cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/18/2011 04:35 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/15/11 33-­31-­3 51.56% -­550 Detail
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail
Totals 122-­102-­5 54.46% +4900

Tuesday, October 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida International - 8:00 PM ET Arkansas State -3 500

Arkansas State - Under 52.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/18/2011 05:30 PM

Nebraska Cornhuskers Meet Minnesota Golden Gophers

It's been a tumultuous season for the Minnesota Golden Gophers. They'll take to the field once again in Big Ten action on Saturday afternoon when they duke it out with the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Saturday's afternoon kickoff from TCF Bank Stadium is slated for 3:30 (ET), with regional television coverage set for ABC.

The Golden Gophers (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) have already had some woeful results this year. In three straight games, they have been beaten by 28 by the Purdue Boilermakers, 58 by the Michigan Wolverines, and 13 by the North Dakota State Bison. Needless to say, that's not exactly the way that head coach Jerry Kill wanted to start off his tenure at Minnesota.

It seems obvious that very few of the numbers are going to look pretty for Minnesota. It is averaging just 300.3 YPG and 18.0 PPG, ranking No. 110 and No. 109 in the country respectively.

On the other side of the ball, the Golden Gophers are conceding 414.2 YPG, which ranks No. 93 in the country. They are also No. 109 in scoring defense at 35.0 PPG.

The worst part about this season for Minnesota is that things are only going to get worse. There have already been at least three teams on the schedule that won't sniff bowl eligibility in 2011 (and we didn't even include the ineligible USC Trojans in that threesome), and the last six games of the campaign could all be against bowl teams.

MarQueis Gray has shown some flashes of potential in his first full year as the starting quarterback for Minnesota. He's a dual threat with a team-leading 371 yards on the ground to go with his 625 yards through the air. However, he also has thrown just three touchdown passes against four picks, and he has given way to freshman Max Shortell in four of Minnesota's five games.

The Cornhuskers (5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS) have to feel good about their positioning right now in the Big Ten. They were beaten by the Wisconsin Badgers in their first ever Big Ten game, but still in position to win the Legends Division if they can run the table from here.

Nebraska enters this week ranked No. 13 in the BCS standings, but just No. 19 in the DonBest Linemakers Poll.

This ground game has to be licking its chops to go against a Minnesota rush defense that is allowing 166.5 YPG. The Cornhuskers are ranked No. 11 in rushing at 246.8 YPG thanks to their dual-threat quarterback and a potential All-American at running back.

Taylor Martinez hasn't truly excelled as a passer yet in his year and a half in Lincoln. He is only completing 54.3 percent of his passes and has the same number of touchdown passes as interceptions (six). However, Martinez does have 584 yards rushing and nine TDs to make up for his deficiencies as a passer.

Rex Burkhead split carries with Roy Helu before this season, but now that he has the backfield essentially to himself, he is really showing what he can do. The junior already has 635 rushing yards and 10 total trips to the end zone.

These two teams last met in a home and home series in 1989 and 1990. Nebraska won the two games by the aggregate score of 104-0.

Minnesota is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games. The Cornhuskers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as double-digit road favorites.

The NCAA football odds opened up this week with Nebraska favored by 25-points. That line has since stayed relatively steady, though it has come down at some outlets to 24½. The total has remained steady at 56½.

Expect a chilly afternoon at TCF Bank Stadium, as temperatures will start in the low-50s and dip into the mid-40s as the game progresses. There is a minimal chance of rain.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/18/2011 05:32 PM

Texas A&M Aggies, Iowa State Big 12 Preview

The game may be taking place one pasture north of Missouri in Iowa, but my challenge to the Texas A&M Aggies remains, "Show me."

Mike Sherman and the Aggies go to Iowa State this week for a matchup with the Cyclones, their slim Big 12 hopes in tow as 21-point favorites for the 3:30 p.m. (ET) kickoff. The game is part of the ABC regional package, meaning I should be able to watch it for all its glory or carnage while sitting in the beautiful Texas Hill Country.

My, uh, the Aggies finally showed they could play a full 60 minutes of football this past week with a 55-28 romp over the Baylor Bears. Favored by eight at home, A&M rolled behind close to 700 yards of offense and the huge games by Ryan Tannehill and Ryan Swope.

But it was Baylor.

Texas A&M survived an early turnover and seemed to find a groove after the Bears missed a short field goal following a lengthy drive nearly midway through the second quarter. Tannehill and Swope certainly caught fire from that point on, the duo hooking up twice in the final 8:16 of the second quarter to help the Ags to a 24-14 halftime lead.

The pair combined twice more on second half scores and there was no late collapse by A&M this time. Tannehill had six touchdown tosses on the day and the Aggies also rushed for 266 yards.

But it was Baylor.

Art Briles has done a great job in Waco; Robert Griffin III is a fantastic athlete. But had Texas A&M taken care of business against Arkansas and Oklahoma State, the Aggies would've been favored by 14 over the Bears and still almost doubled that 'cover.'

Iowa State's best shot at a win the rest of the way is a home date with Kansas a couple of weeks from now. Paul Rhoads is very fortunate to have the Cyclones level at 3-3 entering this game. The team's three wins to begin the season included a narrow escape here in Ames over Northern Iowa as 6½-point favorites.

A home upset over Iowa and road upset at Connecticut followed, but Iowa State has dropped the last three outright and against the spread coming into this one.

This game really has nothing to do with the Cyclones. They may cover, indeed, I wouldn't at all be surprised if they won straight up. This game still has everything to do with the Aggies who need to gain a little mojo with a solid effort on the road, if they are to have any hope in Norman a couple of weeks from now.

Saturday's total is 65½, with each squad 4-2 to the 'over' on the season. Both defenses rank in triple-digits in yards allowed; A&M is dead last in passing yards allowed, and Iowa State is 111th giving it up on the ground. If you're looking for old-fashioned smash-mouth defense this Saturday, Jack Trice Stadium is not the place to be.

Current weather forecasts are calling for a decent enough day in Ames, low-60s under partly cloudy skies for the kickoff.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/18/2011 05:33 PM

Texas Tech 28-Point 'Dog At Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma has covered seven of the last 10 matchups with Texas Tech.
The Oklahoma Sooners debuted at No. 3 in the initial BCS rankings released on Sunday and will look to remain unbeaten on Saturday when they host the Texas Tech Red Raiders in a Big 12 battle.

The Sooners (6-0, 3-0 Big 12) lead a group of five teams from the Big 12 in the BCS Top 25 and are ranked second in the Don Best Linemakers Poll behind the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide and ahead of the No. 3 LSU Tigers, who currently hold the top spot in the BCS rankings.

Game time is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. (ET) with regional television coverage provided by ABC.

Oklahoma is coming off another relatively easy victory last Saturday on the road against the Kansas Jayhawks, 47-17. Quarterback Landry Jones threw for 363 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while wide receiver Ryan Broyles set the NCAA record for most career receptions, grabbing 13 for a career-high 215 yards, including two touchdowns.

Broyles needed four to pass Purdue’s Taylor Stubblefield and broke the mark on a 57-yard touchdown catch with 7:50 remaining in the second quarter.

The schedule figures to get tougher for the Sooners after they face the Red Raiders (4-2, 1-2), who have lost two straight at home against a couple other Top 25 BCS teams from the Big 12 in the Texas A&M Aggies and Kansas State Wildcats. Oklahoma has to play both the Wildcats and Aggies in consecutive weeks following this matchup with Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders have alternated wins and losses with the Sooners over the previous seven years, which would seem to put them in line for a victory this week considering they lost last year’s meeting, 45-7. However, Oklahoma opened as a 28-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has been bet up to -29 at some sportsbooks.

The Sooners are 7-3 against the spread in the past 10 meetings.

Texas Tech lost starting running back Eric Stephens (570 rushing yards) for the season with a dislocated knee a week ago, and fifth-year senior Aaron Crawford filled in with 91 yards on 21 carries in a 41-34 loss to Kansas State last Saturday. The Red Raiders failed to cover the spread as 3 ½-point favorites as QB Seth Doege struggled despite throwing for 461 yards. He threw one touchdown pass and three interceptions, including one that was returned 24 yards for a touchdown just 37 seconds into the game.

Doege ranks fourth in the country with 2,167 passing yards, just 10 behind Oklahoma’s Jones. But he had only thrown one pick before tossing three against the Wildcats while Jones has six on the season.

The key to this game could very well be pass defense, with Texas Tech ranking 21st nationally, allowing 187.7 yards per game through the air and seven touchdowns with four interceptions. The Sooners have a solid secondary as well and are ranked 35th, giving up 201.2 yards per game and five touchdowns with nine picks.

The weather forecast for Norman on Saturday calls for a high temperature of 75 with a 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/18/2011 05:34 PM

USC Trojans At Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Tommy Rees is coming off a 4-TD effort two weeks ago vs. Air Force.
The Jeweled Shillelagh will be on the line Saturday in one of college football’s most historic rivalries when the Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the USC Trojans.

Saturday’s game is set to start at 7:30 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on NBC. The Don Best odds screen currently lists the Fighting Irish as a 9-point favorite.

While neither team is currently ranked in the AP Top 25 or the BCS Standings, both are ranked in the top 25 on the Don Best Linemakers Poll. USC comes in at No. 23, while Notre Dame is more highly respected at No. 9.

USC (5-1) not only picked up its first win on the road last week in a 30-9 victory over California, but also turned in the best defensive effort of the season. The Trojans allowed only nine points and 329 yards of total offense, highlighted by allowing just 35 rushing yards against the Bears.

Unfortunately, the win came with a slew of injuries. Starting running back Marc Tyler dislocated his shoulder and cornerback Anthony Brown broke his ankle. USC’s secondary couldn’t afford another injury, as Brown was filling in for injured starter Torin Harris.

Notre Dame (4-2) could take advantage of USC’s secondary woes with a passing attack that is rounding into form. Tommy Rees threw for 261 yards and four touchdowns in Notre Dame’s last game, a 59-33 win over Air Force.

After stumbling out of the gate to an 0-2 start with losses to South Florida and Michigan, Notre Dame has won four straight (3-1 ATS) and the Irish appear to be hitting their stride. While coach Brian Kelly is known for his offensive prowess, it has been Notre Dame’s defense that has been the team's biggest strength this season.

Southern Cal is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Notre Dame, but the tides may be turning back in Notre Dame’s favor. The Irish beat the Trojans for the first time since 2001 last season at the Coliseum, winning 20-16 as a 5-point underdog on the road.

The eight-game winning streak was the longest USC had ever had over Notre Dame in the 85-year history of the rivalry.

While USC is a respectable 17-6 SU in its last 23 games on the road, the Trojans are just 6-12 ATS in their last 18 road games. Notre Dame hasn’t fared much better covering the spread at home recently going 4-8-2 ATS in the last 14 home games. Both teams are 3-3 ATS on the season.

Five of the last seven games between USC and Notre Dame went ‘under’ the posted total. The total has also gone ‘under’ in four of USC’s last five games on the road and four of Notre Dame’s last five at home.

Cool and humid is the forecast for South Bend on Saturday. Kickoff should find the temps in the low-50s before dropping into the upper-30s overnight.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/19/2011 05:54 PM

Wisconsin Hits Road At Michigan State Spartans

Wisconsin looks to snap Michigan State’s 11-game home win streak.
The Wisconsin Badgers find themselves in an unusual position, on the road, when they play the Michigan State Spartans on Saturday night.

Don Best has Wisconsin as 8-point favorites, with the total at 49-points. ESPN will broadcast at 8:00 p.m. (ET) from Spartan Stadium, arguably the best game on the college football betting schedule.

The Badgers (6-0 straight up, 5-0-1 against the spread) haven’t played a true road game since before Thanksgiving of last year. Their six games this season have included five at Camp Randall Stadium and a neutral site contest versus Northern Illinois in Chicago.

The Wisconsin schedule has been filled with more ‘cupcakes’ than a bakery with one ranked opponent in Nebraska, four FBS foes with a combined record of 7-19 SU (9-16-1 ATS), plus FCS South Dakota. The smallest margin of victory is 31 points, a big reason for this pointspread.

The newly released BCS rankings take schedule into consideration with the computer rankings and that’s a big reason why Wisconsin is No. 6. The AP and Coaches Poll (both No. 4) and Don Best Linemakers Poll (No. 5) all rank the Badgers higher.

Coach Bret Bielema now takes his team to a place its historically struggled. The Badgers have lost three straight (1-2 ATS) at Michigan State, including last year 34-24 as 3-point favorites, their only regular season loss of the season.

The ‘over’ is 2-0 in the last two and 7-1 the last eight meetings between the teams.

Wisconsin was controlled by Michigan State last season, losing the time of possession battle 36.5-23.5 minutes. Quarterback Scott Tolzien had one of his worst games of the year (11-of-25, 127 yards), but the team has a major upgrade in Russell Wilson.

Wilson steers the nation’s top-ranked scoring offense (50.2 PPG) and his leading 210.9 quarterback rating makes him a serious Heisman candidate. The best part is he won’t get rattled on the road as there’s no stage too big for the senior transfer.

Leading receiver Nick Toon (447 yards) is also probable to return after missing last week’s 59-7 win over Indiana with a foot injury.

The Badgers still love to pound the ball first with the hogs up front and backs Montee Ball and James White. The 257.5 YPG rushing ranks seventh nationally. Michigan State has been tremendous with run defense all year (67 YPG, third nationally), but this will be its biggest challenge.

The Badgers won their final three Big Ten road games last year (3-0 ATS) after losing at Michigan State. They’re 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

The ‘over’ is 4-2 for Wisconsin this year and 11-4-1 in its last 16 overall.

The Spartans (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) are ranked No. 16 in the BCS and No. 13 at Don Best. They moved ahead of in-state rival Michigan with a 28-14 home win last week as 3-point favorites.

The 42 combined points scored went ‘under’ the 47 ½-point total. The ‘under’ is 5-1 on the year with the defense allowing just 10.8 PPG, among the nation’s leaders.

The offense has contributed to some low scoring affairs, its 28 PPG ranked just 65th. That number is slightly down from last year (29.5 PPG), a surprise given the return of quarterback Kirk Cousins, wide receiver B.J. Cunningham and running backs Edwin Baker and Le’Veon Bell.

Cousins has a solid 65.9 completion percentage, but his 7.6 yards per attempt is mediocre. Finding another consistent receiver outside of Cunningham (621 yards) has been a challenge. Baker is averaging 4.8 yards per carry, but just broke 100-yards for the first time this year against Michigan (167 yards).

This offense can’t afford to be too conservative on Saturday. Lots of points need to be put on the board because it will be extremely hard to keep Wilson and company under 30.

The Spartans' only loss of the year (31-13) was at Notre Dame on September 17. They’re 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home and have an 11-game home winning streak.

Wisconsin’s defense has been tremendous statistically (9.7 PPG), but it’s nowhere near as talented as its offense, and has a lot to prove in a nationally televised night game against a quality opponent.

The injury situation for Michigan State has center Blake Treadwell (knee) and defensive end Tyler Hoover (back) both questionable after missing multiple games. Fellow defensive end William Gholston could be suspended after some personal fouls against Michigan.

Weather in East Lansing should be clear and dip into the 40s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/19/2011 05:58 PM

News & Notes - Week 8

October 18, 2011

Editor's Note: Phil Steele and his Northcoast Sports stable have lit up the college football season with a 57% start after seven weeks of action. Get winners for Week 8 now. Click to win!
Week 8

USC delivered a winner on Thursday after taking advantage of 5 California TO's. In the 1H USC had a 187-132 yd edge and blew one opportunity off a TO by fumbling a snap on a fake FG. They settled for a 39 yd FG and also benefitted from stopping a Cal fake punt at the Cal37 which 5pl later resulted in a USC TD. The Trojans led 20-0 at the half en route to the 30-9 win...

Air Force was missing all 3 starting DL and got worn down by San Diego State in the 2H. Ronnie Hillman rushed for 172 yards for the Aztecs including 22 and 57 yd TD runs on B2B plays to blow open a close game. AF had a 215-160 yd edge at the half...

San Jose State beat Hawaii at home on a Friday night in front of a charged home crowd. The game featured a 2011 season high of 12 TO's with each team having 6. In the 1H SJS took advantage of some UH TO's and could have led by more than 20-7 as they missed a FG, settled for a FG and had an IR TD called back by a pers foul that was 40 yards behind the play. In the 2H SJS turned it over on their first 5 poss but one of the key plays of the game happened after UH had just taken the lead, 21-20. SJS turned it over after an 8pl drive at their own 40 and UH got a 32 yd TD run. The xp was blk'd and ret'd for 2 and instead of leading 28-20, it was 27-22. Each team missed a FG and SJS got a TD with :36 left to go up 28-27 and missed the 2 pt conv. UH only got as far as its own 39...

Miami, Fl. gained 263 of its 311 yards in the 1H and avoided their first 0-3 start in conf play in program history. They led 27-10 at the half with a 274-177 yd edge but North Carolina finished with a 429-311 yd edge. Giovanni Bernard became the school's first NC player to rush for at least 100 yards in 5 consec game since Ethan Horton in 1984. UM's Lamar Miller was held to 29 yards on 16 carries. Once NC got a TD with :46 left to pull within 30-24 they actually rec'd the onside kick and got to the UM30 but on 3&17 tried the lateral on the last play which came up short...

Wisconsin shelled Indiana 59-7 but it actually wasn't as bad as LY when they won 83-20. Trailing 14-0, Indy was SOD at the UW36 and UW drove 64 yds for a TD and after an int, drove 80 yds for a TD. They led 38-7 at the half but the yards were only 379-217 as IU was SOD at the UW36, int'd at the 20 and int'd setting up a UW39 yd TD in the final minute. In the 2H UW got a 60 yd PR for a TD and rec'd a fmbl by the IU QB for a TD with 9:17 left to close the scoring...

Missouri probably dominated Iowa State even more than the 52-17 margin although they did lose DT Terrell Resonno who inj'd his right knee in the 1H and DNR. Missouri opened the game with 10 straight runs, the first on a 50/8pl TD drive. They led 28-3 and had the ball at the ISU27 yd line when they were int'd and ret'd 78 yds for a TD. At the half MO had a 368-117 yd edge but only led 31-10. They expanded it to 52-10 in the 4Q and ISU went 74/6pl for a garbage TD and added 58 additional yards after that. Missouri had 13 yds on their final 4 poss with a backup QB...

Utah's D dominated Pittsburgh as they had a 251-120 yd edge. The Utes were without their QB Jordan Wynn (out for yr) and top WR DeVonte Christopher. Pitt appeared in control early thanks to special teams. The Panthers got a 10pl drive to open and punted and Utah went on a 12pl drive and settled for a 23 yd FG but Pitt got a 98 yd KR TD then blk'd a punt for a TD. The KR TD was their first since 2006 and the blk'd punt TD was their first since 1991 and they led 14-3 but Utah, with 2:07 left in the half, with QB Hays under heavy pressure, threw a pass which tipped off the LB's hand, over a DB and into WR Matthews hands which he took 33 yards for a TD to pull them within 14-13. Utah took a lead with a FG on the opening drive of the 3Q and never trailed again in a game played in 20-36 mph winds. Pitt trailed 19-13 when they were SOD at the Utah35 on 4&3 with backup QB Anderson in. On the next drive on 3&10 Anderson was int'd and ret'd 23 yds for a TD with 1:10 left for a somewhat misleading 26-14 final...

Virginia delivered the outright upset against Georgia Tech last Saturday, proving that teams with extra time to prepare for GT's option usually do well and Virginia upended #12 GT which had been off to its best start since 1966. UVA had 407-296 yd and 21-17 FD edges. UVA went 73/4pl and 45/12pl for TD's on their first 2 poss to lead 14-0. GT got a 32 yd IR TD to pull back to 14-14 with 8:24 left in the half but UVA went 72/10pl and 21/8pl (after int) for a TD and a 36 yd FG and led 24-14 at the half with a 272-154 yd edge. GT opened the 3Q with an 85/19pl drive for a TD, 24-21 but punted on their next 3 poss and UVA took over at their 23 with 5:58 left in the game and would get 5 FD's on the 69/13pl drive taking a knee at the GT6...

Marshall benched QB starter Rakeem Cato and AJ Graham hit just 11-22-99 yds but rushed for 129 yards on 20 carries and was the team's leading rusher. Rice finished with a 361-328 yd edge. Marshall went 69/1pl and 87/11pl for TD's, 14-0 and Rice went on 43 and 50 yd drives for 2 FG's, 14-6 at the half. Rice battled back to take a 20-17 lead. MU rec'd a fmbl at the Rice25 but was int'd at the 8 with 11:42 left and after 4 punts, Rice fmbl'd at their own 23 with 3:31 left. MU converted on 4&10 and went 23/5pl to get a 4 yd TD run by Martinez with 1:49 left to take the lead. Rice was SOD at their own 33 on 4&13...

Dan Herron ret'd to the lineup for Ohio State and rushed for 114 yards. Braxton Miller hit just 1-4 passes for 17 yards as the Buckeyes kept it on the ground but his only completion was a 17 yd TD pass to Jake Stoneburner to put the Buckeyes up 17-7. OSU did not throw its first pass until 7:22 mark in the 2Q. Illinois had a 285-228 yd edge and OSU went 45/10pl for a 43 yd FG to open and the next 9 poss resulted in punts. At the half OSU had a 105-95 yd edge. UI was int'd and ret'd 37 yds to the 12 and Herron got a 12 yd TD run on the next play, 10-0 early 3Q. OSU rec'd a fmbl'd at the UI22 and on 3&5 got a 17 yd TD pass to Stoneburner 17-0. UI went 80/15pl for a 3 yd TD pass. UI's last drives ended on an int at the OSU20 (from midfield) and a 41/8pl drive that was SOD at the OSU16 with 1:11 left...

Colorado was last in the P12 in TD passes allowed while Washington was #1 in the P12 in TD passes. Keith Price had 4 TD passes in the 1H as UW rolled up a 379-104 yd edge and led 44-10. UW scored on all 6 poss in the 1H. Price was pulled with 1:05 left in the 3Q and on Nick Montana's first ever snap as a UW QB, he fumbled setting up a CU 36/6pl TD drive which pulled them within 45-24. UW got a TD with 2:32 left for the 52-24 final. CU is a banged up team without top WR Paul Richardson, top rusher Stewart and numerous DB's...

Michigan State is now 4-0 since the Mike Hart's infamous "little brother" comment. The Spartans held Michigan's potent offense to 250 yards and had 333 yards on offense. It was MSU's first 4 game win streak in the series since 1962. MSU had 6 sacks for 54 yards while the Wolverines had zero sacks. MSU rushed for 213 yards on 39 carries while UM rushed for 82 yards on 36 carries. It was tied at 7 and MSU had a 162-138 yd edge and the Spartans had leads of 14-7 and 21-7. UM got a 34 yd TD pass with 9:49 left then rec'd a fmbl but on 4&1 Robinson was tackled for a 10 yd loss. On the next drive Robinson was int'd and ret'd 39 yds for a TD to put the Spartans up 28-14 with 4:31 left to clinch it. UM was SOD at their own 46 with 3:18 left and the Spartans ended the game at the UM 21...

Matt Simms made his first start of the season for Tennessee and hit 6-20-128 and 2 int. It was the 2nd straight bkp QB LSU has now faced. The key play of the game happened at the end of a scoreless 1Q. UT was at the LSU42 when Simms threw into the EZ and was int'd and ret'd 89 yds to the 5. That set up an LSU TD and a 7-0 lead. LSU then got a 10 yd PR setting up a 36/7pl drive for a TD to lead 14-0. It was 17-7 at the half. LSU had 3 poss in the 2H. They went 66/12pl, 99/16pl for TD's to put them up 31-7. After Tenn was SOD on 4&7 at the LSU35, the Tigers went 65/10pl and on 4&3 got a 14 yd TD pass with 1:35 left. UT which had run for negative yards vs. both Florida and Georgia rushed for 111 yds on LSU...

The Penn State-Purdue game was played in a heavy wind as were many games in the Midwest. At the end of the half, PSU on 3&10 threw a TD pass where the rec caught the ball in both hands and had both feet down but it was punched away and ruled incomplete. PSU settled for a FG, 10-6. PSU led 20-12 and was at the PU23 when a pass into the EZ was tipped into the air bouncing off both the DB and WR and their feet and it was ret'd 50 yds and PU got a TD to pull within 20-18. PSU got a 98 yd KR and their KR Powell just flipped the ball towards the ref but was called for a 15 yd pen which took the ball from the 3 back to the 18 and PSU settled for a 29 yd FG. PSU finished the game at the PU5 taking a knee...

Shovels of dirt were being thrown on Florida State after their 3rd straight loss but they dominated Duke with a 481-289 yd edge as EJ Manuel returned to the starting lineup but hit just 9-14-239. The game was tied 3-3 when FSU went 60/2pl for a TD then after a 26 yd PR went 64/4pl and 95/7pl for TD's to blow it open, 24-3. At half they had a 286-106 yd edge. Duke recovered a pair of onside kicks in the 2H and got within 34-16 but a 3rd onside kick was rec'd by FSU and the Seminoles went 39 yards for a TD in just 4 plays...

Central Florida actually had a 184-144 yd edge vs. SMU in the 1H but allowed a 47 yd PR setting up a 19 yd TD drive and also allowed a 92 yd PR TD by Richard Crawford so they trailed 17-3 at the half and never got within 14 points the rest of the game...

Texas had a 24-21 FD edge vs. Oklahoma State but the Cowboys had a 420-370 yd edge. UT controlled the ball for 39:18 but had trouble punching it in. UT was SOD on 4&3 at the OSU32, settled for a 34 yd FG after a 10pl drive and trailed 21-10 at the half. Each team got a 100 yd KR for a TD to open the 3Q, 28-17. UT pulled within 28-24 but then gave up a 74 yd TD run with 4:14 left in the 3Q to fall down 14 pts. UT on 4&3 had an open receiver but was caught inches short of the EZ on 4th & gl. UT was sk'd & fmbl'd at the OSU43 and int'd at the OSU47 on their final 2 poss...

Brandon Ogletree had a big game forcing TO's on 2 straight poss with an int and 1 FF but BYU only turned those poss into 3 pts. Thanks to a 51 yd IR TD BYU and Oregon State were tied at 14 at the half despite BYU having a 222-141 yd edge. BYU was up 21-14 when OSU turned it over those 3 times and 24-14 after. OSU got a TD to pull within 24-21 but BYU got a TD with 10:39 left and then OSU missed a 48 yd FG and BYU went 69/6pl for a TD with 3:37 left to make it 38-21. OSU went 63/16pl getting a TD with :23 left for the 38-28 final...

Kansas State delivered yet another outright upset, this time over Texas Tech. KSU got a 24 yd IR TD early and then added a 100 yd KR for a TD to lead 14-13. They missed the xp but Coach Snyder, unlike some other coaches in college ball (Lane Kiffin) doesn't go for 2 unless needed and KSU would score 3 TD's in the 2Q and 3Q and not once did Snyder go for the odd 2 points which helped the Cats stay ahead by 7 at the end of the game. At half TT actually led 28-20 with a 389-94 yd edge and had 2 FG's blk'd. KSU got a TD on the last play of the 3Q to take a 34-31 lead and would not relinquish it and KSU in the 4Q was SOD at the TT27 and missed a 31 yd FG. TT got a 19 yd FG with 2:32 left then rec'd the onside kick but on 4&4 fired incomplete from the KSU47 and the Wildcats remain unbeaten...

Trent Richardson may have had a Heisman moment vs. Mississippi with a 76 yd TD run where he had 4 players cornering him on the sidelines at the end of a run, stopped and started up again and got the TD. Richardson rushed for 188 yards. Alabama actually gave up a 59 yd pass on the 3rd play of the game and Miss got a TD 2pl later for a stunning 7-0 lead. The Rebels had 72 yards on that drive and 69 yds the rest of the game as Bama finished with a 615-141 yd edge in their dominating 52-7 win...

Stanford turned the ball over 3 times all year but had 2 TO's in the 1H vs. Washington State. As usual, SU struggled a bit in the 1H, in fact the FD's were even at 8 and SU only led 10-7. SU would score TD's on 3 of their first 4 2H poss to go up 31-7. WSU was SOD on 4&8 at the SU9 with 10:31 left. SU went 91/12pl getting a TD with 4:26 left to make it 38-7. WSU gave Jeff Tuel the start as he ret'd from his collarbone inj but they brought in Marshall Lobbestael and he guided the Cougars 80/12pl for a TD with :14 left to make it 38-14 but Montgomery ret'd the ensuing KO 96 yds for a TD on what turned out to the be the final play of the game and SU won by 30...

Things did not look good for Virginia Tech early as Wake Forest had a 10-0 lead and a 122-2 yd edge after 1Q but VT would dominate the 2Q with 3 TD's, the 3rd coming after WF was int'd at their own 27 with :30 left in the half and VT went for it on the last play of the half and got a TD run by Thomas. VT had a 207-41 yd edge in the 2Q and opened the 3Q with an 80/6pl drive for a TD and rolled to a 38-17 win with a 473-320 yd edge...

Auburn and Florida both came in with major ? at QB and none of the ?'s were answered. Seven different players took snaps at QB. UF #2 QB Driskell was ? coming in and obviously not 100% but he was brought into the game in the 2H after Jacoby Brissett started and hit 5-10-45. AU starting QB Barrett Trotter has now lost confidence and hit 2-8-33 with Clint Moseley and Kiehl Frazier also seeing action. UF fmbl'd 2 punts setting up a 32/3pl TD drive and 22/6pl drive for a FG which was the majority of AU's offense. UF had a couple of long drives end in settling for short FG's then at the end were SOD at the AU16 after an 11 pl drive but AU finished with a 278-194 yd edge.


A couple of blk'd FG's cost Navy an outright win and Rutgers a frontdoor cover in the last 5:00. RU had 423-305 yd and 22-15 FD edges. RU missed a 52 yd FG, fmbl'd at the Navy2 at the end of a 75/10pl drive but Navy was SOD at the 5 at the end of a 68/12pl drive. 2pl later Navy had a 16 yd IR TD to tie it at 7. RU was SOD at the N32 and had a 221-187 yd edge but Navy led 14-7 at the half thanks to a 54 yd TD run by Proctor. Navy extended it to 17-7 but RU went 52/6pl for a TD and then 66/7pl with a 3&9, 20 yd TD pass to go up 21-17. Navy got a 41 yd FG to make it 21-20 then had a 34 yd FG blk'd with 4:50 left. RU got to the Navy24 but had a 41 yd FG blk'd with :24 left which would have given them the cover...

Mississippi State had a slight 296-289 yd edge but 3 long drives in the 3Q only produced 3 points and they needed a safety on the final play of the game to get the cover after the line had moved from +5' to +3 at the end of the week. It was South Carolina's first game without QB Stephen Garcia and first road start for Connor Shaw who hit 20-28-155 yards. Tyler Russell started for Miss St and hit 11-29-165. At the half SC was int'd in the EZ with 4:06 left and int'd at the 1 from the MSU41 with :12 left. In the 3Q, MSU went 52/9pl and missed a 40 yd FG. They went 44/7p land missed a 53 yd FG then went 70/11pl and settled for a 22 yd FG with 3 long drives only producing 3 pts, they only led 10-7 and SC went 79/12pl for a 4 yd TD pass with 3:50 left. MSU got to the SC32 but was int'd at the 12 and on 4&13 SC ran out the clock taking a safety on the final play and to win by 2.The win was costly for SC as they lost LY's SEC Frosh of the Year, Marcus Lattimore, for the season (knee).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/19/2011 06:13 PM

Tech Trends - Week 8

October 19, 2011

Thursday, Oct. 20
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

UCF at UAB...UCF has won and covered last two meetings and is 5-2 vs. line last seven against UAB. Blazers only 3-5 vs. spread last 8 at Legion Field but have covered last 4 TY. Meanwhile, USF on 0-4 spread slide after covering 22 of previous 28 on board. Slight to UCF, based on team trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA...First game post-Mike Stoops for UA, d.c. Tim Kish now promoted to HC spot. Cats have beaten UCLA four straight and five of six,, all wins by 7 or more. Neuheisel on 1-8 spread run since late 2010, 3-11 last 14 on board. Bruins also 1-6 vs. points last seven on road. Although Cats only 3-11 vs. spread last 14 vs. FBS foes, and have lost ten in a row SU vs. FBS teams. Arizona, based on series trends.

Friday, Oct. 21
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

RUTGERS at LOUISVILLE...Schiano 5-1 vs. line TY. Cards on 4-13 spread run at Papa John's (no covers last five at home). Rutgers, based on team trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at SYRACUSE...Big road series, with visitor having covered last six meetings. WVU has won and covered last five at Carrier Dome, and Mountaineers have covered last 3 as reg.-season visitor. Cuse has only covered 2 of last 8 at home and both covers were by narrowest of margins (OT vs. Wake and Toledo). WVU, based on team and series trends.

Saturday, Oct. 22
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

INDIANA at IOWA...Hoosiers not exactly road warriors, now 1-7 vs. number last 8 away from Bloomington. Kirk Ferentz only 7-13 as DD chalk since 2007, 11-22 last 33 since early 2004, although Iowa 4-0-1 vs. spread last 5 at Iowa City. Slight to Iowa, based on team trends.

NC STATE at VIRGINIA...Pack getting points so note 24-12 dog mark for Tom O'Brien since 2007 (1-1-1 TY). Cavs 3-7 vs. spread last 10 as ACC host. NCS, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at PURDUE...Zook now on 9-2 spread run last 11 away from Champaign-Urbana. Purdue just 4-8-1 vs. line last 13 at Ross-Ade. Illinois, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at FLORIDA STATE...FSU has covered 3 of last 4 in series. Jimbo 5-5 vs. spread as host since LY but Noles 5-13 vs. line last 18 as host dating to late 2008. FSU just 10-18 laying 7 or more since 2005. Terps are 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from College Park (1-0 for Edsall, the rest for Ralph). Maryland, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Paul Johnson no wins or covers last two vs. Miami, beaten by wide margins, although Jackets had covered previous four in series. Canes just 9-18 vs. line as host since 2007. GT, based on team trends.

WAKE FOREST at DUKE...Last four "over" in series. Duke 3-1-1 vs. line last five vs. Wake. Duke 6-10-2 vs. spread last 17 at Durham. "Over" and slight to Wake, based on "totals" and team trends.

ARKANSAS at OLE MISS...Hogs have covered 6 of last 7 in series. Petrino on 13-4 spread uptick since early in 2010 campaign, now 20-9 last 29 on board. Houston Nutt 1-5 vs. line last 6 as SEC host. Arkansas, based on team and series trends.

CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...Note Skip 4-7 as chalk since arriving at USF LY and 13-22 last 35 as chalk extending back to his ECU days. Cincy had covered six straight in series prior to 38-30 loss at Nippert LY. Cincy, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Clemson covers last five TY. Dabo now 12-7-1 vs. spread as host since taking over from Tommy Bowden in mid 2008. Heels covering every other week TY but are 16-8 their last 24 as dog. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BUFFALO...Huskies on 2-0 spread uptick, although NIU just 306 last nine as road chalk. Slight to NIU, based on recent trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH...Spaziani vs. Beamer! BC only 1-5 vs. spread TY. Beamer has won and covered last three meetings handily. Spaziani now on 7-16 spread run last 23 on board. Beamer, based on series trends.

TEXAS A&M at IOWA STATE...Aggies now 4-12 vs. spread last 16 away from Kyle Field. Slight to ISU, based on recent A&M road woes.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Physical battle at Ypsilanti. Ron English now 2-10 since arriving at EMU in '09 vs. spread at Rynearson Stadium, the one-time home of the WFL Detroit Wheels. Broncos on 7-game cover streak, second-best in country behind Stanford. WMU, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO at TCU...Lobos 1-5 vs. line vs. Frogs since 2005. UNM 10-19 vs. spread against FBS foes since 2009, or post-Rocky Long. Gary Patterson 0-3 vs. line at home TY after 19-6 spread mark previous 25 at Fort Worth. TCU, based on team trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...CMU 1-6 vs. line TY, now 3-12 last 15 on board since early 2010 for Dan Enos. Visiting team, however, has covered last four in series, and note Ball 1-2 vs. spread at Muncie TY, 2-13 last 15 vs. line at home. Slight to CMU, based on series road and Ball home trends.

TULSA at RICE...Tulsa has won last four in series, but covered only two of those. Golden Hurricane 7-1 vs. line last 8 away from home, however. Note Rice has covered last six as host, and Owls 25-10 as home dog since 2000. Slight to Rice, based on recent trends.

ARMY at VANDERBILT...Army no covers first three away TY, as home team has covered in all six West Point games to date. Vandy 2-0 as chalk and 3-0 vs. line at home TY, although only 9-15 as home chalk since 2000. Slight to Vandy, based on recent trends.

at LA TECH at UTAH STATE...LT 4-1-1 vs. line last six meetings. Tech has also covered first three on road TY. Slight to LT, based on recent and series team trends.

TEMPLE at BOWLING GREEN...BG just 10-20 vs. spread at Doyt-Perry Stadium since 2005. Owls 3-0 vs. line away TY and 16-6 vs. spread last 22 as visitor. Temple, based on team trends.

OHIO at AKRON...Solich has won and covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 vs. Zips. Akron has cobbled together a 3-game cover streak and is actually 6-3 vs. number last nine on board since late LY. Solich no covers last 3 TY but is 7-3 vs. points last 10 on MAC road. Ohio, based on extended Solich numbers.

MEMPHIS at TULANE...Ugh! Tulane only 4-16 vs. spread last 20 at Superdome, but Memphis just 9-22 last 31 on board overall. Slight to Tulane, based on Memphis woes.

OKLAHOMA STATE at MISSOURI...Teams haven't played since '09, at which point OSU had won and covered two in a row vs. Mizzou. Cowboys now on 15-4 spread tear since 2010 and have covered nine straight on road. OSU, based on recent trends.

OREGON at COLORADO...Buffs no covers last 4 TY and 2-4 on line for Embree. CU now 5-10 last 15 on board since early 2010. but 7-3 last 10 as Boulder dog. Ducks only 4-8 last 12 vs. spread away from home, however. Slight to UO, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA...Who remembers Nebraska's 84-13 win in 1983 when the Huskers had possession for just over 21 minutes of action? Gophers no covers last 3 TY. Bo Pelini 10-5 last 15 as road chalk. Nebraska, based on recent trends.

UTAH at CAL...Utes 3-8-1 last 12 vs. spread since mid 2010, but Cal only 13-18 last 31 overall vs. number. Slight to Utah, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at BOISE STATE...Boise no covers first two on blue carpet TY and now only 3-7 last 10 vs. spread at home (Broncos a better road proposition than at home lately). But Broncos still 29-12-1 last 42 on board. Force scuffling at 1-5 vs. line TY, Falcs also just 6-13 last 19 vs. spread. Boise, based on extended trends.

KANSAS STATE at KANSAS...Note Bill Snyder a 59-7 winner on this field LY. Bill Snyder has won and covered last two vs. KU since returning to KSU, continuing his series dominance from prior regime, now 13-1 SU and vs. line last 14 vs. Jayhawks. Bill Snyder, based on series and team trends.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA...Tech has been whipped its last three at Norman, including 45-7 loss LY. Bob Stoops 19-9 vs. line last 28 as host. Home team has covered last five in series. OU, based on team and recent series trends.

OREGON STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE (at Qwest Field, Seattle)...Beavers in revenge mode after absorbing 31-14 home loss LY, part of a 2-8 spread tailspin. Beavers were 9-1 vs. line previous 10 in series. Cougs on 10-4 spread uptick since early 2011. WSU, based on recent trends.

EAST CAROLINA at NAVY...Rematch of Navy's 76-35 win LY! Ugh! Ruffin McNeill 4-7 last 11 on board at ECU. Mids only 6-14 as Annapolis chalk since 2005 (1-12 TY). Navy, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEVADA...Chris Ault 23-7 vs. lien as Reno chalk since returning to Wolf Pack sidelines in 2004. Pack also on 3-0 spread uptick TY. Bulldogs on 24-45-1 spread slide since late 2005. Nevada, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at HOUSTON...Herd 7-4 vs. spread since late LY. Cougs 3-0 vs. Line at home TY and 7-0 vs. line as host since 2009 if throwing out injury-ravaged 2010 numbers. Slight to UH, based on extended trends.

PENN STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Shades had dropped six straight vs. line prior to Iowa cover. Shades however on 2-6 spread run as visitor. Pat Fitzgerald just 3-10 vs. line last 13 at Evanston, but he's 18-13 as dog since 2007. NU, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at TOLEDO...Rockets 5-1 vs. points last six at Glass Bowl vs. MAC foes. Toledo, based on team trends.

TENNESSEE at ALABAMA...Nick 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line against UT since taking over Bama in 2007. Saban 15-6 vs. spread last 21 at Tuscaloosa, and 31-14 last 45 on board. Bama, based on team and series trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at NOTRE DAME...Lane Kiffin still only 7-11-1 vs. spread at SC and Trojans 10-20-1 last 31 on board even after Cal win. Irish have covered 3 of last 5 vs. SC at South Bend, and Brian Kelly 7-3 last 10 on board since late LY. ND, based on recent trends.

SMU at SOUTHERN MISS...June Jones 9-4 last 13 as dog at SMU. Slight to SMU, based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON at STANFORD...Both upticking as well, Stanford on nation's-best 9-game cover streak but Huskies 9-1 last 10 vs. line since late 2010. Tree, however, has won and covered last three meetings. Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.

AUBURN at LSU...Les Miles' extended home chalk numbers not so good, especially in SEC play (1-1 TY, now 2-13 last 15). Miles 3-3 SU, 2-4 vs. line against Auburn since arriving at LSU in 2005. Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN STATE...Revenge for Bielema after MSU dealt Badgers their only SU reg.-season loss LY. Dantonio only 7-8 as dog since arriving at MSU in 2007. Bielema on 12-1 spread run since mid 2010. Bielema 3-0 vs. line in revenge role LY. Wisconsin, based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at UTEP...CSU on 3-11 spread slide last 14 on road. Rams also 1-7 last 8 on board since late LY, and 7-17 last 24 vs. spread since early '09. UTEP, based on CSU woes.

NEW MEXICO STATE at HAWAII...UH has covered nine straight reg.-season games at Aloha Stadium. DeWayne Walker 11-5 vs. spread as visitor since arriving at NMSU in 2009. Slight to UH, based on home trends.

Added Games

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

UL-LAFAYETTE at WESTERN KENTUCKY...ULL on 9-game cover streak as visitor! ULL, based on road trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...MTSU has won and covered last two meetings. Blue Raiders unbeaten vs. line in first two away TY. Schnellenberger 2-9 vs. line last 11 as host, and FAU on 3-13 spread slide. MTSU, based on team and recent series trends.

ULM at NORTH TEXAS...ULM has won and covered last two meetings. Warhawks' first-ever road chalk assignment! ULM's first-ever road chalk. ULM, based on series trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/19/2011 06:17 PM

Games to Watch - Week 8

October 19, 2011

Saturday - Oklahoma State at Missouri (FX, 12:00 p.m.)

Matchup Skinny

As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Oklahoma St. installed as a 6 ½-point favorite with a total of 68 ½. After losing 12 in a row to Texas, Mike Gundy's squad beat Texas for the second straight year last week. Jeremy Smith ran for 140 yards and a pair of touchdowns on just seven carries. Missouri cruised to an easy 52-17 win over Iowa St. as a 17-point home favorite last Saturday. The Tigers are unbeaten at home, going 2-1 ATS against cupcake foes. They have lost three tight road games, taking the cash in two of them. Gary Pinkel's squad lost 37-30 in overtime at Arizona St., 38-28 at Oklahoma and 24-17 at Kansas St. Those three teams have just two combined losses, with both belonging to ASU. During Gundy's tenure, the Cowboys own an incredible 13-3 spread record in 16 games as road favorites. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 6-7 ATS as home 'dogs under Pinkel. OSU has won three of the last four head-to-head meetings against Mizzou both straight up and against the spread, including last year's 33-17 win in Stillwater. The 'over' is 4-2 overall for Missouri, 2-1 in its home games. The 'over' is 3-2-1 overall for OSU, 1-1-1 in its three road assignments.

Saturday - North Carolina at Clemson (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny

Most books were listing Clemson as a 10 ½-point favorite as of early Wednesday morning. The total was 58 and UNC was plus-320 on the money line (risk $100 to win $320). Dabo Swinney's team rallied from a 35-17 second-half deficit Saturday at Maryland, rallying to win 56-45 as a 9 ½-point road favorite. Tajh Boyd, who has a 19/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, threw for 270 yards and four TDs and Andre Ellington rushed for 214 yards and a pair of scores. North Carolina is in bounce-back mode following Saturday's 30-24 loss to Miami as a one-point home 'chalk.' The Tar Heels have a 1-1 record both SU and ATS in their two road games, losing 35-28 at Ga. Tech and winning 35-20 at East Carolina. The 'over' is 5-2 overall for Clemson, 4-1 in its home games. The 'under' is 4-3 overall for UNC, 1-1 in its road outings.

Saturday - Auburn at LSU (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

Matchup Skinny
As of Wednesday morning, most books had LSU favored in the 22-23 range. The total was 46 ½. Les Miles's team produced another stellar performance last week, winning 38-7 at Tennessee as a 16 ½-point road favorite. Jarrett Lee threw two TD passes to improve his TD-INT ratio to 10/1. AU bounced back from a loss at Arkansas to beat Florida 17-6 as a three-point home underdog. Clint Moseley relieved the ineffective Barrett Trotter at QB and played well enough to earn his first career start in Baton Rouge. As a home favorite under Miles, LSU has an abysmal 14-24-1 spread record. AU has been a double-digit underdog three times during Gene Chizik's tenure, posting a 1-2 SU record and a 2-1 ATS mark. The Tigers are 3-4 ATS as road 'dogs under Chizik. The 'under' has cashed in four consecutive games for Auburn. Also, the 'under' has cashed at a 9-2 clip in the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these SEC West rivals.

Other Games to Watch

Matchup Skinny

Georgia Tech at Miami - Most books are listing Miami as a three-point favorite with a total of 61 ½. Al Golden's squad won a 30-24 decision at UNC last week as a one-point road underdog. The Hurricanes raced out to a 27-3 first-half lead in Chapel Hill thanks to three TD passes from Jacory Harris, who has a 12/3 TD-INT ratio this season. UM has won two of its three home games, going 1-2 versus the number. Ga. Tech suffered its first loss of the year in surprising fashion Saturday in Charlottesville, dropping a 24-21 decision at Virginia as a 7 ½-point road 'chalk.' The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS as road underdogs under fourth-year head coach Paul Johnson. When these ACC adversaries met on The Flats in Midtown Atlanta last year, UM cruised to a 35-10 win as a 2 ½-point road favorite. In South Florida two season ago, the 'Canes won 33-17 as four-point home favorites.

Cincinnati at South Florida - Most books have tabbed USF as a three-point favorite with a total of 55. After a 4-0 start, the Bulls have dropped back-to-back road games at Pitt (44-17) and at UConn (16-10). They couldn't overcome four turnovers, including two interceptions from QB B.J. Daniels, who had previously been playing extremely well, as evidenced by nearly 1,800 yards of total offense, an 8/3 TD-INT ratio and four rushing scores. Cincy has won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS, since suffering its only loss at Tennessee. Isaiah Pead rushed for 151 yards and one TD to lead the Bearcats from a 16-7 intermission deficit to a 25-16 home win over Louisville last week. They have won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings against USF, posting a 6-1 spread record.

USC at Notre Dame - Most books are listing Notre Dame as an 8 ½-point favorite with a total of 57. Brian Kelly's team has won four straight games since starting 0-2. The Irish, who had an open date to get ready for this game, ended Southern Cal's eight-game winning streak in this rivalry by capturing a 20-16 win as a 4 ½-point road underdog last year. Lane Kiffin's team is coming off a 30-9 win at Cal last Thursday thanks to a pair of TD passes from Matt Barkley, who has a 16/4 TD-INT ration for the year. As a road 'dog on under Kiffin, USC has a 2-1 spread record as a road underdog.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/19/2011 06:20 PM

Trending: Conference play for BCS schools

It is not hard to decipher between the better teams year-in and year-out in the BCS conferences, but understanding which teams are consistently successful against the spread can be vital to betting success. Many teams have created such a brand name for themselves that even when they aren’t great, they are still receiving unbalanced lines due to a reputation. There are also habitual losers may be playing above their usual level, but are flying under the radar due to years of lackluster results and play.
So to prepare for the second half of the in-conference rich college football season, we did a study back to 2006 and figured out all the in-conference ATS records for every team in all six BCS conferences. We found some obvious successors and also some eye-opening results as well. These results include conference championship games, but Utah (63% ATS) was not included since this is the school’s first season in a BCS conference, and the Utes are 0-3 ATS in Pac-12 play.

Best ATS Conference Records
1. Ohio State 29-13 (69%)
2. Virginia Tech 31-15 (67%)
3. Oregon State 31-16 (66%)
4. Connecticut 23-14 (62%)
5. Arkansas 26-17 (60%)
6. Texas A&M 25-17 (60%)
Despite the big reputation, OHIO STATE is a ridiculous 29-13 ATS against Big Ten opponents over the past six years. Over that span, the Buckeyes have won at least five out of the traditional eight conferences games each year, including six games in 2006 and 2009. OSU is 16-5 ATS (76%) in its past 21 games in Big Ten play.

VIRGINIA TECH is another big name school that comes in with the second-best ATS conference record at 31-15 (67%). Although the Hokies are just 1-2 in ACC play this year, they were an outstanding 8-1 ATS in 2010 with their only ATS loss being a home victory against Georgia Tech in which they did not cover a double-digit spread.

The Pac-12 (formerly known as the Pac-10), is represented on this list by OREGON STATE. The Beavers are 31-16 ATS (66%), which includes an incredible three-year stretch of 19-8 ATS (70%) from 2007 to 2009. OSU plays in the shadow of mighty Oregon, but with five straight seasons of five ATS wins in conference play, make sure you don’t overlook the Beavers as well.

CONNECTICUT is the real surprise on this list, mounting a 62% ATS success rate, despite a mediocre 18-19 SU record in this span. The Huskies are 11-5 ATS (69%) since 2009, and have benefitted from having virtually no football reputation. However, after last year’s Fiesta Bowl berth, the basketball school may finally see its football team get some more love from Vegas in the future.

ARKANSAS and TEXAS A&M are the final two programs with a 60% ATS record since 2006. The Razorbacks are a program on the rise, posting a whopping 11-2 ATS mark (85%) in their past 13 SEC games. The Aggies, who blew an 18-point halftime lead to Arkansas earlier this month, are also on the upswing, going 9-4 ATS (69%) in their past 13 games.

Worst ATS Conference Records
1. Miami Florida 15-27 (36%)
2. LSU 15-26 (37%)
3. Colorado 16-27 (37%)
4. Michigan 16-26 (38%)
5. Florida State 17-27 (39%)
6. Louisville 14-22 (39%)
MIAMI (FL) continues to disappoint bettors with five straight losing ATS seasons in ACC play. This former elite college program has been pretty mediocre over this time frame, but the general public hasn’t caught on yet. The Canes are 2-1 ATS this year, but are still 6-11 ATS (35%) in the past 17 ACC contests.

LSU is a surprise on list with its 37% ATS mark in SEC play despite a 69% SU record (34-11) in this same time frame. The Tigers have been a stronger bet recently with a profitable 7-5 ATS record in the past two seasons. They went 5-17 ATS (23%) in the SEC from 2006 to 2008.

An example of a bad BCS team that still can’t seem to cover after being given tons of points is COLORADO. The Buffaloes were bad enough in Big 12 play from 2006-2010 (15-24 ATS, 39%), but are 1-3 ATS so far in their first Pac-12 campaign. But considering their 12-32 SU mark (27%) in conference play since 2006, we weren’t too surprised to see CU on this list.

Former powerhouse MICHIGAN was actually 11-4 ATS in 2006 and 2007, but then took an unbelievable nose-dive under the “tutelage” of Rich Rodriguez, going 3-21 ATS (13%) against Big Ten opponents from 2008-2010. Brady Hoke hopes to get Michigan out of this funk, and has been successful thus far, going 2-1 ATS this season.

The final two teams winning less than 40% of their conference games ATS are FLORIDA STATE and LOUISVILLE. FSU no longer dominates the ACC like it once did, but bettors haven’t fully caught on. The Seminoles have posted five straight non-winning ATS seasons in conference play, and have started 2011 with a 1-2 ATS mark. Louisville has four straight losing ATS seasons in Big East play and is 7-15 ATS (32%) when facing conference foes since 2008.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: