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TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders: Preview and Pick
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders: Preview and Pick
The bruised and banged up TCU Horned Frogs will not have much time to get healthy as they battle the Texas Tech Red Raiders on a Thursday night edition of college football. With smaller games stealing the Thursday night spotlight this season, this will be one of the biggest games to be played midweek this year.
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders Odds
The college football betting line for this game opened with the Horned Frogs as (-6) point favorites, but that number has started to plummet due to injury news and can be found at (-3) at most of the top rated sports books. The betting public slightly favors the road team as 54 percent of the betting public is on the Horned Frogs.
The Horned Frogs enter this game with some big injuries that will grab all of the headlines leading up to kickoff. TCU starting quarterback Casey Pachall injured his forearm in the second quarter of Saturday's game against Southeastern Louisiana. This senior leader is an important cog to this Horned Frogs team who cannot have a loss against Texas Tech if they want to stay in the hunt for a BCS bowl game.
It has already been announced that Pachall will not start and sophomore quarterback Trevone Boykin will take over under center when they play the Red Raiders on Thursday night.
On the other sideline, Head coach Kliff Kingsbury is making sure that his team will be ready to go for this midweek game. Kingsbury said a key to Thursday’s game against TCU will be which team handles the short week better. While TCU won an early game, Texas Tech had to pay a late game, but Kingsbury had his starters out of the game early as the team cruised to a 61-13 victory over Stephen F. Austin.
The college football trends show that this could be a soft spot for the Horned Frogs. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 (against the spread) ATS in their last six games following a win of more than 20 points, 3-7 ATS in the last ten conference games and 2-5 ATS in the last seven games against a team with a winning record.
The Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a win of more than 20 points, 5-2 ATS in the last seven games after a win in which they covered the spread and a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five games in September.
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick
With plenty of time to go before game day, I will wait to release my pick on this game until we get closer to kickoff.
Injured TCU quarterback Casey Pachall isn’t likely to use a medical redshirt to extend his college career, coach Gary Patterson said.
Pachall will miss two months after breaking his nonthrowing left arm against Southeastern Louisiana on Saturday. If Pachall is unable to recover and return to the field in 2013, Patterson said during Monday’s Big 12 coaches’ teleconference that he expects Pachall to move on.
“I think he wants to graduate; he wants to go on with his life,” Patterson said. “I haven’t had that conversation with him. But I would think that would be the way he would look at it from his perspective. He wants to get an opportunity to get onto the next level, and I would expect that will probably be what he did.”
Pachall was at TCU’s Sunday evening practice and wants to travel with the team, Patterson said. No. 24 TCU (1-1) opens Big 12 Conference play at Texas Tech (2-0) at 6:30 p.m. Thursday at AT&T Jones Stadium. “I think he’s got a great perspective,” he said. “He was out trying to help the quarterbacks [Sunday]. He would like to go on the road and go to some ballgames. He’s changed. He could have easily sulked and kind of stayed away, but as soon he could be back here, he was back around the office.”
Pachall has been through a lot in the last year. He left the team after four games in October 2012 after an arrest on suspicion of driving while intoxicated. He received substance-abuse treatment for three months before rejoining the team in January.
Trevone Boykin replaced Pachall at quarterback the last nine games a year ago, and the two battled during the spring and summer for the starting job. Pachall started the first two games, but Boykin replaced him in the opener after an interception. Against SLU, Boykin led TCU to 24 unanswered points after replacing the injured Pachall.
In 2012, TCU finished 3-6 after starting 4-0 under Pachall. But Boykin improved as the season progressed. This year, his passing motion has improved.
“He’s an unbelievable competitor. That’s what it starts with. He understands and runs the offense completely different than he did when he had to start against Iowa State,” Patterson said. “He’s just got to be smarter with the football.”
WHAT'S AT STAKE
The former Southwest Conference foes are each aiming to win their Big 12 opener. The Red Raiders want to show they are a team to be reckoned with this season, while the Horned Frogs want revenge in Lubbock after their triple-overtime loss to the Red Raiders in Fort Worth last season.
Texas Tech's offense vs. TCU's defense: The Red Raiders are No. 2 in the nation in passing offense (453.5 yards per game) behind freshman walk-on quarterback Baker Mayfield, who's third nationally in yards passing (390 ypg). TCU returned nine starters from the Big 12's best defense last year. DE Devonte Fields, Big 12's defensive player of the year in 2012, will start against the Red Raiders, though it wasn't clear when he'll serve the remainder of a two-game suspension.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
TCU: TB B. J. Catalon leads the Horned Frogs in rushing (111 yards on 19 carries) and is a kickoff return threat. He's averaging 38.6 yards per return to rank seventh nationally. Catalon returned a kickoff 100 yards in TCU's opening game against LSU.
Texas Tech: Mayfield will face the best defense the young quarterback has played so far. He extends plays with his feet and has thrown for seven TD passes and hasn't been picked off in 90 pass attempts.
FACTS & FIGURES
Texas Tech looks to snap a three game skid in Big 12 home openers. . . . The last time TCU played in Lubbock, a 70-35 defeat in 2004, Sonny Cumbie and Trey Haverty were players; now they're part of the Red Raiders coaching staff. . . . The Horned Frogs are 6-4 vs. former Southwest Conference opponents who are now part of the Big 12.
The big news entering the college game featuring TCU vs Texas Tech is at quarterback for the Horned Frogs.
Trevone Boykin will replace Casey Pachall for the Horned Frogs tonight. Boykin has had some experience playing quarterback in the past. He was 3-6 as a freshman and relieved Pachall last week in the win over Southeastern Louisiana. The Red Raiders also start a freshman at QB in Baker Mayfield who is 2-0 to start the season.
With two young gun slingers on display tonight the real edge will be on defense and that is where the Horned Frogs have the edge. The Frogs are 20-8-1 ATS in the next game after failing to cover in their last outing.
This is not a big play by any means, but the Frogs should get the win against the Red Raiders on Thursday night.