marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
On 09/12/2013 12:54 PM in MLB

Some Thursday MLB Helpful Information

Short schedule and football not............not doing to many of these today.



Thursday's MLB National League Betting Cheat Sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Thursday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins (+135, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Nate Eovaldi silenced the Braves in their last encounter Sept. 1, limiting them to seven hits and a pair of walks over eight shutout innings in a 7-0 win.

Cold batting stat: Braves 1B Freddie Freeman is just 3-for-15 lifetime against Eovaldi.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s, but with a 50 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms, the roof at Marlins Park may be closed. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 3-0-2 in Eovaldi's last five starts against the Braves.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets (+127, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Tanner Roark has limited opponents to a .186 batting average and has yet to yield a homer in 28 2/3 major-league innings.

Hot batting stat: Washington 3B Ryan Zimmerman has five hits, including a pair of doubles, in 13 career at-bats against Mets starter Aaron Harang.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Nationals are 21-5 in their last 26 Thursday games.

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-166, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Jeff Locke is 0-3 in his last eight starts while failing to last more than 5 2/3 innings in his previous seven outings.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Chicago roster are hitting a combined .212 in 33 at-bats against Locke.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with and 80 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in Pittsburgh.

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies (-112, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Padres right-hander Tyson Ross has been sensational of late, allowing just one run while striking out 15 in 12 combined innings over his last two starts.

Cold batting stat: San Diego 3B Chase Headley is a .176 career hitter with seven strikeouts over 17 at-bats against Phillies starter Roy Halladay.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 55 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1 in Halladay's last eight home starts.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (-164, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals righty Joe Kelly is 7-0 with a 1.70 ERA and just two home runs allowed in nine starts since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Brewers OF Norichika Aoki is 5-for-9 with two doubles and a walk in his career against Kelly.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-0 in umpire Chris Guccione's last six games behind home plate.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Zack Greinke has been one of the top second-half pitchers in the majors, going 6-1 with a 1.94 ERA in 10 starts since the break.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles OF Andre Ethier has dominated his matchup with San Francisco starter Matt Cain, batting .446 in 65 career at-bats against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable starters as of 4:15 p.m. ET Wednesday.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:55 PM

Thursday's MLB American League Betting Cheat Sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Thursday's American League games:

Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins (+147, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins left-hander Scott Diamond was tagged for seven runs over three innings in his last start against Kansas City, dropping him to 0-4 over his previous seven outings.

Hot batting stat: Minnesota OF Josh Willingham has two home runs in three career at-bats against Athletics starter A.J. Griffin.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Twins are 1-11 in Diamond's last 12 starts against teams with winning records.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-165, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Orioles left-hander Wei-Yin Chen is 3-4 with a 4.72 ERA in 10 starts since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Yankees roster have six home runs in 104 combined at-bats against Chen.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 8-1 in Chen's last nine home starts.

Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays (-102, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Angels right-hander Garrett Richards has surrendered just two earned runs over 12 combined innings in back-to-back victories over the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays 1B Edwin Encarnacion is 3-for-8 with a homer in his career against Richards.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 30 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow in from left field at 15 mph.

Key betting note: The Angels are 11-1 in their last 12 Thursday games.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (+110, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Jake Peavy is 4-5 with a 5.14 ERA in 12 road starts in 2013.

Hot batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is a career .364 hitter with two home runs in 22 at-bats against Tampa Bay starter Jeremy Hellickson.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: Tampa Bay is 7-1 in Hellickson's last eight home starts against teams with winning records.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox (+120, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: White Sox right-hander John Danks has dropped back-to-back starts, surrendering 10 runs over 10 1/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Cleveland OF Michael Brantley has just two singles in 12 career at-bats against Danks.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians have won the last eight head-to-head meetings.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable starters as of 4:40 p.m. ET Wednesday.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:55 PM

Four MLB Ace Pitchers Running Out of Gas in September

As the MLB season winds down, several marquee pitchers are struggling to recapture their form from earlier in the year. Whether it's fatigue, injury or other factors, these hurlers are getting hit down the stretch and it has often meant bad news for bettors who put their faith in them.

Here are four ace pitchers who have returned negative value over the past few weeks. Money values for $100 a game.

Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers (-$500 over his last five starts)

Darvish was headed for a Cy Young season but has fallen off the rails over his previous five outings, going 0-3 with 16 walks and five home runs allowed over that stretch. While his innings count isn't exactly out of hand - 186 2-3 entering Friday, 4 2-3 innings behind his total from his rookie 2012 campaign - the 27-year-old right-hander has battled persistent leg cramps that may be a byproduct of making half his starts in the jarring heat of Arlington.

Darvish returns to action when the Rangers host the Oakland Athletics Saturday.

Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (-$300 over his last three starts)

Corbin was the darling of moneyline bettors everywhere when he opened the season 12-1, but has had a miserable three-start stretch that has seen him give up 18 runs over his last 18 1-3 innings. Corbin's workload is likely the biggest factor here. The 24-year-old reliever-turned-starter threw just 186 1-3 innings all of last season and is already up to 190 2-3 with three starts remaining. Arizona may be wise to limit Corbin's innings from here on in or shut him down entirely.

Corbin takes the mound when the Diamondbacks tangle with the Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday night.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (-$300 over his last three starts)

Price has wilted just when the Rays have needed him the most. The 28-year-old left-hander has coughed up 12 runs over 22 innings during his three-game losing skid, while getting just five combined runs of support in that span. The innings count isn't the issue with Price. He's at 159 1-3 for the season, well below his career high of 224 1-3. But at 8-8 with a 3.45 ERA - nearly a full run below last year's mark - 2013 just hasn't been Price's season.

Price looks to end his losing streak when the Rays visit the Minnesota Twins Sunday.

Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (-$147.37 over his last three starts)

Scherzer may still be at the front of the line in the American League Cy Young Award race, but the hard-throwing right-hander isn't helping his cause down the stretch. Scherzer has been decidedly subpar over his last three outings, surrendering 13 runs over 16 innings while losing back-to-back starts. At 194 1-3 innings - just 1 1-3 shy of his career high - and with three regular-season starts and playoff action remaining, Scherzer's best work of 2013 may be far behind him.

Scherzer gets the call Sunday, taking his third shot at win No. 20 against the visiting Kansas City Royals.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:57 PM

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays



MLB
Braves
Over 8 Mets/Nationals
Over 8.5 Indians/White Sox

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:57 PM

LA Syndicate Top Plays



MLB
A's
Angels

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:58 PM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Roark blanked Miami out for six innings in his first MLB start.
-- Rusin is 0-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Ross allowed one run in 12 IP in his last two starts.
-- Kelly is 5-0, 1.50 in his last five starts. Thornburg has a 1.88 RA in four starts. but Brewers lost all four games.
-- Greinke is 6-0, 1.43 in his last seven starts. Cain is 3-3, 2.84 in his last eight.

-- Griffin is 3-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Richards is 3-1, 2.78 in his last four starts.
-- Peavy is 2-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Kluber is 2-0, 2.43 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Eovaldi is 1-4, 7.00 in his last five starts. Garcia
-- Harang was 0-3, 7.89 in his last six starts for Seattle, last of which was back on August 25.
-- Locke is 0-2, 10.47 in his last four starts.
-- Halladay has a 4.24 RA in three starts since coming off the DL.

-- Diamond is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts, last of which was August 1.
-- Happ is 1-3, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Hughes is 0-6, 6.46 in his last ten starts. Chen is 0-1, 8.56 in his last five.
-- Hellickson is 1-5, 7.42 in his last seven starts.
-- Danks is 0-2, 8.71 in his last couple starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Garcia 0-0; Eovaldi 5-15 (3 of last 5)
-- Roark 0-1; Harang 8-22
-- Rusin 3-10; Locke 6-27
-- Ross 4-12 (1 of last 5); Halladay 6-10 (5 of last 5)
-- Thornberg 1-4; Kelly 0-12
-- Cain 8-27; Greinke 8-24 (4 of last 9)

-- Griffin 3-29; Diamond 6-20 (1 of last 9)
-- Richards 4-13 (3 of last 3); Happ 4-14
-- Hughes 8-26 (3 of last 5); Chen 4-19 (1 of last 8)
-- Peavy 2-20 (0 of 7 with Bos); Hellickson 11-28 (3 of last 4)
-- Kluber 3-20 (0 of last 6); Danks 7-20

Totals
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Washington games went over.
-- Five of last seven Pittsburgh games went over total; four of last five Chicago games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten San Diego games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Ten of last thirteen San Francisco games stayed under.

-- Seven of last nine Minnesota games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Angel games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Bronx games; under is 6-2-1 in last nine Oriole games.
-- Five of last seven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox games stayed under total.

Hot teams
-- Washington won seven of its last eight games.
-- Pirates won last three games, allowing nine runs.
-- San Diego won six of last eight games. Phillies won four of their last five.
-- Cardinals won last five games, scoring 35 runs.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.

-- A's won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost five of their last seven games. Miami lost four of last five.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs are 10-19 in their last 29 games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

-- Twins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Toronto lost last three home games, allowing 22 runs.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- White Sox lost 11 of last 13 games. Indians lost three of their last four.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:58 PM

bookiemonsters

143-96-2 run

19-13-3 run last 35 plays

pod twins game over 8.5

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:59 PM

Baseball Crusher

Boston Red Sox -117 over Tampa Bay

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 12:59 PM

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox

The Indians look to build on their 7-1 record in Corey Kluber's last 8 starts when the total is set at 7 to 8 1/2 runs. Cleveland is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Miami (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Garcia) 14.454; Miami (Flynn) 13.104
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under

Game 903-904: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 14.272; NY Mets (Harang) 15.125
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Rusin) 14.190; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.463
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under

Game 907-908: San Diego at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.278; Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.343
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Thornburg) 15.672; St. Louis (Kelly) 15.209
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+150); Over

Game 911-912: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.694; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.203
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-180); Under

Game 913-914: Oakland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 16.187; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.653
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160); Under

Game 915-916: LA Angels at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 16.166; Toronto (Happ) 15.061
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Over

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.679; Baltimore (Chen) 15.124
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+155); Over

Game 919-920: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 17.240; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.679
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 16.348; White Sox (Danks) 14.800
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-130); Over

marksmoneymakers Posts:12163 Followers:137
09/12/2013 01:00 PM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHICAGO CUBS at PITTSBURGH

Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PITTSBURGH) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start
215-100 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.3% 71.8 units )
51-29 this year. ( 63.8% 9.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB SAN FRANCISCO at LA DODGERS

LA DODGERS are 28-10 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.

The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.3)