-120, 7.5)

Notable quotable

“I know fans are upset, and they should be -- I'm upset, I go home my wife is upset, my mom is upset and my brother is giving me input on who the quarterback should be. But they should be upset because the standard and expectations of Pitt football is to win championships, and we haven't played at that level.” – Pitt coach Todd Graham ahead of Wednesday’s home game against Connecticut. Pitt is set as a 10-point favorite.

Notes and tips

Army quarterback Trent Steelman will miss Saturday's game against Fordham with a high ankle sprain, snapping a streak of 32 consecutive starts. Steelman suffered the injury last week against Vanderbilt, with coach Rich Ellerson declaring that the quarterback is week-to-week. The junior, who has rushed for 576 yards and 11 scores, had started every game of his college career.

Pitt’s best offensive lineman, senior Lucas Nix, is a game-time decision for Wednesday night’s big game against Connecticut. The Panthers are expected to field their fifth different offensive line combination in their last six games due to multiple injuries.

Baltimore Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs questioned the team's offensive game plan following Monday night's 12-7 road loss to Jacksonville. The Ravens did not have a first down until deep into the third quarter and did not score until 2:02 remained in the game. They managed 11 first downs and 146 total yards. "I don't really know what the game plan was," Suggs told reporters. While Joe Flacco threw 38 passes - and averaged less than four yards per attempt - running back Ray Rice had just eight carries and receiver Anquan Boldin had four catches. Baltimore is set as a big 13-point favorite at home to Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 11:18 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 26

Texas at St. Louis
The Rangers look to close out the series and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus a left-handed starter. Texas is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 961-962: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.134; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-100); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 26

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TEXAS (106 - 71) at ST LOUIS (99 - 79) - 8:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 99-78 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-50 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-56 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GARCIA is 18-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 53-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 89-66 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 107-70 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 32-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 200-169 (+34.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
TEXAS is 101-65 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 79-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LEWIS is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, October 26

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TEX Leads 3-2
TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
LEWIS: 12-18 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
GARCIA: STL 24-9 if bullpen pitched 1 or less inning last game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




MLB

Wednesday, October 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home


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MLB

Wednesday, October 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rangers at Cardinals - Game 6: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Texas leads series 3-2

THE STORY: The Texas Rangers go after their first World Series title Wednesday in Game 6 against the host St. Louis Cardinals. Texas recorded a 4-2 victory on Monday with postseason hero Mike Napoli smacking the go-ahead two-run double to take a 3-2 lead in the series. Napoli has nine RBIs in 13 at-bats in the series and is only the second player in World Series history with four multi-RBI games. The other is Mickey Mantle for the 1960 New York Yankees. Game 7, if necessary, is scheduled for Thursday in St. Louis.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: The forecast in St. Louis is calling for a 94 percent chance of showers and winds, blowing NNW from the third base line to first base line, at speeds of up to 11 mph. Those winds will change to blowing north, in from center towards home plate.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Colby Lewis (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Lewis is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in three postseason starts. He gave up just one run and four hits in 6 2/3 innings while taking a no-decision in Game 2. Nick Punto had two of the hits.

Garcia pitched seven shutout innings of three-hit ball in Game 2 but didn’t get the win due to Jason Motte’s ninth-inning implosion. He struck out seven and walked one. Garcia is 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four postseason starts.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: St. Louis left 12 runners on base in Game 5. Matt Holliday reached base three times on a single and two walks but left five runners on base the two times he was retired. Albert Pujols was walked intentionally three times and went 0-for-2. Yadier Molina had three hits and drove in his fifth run of the series. Allen Craig was caught stealing twice to become the first player thrown out multiple times in a World Series game since the Yankees’ Billy Martin in 1955.

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli has driven in nearly half of Texas’ 19 runs in the series. Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre hit solo homers for the Rangers’ other runs. Beltre is batting .381 in the series while Moreland is batting just .111 in 27 postseason at-bats. Michael Young is hitting .211 in the series with three of his four hits going for extra bases. Josh Hamilton is just 3-for-19 in the series and homerless in 60 postseason at-bats. Neftali Feliz has two saves in the World Series and six in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five World Series home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Rangers last eight World Series games.
* Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last seven World Series home games.

UMP TRENDS - Gary Cederstrom:

* Under is 7-1 in Cederstroms last eight interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 14-3-1 in Cederstroms last 18 games behind home plate.
* Rangers are 20-6 in their last 26 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.

FINAL PITCH: St. Louis scored 16 runs in Game 3 of the World Series but has only tallied six in the other four games.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/25/2011 11:19 PM

MLB

Wednesday, October 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Wednesday's best MLB bet
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Everything seemed to be rolling in the right direction for the St. Louis Cardinals in Monday’s Game 5 until some apparent miscommunication derailed them in a 4-2 loss, putting their backs against the wall down 3-2 in the series.

First, Allen Craig tried to steal second base in the seventh inning for some reason with Albert Pujols at the plate and was predictably thrown out. The Cardinals couldn’t capitalize. Then manager Tony LaRussa said there were more communication issues as he tried to get his relievers ready in the bullpen.

In short, it wasn’t exactly St. Louis Cardinals baseball. You don’t get on this kind of run by making sloppy mistakes and you have to think the Cardinals will bounce back.

Jaime Garcia has been dominant in front of his hometown crowd at Busch Stadium, working on a 1.93 ERA. Of course, he’ll have his hands full again with a Texas lineup led by the red-hot Mike Napoli that has already seen him once this series. Still, Garcia’s confident.

"Obviously, you learn things from hitters, and I've been watching them the last couple games in Texas, too," Garcia said. "But it all comes down to going out there and basically being able to execute what you want to. It doesn't matter which team, which lineup, what part of the season it is. It's just going out there and worrying about the little things that you can control."

The weather is supposed to be cold, windy and wet again Wednesday and both Garcia and Colby Lewis have been dealing. We’re leaning toward the Cards but will take a shot at the under right now.

Pick: Under


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/26/2011 04:06 PM

Rangers try to clinch first World Series title


TEXAS RANGERS

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS


World Series Game 6 - Texas leads series 3-2
First pitch: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: St. Louis -115, Texas +105, Total: 7.5

Cardinals lefty Jaime Garcia has been outstanding at home throughout his career, and St. Louis needs him to deliver in a do-or-die game when they host the Rangers for Game 6 of the World Series on Wednesday night.

Garcia is 15-9 with a 2.22 ERA in 33 career Busch Stadium starts, including seven shutout innings against the Rangers in Game 2 (closer Jason Motte blew the game in the ninth). Texas counters with starter Colby Lewis who has been strong for a second straight postseason, but Garcia outpitched him in Game 2. Plus, the Rangers have struggled against left-handed pitching all postseason, posting a .190 team batting average and .522 OPS against lefties. With the money line close to even despite the Cards’ home field advantage, ST. LOUIS is the pick.

The FoxSheets provide two more trends backing the Cards:

ST. LOUIS is 24-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game this season. The average score was ST. LOUIS 5.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*).

ST. LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. The average score was ST. LOUIS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*).

Lewis (14-10, 4.40 ERA during the regular season) is 4-1 with a 2.22 ERA over seven career postseason starts. After making all his playoff starts at home in 2010, all three of his starts during this year’s postseason have been on the road. He held the Cardinals to one run over 6.2 innings in Game 2 in St. Louis, but he gave up three home runs in his previous two starts, and Detroit tagged him for four runs in 5.2 innings in the ALCS.

Garcia (13-7, 3.56 ERA during the regular season) has a 1.93 ERA over three home postseason starts, striking out 15 while walking three over 18.2 innings. But the Cards lost two of those three games, as they’ve scored only six runs during those 18.2 innings. Garcia also has a career 1.71 ERA in four home starts against American League teams.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/26/2011 04:09 PM

Texas Rangers, St. Louis Cardinals World Series Game 6

UPDATE: Game 6 of the World Series has been postponed due to rain, and is now scheduled to be played Thursday (8:05 p.m. ET). Neither manager has indicated any change to their starting pitchers, with the Rangers still expected to send Colby Lewis to the mound against St. Louis left-hander Jaime Garcia.

The Series tied two games apiece and Game 5 knotted with the same 2-2 score in the eighth inning, the Texas Rangers needed a big hit.

David Murphy's infield grounder, just evading the glove of St. Louis Cardinals reliever Marc Rzepczynski's glove, doesn't really fit the conventional definition of a 'big hit.' Indeed, Mike Napoli's ensuing double brought home the deciding runs. But Murphy's worm burner back through the mound proved big enough for the Rangers who now hold a 3-2 lead in the 2011 World Series following Monday's 4-2 victory over the Cardinals.

Texas can wrap up its first MLB title when the Fall Classic shifts back to St. Louis for Game 6 on Wednesday (8:05 p.m. ET). That is assuming Mother Nature cooperates, more on that later.

The mound duel for the sixth game will be a rematch of Game 2 starters, Colby Lewis of the Rangers and Cardinals lefty Jaime Garcia. St. Louis is the slight favorite with the Redbirds on a consensus -115 line. Wednesday's total is 7½, the 'under' costing a few pennies extra at -115.

The Series has all but defied the odds with four of the five games staying 'under' the totals. After both Texas and St. Louis came out of their LCS matchups seemingly clubbing everything thrown at them, this World Series was not supposed to be a stage for pitchers to shine.

But that has been the case, and it was especially true when Lewis and Garcia met in Game 2. Garcia hurled seven scoreless frames, striking out seven would-be Texas hitters and surrendering just three safeties, all of them singles. Lewis just about matched Garcia's effort, falling an out shy of seven innings and giving up just a run on four hits.

St. Louis nursed the 1-0 lead into the top of the ninth before the Rangers finally got off the schneid. It took a couple of singles, a risky stolen base by Ian Kinsler, a rare fielding miscue by Albert Pujols and two sac flies, but Texas pulled off the 2-1 victory.

The two lineups have seen Lewis and Garcia now, and it will be intriguing to see how any of the hitters adjust. Making it all the more interesting is Lewis will be the first right-handed starter the Cardinals have seen since Game 2, and Garcia the first southpaw starter the Rangers have faced since the same game.

There are enough hitters in both lineups to quickly turn Game 6 into a plate crossing festival, but the two that might hold the key on Wednesday are Michael Young and Lance Berkman. Young's double started Texas' 8th-inning rally in Game 5, and he went 1-for-3 against Garcia in Game 2, the first and only time he has faced the young Cardinals pitcher.

Lewis has owned Berkman in the past, albeit a very small sample. Still, 0-for-10 with six strikeouts is enough history for my money, especially since all but one at bat in that mix is from the past two seasons. That includes 0-for-3 with two K's in Game 2.

It's obvious that Rangers manager Ron Washington is no longer going to let his hurlers pitch to Pujols. It's also obvious that St. Louis manager Tony La Russa needs to tell his runners to quit trying to steal second with Phat Albert at the plate. That puts a little extra burden on Berkman, as well as Matt Holliday, to break through hitting behind Pujols in the lineup.

Gary Cederstrom is finally going to get to work the plate in a World Series game after being on the job for 23 seasons. He was in line to work Game 5 of the 2005 Fall Classic, but the White Sox finished their broom job vs. the Astros the night before. Cederstrom was 20-12-2 to the 'under' this past regular season, finishing on a 3-0 run below the totals.

His 'under' streak was stretched to 4-0 when he worked Game 5 of the NLDS earlier this month in Philadelphia, a 1-0 win for Chris Carpenter and the Cardinals against Roy Halladay and the Phils.

Rain? During the MLB playoffs? Surely you jest. No, it's not a joke, and pardon me for calling you Shirley. There's an 80 percent chance of rain during the day in St. Louis on Wednesday, and the likelihood only decreases to 70 percent when the evening arrives. Game time temps will be in the mid-to-low 50s with a 12-15 mph wind from the NNW ( in from left).

Should Game 6 be postponed, Thursday and Friday look fairly dry in the St. Louis area, though the thermometer will dip into the 40s during both evenings. A Wednesday postponement would also open both managers to bringing back their Games 1 and 5 starters on short rest in a potential Game 7 on Friday.

For the moment, Game 7 is set for Thursday night with Washington already confirming he would send Matt Harrison to the hill. La Russa and the Cardinals remain undecided, and you've got to think that everyone but Garcia is a candidate.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/27/2011 04:49 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/24/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/23/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/22/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1355 Detail
10/20/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/19/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/16/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1085 Detail
10/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/14/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/13/11 0-­3-­0 0.00% -­1725 Detail
10/12/11 1-­0-­1 100.00% +­500 Detail
10/11/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/10/11 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1225 Detail
10/09/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/07/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% +­255 Detail
10/06/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% +­215 Detail
10/05/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1005 Detail
10/04/11 3-­3-­1 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/03/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/02/11 5-­1-­0 83.33% +­2505 Detail
10/01/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1000 Detail
Totals 33-­25-­2 56.90% +4700

Thursday, October 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis -114 500

St. Louis - Under 7 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25657 Followers:33
10/27/2011 04:52 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at St. Louis
The Rangers look to close out the series and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus a left-handed starter. Texas is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 961-962: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.134; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-100); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 27

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TEXAS (106 - 71) at ST LOUIS (99 - 79) - 8:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 99-78 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-50 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-56 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GARCIA is 18-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 53-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 89-66 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 107-70 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 32-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 200-169 (+34.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
TEXAS is 101-65 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 79-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LEWIS is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 27

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TEX Leads 3-2
TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
LEWIS: 12-18 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
GARCIA: STL 24-9 if bullpen pitched 1 or less inning last game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 27

Lewis is 1-1, 2.95 in three postseason starts; this is his 7th consecutive start on road. Garcia has a 1.93 RA in three home playoff starts, but the Redbirds lost four of his last five starts overall. Cardinals scored 22 runs in this World Series, but 16 of them came in Game 3; they're 4-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-4 on road; over is 4-3 in those games. Under is 4-2-1 in St Louis home tilts. Redbirds scored 3 or less runs in four of five series games. Texas is 8-1 when it allows 3 or less runs in playoffs this fall, 2-4 when it allows more. NL park, no DH in this game. In this postseason, St Louis is 6-2 if game goes over, 2-5 if it stays under.




MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Trend Report
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8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home


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MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Rangers at Cardinals - Game 6: What bettors need to know
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Texas leads series 3-2

THE STORY: The Texas Rangers go after their first World Series title Wednesday in Game 6 against the host St. Louis Cardinals. Texas recorded a 4-2 victory on Monday with postseason hero Mike Napoli smacking the go-ahead two-run double to take a 3-2 lead in the series. Napoli has nine RBIs in 13 at-bats in the series and is only the second player in World Series history with four multi-RBI games. The other is Mickey Mantle for the 1960 New York Yankees. Game 7, if necessary, is scheduled for Thursday in St. Louis.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: The forecast in St. Louis is calling for a 94 percent chance of showers and winds, blowing NNW from the third base line to first base line, at speeds of up to 11 mph. Those winds will change to blowing north, in from center towards home plate.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Colby Lewis (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Lewis is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in three postseason starts. He gave up just one run and four hits in 6 2/3 innings while taking a no-decision in Game 2. Nick Punto had two of the hits.

Garcia pitched seven shutout innings of three-hit ball in Game 2 but didn’t get the win due to Jason Motte’s ninth-inning implosion. He struck out seven and walked one. Garcia is 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four postseason starts.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: St. Louis left 12 runners on base in Game 5. Matt Holliday reached base three times on a single and two walks but left five runners on base the two times he was retired. Albert Pujols was walked intentionally three times and went 0-for-2. Yadier Molina had three hits and drove in his fifth run of the series. Allen Craig was caught stealing twice to become the first player thrown out multiple times in a World Series game since the Yankees’ Billy Martin in 1955.

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli has driven in nearly half of Texas’ 19 runs in the series. Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre hit solo homers for the Rangers’ other runs. Beltre is batting .381 in the series while Moreland is batting just .111 in 27 postseason at-bats. Michael Young is hitting .211 in the series with three of his four hits going for extra bases. Josh Hamilton is just 3-for-19 in the series and homerless in 60 postseason at-bats. Neftali Feliz has two saves in the World Series and six in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five World Series home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Rangers last eight World Series games.
* Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last seven World Series home games.

UMP TRENDS - Gary Cederstrom:

* Under is 7-1 in Cederstroms last eight interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 14-3-1 in Cederstroms last 18 games behind home plate.
* Rangers are 20-6 in their last 26 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.

FINAL PITCH: St. Louis scored 16 runs in Game 3 of the World Series but has only tallied six in the other four games.


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MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bet
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

The St. Louis Cardinals are probably happy to have another day to get over their Game 5 collapse. Game 6 was set to go Wednesday night but was postponed until Thursday due to rain. The weather is supposed to be crisp but clear Thursday with light winds.

Everything seemed to be rolling in the right direction for the Cardinals Monday until some apparent miscommunication derailed them in a 4-2 loss, putting their backs against the wall down 3-2 in the series.

First, Allen Craig tried to steal second base in the seventh inning for some reason with Albert Pujols at the plate and was predictably thrown out. The Cardinals couldn’t capitalize. Then manager Tony LaRussa said there were more communication issues as he tried to get his relievers ready in the bullpen.

In short, it wasn’t exactly St. Louis Cardinals baseball. You don’t get on this kind of run by making sloppy mistakes and you have to think the Cardinals will bounce back.

Wednesday's starting pitchers will just get another day of rest as Jaime Garcia and Colby Lewis are expected to share the hill Thursday.

Garcia has been dominant in front of his hometown crowd at Busch Stadium, working on a 1.93 ERA. Of course, he’ll have his hands full again with a Texas lineup led by the red-hot Mike Napoli that has already seen him once this series. Still, Garcia’s confident.

"Obviously, you learn things from hitters, and I've been watching them the last couple games in Texas, too," Garcia said. "But it all comes down to going out there and basically being able to execute what you want to. It doesn't matter which team, which lineup, what part of the season it is. It's just going out there and worrying about the little things that you can control."

Both Garcia and Colby Lewis have been dealing lately and while we’re leaning toward the Cards, we'll take a shot at the under right now.

Pick: Under


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: