marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:36 AM

NICK"BOOKIE KILLER" PARSONS

1* free play San Francisco Giants.

The Rockies' starting pitcher tonight is making a case for the NL Cy Young Award, but he has struggled mightily in this position in the past.

The home sides' starter is coming off a stinker, but has dominated the visitors throughout his career.

When the smoke clears at the end of the night, I believe Ryan Vogelsong and the Giants will find a way to get the job done.

Jorge De La Rosa (16-6, 3.31 ERA)

De La Rosa gave up two earned runs off six hits with one walk while striking out four over six innings and Colorado would go on to beat the Dodgers 7-5 on Wednesday.

De La Rosa has won six straight now. If he's had one slight weakness this season though, I guess you'd have to target his road record, 6-5 with a 3.86 ERA. Obviously still very respectable, but compared to his 10-1, 2.76 ERA home mark, it does seem pretty pedestrian.

Ryan Vogelsong (3-5, 5.62 ERA)

Vogelsong isn't coming off his best outing, giving up four earned runs off eight hits and three walks while striking out three over just 4 2/3's innings in his team's eventual 4-2 setback to the Diamondbacks on Thursday.

Vogelsong has now traded good performances with bad in four straight outings.

The Bottom Line

Despite his recent dominance, note the De La Rosa is just 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in three matchups vs. the Giants this year. He's also 0-3 with a ballooned 6.32 ERA over his last three at AT&T.

And note, despite his recent poor outing, Vogelsong is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in his six starts since returning to the rotation and a near perfect 5-1 with a tiny 2.40 ERA in seven career starts vs. Colorado.

In fact the Giants' right-hander is 3-0 with a minuscule 0.64 ERA in four career home starts vs. the Rockies.

Colorado has been brutal overall of late falling to 0-4 on its nine game road trip in yesterday's 3-2 loss. The Rockies have totaled just eight runs while batting a meagre .195 during the slide.

When you add it all up, I definitely feel that the numbers all point to the home side as being the prudent wager in this particular matchup. Consider a second look at the Giants tonight.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:37 AM

CHRIS JORDAN

My free winner for tonight is on the Philadelphia Phillies getting it done over the San Diego Padres.

Real quick here, the Phillies are in after a three-game sweep of the National League East-leading Atlanta Braves, and should be fired up, despite not being able to goto the postseason. After a day off, the Phils host the Padres for the first of three games tonight, looking to continue the winning run under interim manager Ryne Sandberg. The Phils are now 13-10 since Sandberg took over, after those three consecutive one-run victories at home over the Braves.

San Diego, which is 14-31 against the Phillies since 2006, is also in after a sweep, as the Friars took care of the struggling Rockies over the weekend. San Diego did lose two of three when it hosted the Phils back in June so I'm not sure how it'll respond to this road trip.

Nothing worse than being out of the playoff race, one of the lower-rated teams from the East coast and having to play on the East coas with nothing to play for. Take the Phils tonight.

2* PHILADELPHIA

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:37 AM

BRAD WILTON

My comp play for Tuesday will be backing the Cardinals on the Run Line over the Brewers.

It is very simple, St. Louis wants to stay on top of the Central Division, and after their weekend sweep of Pittsburgh their chances look pretty good, especially facing a Milwaukee team they have won 10 of 13 against this year.

Shelby Miller has been a big part of the Cards success against the Brewers, as Miller stands at 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his 3 starts versus Milwaukee this season. Miller is also back at home where he has pitched his best baseball this year, going 7-3 at Busch Stadium with a 1.92 ERA.

The Cards come into this series having won 9 of their last 11 games overall, and will be facing a pitcher they have been able to batter around this year.

Wily Peralta is the owner of an 11.57 ERA in his pair of starts against the Cardinals this season, with 22 hits allowed in under 10 innings pitched.

Too much at stake for St. Louis as they look to secure the division title, so back them on the Run Line this Tuesday evening.

2* ST. LOUIS -1 1/2 RUNS

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:37 AM

SCOTT DELANEY

My free play tonight is going to be on the Toronto Blue Jays, as they're laying chalk to the visiting Angels of Anaheim. Talk about bad timing, but the Blue Jays, a preseason pick out of the American League East that went bus, have won 10 of their last 13 and can record their first four-game winning streak since that 11-game run in June had everyone clamoring with 'I told you so's'.

The Blue Jays completed a 5-1 road trip with a 2-0 win at Minnesota on Sunday, and I think are in a good spot to take care of what should be a travel weary Angels team.

There isn't a team on the West coast that wants to travel across the country without something to play for, and making matters worse, the Halos are north of the border after losing a 6-3 game in Minnesota yesterday in the makeup of an April 17 rainout.

That, point blank, sucks, when you have to pop into a town for a make-up game, lose and then travel to another place. Take the Jays in this one, as they'll continue their win streak.

1* TORONTO

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:38 AM

JEFF BENTON

Your Tuesday freebie is the Under in the Royals-Indians game.

Last night these teams played a tight, tense 4-3 game that did hold Under the total, and I expect a similar result tonight with Jeremy Guthrie and Zach McAllister doing the honors this Tuesday.

3 of the last 4 in this rivalry have stayed Under the total, and the Royals have been playing them low-scoring in general this month, as each of their last 3 games and 9 of their last 12 overall dating back to the end of August has stayed Under the total.

Jeremy Guthrie had a bad turn his last time out - 5 runs allowed in 6 innings of work - but his previous pair of starts prior to that one saw just 2 earned runs scored in 12 innings worked. 4 of Guthrie's last 6 starts on the season have stayed Under the total.

Zach McAllister has been hit hard his last pair of trips to the hill, that after enjoying a career-high 3 start winning streak.

I like both Guthrie and McAllister to return to form, and for the runs to once again be hard to come by this Tuesday night at Progressive Field where the Indians have held Under in 13 of their last 19 home games overall.

2* KANSAS CITY-CLEVELAND UNDER

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:38 AM

BRETT ATKINS

My free play for tonight is on the Chicago White Sox over the Detroit Tigers. Yes, I'm taking the home underdog and seemingly worse team of the two, as I'm going against the Tigers, more so, than I am going with the Pale Hose.

I'm not going to list pitchers, cause this one is about momentum, and Detroit just isn't necessarily playing right of late.

The American League Central-leading Tigers have dropped five of six, and that can never be good when going on the road to face a team that has nothing to lose, and would take pride in adding to your demise.

Last-place Chicago has won consecutive games following a nine-game losing streak, and that might be just enough momentum to ride the motivation of knocking off Detroit to get it done tonight.

The Tigers, who happen to be the second-highest scoring team in the majors, have plated just 11 runs in their six September losses. Let's take a shot here with the underdog White Sox.

1* CHICAGO

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:38 AM

MLB

Tuesday, September 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Baltimore's last 20 games when playing NY Yankees

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 19 games

7:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TORONTO
LA Angels are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 17-4 SU in their last 21 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games

8:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Texas
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
Chi White Sox are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

8:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. MINNESOTA
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 17 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. SEATTLE
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

10:15 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Colorado is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 10:39 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (65 - 77) at PHILADELPHIA (66 - 77) - 7:05 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. TYLER CLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 12-30 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 141-163 (+2.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 65-74 (+1.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 70-69 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 20-13 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-77 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-77 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-37 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

TYLER CLOYD vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (61 - 82) at CINCINNATI (82 - 63) - 7:10 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. TONY CINGRANI (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 122-183 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-25 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-59 (-25.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-32 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-39 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-39 (-17.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-49 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
JACKSON is 21-38 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 6-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 20-38 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 181-131 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 181-131 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 39-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-36 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-36 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 344-308 (-71.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 13-4 (+6.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
JACKSON is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.038.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

TONY CINGRANI vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CINGRANI is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 0.700.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (74 - 69) at NY METS (64 - 78) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. DILLON GEE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 74-69 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 74-69 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-52 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-22 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
GEE is 39-33 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GEE is 16-10 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 27-10 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-10 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 118-86 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 33-10 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 19-29 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
NY METS are 7-24 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 97-113 (-42.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 280-295 (-85.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 28-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 34-52 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-48 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-47 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-51 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 7-9 (+0.6 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. NY METS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.134.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.1 units)

DILLON GEE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GEE is 7-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.160.
His team's record is 7-4 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-4.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (86 - 57) at MIAMI (53 - 89) - 7:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 337-385 (+38.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 86-57 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 87-51 (+23.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 85-56 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 128-80 (+29.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 112-68 (+26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 122-182 (-40.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 99-132 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 121-178 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-34 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MIAMI is 34-63 (-16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 29-59 (-17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 58-100 (-26.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 11-5 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
TEHERAN is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KOEHLER is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (62 - 80) at ST LOUIS (83 - 60) - 8:15 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 62-80 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-80 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 66-38 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-8 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-30 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 42-39 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-23 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-3 (+5.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERALTA is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 11.58 and a WHIP of 2.680.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MILLER is 2-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.47 and a WHIP of 0.982.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (72 - 71) at LA DODGERS (84 - 59) - 10:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 153-152 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 45-55 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 152-151 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 84-59 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 81-59 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 60-37 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 51-32 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 83-77 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 42-37 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 20-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 64-65 (-19.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-6 (+2.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAHILL is 5-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.130.
His team's record is 7-1 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (66 - 79) at SAN FRANCISCO (65 - 79) - 10:15 PM
JORGE DE LA ROSA (L) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 66-79 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 161-238 (-56.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 25-48 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 2-19 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-68 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 130-174 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-56 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 32-40 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 81-55 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-46 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 30-20 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 30-19 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 13-7 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DE LA ROSA is 20-9 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 20-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 13-0 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-79 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-37 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-37 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-26 (-14.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 64-75 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-52 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-41 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-10 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-8 (+0.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 8-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 11-4 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.4 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. COLORADO since 1997
VOGELSONG is 5-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.889.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (67 - 76) at TORONTO (67 - 76) - 7:05 PM
JEROME WILLIAMS (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 67-76 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 7-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
LA ANGELS are 45-59 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 15-23 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-46 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BUEHRLE is 18-11 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 21-9 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 22-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 11-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 69-27 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 36-10 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 697-686 (+59.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
TORONTO is 67-76 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 26-45 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 38-49 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. TORONTO since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-7 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 10-11 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-9. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (75 - 69) at CLEVELAND (77 - 66) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. ZACH MCALLISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 77-66 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 45-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 74-63 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 51-46 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-31 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 75-69 (+2.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 42-34 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 55-46 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-15 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 34-31 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 41-41 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 33-25 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 13-6 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 9-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 18-9 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-10 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 25-18 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 10-5 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 14-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 9-5 (+4.7 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MCALLISTER is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (76 - 68) at BALTIMORE (77 - 66) - 7:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 47-61 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 77-66 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 77-59 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 90-65 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-25 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 29-17 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 73-61 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-58 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 54-41 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 53-42 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 90-82 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 43-34 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZALEZ is 24-16 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 12-4 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 8-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 76-68 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-7 (+2.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.4 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
NOVA is 5-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 7-3 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.3 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (87 - 58) at TAMPA BAY (78 - 64) - 7:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-41 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 107-111 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 80-96 (-24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 510-591 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 48-22 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 87-58 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 38-19 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 11-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 21-8 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 8-12 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-6 (+4.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 6-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.094.
His team's record is 7-8 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.4 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PRICE is 10-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.124.
His team's record is 12-7 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (82 - 62) at CHI WHITE SOX (58 - 85) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. ERIK JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 82-62 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 79-82 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-59 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 107-90 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-29 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-6 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PORCELLO is 30-12 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-85 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-42 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 8-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-80 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-57 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 6-8 (+1.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.9 units)

ERIK JOHNSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (83 - 60) at MINNESOTA (62 - 80) - 8:10 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. LIAM HENDRIKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 61-74 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 83-60 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 41-23 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 80-72 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-56 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 50-34 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 120-83 (+38.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-33 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 83-51 (+22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-8 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 60-89 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-73 (-25.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 57-84 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 42-62 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-23 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-27 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JARROD PARKER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PARKER is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

LIAM HENDRIKS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HENDRIKS is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (48 - 96) at SEATTLE (65 - 79) - 10:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 103-202 (-45.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-50 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 70-165 (-45.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-63 (-27.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 101-197 (-45.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-79 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-44 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-17 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 55-42 (+17.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 5-11 (-12.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-40 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 62-76 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 22-28 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 10-7 (+0.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LYLES is 0-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SAUNDERS is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.686.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (82 - 61) at TEXAS (81 - 62) - 8:05 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-26 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 226-451 (-97.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 97-227 (-71.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LIRIANO is 7-16 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 70-29 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
PEREZ is 11-4 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PEREZ is 11-4 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PEREZ is 9-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 82-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-11 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 37-36 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 13-5 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 82-61 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 56-35 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 46-35 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 28-41 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. TEXAS since 1997
LIRIANO is 4-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.173.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 04:05 PM

SPORTS WAGERS

CLEVELAND -109 over Kansas City

We played the Royals last night and ripped our ticket in disgust when, in the ninth inning, down 4-3, K.C. got the first two batters on to put runners on first and second with none out. Manager Ned Yost then calls upon pinch-hitter, David Lough to lay down a bunt and Lough did so to perfection to put runners on second and third with one out and Jarrod Dyson due up. Incidentally, Dyson was 2-3 on the night and is batting .260 on the year. With needing only to make contact to score the run, Yost calls upon Carlos Pena (.207) to pinch hit. Keep in mind that Pena has been sitting in the dugout all night, he’s not seen one pitch the entire game and he’s a .207 hitter. It’s not like the Royals needed a jack to tie it. They needed CONTACT. Pena does not take the bat off his shoulder the entire AB and in six pitches and gets called out on a third strike taken. Next guy, also a pinch hitter, pops up to end the inning. Game, set, match. Thanks for coming out. Now, you may be thinking that this has nothing to do with this game tonight but it has everything to do with it because it shows the panic of Ned Yost in the heat of a pennant race. That had to be about the worst managerial decisions we’ve seen in a long time that had no sensibility attached to it. Meanwhile, Terry Francona has been in pennant races his entire career and has no such panic in him. No manager can do anything about a four or five run deficit but in a close game, Francona will out-manage Yost to an Indians victory. With momentum in the first game of a huge series and having to lay less than a dime, we’ll gladly step in on Francona over Yost and Zach McAllister over Jeremy Guthrie.

First off, the Indians have won 14 of 21 games at home against lefties and Guthrie is not of the quality variety. Guthrie is 13-10 with a 4.19 ERA but he’s displaying the worst skills of his mediocre career. His K’s are way down (17 K’s in his last 39 innings), his line-drive rate is up to 26% over his last six starts and over that same six-game span, Guthrie’s xERA was 6.14. Current Indians have also seen plenty of Guthrie with a combined 208 career AB’s and 58 hits off him (.289). Of those 58 hits, 11 went yard. Guthrie has been on the extreme side of lucky hit and strand percentages, but it’s been normalizing recently, suggesting there is more ERA regression forthcoming.

The Indians have won six of Zach McAllister’s last nine starts since he returned from the DL on July 23. Cleveland’s three losses over that span came against Detroit twice and Baltimore once. In every other start, McAllister allowed three runs or fewer. McAllister comes in with a skills supported 3.81 ERA and a rock-solid .232 BAA in 10 home starts. Give a big edge to the Tribe on the hill and a huge edge in the dugout. Cheap price on a game that has a much better shot of winning than the 53% chance the books are giving it.


L.A. Angels +126 over TORONTO

Mark Buehrle was brought in to be the Jays fourth or fifth starter this season and to provide the Blue Jays with quality innings and his usual double-digit win total. One can only imagine how much worse this season would’ve been for Toronto without Buehrle because he’s been the best and most reliable starter on the squad. Buehele is 11-7 with a 3.88 ERA. At home, he’s 8-2 with a 2.72 ERA and that’s where our focus begins. Buehrle is your typical crafty lefty. He’s smart, he changes speeds, he works the corners and he knows the hitters well. However, this park is a hitter’s haven and Mark Buehrle has an unsustainable 88% strand rate at home. He’s wiggled his way out of numerous jams at the Rogers Center and no pitcher with the kind of stuff that Buehrle has can maintain an ERA under 3 over an extended period of time at this venue. Buehrle’s upside is still limited once regression hits and there’s a good chance that takes place tonight. For whatever reason, the Angels’ bats come to life against Toronto. The Angels have defeated the Blue Jays in four of the five games played this year by scores of 10-6, 8-2, 7-5 and 7-3.

Jerome Williams has been shuffling between the pen and the starter’s role for years. In the more comfortable starting role, Williams has very respectable skills with mediocre results. His groundball % is solid and his command uptick is intriguing. After going 13 straight starts without recording a win, Williams received some justice in his last start by defeating the Rays and picking up that illusive “W”. He’s now gone five straight starts allowing three runs or fewer and over that span, covering 32 innings, Williams has been taken yard just one time. With a long history of mediocre results, Williams is not going to grab much attention today. However, he has over 730 career innings with very respectable numbers and is one of the least appreciated journeyman pitchers in the game. He has the skills and pedigree to continue to perform at a high level. Against a very hittable Mark Buehrle that is outpitching his xERA by a wide margin at home, the Halos offer up the value in this one.


Houston +139 over SEATTLE

The Mariners are coming off back-to-back series against two teams, Tampa Bay and K.C., fighting for a playoff spot. After this series with Houston, the Mariners have the Angels coming in, an AL West rival they always get up for, followed by two more series against two more contenders in Cincinnati and Cleveland. This series against Houston is nothing more than an inconvenience for the M’s and the fact that Joe Saunders is this big a favorite is bordering on preposterous. Saunders is MLB’s worst pitcher against righties and it’s not close. He has a staggering .899 OPS against right-handers and the Astros are loaded with right-handed bats. Of the nine batters in Houston’s line-up tonight, eight or all nine will bat right. Saunders’ not only can’t get righties out but he’s now having difficulty throwing strikes. Over his last 25 frames, Saunders has walked 13, struck out 7 and posted a 2.05 ERA. That’s almost like pitching with the bases loaded every inning. At the trade deadline, the M’s were desperately trying to unload Saunders for nothing and even pick up 90% of his salary but nobody wanted him. Even against the Astros, Joe Saunders might be the worst -151 favorite in the history of baseball.

On the surface, Jordan Lyles is a young starting pitcher in stagnation but there's something good here. Jordan’s second half command + decent groundball rate was hidden by his hr/f spike and strand % dip. However, he gained 2 mph on fastball, his groundball rate has shot up to 48% on the season and his line-drive rate over his past five starts is near elite at just 17%. Lyles’ remains a young pitcher who owns some enticing skill flashes and he’s a far better option taking back a decent tag than Joe Saunders will ever be spotting a price this big.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12016 Followers:137
09/10/2013 04:06 PM

WinningAngleSports

Cincinnati -220 over Chicago Cubs TOP PLAY
St. Louis -180 over Milwaukee
Oakland -160 over Minnesota