cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/11/2013 06:12 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 12

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TCU (1 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 94-66 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (1 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (2 - 0) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 12, 2013

TCU at Texas Tech, 7:30 ET
TCU: 1-8 ATS after scoring 37 points or more
Texas Tech: 24-11 ATS in BB home matchup

Tulane at Louisiana Tech, 7:30 ET
Tulane: 1-15 ATS after a loss by 3 or less point
Louisiana Tech: 16-10 ATS in all games

Troy at Arkansas State, 7:30 ET
Troy: 1-5 ATS off a home win
Arkansas State: 20-8 ATS in all games




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Thursday's games

Texas Tech (-1.5) beat TCU 56-53 LY, despite being outgained by 127 yards, primarily because of +3 turnover ratio. Red Raiders passed for 910 yards on 106 passes in first two games- they're 7-3 as home dogs since '06. TCU is down to one quality QB with Pachall (arm) out for eight weeks; Horned Frogs allowed 404 rushing yards first two games, including 207 to SE Louisiana- they're 1-4 as road faves last 2+ years. Neither team has much experience on OL; Tech has new coach, new QB, five new starters on OL.

Tulane (-6.5) lost at home to I-A newbie South Alabama last week, after being outgained by I-AA Jackson State week before. Since 2010, Green Wave is 9-7-1 as road underdogs; Tech lost 15 of 22 starters from LY; they're 4-6 as home favorites last 3+ years, but with a new coach, new QB and five new starters on OL, hard to endorse laying poiints. Since '07, Skip Holtz is 10-18 vs spread as a home fave, at ECU/USF. These teams haven't met since '98.

Arkansas State beat Troy last two years, with two different coaches; its 4th coach in four years for ASU now- they got drilled 38-9 by Malzahn and Auburn last week, outgained only 468-422. Red Wolves are 10-4 vs spread as home favorites since '10- they beat Troy the last two seasons, 41-34/45-14 Trojans' QB Robinson has more career starts (38) than his whole starting OL combined; he's completed 58-64 passes in first two games, rallying his team back from down 17-7 at half to beat UAB in OT in opener. Troy is 13-11-1 vs spread in last 25 games as a road dog.




NCAAF

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 12

7:30 PM
TCU vs. TEXAS TECH
TCU is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
TROY vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Troy's last 9 games
Troy is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Arkansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Arkansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy

7:30 PM
TULANE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Tulane is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/12/2013 12:05 AM

Tech Trends - Week 3

September 11, 2013


Thursday, Sept. 12

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


TCU at TEXAS TECH...TCU now 4-11-1 vs. line last 17, but Gary Patterson is 5-1 as a visiting dog since 2011. TT only 8-10 vs. line at home the past three years for Tuberville. TCU, based on team trends.


TULANE at LA TECH...La Tech (no covers last 7) and Skip Holtz (0-7 last 6 and 4-18-1 last 23 vs. line at USF & LT) both slumping badly of late. Tulane, based on LT negatives.
at TROY at ARKANSAS STATE...ASU 20-8 vs. line since 2011. Red Wolves also 10-4 as Jonesboro chalk since 2010. ASU also won and covered last two vs. Troy after losing and failing to cover previous four. ASU, based on team trends.


Friday, Sept. 13

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend


AIR FORCE at BOISE STATE (Friday, September 13)...Boise 2-10 vs. line against FBS at Bronco Stadium in 2011-12 as the old blue carpet magic has disappeared lately. But AFA only 3-12 vs. line since 2012. Slight to AFA, based on team trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/12/2013 12:07 AM

TCU at Texas Tech

September 11, 2013


The third week of the college football season starts off with a Lone Star state matchup from the Big XII between TCU and Texas Tech. Last year’s meeting was the first between the schools as Big XII foes and it was certainly memorable with a 56-53 outcome. Take a closer look at this week’s opening game to start off the next football week.

Matchup: Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas (fieldturf)
Date: Thursday, September 12, 2013
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET – ESPN
Line: TCU -3, Over/Under 63
Last Meeting: 2012 at TCU, Texas Tech (+1½) 56, TCU 53 (3OT)

It has been four years since the fallout between Mike Leach and Texas Tech, but the program has been handed back to one of Leach’s former quarterbacks. Kliff Kingsbury is off to a 2-0 start as a head coach after a successful 2012 season as the offensive coordinator at Texas A&M. A big surprise for the Red Raiders has been walk-on freshman Baker Mayfield winning the job and succeeding as the new quarterback in Lubbock. It has been just two weeks and the competition has been light, but the Red Raiders have been the second-most productive passing team in the country with over 450 yards per game.

While Texas Tech twice went to bowl games in the post-Leach era under Tommy Tuberville, the team has not reached the same heights, though they were ranked as high as #15 in the polls last season after a 6-1 start. In four of the final six games of last season, the Red Raiders allowed 50 or more points and while Texas Tech emerged a bowl winner, it was a fortunate comeback victory against a mediocre Minnesota team. The defense does return a decent amount of experience, but after allowing 490 yards in the opening game against SMU, it is still a glaring concern for the team. While TCU had a marquee opening week game, this is the big early season game for Texas Tech as a win here could allow for a potential 6-0 or 7-0 start before the schedule gets very difficult late in the season.

TCU had all sorts of problems on and off the field last season, still managing to end up 7-6, but there was a great optimism that this year’s team could compete much better in the second year in the Big XII. Most projected TCU to be one of the best defensive teams in a conference often lacking strong defense and the offense appeared to be in good hands with the return of senior quarterback Casey Pachall. Trevone Boynkin played significantly last season in Pachall’s absence and was expected to still have a significant role on the team, but he takes over as the full-time leader for the time being with Pachall injured last week. Gary Patterson’s TCU teams have won 11 or more games in seven of the last 10 years, but there is not much margin for error remaining for the Frogs to reach that mark this season.

In the highly-anticipated opener with LSU at Cowboys Stadium, TCU stayed in the game and lost respectably by just 10 points, but the statistics suggested that the margin of victory could have been more significant. Last week, TCU won by 21 over Southeastern Louisiana, but it was a game where the Frogs were not dominant and if not for a turnover edge might have been even closer. Texas Tech won convincingly on the scoreboard over Stephen F. Austin last week, but four turnovers from the offense left a bit of a concern. This is definitely a big game in the Big XII standings as while neither team has looked like an elite contender for the league title, the struggles of Texas on defense, Oklahoma on offense, and the daunting distractions hitting Oklahoma State this week could open up the race.

The key matchups in this game should be the TCU pass rush led by Devonte Fields going against the inexperience of Mayfield. The young quarterback has not thrown an interception yet despite throwing 90 passes, but this will be the toughest test he has faced by far and he will need to make good decisions while wisely using his mobility to his advantage. TCU has an experienced secondary that is expected to be among the best in the Big XII if not the nation led by cornerback Jason Verrett, who projects as a possible first round NFL pick.

TCU should be able to run the ball in this matchup even if the rushing numbers for the Frogs have not been exceptional so far. Trailing much of the way in the opener forced more passing and needless to say, Texas Tech does not have the same talent on defense as LSU. Boykin is a threat on the ground at quarterback and while B.J. Catalon only has 111 rushing yards so far this season, he has rushed for over 5.8 yards per carry after averaging 4.7 yards per carry last season. TCU has some inexperience on the offensive line and Texas Tech returned its entire starting front seven from last season. The Red Raiders will never rank highly in defensive statistics due to the pace of the offense, but there are some playmakers on the defense led by defensive ends Kerry Hyder and Delvon Simmons.

If this year’s game resembles last season’s game it should be must-see TV and with an underwhelming Thursday NFL matchup this will be a game to keep an eye on. The stakes are big for both teams as while both squads are likely headed to the postseason again there may be an opportunity for the winner to rise in the Big XII picture.

Last Meeting: Last season, Texas Tech led 21-20 at halftime last season in Fort Worth with the Red Raiders ranked #18 in the nation. TCU moved the ball well but consistently had to settle for field goals, eventually taking a 26-21 lead early in the fourth quarter. Texas Tech stepped up on defense to force consecutive 3-and-outs and the Red Raiders were up by 10 with just over four minutes to go after Kenny Williams broke a touchdown run from mid-field. TCU answered with a 60-yard touchdown pass and forced a punt to get the ball back with just over a minute to go, down three. The Frogs were able to quickly get into field goal position, but with four plays from inside the Texas Tech 20, they had to settle for the tying kick to go to overtime. Neither team faced much stress in the first two overtimes with matching touchdowns in both sessions. In the third overtime, TCU had to settle for a field goal and in four plays, Texas Tech found the end zone for the win, 56-53.

Series History: Texas Tech is 12-5-2 SU since 1980, but last season’s meeting was the first since 2006. The ATS results have split in the last eight meetings going back to 1991. The last time TCU played in Luboock was 2004, losing 70-35 as just a 6-point underdog.

Line Movement: The road favorite spread has been steady at -3 while the total has climbed from 62 to 63.

TCU Historical Trends: The Frogs have been an excellent road team, going 36-10 S/U on the road since 2005 with a solid 25-19-2 ATS mark. TCU failed in both instances as a road favorite last season, but they are 9-7 ATS in that role since 2009. TCU is 29-21-1 ATS as a favorite of less than 10 since 1995, but just 2-5 ATS in that role the last two seasons.

Texas Tech Historical Trends: Since October of 1994, Texas Tech is on an 18-8 ATS run as a home underdog. The Red Raiders are just 3-3 ATS in that role the past three seasons since Leach left. Texas Tech is just 11-14 as an underdog since 2007, including losing in each of the last three instances last season. Texas Tech has just four S/U wins in 16 attempts as underdog since 2010.

There are two other college games Thursday night:

Tulane at Louisiana Tech 7:30 PM ET (FS1)
Line: Louisiana Tech -8½, Over/Under 57

A big improvement is expected for Tulane this season, but losing to recent FBS entrant South Alabama last week was a big blow to entertaining any bowl hopes for the Wave. Tulane rallied after falling behind 28-7, but it was not enough as they failed late in the game on what would have been a tying 2-point conversion. With a new coaching staff and few experienced players, it is expected to be a big transition season for Louisiana Tech, a 9-3 team last year. Lamar was one of the worst teams in the Southland last season, so struggling in a narrow win last week was not a great showing for the Bulldogs. Historically, Ruston has been a very tough place to play, but Tulane is a team with a much higher ceiling than they have had in most recent seasons. Tulane is just 4-19 S/U on the road since 2009 while Louisiana Tech is 23-15-2 ATS at home since 2005.

Troy at Arkansas State 7:30 PM ET (ESPNU)
Line: Arkansas State -8½, Over/Under 66½

Troy is 2-0, but Savannah State was a one-win FCS team last season, so the blowout result is not worth much credit and the opening win over UAB featured some good fortune. Arkansas State has been the Sun Belt champion the last two years with two different coaches and new leader Bryan Harsin had a better showing than it looked last week in a 38-9 loss at Auburn. The Red Wolves had more first downs and similar yardage production against the Tigers, but settled for three field goals and failed going for it on fourth down on three long drives to come up empty. Senior quarterback Adam Kennedy has run the offense with success and the Troy defense will face a jump in competition this week. Arkansas State is 12-1 S/U at home the last two plus seasons and Troy has allowed 86 points in this matchup the last two years. Larry Blakeney is one of the longest tenured coaches in the nation as this is his 23rd season at Troy. He has just nine returning starters this season but the Trojans are 2-0, looking to return to a bowl game after losing seasons the last two years. Troy is just 3-6 ATS in this series since 2004 and Arkansas State is 11-5 ATS as a home favorite since 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/12/2013 05:45 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3

TCU at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders look to take advantage of a TCU team that is coming off a 38-17 win over SE Louisiana and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU victory. Texas Tech is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Raiders favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

Game 103-104: TCU at Texas Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 95.059; Texas Tech 97.362
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+3 1/2); Under

Game 105-106: Tulane at Louisiana Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 65.292; Louisiana Tech 89.393
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 24; 62
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 7; 57
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-7); Over

Game 107-108: Troy at Arkansas State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 76.914; Arkansas State 82.086
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 5; 72
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 8; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+8); Over




NCAAF

Thursday, September 12

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Thursday's NCAAF action: What bettors need to know
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Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves (-7.5, 66.5)

Troy boasts one of the best non-BCS QBs in Corey Robinson. The senior has passed for nearly 500 yards over his first two games, connecting on five touchdowns, including four in the Trojans’ 66-3 blowout of Savannah State last weekend. Senior transfer Wilson Van Hooser is expected to be in the receiving corps and returning kicks after missing Week 2 with a concussion.

Arkansas State was mauled by Auburn, 38-9, last weekend but takes on a familiar foe in Troy Thursday. The Red Wolves have defeated the Trojans SU and ATS the past two seasons, covering as favorites in each of those games. Arkansas State and QB Adam Kennedy were able to move the ball against Auburn but got shut down in the red zone.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 80s, 17 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds west 4 mph.

LINE: Arkansas State opened at -10.5 and has been bet down to -7.5. The total is at 66.5.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Trojans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Red Wolves are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games.


Tulane Green Wave at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-7.5, 57)

Tulane couldn’t complete the comeback against South Alabama in Week 2 and was disappointed with its defensive performance, giving up 31 points in the first half. Head coach Curtis Johnson has shuffled his stop unit in hopes of sparking a sense of urgency versus Louisiana Tech. He is also looking to run the ball more after picking up only 45 yards on 27 carries last week.

The Bulldogs took a licking from North Carolina State in the season opener and picked up an easy victory over FCS Lamar in Week 2. Louisiana Tech welcomed RB Tevin King back after he missed last season with a knee injury, rushing for 182 yards last week. Fellow RB Kenneth Dixon, who ran for 1,194 yards and 27 TDs last year, injured his knee versus Lamar and could be a game-time decision Thursday.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 90s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing north at 1 mph.

LINE: La. Tech opened at -7.5. The total has moved from 57 to 57.5.

TRENDS:

* Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in September.
* Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Over is 21-8 in Bulldogs’ last 29 home games.


TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+3, 63)

Trevone Boykin replaced Casey Pachall as the starter last season and did just enough to get Texas Christian into a bowl game. He’ll take over at quarterback again Thursday, when the 24th-ranked Horned Frogs open Big 12 play on the road against Texas Tech. Boykin went 3-6 as a freshman in 2012 after Pachall left the team to seek treatment for substance abuse addiction and replaced him again Saturday, when Pachall broke his left arm in a win over Southeastern Louisiana.

Pachall is expected to miss eight weeks, but Boykin threw for a career-high 332 yards and four touchdowns in his third career start against the Red Raiders, who went on the road to upset TCU 56-53 in triple overtime last season. The win turned out to be a high point for Texas Tech, which went on to lose four of its last five regular-season games. The Red Raiders have opened 2-0 for the ninth straight year, averaging 51 points behind walk-on freshman quarterback Baker Mayfield.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 80s, partly cloudy skies, winds blowing SE at 9 mph.

LINE: TCU opened as a 3-point favorite and is as high as -3.5 at some books. Total has moved from 62 to 63.

TRENDS:

* Horned Frogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
* Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in September.
* Over is 6-0 in Red Raiders' last six games overall.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/12/2013 05:47 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 12

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TCU (1 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 94-66 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (1 - 1) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (2 - 0) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 9/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, September 12, 2013

TCU at Texas Tech, 7:30 ET
TCU: 1-8 ATS after scoring 37 points or more
Texas Tech: 24-11 ATS in BB home matchup

Tulane at Louisiana Tech, 7:30 ET
Tulane: 1-15 ATS after a loss by 3 or less point
Louisiana Tech: 16-10 ATS in all games

Troy at Arkansas State, 7:30 ET
Troy: 1-5 ATS off a home win
Arkansas State: 20-8 ATS in all games




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Thursday's games

Texas Tech (-1.5) beat TCU 56-53 LY, despite being outgained by 127 yards, primarily because of +3 turnover ratio. Red Raiders passed for 910 yards on 106 passes in first two games- they're 7-3 as home dogs since '06. TCU is down to one quality QB with Pachall (arm) out for eight weeks; Horned Frogs allowed 404 rushing yards first two games, including 207 to SE Louisiana- they're 1-4 as road faves last 2+ years. Neither team has much experience on OL; Tech has new coach, new QB, five new starters on OL.

Tulane (-6.5) lost at home to I-A newbie South Alabama last week, after being outgained by I-AA Jackson State week before. Since 2010, Green Wave is 9-7-1 as road underdogs; Tech lost 15 of 22 starters from LY; they're 4-6 as home favorites last 3+ years, but with a new coach, new QB and five new starters on OL, hard to endorse laying poiints. Since '07, Skip Holtz is 10-18 vs spread as a home fave, at ECU/USF. These teams haven't met since '98.

Arkansas State beat Troy last two years, with two different coaches; its 4th coach in four years for ASU now- they got drilled 38-9 by Malzahn and Auburn last week, outgained only 468-422. Red Wolves are 10-4 vs spread as home favorites since '10- they beat Troy the last two seasons, 41-34/45-14 Trojans' QB Robinson has more career starts (38) than his whole starting OL combined; he's completed 58-64 passes in first two games, rallying his team back from down 17-7 at half to beat UAB in OT in opener. Troy is 13-11-1 vs spread in last 25 games as a road dog.




NCAAF

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 12

7:30 PM
TCU vs. TEXAS TECH
TCU is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
Texas Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
TROY vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Troy's last 9 games
Troy is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Arkansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Arkansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy

7:30 PM
TULANE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Tulane is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/12/2013 06:16 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/07/13 70-­37-­1 65.42% +­14650 Detail

09/06/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail

09/05/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail

09/02/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail

09/01/13 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 79-­42-­1 65.29% +16400


Thursday, September 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Troy - 7:30 PM ET Arkansas State -7 500 POD # 3

Arkansas State - Under 67.5 500 POD # 5


Tulane - 7:30 PM ET Louisiana Tech -7 500 POD # 1

Louisiana Tech - Over 59 500 POD # 6


Texas Christian - 7:30 PM ET Texas Tech +3 500 POD # 2

Texas Tech - Under 60.5 500 POD # 4


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/13/2013 06:51 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 13

Game 109-110: Air Force at Boise State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 79.848; Boise State 90.236
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 10 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Boise State by 24; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+24); Under




NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 3

Friday, September 13

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AIR FORCE (1 - 1) at BOISE ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-69 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-69 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 3

Friday, September 13, 2013

Air Force at Boise State, 8:00 ET ESPN
Air Force: 1-13 ATS off a conference loss by 21+ points
Boise State: 14-4 Under at home off a home game




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Friday's game

Boise State (-11) beat Air Force 37-26 at home in '11, with total yardage 423-408 in its favor; Broncos are 2-10 as home favorites last two years, after being 28-15 in that role from '04-'10. Over last nine years, Falcons are 15-14-1 as road underdogs- they're 8-16 vs spread in last 24 league games. Boise got whacked 38-6 at Washington; this is their first D-I tilt since then, curious to see how they respond. Air Force gave up 577 TY at home to Utah State last week, 360 thru air, as Aggies converted 11-15 on third down. Air Force is outmanned, but will always give an effort.




NCAAF

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 13

8:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. BOISE STATE
Air Force is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boise State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/13/2013 06:52 PM

NCAAF

Friday, September 13

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Air Force at Boise State: What bettors need to know
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Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos (-23.5, 57)

Boise State's dalliance with the Top 25 may have been brief, but the Broncos showed last week that they're eager to return. Fresh off a 49-point drubbing of Tennessee-Martin, head coach Chris Petersen's club looks to continue its march toward a Mountain West Conference title as it entertains the Air Force Falcons on Friday night. Air Force had to do without starting quarterback Kale Pearson last time out, and it showed as the Falcons were thumped 52-20 by Utah State.

Air Force head coach Troy Calhoun has already made peace with the fact that Peterson, who suffered a knee in the season-opening 38-13 victory over Colgate, likely won't return against the Broncos. That should spell concern for a Falcons squad that struggled to fashion any sort of aerial attack against the Aggies last weekend. Boise State had no such trouble against Tennessee-Martin, as quarterback Joe Southwick racked up 234 passing yards and five touchdowns.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE: Boise State has been a steady 23.5-point favorite throughout the week. The total has dropped slightly from 57.5 to 57.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing S as high as 11 mph.

ABOUT AIR FORCE (1-1, 0-2 ATS): Calhoun was succinct when explaining his team's loss, which was punctuated by a stretch in which Utah State scored on four straight series to effectively put the game away. "I think we got thumped in every possible way in this game," Calhoun told the Air Force News Service. "In the first half, we had a chance to make some plays that we didn't make." The Falcons boast a potent running game that has averaged better than 285 yards per game - good for 18th in the nation - and should excel in the triple-option offense against a Boise State team that has struggled with run defense.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (1-1, 1-1 ATS): Last weekend's win was critical in helping restore the confidence of a Broncos team that plummeted out of the rankings following a 38-6 loss to the Washington Huskies in the season opener - the program's worst defeat since 2005. The Boise State defense still surrendered 362 total yards to Tennessee-Martin and has allowed an average of 210 rushing yards through the first two games - and Petersen blames tackling troubles. "You create space, you're going to miss tackles. We have to get more guys to the point of attack. One guy is not going to make the tackle in space."

TRENDS:

* Air Force is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games.
* The over is 6-1 in the Falcons' last seven September games.
* Boise State is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 conference games.
* The under is 5-2 in the Broncos' last seven games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Broncos are 80-4 at home since 2000.

2. Air Force is 12-10 in Mountain West road games under Calhoun.

3. Boise State prevailed 37-26 in the only previous meeting between the teams back in 2011.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/13/2013 07:09 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/12/13 2-­3-­1 40.00% -­650 Detail
09/07/13 70-­37-­1 65.42% +­14650 Detail
09/06/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/05/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/02/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/01/13 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 81-­45-­2 64.29% +15750

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/12/13 2-­3-­1 40.00% -­650 Detail
09/07/13 70-­37-­1 65.42% +­14650 Detail
09/06/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/05/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/02/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/01/13 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 81-­45-­2 64.29% +15750

Friday, September 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Air Force - 8:00 PM ET Boise State -23.5 500 POD # 1


Boise State - Over 58 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23633 Followers:32
09/13/2013 11:07 PM

Where the action is: Books brace for Texas A&M money

Alabama isn’t the only group waiting to sink its teeth into Texas A&M this weekend.

College football bettors have been counting down the days to this SEC showdown ever since Johnny Manziel and the Aggies spoiled the Crimson Tide’s undefeated season with a 29-24 win in Bryant-Denny Stadium last November.

This spread was up as early as June when the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas opened Texas A&M as a 6-point home underdog. The LVH Superbook posted a similar line in July, tacking on a half-point hook.

With kickoff only days away, and a summer full of drama for “Johnny Football” in the past, sportsbooks are currently dealing Alabama as a 7.5-point road favorite. We talk to oddsmakers to see how the betting action has been so far, and where they expect the line to move before the 3:30 p.m. ET start.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies – Open: +6, Move: +9.5, Move: +7.5

This line jumped significantly before the season started with rumors that Manziel could be suspended for his role in an autograph scandal, in which he was allegedly paid for signing memorabilia during last year’s BCS Championship weekend.

The spread, which was pulled from the board at many books, went up as high as Alabama -9.5 before the NCAA served up a slap on the wrist and only suspended the reigning Heisman winner for the first half of Texas A&M’s opener versus Rice. Since then, nerves have calmed and money has moved this back down around a touchdown.

The Crimson Tide are still the more popular pick among bettors, with about 67 percent of the total handle on the defending national champs. Since moving down, most books have drawn pretty solid two-way money but know the majority of the action will come Friday and Saturday.

“It’s a bit back and forth on juice, but the number is steady,” says Aron Black of Bet365.com. “So far we are just shy of 3-to-1 Alabama ATS money to Texas A&M. Bama will be a banker for the parlays and some heavy-hit singles, but I expect to see some dog money on Texas A&M straight up Saturday.”

The Aggies are currently +240 moneyline underdogs after opening as high as +270 with Alabama coming back as a -300 road favorite to win SU.

The total opened at 54.5 at the Golden Nugget in June and has since climbed as high as 63 points before being bet down over the past week. Action on the under has driven the number to 60.5, with Alabama’s defense expected to prevail over the Aggies' high-flying offense.

Last year’s game played under the 54.5-point total. Texas A&M has topped the number in its first two games of the season while Alabama pushed with the 45-point total in its opener against Virginia Tech.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: