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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:33 AM
WILL ROGERS

The Pirates took yesterday's series opener with the Rangers by 1-0 final. The teams combined for only 10 hits & it was Pittsburgh's 16th shutout win of the year. It was also their 82nd win, clinching their 1st winning season since '92. More troubling though is that the offense has scored just three runs in the last 3 games. I like the Under Tuesday
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Pirates Hitting - Like I said, it has been a tough stretch at the plate for the Pirates with just three runs scored total in the last three games. They have scored just 25 runs in the last eight games. For the season, they rank in the bottom 10 in all of MLB in runs scored, averaging less than four per game. They didn't get a runner past second base last night against Yu Darvish until the seventh inning, which is when they scored their only run.
2. Pitching Matchup - It should be a good one tonight with Francisco Liriano opposing Martin Perez. Liriano has made only two bad starts all season & one did come the last time he took the mound. But he still has a 2.98 ERA in 22 starts this year and has allowed 0 or 1 earned runs in 14 of those 22 starts. The Under is 9-1 on the road when he starts and the total is either 8 or 8.5 runs. For the Rangers, Perez has been red hot. He's a perfect 6-0 with a 2.76 ERA his last six starts. He allowed just one run in seven innings in his last start.
3. X-Factor - Quietly, the Rangers have become a very profitable team for Under bettors. That includes a 43-18 Under mark as a home favorite this season.
Selection: This is a free Under play on Pittsburgh-Texas (1*).
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:33 AM
BRYAN POWER

1* Cincinnati (7:10 ET):

It's very rare, almost unheard of, that I would offer even a minor recommendation on a money line favorite this large. But in this case, I do feel it's justified. The Reds have gone an incredible 21-3 this season at home off a loss and I have no doubt they should be able to handle the Cubs this evening.....
In many ways, the Reds were due for a letdown Monday as they were coming off the Sunday Night game where they completed a weekend sweep of the Dodgers. Before that, they had taken three of four from St. Louis. Even with yesterday's loss, they still have a dominant record against the Cubs in 2013, going 13-4 overall. Going back three seasons, they have won 36 of 51 against their division rival.
Tuesday's pitching matchup is heavily slanted in favor of the home team as lefty Tony Cingrani goes for the Reds against Edwin Jackson for the Cubs. Cingrani, a lefty, is 7-3 in 17 starts w/ a 2.63 ERA and 1.014 WHIP. The Cubs are averaging just 3.5 runs per game vs. southpaws this year. Jackson has been pretty awful all season, particularly on the road where his ERA is 5.28 in 15 starts. The Cubs have lost the last six times he has started. 1* Cincinnati.
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:34 AM
BRUCE MARSHALL

After surging over the weekend to wrest the top spot in the NL Central from the Pirates, don't expect the Cards to suffer a letdown at home against the lowly Brewers.
The pitching matchup is favorable for the Redbirds tonight, as Brewers starter Wily Peralta has been lit up in the past by St. Louis, with an 0-2 mark, 11.57 ERA, 2.68 WHIP and .444 OBA. Not good. Much prefer Cards starter Shelby Miller, very tough at Busch Stadium where he has posted a 7-3 mark and 1.92 ERA this season. He's also 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA in three starts vs. the Brew Crew. Play Cardinals on Run Line
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:35 AM
JIMMY BOYD

Free Pick on Los Angeles Dodgers -

The Dodgers should be favored by more than they are in this game, but we will happily take advantage of this oddsmakers oversight. Arizona has a .222 batting average over their past seven games and they are scoring a mere 2.4 runs per game during that time. The Diamondbacks have struggled against division opponents all season, posting a .250 batting average and scoring just 3.8 runs per game.

The Dodgers on the other hand have a .277 batting average against the division and have hit .269 over their past seven games. They have scored an average of 4.4 runs per game during that time. They should have no problem exceeding those averages against Trevor Cahill tonight. On the road Cahill has a 4.98 ERA and the Diamondbacks are 4-7 in those 11 starts.
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:35 AM
LEONARD STRATTON

MLB FREE PICK OF THE DAY

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK METS

Jordan Zimmerman of the Nats will be going for his 17th win against the Mets. Zimmerman is 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA over his last 3 starts.

Dillon Gee will be going for the Mets and he is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA over his last three starts.

After Gio Gonzalez flat out embarrassed the Mets in their own house with a ONE HITTER on Monday night expect the Mets to rebound and take out the Nationals.

The Mets are 10-0 since May 27, 2006 with a total of at least seven after a game against an NL team where they had two or less hits.

Leonard says -- TAKE THE METS
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:35 AM
JEFFREY BRANDES

Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers

Pitchers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: F. Liriano - L
Texas Rangers:M. Perez - L

Liriano will try to repeat his bounce-back success after a third poor outing. He followed the first two with a complete game and another start of eight shutout innings. His control has never wavered; two walks or fewer in 14 of 22 starts.

Perez is 6-0 with a 2.54 ERA in his last starts. His nine wins ties the Rangers rookie record for most wins by a left-hander. He is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five games at home this season. He is 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three Interleague starts.

RECOMMENDATION: Texas Rangers on the money line (-127)
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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09/10/2013 10:36 AM
ROB VINCILETTI

On Tuesday the Free MLB Road warrior System Play is on the Detroit Tigers. Game 923 at 8:10 eastern. Detroit qualifies in a solid league Wide system we use that has won 22 of 28 times and plays on certain road favorites off a road favored loss if they scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off a home dog win and scored 5+ runs with 1 or less errors. Detroit has been solid this year vs losing teams and they will look to bounce back here against a Chicago team that has lost 7 of 9 this month. C. Porcello makes the start for Detroit and he has won all 3 starts vs Chicago this season allowing just 4 runs in 20 innings. He will oppose E. Joihnson making his 2nd start for Chicago and he may have a tough time with the vaunted Detroit lineup. Look for Detroit to even things up here tonight.
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