jimmy Posts:329 Followers:6
On 09/03/2013 12:19 AM in Cappers

Free Pick on Chicago Cubs

Miami vs. Chi Cubs, 09/03/2013 20:05
Money Line: -145 Chi Cubs

The Cubs are 4-1 in Edwin Jackson's last five home starts. Jackson has a 3.89 ERA in his last three starts, compared to a 5.29 ERA from Miami's Tom Koehler. Miami is 3-7 in Koehler's 10 starts on the road this season. This matchup also falls into a system to play against road underdogs batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games when they are a blow average hitting team and facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 5.20 in the National League. This system is 79-33 (71%) over the last five seasons.

The Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game at home while Miami is scoring a mere 2.9 runs per game on the road. When you look at how Miami has performed recently the advantage for Chicago is even greater. The Marlins are batting .203 as a team and scoring just 2.7 runs per game, with a 2-5 record in their past seven games. Both of these teams are bad, but Miami is definitely worse than Chicago. With the offense and starting pitcher matchups in favor of the Cubs, Chicago is an easy call in this game.

***Jimmy Boyd's EPIC 35-21 (63%) run continues on Tuesday with a 2-For-1 Double Play on the bases. Don't miss his 4* No Limit Play and his Oddsmakers Error!***

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