cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/21/2011 06:46 PM

Rangers, Cardinals World Series Game 3 Preview

Two stellar pitching efforts from starters Chris Carpenter and Jaime Garcia should have netted the St. Louis Cardinals a 2-0 lead in the 2011 World Series before the venue changed to Arlington for Game 3.

Instead, a late Texas rally in the ninth inning of Game 2 might have dramatically changed the course of this year’s Fall Classic that now sits level at one game apiece.

We’ll see what unfolds in the next chapter on Saturday night at Rangers Ballpark, when Game 3 pits the Cards’ Kyle Lohse against the Rangers’ Matt Harrison, priced as a rather hefty -180 favorite at the majority of Las Vegas wagering shops. Texas and Harrison are also listed at +110 minus the digit on the Run Line, with Lohse at -130 plus the extra run.

The Don Best odds screen has the total at a solid 9½ runs, priced at -115, at the vast majority of outlets.

First pitch for Game 3 is 8:05 p.m. (ET) on Saturday night, with Joe Buck and Tim McCarver calling the action on FOX.

And if psychology plays any part in baseball proceedings, it would seem as if the Rangers have the edge heading home to the Metroplex. Keep in mind that Texas was unable to forge a breakthrough on the road in last year’s Fall Classic at San Francisco, losing the first two games at Candlestick Park before returning home.

But Thursday’s comeback win was the Rangers’ first on the road after three World Series losses away from home and could further embolden Texas, whose Series win price dropped to around even-money after the Game 1 loss. Now, however, it is listed at -180 or thereabouts to win the Fall Classic, with St. Louis priced in the +160 range.

Moreover, the aura of confidence surrounding the Redbird bullpen, and closer Jason Motte in particular, could have been shattered in the ninth-inning meltdown on Thursday night. More on that angle in a moment.

Indeed, pitching was the story, somewhat surprisingly, in the first two games of the Series. Surprising because both the Rangers and Cardinals had been involved in high-scoring League Championship Series matchups vs. the Tigers and Brewers, respectively. Perhaps the cooler weather conditions had a bit to do with the offensive slowdown in the first two games in which only eight runs total were scored. Solid starting pitching on both sides could also have accounted for the lower scores.

With the action shifting to Arlington, however, the back ends of the respective rotations due to be featured in Games 3 and 4, and the reintroduction of the Designated Hitter into each lineup should result in some higher scoring over the weekend.

Lohse would seem a risky proposition to help St. Louis reclaim home-field edge in Game 3. The veteran righty has not been fooling anyone in the postseason, reflected in short stints in the NLDS vs. Philadelphia and NLCS vs. Milwaukee. Lohse didn’t last beyond 5 1/3 innings in either outing, surrendering nine runs (eight earned, for a 7.45 ERA) and 13 hits in the process.

Moreover, Lohse has also never pitched very well vs. the Rangers, posting a 6.66 career ERA in nine previous starting assignments from earlier in his career.

Meanwhile, Texas counterpart Harrison has been a bit steadier, though hardly dominant, in the playoffs, allowing five runs and nine hits in 10 2/3 IP in the AL playoffs. Southpaw Harrison has had the strikeout pitch working, however, with 12 Ks in those outings against the Rays and Tigers. He also hasn’t allowed over three runs in any of his seven starts since the beginning of September.

Still, we wonder if that St. Louis bullpen el foldo in the ninth inning on Thursday could be a bad omen for Tony La Russa’s side. Motte, in particular, had been nearly untouchable in the playoffs, allowing just one hit and no walks in his eight previous playoff outings, and 10 straight if going back to the end of the regular season and Sept. 24-25 games vs. the Cubs.

But in Game 2, the bearded Motte allowed hits to Ian Kinsler and Elvis Andrus to open the ninth and both turned into runs when neither Arthur Rhodes nor Lance Lynn could shut the door after La Russa pulled Motte. Josh Hamilton and Michael Young delivered clutch sacrifice flies to score Kinsler and then Andrus from third base.

Further ominous signs for St. Louis involve key hitters Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday, a combined 1-for-12 in the Series to date. The likes of Allen Craig and David Freese have emerged as the Cardinal hitting stars (such as they are) in the Series, and even the most-diehard Redbird backers would admit that prospects are bleak if neither Pujols nor Holliday emerge from their recent funks.

The Rangers, who scored 55 runs in their 10 postseason games prior to the World Series, can be expected to find their groove in Arlington, where they posted an AL-best (along with the Yankees) 52-29 mark this season. Texas is also waiting for its big bats to awaken, as ALCS hero Nelson Cruz, Adrian Beltre, Kinsler and Hamilton were relatively quiet in the two games at Busch. Mike Napoli, however, did homer in Game 1, and though Hamilton is now 2-for-27 in World Series at bats since last season and continues to be hampered by a groin injury, he was able to lift a key sacrifice fly in the ninth inning of Game 2.

Kinsler also responded with a key hit to open the ninth inning in Game 2, suggesting he might be ready for a breakout performance when the action returns to Arlington on Saturday night.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/21/2011 06:48 PM

World Series


Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 Texas vs. St. Louis (-125) 3-2 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)

2 Texas (-120) vs. St. Louis 2-1 FAVORITE UNDER (8)

3 St. Louis vs. Texas Oct. 22

4 St. Louis vs. Texas Oct. 23

5 St. Louis vs. Texas Oct. 24

*6 Texas vs. St. Louis Oct. 26

*7 Texas vs. St. Louis Oct. 27


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/21/2011 06:50 PM

World Series shifts to Arlington for Game 3


ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

at TEXAS RANGERS


World Series Game 3 - Series tied 1-1
First pitch: Saturday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -185, St. Louis +175, Total: 9.5

The World Series moves to Texas on Saturday night when the Rangers host the Cards for Game 3, and the pitching matchup doesn’t scream greatness.

Each team will throw a middle-of-the-rotation arm, with Kyle Lohse going for St. Louis and lefty Matt Harrison starting for Texas. The Rangers are obviously tough at home, where they’ve won 11 of 12. But Harrison was knocked around in his post-All-Star break home starts, posting a 4.86 ERA, and the Cards’ .768 OPS against lefties is sixth-best in the majors. St. Louis can turn to its deep bullpen if Lohse gets off to a slow start, and the day off only helps their arms recover. And finally, the Cardinals are 4-2 on the road in the playoffs while the Rangers dropped two of their three World Series home games a year ago. The money line is way too steep in the Rangers’ favor, making ST. LOUIS the pick.

The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend working in the Cards’ favor:

Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TEXAS) – top-level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after a one-run win. (47-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (52.8%, +40.7 units. Rating = 3*).

Lohse (14-8, 3.39 ERA in the regular season) has not pitched well in the postseason, allowing nine runs (eight earned) over 9.2 innings in his two playoff starts, both Cardinals losses. But he was solid on the road this year (8-4, 3.41 ERA) and St. Louis has the bullpen to cover for him if needed. Despite Jason Motte’s blown save in Game 2, the Cardinals bullpen has a 2.47 ERA over 47.1 innings in the playoffs, which is a 1.61 ERA since their meltdown in Game 1 of the NLDS.

Harrison (14-9, 3.39 ERA in the regular season) has allowed two runs over five innings in each of his two playoff starts, both on the road. He did not pitch well against good teams at home this year. In seven outings against teams that finished .500 or better, Harrison was 1-5 with a 6.34 ERA, and Texas lost six of those games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/22/2011 04:03 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/20/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/19/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/16/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1085 Detail
10/15/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/14/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/13/11 0-­3-­0 0.00% -­1725 Detail
10/12/11 1-­0-­1 100.00% +­500 Detail
10/11/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1050 Detail
10/10/11 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1225 Detail
10/09/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/08/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/07/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% +­255 Detail
10/06/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% +­215 Detail
10/05/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1005 Detail
10/04/11 3-­3-­1 50.00% -­35 Detail
10/03/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/02/11 5-­1-­0 83.33% +­2505 Detail
10/01/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1000 Detail
Totals 31-­21-­2 59.62% +5445

Saturday, October 2

2Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis +171 500

Texas - Over 9.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:10 PM

MLB

Sunday, October 23

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Hot lines: Sunday's best MLB bet
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St. Louis Cardinals at Texas Rangers

A total of just eight runs were scored in the first two games in St. Louis, four for each team. The high-powered offenses could get going in Texas, in part because the bottom end of the rotations are now toeing the rubber.

Texas’ Game 4 starter Derek Holland has not gone more than five innings in any of his past four starts dating back to the end of the regular season. Yes, Ron Washington has a stellar bullpen at his disposal, but there is a reason why he is quick to pull the trigger on Holland. The southpaw allowed a total of seven runs on 11 hits over 7 1/3 innings in two ALCS appearances against Detroit.

Edwin Jackson of the Cardinals has not exactly been lights out, either. In two NLCS starts against Milwaukee, he lasted a total of 6 1/3 innings while giving up six earned runs on 11 hits.

But when Jackson takes the mound, St. Louis’ bats simply catch fire. The team has churned out double-digit runs in four of Jackson’s last six outings, including 12-run onslaughts in a pair of wins over the Brewers.

“I was kind of tentative last game,” explained Jackson, whose team is a perfect 7-0 in his last seven starts. “Wasn't nervous or anything; it was just a matter of going out and staying relaxed but not being too relaxed. So definitely I'll come out this game being aggressive from the first pitch.”

Pick: Cardinals

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:11 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at Texas
The Rangers look to bounce back from their Game 3 loss and build on their 9-1 record in Derek Holland's last 10 starts as a favorite from -150 to -200. Texas is the pick (-180) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 23

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Jackson) 15.552; Texas (Holland) 16.191
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Under




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 23

So much for pitching and defense; over is 5-1 in Rangers' home playoff games, 6-1 in St Louis' road playoff games. Cardinals won Jackson's last eight starts; he is 1-0, 5.84 in three postseason starts. Rangers won last six Holland starts; he is also 1-0, 5.84 in three postseason starts, very odd coincidence. Rangers are 4-2 at home in playoffs; St Louis is 5-2 on road, allowing 11-9 runs in two losses. What are odds that both starting pitchers would've allowed eight runs in exactly 12.1 IP in last 3 starts? Texas better start backing Pujols off plate, or someone in outfield seats is going to get injured by one of his titanic blasts.




MLB

Sunday, October 23

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Trend Report
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8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. TEXAS
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:12 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 23

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ST LOUIS (99 - 77) at TEXAS (104 - 71) - 8:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 48-50 (-18.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 95-88 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 105-70 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 99-65 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 77-45 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 77-47 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 44-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 51-37 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOLLAND is 19-7 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 15-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 100-78 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 51-38 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-5 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 99-76 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-48 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-31 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-16 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
JACKSON is 8-1 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+1.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TEXAS since 1997
JACKSON is 2-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 23

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 4 - STL Leads 2-1
ST LOUIS at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
JACKSON: 8-1 TSR in road games after a win
HOLLAND: TEXAS 10-18 after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:17 PM

Rangers aim to tie up World Series on Sunday


ST LOUIS CARDINALS

at TEXAS RANGERS


World Series Game 4 - St. Louis leads series 2-1
First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -180, St. Louis +170, Total: 9.5

One night after re-claiming home-field advantage, the Cardinals can take control of the World Series when they play Game 4 in Texas Sunday night.

Both teams had to tap into their bullpens early in Saturday’s Game 3 and that’s especially bad news for the Rangers as Sunday’s starter, 25-year-old lefty Derek Holland, has struggled in the playoffs. He’s lasted just 12.1 innings over three postseason starts and figures to have his hands full against a Cardinals lineup that hammered lefty Matt Harrison and the Texas bullpen for 16 runs in Game 3. While St. Louis starter Edwin Jackson is far from a sure thing, the veteran is a more reliable option than Holland at this point. The Cardinals are heavy underdogs on the road again despite being 5-2 on the road in the playoffs. ST. LOUIS is the pick, and the FoxSheets have a three-star trend working in the Cards’ favor:

ST. LOUIS is 19-4 (82.6%, +15.5 Units) against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season. The average score was ST LOUIS 5.7, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*).

Jackson (12-9, 3.79 ERA for Cards and White Sox in the regular season) has plenty of experience against the Rangers from his American League days. He’s 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA against them career, but got torched by Texas while pitching for the White Sox back in May (5.1 innings, four runs, 14 base runners allowed), his only start against the Rangers since 2009.

After a quality start in Game 4 of the NLDS against Philly (six innings, two runs), Jackson pitched two shortened outings in Milwaukee in the NLCS. In Game 2 he threw just 4.1 innings, allowing two runs and eight base runners, and in Game 6 he was pinch-hit for after allowing four runs, including three home runs, in two innings. Because of the lopsided score in Game 3, Tony La Russa got to save a portion of his bullpen for Sunday despite having relievers throw six innings.

After a strong finish to the regular season, Holland (16-5, 3.95 ERA in the regular season) has struggled in the playoffs, and the Rangers need him to work deep into this one after using their bullpen for 5.1 innings in Saturday’s Game 3. He lasted a total of just 12.1 innings in his three playoff starts and allowed 10 runs (eight earned) and 24 base runners, including five home runs.

St. Louis had MLB’s sixth-best OPS against lefties during the regular season (.768) and that was with a pitcher in the lineup for the majority of those games. Having Allen Craig in the lineup at DH (1.000 OPS in 30 postseason plate appearances, 1.003 OPS versus lefties in the regular season and playoffs combined) makes their lineup even more dangerous for Holland. Albert Pujols is coming off a performance for the ages, tying a World Series record with 3 HR, 6 RBI and five hits in the Game 3 rout.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:20 PM

Cardinals At Rangers World Series Game 4 Preview

Will the ninth-inning rally to win Game 2 give the Texas Rangers momentum this weekend as the World Series shifts to the Lone Star State, or will the St. Louis Cardinals reclaim home-field advantage in the all-important Game 3 on Saturday?

That question remains to be answered with the third game of the 2011 Fall Classic still pending at press. Texas was a heavy favorite (-180) behind southpaw Matt Harrison in the Saturday night showdown. St. Louis sent Kyle Lohse to the hill at Rangers Ballpark with a 9½-run total.

Should Texas build on the momentum from the Game 2 victory, Ron Washington will be sending young left-hander Derek Holland to the mound in Game 4 looking to take a 3-1 stranglehold in the Series. If it's St. Louis regaining control, Tony La Russa gives the ball to midseason acquisition Edwin Jackson in hopes of taking the 3-1 advantage.

The biggest story heading into the third game was the dominance by the pitchers in the two contests played in St. Louis. The eight runs combined in Games 1 and 2 represented a huge change from how the clubs bashed their way to LCS wins, and the lineups were a bit fortunate to even plate those eight runs.

St. Louis' winning run in Game 1 scored on a sinking line drive by pinch-hitter Allen Craig that fell just inches from Texas right fielder Nelson Cruz's mitt. The Rangers' 2-run rally in the ninth to win Game 2 came home on sacrifice flies and was aided by an uncharacteristic error by Cardinals first sacker Albert Pujols.

Moving the Series to such a hitter-friendly stadium as Rangers Ballpark, and much warmer temps than the first two games, plus the use of the DH in Games 3, 4 and 5 could go a long way to putting more runs on the scoreboard. Holland and Jackson taking the bump would also seem to be a good recipe for an offensive breakout.

This will be the fourth postseason start for each Game 4 starter, and the 'over' cashed in all six combined starts Jackson and Holland have made this October. While the 'over' trend might still continue, something else will have to give since the Rangers are 3-0 in Holland's starts, and the Cards are 3-0 when Jackson has taken his turn in the playoffs.

Holland and Jackson share several more stats besides the 'overs' and their clubs both 3-0 in their starts. Each have totaled 12 1/3-innings in their three starts, and each has allowed eight runs along the way. Holland has served up five homers in his three assignments, all here in Arlington, while Jackson allowed four long balls in his two road starts at Milwaukee in the NLCS.

This will be Holland's first career outing against St. Louis, with Jackson set to make his eighth career start vs. Texas. He saw the Rangers this past May in Chicago while still a member of the White Sox rotation, working 5 1/3-innings and allowing all four Texas runs in a 4-0 defeat as a -130 road favorite.

Ron Kulpa should have plate duty for Game 4 following a regular season in which he slightly favored the 'under' with an 18-15-2 record below the total. One of his 'overs' was here at Rangers Ballpark in late-August, an 11-7 Texas triumph vs. the Angels in which Holland worked 6 2/3 innings and allowed just one run.

Kulpa's most recent action behind the dish was Game 1 of the NLDS between Arizona and Milwaukee, a 4-1 Brewers win.

Scattered thunderstorms are once again in the forecast for the D-FW area on Sunday, with a 30 percent chance in the afternoon before the likelihood tapers off. The 8:05 p.m. (ET) first pitch should find the thermometer in the upper-70s with a light breeze from the south.

The teams come right back on Monday for Game 5 with the same start time, and is slated to be a mound rematch from Game 1, Chris Carpenter for St. Louis opposite Texas' CJ Wilson.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26647 Followers:33
10/23/2011 05:23 PM

World Series


Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 Texas vs. St. Louis (-125) 3-2 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)

2 Texas (-120) vs. St. Louis 2-1 FAVORITE UNDER (8)

3 St. Louis (+170) vs. Texas 16-7 UNDERDOG OVER (9.5)

4 St. Louis vs. Texas Oct. 23

5 St. Louis vs. Texas Oct. 24

*6 Texas vs. St. Louis Oct. 26

*7 Texas vs. St. Louis Oct. 27


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: