cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/08/2013 02:57 AM

Week 2 Results and Total for the Year:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/07/13 70-­37-­1 65.42% +­14650 Detail

09/06/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/05/13 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/02/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
09/01/13 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 79-­42-­1 65.29% +16400

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/09/2013 01:52 AM

College football odds: Week 3 opening line report


The centerpiece of Week 3 of the NCAA football season is easily the Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at the Texas A&M Aggies (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS).

Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds consultants The Sports Club, thinks Nick Saban and 'Bama will be more prepared this season.

"Knowing Alabama and knowing Saban, and this being a return matchup for them, I think they're going to be a bit more ready than Texas A&M," Korner told Covers.

Aggies' QB Johnny Manziel put up big stats against Sam Houston State in Week 2 with 403 yards and three TDs through the air and 36 yards rushing with one TD. The Aggies racked up 65 points in the rout, but should, perhaps, be alarmed with their defense. The Bearkats put up 28 points in the game, led by a stellar display from running back Timothy Flanders who tallied 170 yards on 19 carries and a pair of TDs.

Alabama, on the other hand, is coming off a bye week and defeated the Virginia Tech Hokies 35-10 in their Week 1 opener. Saban and the Crimson Tide will be out for revenge after their 29-24 defeat to Texas A&M one season ago.

"This was one of our toughest ones and will be a fun game to watch," says Korner. "We had a low of +3 and a high of +10.5 so we set the line at +7.5. I think Alabama is going to be a bit more ready for this one."

Here’s a look at a few other interesting games on the horizon, with help from Mr. Korner:

UCLA Bruins at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-4.5)

The Bruins (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) are another team coming off a bye week after a big 58-20 victory over Nevada in Week 1. Sophomore QB Brett Hundley was sharp going 22-for-33 for 274 yards passing and running for 63 yards - including a 37 yard TD scamper in the first quarter.

The Cornhuskers (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) throttled Southern Miss 56-13 in Week 2 after escaping with a 37-34 victory over Wyoming in Week 1.

"Nebraska always seems to be a betting favorite and we had anything from -3.5 to -7 and I put it at -4.5," says Korner. "It's going to be a very tight game and UCLA definitely has the tools to win this one straight up."

Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks (-28)

Chip Kelly may have left for the NFL, but the Oregon Ducks' (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) offense keeps on rolling. The Ducks are averaging 62.5 points per game through their first two matchups and are second in the country averaging 425 rushing yards per game.

The Volunteers (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) have gotten themselves off to a nice start, crushing the likes of Austin Peay and Western Kentucky. This will be their first real test however, and traveling up the Pacific northwest to face the Oregon attack is a tough task.

"We had this anywhere from -26 to -31 and I put it -28. I like this even higher," says Korner. "Oregon will do whatever they do and it will be fourth quarter time where it will probably be right around there and it will be up to Oregon whether they want to bomb them out or just coast."

Washington Huskies at Illinois Fighting Illini (+10)

The Washington Huskies (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) had a wonderful Week 1 victory over Boise State and had a week off to enjoy it. The Huskies should be very well prepared to go into Chicago's Soldier Field and attempt to knock off another big program.

A tough Week 1 victory over Southern Illinois was softened by a big win over Cincinnati in Week 2 and the Illini (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) will look to continue rolling in Week 3. They boast the 10th most passing yards per game (363.5) but Washington's defense stymied a potent Boise State team in Week 1.

"We had +7 to +10 here so I kept it on the topside at -10 with Washington," said Korner. "Illinois just isn't all that good."

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/10/2013 01:17 PM

College football line watch: Jump on BC +14 now

Each week during the college football season, renowned Las Vegas wiseguy and Covers Expert Bruce Marshall looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Boston College Eagles (+14) at USC Trojans

True, this number projected closer to three TDs a few weeks ago. But that was before we had a chance to take a look at the product the under-fire Lane Kiffin has put on the field this season at USC. And before the rumor mill began to really whirr in L.A., where some wise-guy Trojan backers are now joking that Nancy Grace might begin telecasting her HLN show from the SC campus until AD Pat Haden decides what to do with his coach. Thus, this matchup vs. BC becomes a litmus test for the “Reputation vs. Realty” theory, as the eye test through two weeks would hardly suggest the Trojans even being favored in this game. Expect more discounting of SC in the marketplace as the wagering public becomes keen to Kiffin’s five straight spread losses and 3-12 mark vs. the line since last season. And with the offense looking a mess (especially at QB) and Kiffin walking some very thin ice with dissatisfied SC boosters (and, at some point, we assume, AD Haden), we hardly see any appetite to “buy” on the Trojans, even from those who wear the Cardinal & Gold blazers. Remember, like an airline bankruptcy, it takes a while for the wagering public to come to the reality that former power program isn’t very good anymore, but we suspect the anti-SC sentiment is just revving up in the marketplace.

Meanwhile, the last memory of new HC Steve Addazio’s edition at BC was the impressive Friday night beatdown the Eagles inflicted upon Wake Forest, and in combo with the anti-Kiffin sentiment, this number should drop well below 2 TDs as the week progresses. BC supporters should grab the available 14s while they can.

Spread to wait on

Virginia Tech Hockies (-7.5) at East Carolina Pirates

A few years ago, we could always count on some VPI money showing up at windows of Las Vegas sports books as the Hokies became a lower-grade “public” team for HC Frank Beamer. Now, however, with only eight spread covers in their last 30 games dating to late in the 2010 season, pro-Hokie support in Vegas has disappeared faster than Mitt Romney after last November’s election. Early pricing on this Saturday’s matchup at East Carolina has Beamer laying a tick over 7 at most Nevada outlets. But with so many wagerers burned by VPI the past few years, expect some anti-Hokie money to show up soon, especially with close followers a bit intrigued by ECU and its gunslinger QB Shane Carden.

This price should move beneath the key number of 7 at some point later in the week. So, if looking to beat the crowd to a VPI resurgence and back the Hokies, you might as well wait for a few days, when it would be no surprise if the price dips below that very-key number of 7.

Total to watch

Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks

The marketplace usually reacts to pronounced team pointspread trends with a bit more vigor than it does to “totals” tendencies. Nonetheless, we are going to be intrigued if there is much “under” pressure at the Las Vegas sports books with this SEC matchup on Saturday at Williams-Brice Stadium. Both Vandy and South Carolina have already been involved in a couple of nationally-televised shootouts this season, but the recent series history between these two has been overwhelmingly to the “under” side, with none of the last four games even cracking a combined 30-point barrier, and “unders” 5-0-1 the last six meetings. In fact, the Dores and Gamecocks have not cracked this week’s early posted “total” of 50 since way back in 2005, when Jay Cutler was still throwing passes for Vandy.

The majority of “totals” moves have been upwards this season, but we’ll see how much emphasis the marketplace puts upon the low-scoring history between these two SEC East rivals, or if the public needs more current evidence to push this “total” downward.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/10/2013 01:19 PM

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that has proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

It was more of the same for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1. A year after squeaking out so many close wins on last-minute drives, Indianapolis and QB Andrew Luck put together another come-from-behind victory versus Oakland Sunday.

Some say these nail bitters prove the Colts don’t belong in the Super Bowl conversation. Indy will get the chance to prove those doubters wrong when they tangle with San Francisco in Week 3. However, lurking in a potential lookahead spot are the Miami Dolphins in Week 2. Miami rolled Cleveland in its opener and its defense picked off three passes and forced two fumbles in the win. The Fins are getting a field goal on the road.

Letdown spot

One of the big shockers from Week 2 of the college football season was Illinois’ 45-17 thrashing of Cincinnati. Books had the Illini pegged as 7.5-point home underdogs before things took a bad turn for the Bearcats. The momentum swung when a Cincy TD run was called back in the third quarter and QB Munchie Legaux was knocked out of the game in the fourth.

Illinois took full advantage and heads into Week 3’s date with Washington at a surprising 2-0. Oddsmakers opened the Illini as 8-point home dogs and sharp money chased that spread all the way to +10.5. It seems the wiseguys are also expecting a letdown from Illinois in Week 3.

Schedule spot

The Pittsburgh Pirates wrap up a nine-game road trip with an interleague set against the Texas Rangers this week. The Pirates, reeling from a draining three-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals (going 0-3), will get no mercy from the Rangers or the scorching Texas sun.

Temperatures in Arlington are expected to hit the high 90s during the Bucs’ stay, especially during the final game of the series Wednesday. East Coast clubs have notoriously wilted in the Texas heat and you can expect Pittsburgh to be running on fumes during this interleague showdown.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/10/2013 01:56 PM

Week 2 Rewind

September 10, 2013


On the night Michigan honored Heisman winner Tom Harmon, Devin Gardner wore the legendary quarterback’s No. 98 and led the Wolverines to a 41-30 win over Notre Dame in the final game (at least for now) of this storied rivalry.

Other than one bad play, an interception for a pick-six, Gardner was nothing short of sensational against the Irish. The junior QB threw for 294 yards and four touchdowns while also rushing for 82 yards and one TD. Jeremy Gallon hauled in eight receptions for 184 yards and three TDs.

Brady Hoke’s team covered the spread as a five-point favorite, improving to 16-0 straight up and 10-5 against the spread in home games on his watch. The Wolverines will play host to Akron as an enormous favorite in Week 3.

Notre Dame fell to 4-2 ATS as a road underdog during Brian Kelly’s tenure. The Irish is back on the road again Saturday at Purdue.

Despite a dominant performance from its defense, Florida couldn’t overcome five turnovers and lost a 21-16 decision at Miami as a three-point ‘chalk.’ Both schools saw the ‘under’ improve to 2-0 when the 37 combined points never threatened the 47-point total.

Miami QB Stephen Morris threw a pair of first-quarter TD passes and Duke Johnson put the game on ice with a short scoring run late in the fourth quarter. The Hurricanes went to 4-0 ATS as home underdogs during Al Golden’s tenure.

UF has only itself to blame for the gut-wrenching defeat. The Gators committed three turnovers in the red zone and were also stopped on downs at the UM 17. They wasted a special performance from a defense that limited Miami to just 10 first downs and 212 yards of total offense.

Will Muschamp’s team has an open date before facing Tennessee at The Swamp.

Georgia avoided a 0-2 start and snapped a three-game losing streak against South Carolina by winning a 41-30 decision over the Gamecocks as a 3.5-point home favorite. Aaron Murray finally delivered against a top-10 opponent, throwing for 309 yards and four TDs without an interception.

UGA hooked up its supporters thanks to a goal-line stand late in the fourth quarter. The 71 combined points soared ‘over’ the 56-point total, improving to 2-0 for the Bulldogs.

South Carolina fell to 14-10-1 ATS as a road underdog under Steve Spurrier. The Gamecocks can’t afford to look past Vanderbilt in Columbia this weekend.

Oregon has taken the cash in nine consecutive games as a road favorite after blasting Virginia 59-10 in Charlottesville. The Ducks covered as 26-point ‘chalk’ behind 321 yards (199 passing, 122 rushing) from sophomore QB Marcus Mariota, who opened the scoring on the initial drive with a 71-yard TD scamper.

BYU bounced back from a Week 1 loss at Virginia to spank Texas 41-20 as a seven-point home underdog. Taysom Hill rushed 17 times for 259 yards and three TDs, as the Cougars gashed the Longhorns for 549 yards on the ground.

After giving up 679 yards of total offense, Mack Brown reassigned defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and replaced him with Greg Robinson. As many bettors should recall, Robinson’s defenses at Michigan were a disaster when he served as Rich Rodriguez’s DC.

Brown isn’t the only coach feeling the heat. Lane Kiffin is rapidly losing support at USC after getting upset 10-7 by Washington St. The Trojans lost outright as 16-point home favorites, generating only 193 yards of total offense.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Oklahoma will start Blake Bell at QB Saturday vs. Tulsa. The ‘Belldozer’ will replace redshirt freshman Trevor Knight, who is out 1-2 weeks with a knee injury. Knight completed only 21-of-48 (43.8%) passes for 205 yards and was intercepted three times in two games. The Sooners failed to cover the number in a 16-7 win over West Va.

--Cincinnati senior QB Munchie Legauz is ‘out’ for the season after suffering a severe knee injury in a blowout loss at Illinois.

--Cincy’s loss at Illinois doesn’t help Louisville’s chances of getting to Pasadena. The Cardinals sure could use a UFC win Saturday at Penn St.

--Texas Tech’s Baker Mayfield is the first player at a BCS school to ever start a season opener at QB as a walk-on true freshman. His numbers after two starts: 71.1 completion percentage, 780 passing yards, 7/0 TD-INT ratio and a team-high 82 rushing yards.

--BYU senior WR Cody Hoffman returned to make two receptions for 68 yards in his team’s win over Texas. Hoffman missed the Week 1 loss at UVA with a hamstring injury.

--Northwestern star RB Venric Mark sat out Saturday’s 48-27 win over Syracuse with a lower body injury. With home games vs. a horrible Western Michigan team and Maine looming, the Wildcats could conceivably allow Mark to sit out and get healthy in these next two games. Then they have an open date before hosting Ohio St. on Oct. 5.

**Five Games to Watch**

1-UCLA at Nebraska -- Nebraska gave up 601 yards of total offense in its 37-34 season-opening win over Wyoming. The Cornhuskers are 18-17 ATS as home favorites under Bo Pelini following Saturday’s 56-13 win over So. Miss as 28-point ‘chalk.’ Going back to last season, the ‘over’ is on a 6-1-1 run in Nebraska’s last eight games. UCLA had an open date after trouncing Nevada, 58-20, as a 20.5-point home favorite. Looking for a sleeper Heisman candidate? Feast your eyes on sophomore QB Brett Hundley, who had 337 yards (274 passing 63 rushing) and four TDs (two apiece rushing and passing) against the Wolf Pack. The ‘over’ has hit in seven of UCLA’s last eight games. Kickoff is scheduled for noon Eastern on ABC.

2-Ole Miss at Texas -- The Rebels are hoping to avenge a 66-31 loss to Texas in Oxford last season. They are 5-1 ATS in six road games under Hugh Freeze. The Longhorns might be without starting QB David Ash, who left the BYU game with a head injury. Texas will definitely be without WR Daje Johnson due to an ankle injury. Ole Miss won’t have its best offensive lineman (Aaron Morris) and leading returning tackler (Denzel Nkemdiche) due to injuries. I can’t believe that I’m not going to be able to watch this game because of the Longhorn Network.

3-Tennessee at Oregon – The Ducks dealt out a ruthless beating when they went to Neyland Stadium in 2010 and emerged with a 48-13 victory. Just like three years ago, the Volunteers are breaking in a new coach. Butch Jones has led UT to back-to-back wins, including a 52-20 triumph over Western Kentucky as a 13-point home favorite. Oregon senior WR Josh Huff is ‘questionable’ with a leg injury. ABC will have the telecast a 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

4-Wisconsin at Arizona St. -- ASU will be seeking revenge for a 20-19 loss at Camp Randall in 2010. The Sun Devils, who were favored by 5.5 as of late Monday night, are 5-1 ATS as home favorites under Todd Graham. The Badgers have 45-0 and 48-0 home wins over UMass and Tennessee Tech, respectively. New Wisconsin coach Gary Andersen has a 13-2 spread record in his last 15 games going back to last season with Utah St.

5-Vanderbilt at South Carolina -- Vandy might be catching South Carolina in a good spot following its pivotal loss at Georgia. But the Commodores won’t have two of their best players in WR Chris Boyd (indefinite suspension) and LB Chase Garnham (leg). On the bright side, they have HC James Franklin and WR Jordan Matthews, who has 16 catches for 289 yards and two TDs. ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/10/2013 01:59 PM

Power Rankings


Conference Rankings

Despite Miami's huge win over Florida, the ACC remains in fourth place thanks to Virginia getting pasted at home by Oregon courtesy of a little Pac-12 muscle-flexing. Though the Hurricanes and Seminoles look solid in joining Clemson as the pride of the league, the rest of the conference is just 13-7. The Pac-12 adds another ranked squad in impressive-looking Arizona, while the Big Ten picked up a key win thanks to Michigan's handling of Notre Dame. Texas' loss to BYU brought another round of blushes for the ordinary-looking Big 12.

1) SEC
2) Pac-12
3) Big Ten
4) ACC
5) Big 12
6) American Athletic Conference (AAC)
7) Mountain West
8) MAC
9) C-USA
10) Sun Belt

BCS Championship Prediction
Alabama vs. Oregon - The Ducks ventured to the East coast and wrecked shop in Charlottesville, but their job of getting here looks even more complicated given how physical Stanford looked in its debut against San Jose State. The Quack Attack visits Palo Alto on Nov. 7.

Heisman Watch
1) Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
2) Tahj Boyd, QB, Clemson
3) Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville

If he conquers Alabama again, Manziel may give Uncle Nate the green light to see how much a second Heisman could fetch on eBay if sold together as a set. He continues to get the proper respect here as reigning champion. Meanwhile, Dabo Swinney needs to take notice of how long their coaches left Johnny and Teddy Football out there to pad stats if he wants to give Boyd a fair crack at this.

Team to Watch
Ohio State - Quarterback Braxton Miller's status makes Ohio State's trip to Berkeley interesting in Week 3. Although California is young and struggled mightily with FCS member Portland State last weekend, they're still easily the top non-conference opponent the Buckeyes will run into until bowl season arrives. Considering Florida A&M is on the schedule next week, Urban Meyer has to be giving serious consideration to the cautious approach of sitting his Heisman candidate in the hopes he'll be back at full strength when Wisconsin visits the Horseshoe on Sept. 28. Do the Buckeyes have enough to win without him thousands of miles from home against the first truly gifted quarterback they'll run into this season? Decisions, decisions.

Top 25 - Week 1
Rank School Betting Notes Prev
1 Alabama, (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
-- BYE 1
2 Oregon, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Virginia 59-10 2
3 Clemson, (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat South Carolina State 52-13 3
4 Stanford, (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
-- Beat San Jose State 34-13 7
5 Ohio State, (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat San Diego State 42-7 5
6 Louisville, (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat Eastern Kentucky 44-7 6
7 Michigan, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Notre Dame 41-30 10
8 Texas A&M, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Sam Houston State 65-28 9
9 Oklahoma State, (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS)
-- Beat Texas-San Antonio 56-35 8
10 LSU, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat UAB 56-17 12
11 Florida State, (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
-- BYE 13
12 Miami, Fl. (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat Florida 21-16 18
13 Georgia, (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat South Carolina 41-30 20
14 South Carolina, (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Lost to Georgia 41-30 4
15 Oklahoma, (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat West Virginia 16-7 13
16 UCLA, (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
-- BYE 17
17 Wisconsin, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Tennessee Tech 48-0 19
18 Washington, (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
-- BYE 21
19 Arizona State, (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
-- Beat Sacramento State 55-0 22
20 Baylor, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Buffalo 70-13 23
21 Northwestern, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Syracuse 48-27 24
22 Ole Miss, (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
-- Beat SE Missouri State 31-13 25
23 Florida, (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)
-- Lost to Miami (FL) 21-16 15
24 Notre Dame, (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)
-- Lost to Michigan 41-30 16
25 Arizona, (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
-- Beat Buffalo 58-13 NR

Dropped out: Texas

On the cusp: Nebraska, Fresno State, Utah, Texas Tech, Michigan State, BYU, Texas, TCU, UCF, Georgia Tech

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/11/2013 12:51 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 2

September 10, 2013


Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the second weekend of college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.

East Carolina (-19½) 31, Florida Atlantic 13: While the overall statistics in this Conference USA opener were almost even East Carolina pulled to a 31-6 lead and past the spread with a touchdown run late in the third quarter. The Pirates were deep in FAU territory early in the fourth quarter after a fumble but East Carolina gave the ball back with their own fumble. Late in the game Florida Atlantic missed a field goal but then with just over a minute left the Owls stole the cover with a touchdown as almost half of the total yardage for the Owls came on the final three drives.

Oklahoma State (-30) 56, Texas-San Antonio 35: Those laying the four touchdown plus spread with the Cowboys had to feel pretty comfortable with Oklahoma State up 42-7 entering the fourth quarter as the offense led by J.W. Walsh was incredibly efficient a week after greatly struggling against Mississippi State. Oklahoma State would add two more touchdowns in the fourth but the defense clearly let up as the Roadrunners hit a few big plays and wound up with four fourth quarter touchdowns to bring the final margin to just 21 points. Texas-San Antonio ended up with over 500 yards in the game though over half of that total came on the final four possessions late in the game.

Houston (-3½) 22, Temple 13: With over 500 yards of offense the Houston offense looked on track but the Cougars trailed at halftime and after settling for two short field goals in the third quarter Houston led just 15-13 heading into the final frame. Temple had a 78-yard drive late in the third quarter but they missed a field goal and the Owls could not take advantage of a fourth quarter opportunity near mid-field after a fumble. Temple’s last shot was ended with an interception deep in its own territory and Houston punched in a spread-winning touchdown with just over a minute to go in a game where the scoring did not match up with the yardage as Houston kicked four field goals of fewer than 25 yards.

Ohio (-3½) 27, North Texas 21: The spread on this game opened as high as -8 before dropping sharply throughout the week as most on the favored Bobcats wound up with a win. It did not look likely late in the game as the score was tied 21-21 well into the fourth quarter before Ohio settled for a go-ahead field goal with eight minutes to go, up three but short of the spread. North Texas was not able to move the ball on its final two possessions however and a 22-yard field goal for Ohio with just over a minute to go was enough to cash favorite tickets for most. Ohio had a big yardage edge but also had a defensive touchdown that changed the game early.

North Carolina (-20) 40, Middle Tennessee State 20: North Carolina led 23-0 at the half with two interceptions in UNC territory proving costly for Middle Tennessee State. The Blue Raiders made it a game in the second half however, ending up with over 400 yards and 26 first downs. After a defensive touchdown early in the fourth cut the lead to just 13 the underdog cover looked likely but North Carolina went up by 27 with just over two minutes to go after Middle Tennessee State was stopped on fourth down tries on consecutive possessions. With 25 seconds left the Blue Raiders found the end zone again to bring the final margin to just 20, and leaving a close call for everyone involved on the game. North Carolina was a 21½-point favorite early in the week before the line dipped as low as 18½ late in the week. On Saturday the line climbed back to close at -20 or 20½ so timing was everything for your result. Both teams missed two-point conversions in the game, plays that ended up proving to be pretty important in the spread result.

Ohio State (-29½) 42, San Diego State 7: While there was no scoring in the fourth quarter San Diego State certainly had opportunities to spoil the cover for the Buckeyes as the Aztecs had two fourth quarter turnovers deep in Ohio State territory with one touchdown being enough to flip the result. The first half also ended with San Diego State on the Ohio State two-yard line as this game was a definitely a bit closer than the score suggests, though Ohio State did play much of the way without star QB Braxton Miller and the emotional toll his loss may have had.

Duke (-4) 28, Memphis 14: While beating Memphis does not warrant great celebration this was a big win for a Duke program that has struggled on the road. The Blue Devils allowed Memphis to tie the game 14-14 early in the fourth quarter but Duke’s offense was sharp late, delivering back-to-back 75-yard touchdown drives late to seal the win and cover even without starting QB Anthony Boone.

Missouri (-14½) 38, Toledo 23: The yardage in this game was nearly dead even but Missouri pulled to a 24-9 lead after a 70-yard interception return early in the second half. That margin of 15 was just past the closing line on this game but earlier in the week Missouri was often favored by as many as 17. Toledo scored back-to-back touchdowns and opted to go for 1 on the second touchdown late in the third quarter to trail by one. Missouri scored on the next two possessions however to get back up by 15 as the entire fourth quarter was played on the Toledo side of the field and the Rockets left with another commendable but unsatisfying loss against a SEC team.

Penn State (-28½) 45, Eastern Michigan 7: The Eagles actually scored first in this game but Penn State was able to eventually pull away. The Lions led by just 10 at the half and by just 17 entering the fourth quarter as covering this huge spread looked doubtful most of the way. Three fourth quarter touchdowns provided enough of cushion however with a few big plays late. The Penn State defense certainly starred however with Eastern Michigan punting after no more than five plays in all seven second half possessions.

Minnesota (-16½) 44, New Mexico State 21: After getting three return touchdowns in the opener the Gophers had more big play magic with punt return and fumble return touchdowns to pull away at New Mexico State. Minnesota led by just 16 entering the fourth quarter but pulled up 44-14 before a late New Mexico State score in the final minute. Minnesota had a huge edge on the ground but still allowed 356 yards.

New Mexico (+7½) 42, UTEP 35: The Miners led 28-21 going into the fourth quarter, meaning a push for most as the line was at seven much of the week before a late rise. New Mexico put together consecutive scoring drives to turn the tables however. UTEP was able to force overtime with a 14-play drive to score with just over a minute to go. Going first the Lobos only took three plays to score in overtime and in a dramatic finish New Mexico stopped UTEP on 4th and one after an eight-play series to win the game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/11/2013 09:48 AM

Pac-12 Report - Week 3

September 11, 2013

For the second straight week, there was a shocker in the Pac-12. Perhaps just for one week, the Washington State Cougars and their fans can say they held sole possession of first place in the Pac-12. Washington State won an ugly, low-scoring game at Southern California by a 10-7 margin. It was completely unexpected in that Wazzu won outright, but also combined with USC for just 17 total points in what is usually a wide-open, high-octane offense league.

What surprises might we see this weekend? There are quite a few games worth keeping an eye on in the Pac-12. Stanford, UCLA and Washington all head east, while Arizona State, California and Oregon all welcome opponents from the eastern time zone. It will be interesting to say the least.

Last weekend, the league went 9-1 straight up and 6-4 ATS. The home teams were 6-1 straight up and 3-4 ATS, while road teams were 3-0 straight up and ATS. The 'over' went 6-4 in Week 1, with the 'over' going 4-3 for the home teams.

2013 PAC-12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Arizona 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
Arizona State 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
California 1-1 0-0 0-2 2-0
Colorado 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
Oregon 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0
Oregon State 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-1
Southern California 1-1 0-1 0-2 0-2
Stanford 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
UCLA 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Utah 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0
Washington 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-1
Washington State 1-1 1-0 2-0 0-2


UCLA at Nebraska (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
UCLA stunned Nebraska by a 36-30 score Sept. 8, 2012, and you know fans of Big Red have had this game circled on the calendar for a while. The Huskers will be looking for redemption when QB Brett Hundley and the Bruins invade Lincoln Saturday. It will be interesting to see how the Bruins handle what will be, to them, a 9am kickoff time. It wouldn't be surprising to UCLA get off to a bit of a slow start, and that time difference situation should not be ignored. The total is set around 70 points, and all trends point to a high-scoring affair. The over is 7-1 in UCLA's past eight, and 5-1 in their past six against a team with a winning record, while the over is 4-0 in Nebraska's past four, and 4-0-1 against a team with a winning record, remember that early kickoff time. The teams might be playing catch-up to make the game go over t

Boston College at Southern California (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)
USC head coach Lane Kiffin is feeling an intense white-hot heat in L.A. following an uninspired 10-7 setback against Washington State last weekend. The Trojans look like they still have plenty of talent at the skill positions, but WR Marqise Lee has had a case of the dropsies on more than one occasion, and USC is not playing anywhere near their capabilities. USC is just 1-6 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record, they're 0-5 in their past five non-conference games and 0-5 in their past five games overall dating back to last season's stumbling down the stretch. BC looked solid last week against Wake, with RB Andre Williams running hot. The Eagles have offensive weapons in QB Chase Rettig and WR Alex Amidon, too, so it would be wise for USC not to write them off. However, over the years, Boston College has been a completely different animal on the road, failing to cover their past six road contests. This will be interesting to watch, if nothing more than to see what happens if USC loses another game at home when they enter play as a double-digit favorite. The boobirds will be out early if QB Cody Kessler doesn't get off to a hot start.

Tennessee at Oregon (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Tennessee Volunteers head west trying to corral the high-flying Oregon Ducks. It will be an interesting measuring stick game for the Vols, who are 2-0, but haven't really been tested in wins over Austin Peay and Western Kentucky. Oregon rolled up huge numbers in their opener against Nicholls State, and they hammered Virginia on the road by a 59-10 score. There might be no slowing down the Ducks offense, who have nearly caused the total to go over themselves in each of their first two contests. With Tennessee averaging 48.5 ppg, and Oregon averaging 62.5 ppg, the 'over' is looking like a very tempting play. Also keep in mind that Tennessee is 3-9-1 ATS in their past 13 against a team with a winning record, and Oregon is 7-1 ATS in their past eight against a team with a winning record. Will the Ducks win by four touchdowns or more, though?

Washington at Illinois (Big Ten Network, 6:00 p.m. ET)
Personally, the Washington-Illinois game is the one Pac-12 game I am looking forward to the most. Washington whipped Boise State 38-6 in their opener back on Aug. 31, while Illinois has shown amazing offense in their first two games, both victories. The Illini was particularly impressive in hammering Cincinnati 45-17, and they have averaged 43.5 ppg through two games. The 'over' has cashed in each of their games thus far. It will be interesting to see if Illini QB Nathan Scheelhaase can continue his effective play. Washington RB Bishop Sankey rolled up 161 rushing yards with two scores against Boise State, and he'll now test the Illini defense. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS over their past seven games, and 4-1 ATS in their past five againts a team with a winning record. Illinois is 4-0 ATS in their past four neutral site games, but they are just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 overall, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a winning record.

Ohio State at California (FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Ohio State QB Braxton Miller (knee) suffered a sprained knee in last weekend's blowout win over San Diego State, but QB Kenny Guiton came on and performed admirably. Still, playing on the road against a quality opponent might be a different story if Guiton is thrust into action again. The Buckeyes are 28-10-1 ATS in their past 39 road games, and 8-2-1 ATS in their past 11 against Pac-12 opponents. Cal kept it surprisingly close last season in Columbus, falling just 35-28 in the Horseshoe. RB Brandon Bigelow torched the Buckeyes for 160 yards and two touchdowns on just four carries, and he will be a secondary story to the Ohio State QB situation. The spread for this game hinges on the knee of Miller.

Wisconsin at Arizona State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
The Badgers hit the road for the first time in 2013, and this will obviously be their biggest test of the season. The Badgers have covered a pair of 44 1/2-point spreads against Massachusetts and Tennessee Tech, and they have yet to yield a point this season. That has caused each of their first two games to go 'under'. They'll get a much sterner test against AZ State. The Sun Devils also have yet to be scored upon this season, blanking Sacramento State 55-0 in their only game Sept. 5. There are a lot of unknowns in this game, making it a bit difficult to handicap. How good are the defenses for these teams? We'll find out in the first quarter. The total is rather low at 52 1/2. The 'over' has cashed in 20 of Arizona State's past 28 games, and is 4-1 in their past five non-conference tilts. The 'over' is also 11-4 in their past 15 home games, while the 'over' has cashed in four of Wisconsin's past five road games. The 'over' is also 15-6-1 in Wisconsin's past 22 games against a team with a winning record.

Other Games
Stanford at Army (CBS SN, 12:00 p.m. ET )
Fresno State at Colorado (2:00 p.m. ET )
Southern Utah at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 6:30 p.m. ET)
Oregon State at Utah (10:00pm ET)
Texas-San Antonio at Arizona (10:30 p.m. ET)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/11/2013 09:49 AM

ACC Report - Week 3

September 11, 2013

The Atlantic Coast Conference has really picked up some much-needed credibility over the first two weekends of the season. First off, Clemson slayed Georgia in a visit to Death Valley in Week 1, and then Miami held court at Land Shark Stadium last weekend against Florida. Two wins against some of the SEC's biggest names definitely has the ACC trending upward.

This weekend, there aren't many marquee games in the league, but Virginia Tech does have a difficult trip to Greenville against Conference USA's East Carolina, and Boston College could make waves by beaten a wounded, yet still dangerous Southern California out on the coast.

Overall, the league went 8-3 straight-up and 6-5 ATS. Home teams went 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS, while road teams went 1-2 straight-up and 1-2 ATS. The 'under' went 7-4 in Week 2, with the 'under' going 4-4 at home.
2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 2-0 1-0 1-1 0-2
Clemson 2-0 0-0 1-1 2-0
Duke 2-0 0-0 2-0 0-2
Florida State 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0
Georgia Tech 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Maryland 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
Miami (Fla.) 2-0 0-0 1-1 0-2
North Carolina 1-1 0-0 1-1 0-2
North Carolina State 2-0 0-0 1-1 0-2
Pittsburgh 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-0
Syracuse 0-2 0-0 1-1 1-1
Virginia 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1
Virginia Tech 1-1 0-0 0-1-1 0-1-1
Wake Forest 1-1 0-1 0-2 0-2

Virginia Tech at East Carolina (Saturday - 12:00 p.m. ET)
Neither of these teams have been particularly strong against the spread in recent times in non-conference battles. The Hokies were crushed in their opener against Alabama, before pushing a 42-point spread against Western Carolina at Blackburg. The Hokies hit the road this weekend, and they better be ready for the Shane Carden-Justin Hardy connection. East Carolina has failed to cover either of their first two games against inferior opponents Old Dominion or Florida Atlantic, although they just missed covering by one point in each. In fact, FAU scored a late touchdown in the final moments for a backdoor cover last Thursday in Greenville. The 'under' might be the more sound play, as it is 12-5 in Virginia Tech's past 17 road games against a team with a winning home record, while the under is 5-1 in East Carolina's past six against ACC foes.

Boston College at Southern California (3:00 p.m. ET)
USC head coach Lane Kiffin is feeling an intense white-hot heat in L.A. following an uninspired 10-7 setback against Washington State last weekend. The Trojans look like they still have plenty of talent at the skill positions, but WR Marqise Lee has had a case of the dropsies on more than one occasion, and USC is not playing anywhere near their capabilities. USC is just 1-6 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record, they're 0-5 in their past five non-conference games and 0-5 in their past five games overall dating back to last season's stumbling down the stretch. BC looked solid last week against Wake, with RB Andre Williams running hot. The Eagles have offensive weapons in QB Chase Rettig and WR Alex Amidon, too, so it would be wise for USC not to write them off. However, over the years, Boston College has been a completely different animal on the road, failing to cover their past six road contests. This will be interesting to watch, if nothing more than to see what happens if USC loses another game at home when they enter play as a double-digit favorite. The boobirds will be out early if QB Cody Kessler doesn't get off to a hot start.

Georgia Tech at Duke (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Duke was mighty impressive hitting the road for a win last week, albeit against a less-than-stellar Memphis team. Still, this is Duke we're talking about, and they are usually a doormat. The Blue Devils lost QB Anthony Boone to a broken collarbone, however, and they will hand the reins over to QB Brandon Connette on a full-time basis. He has been impressive to date, but can he do well against a good team at home? The Yellow Jackets have covered five conference games in a row, and six of their past seven overall. Duke, on the other hand, has failed to cover each of its past four ACC games, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record. If the Blue Devils are going to continue to gain credibility, covering an eight-point spread at home against a team they haven't fared well against over the years would be another big step forward. Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series.

Nevada at Florida State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Wolf Pack continue their ambitious out-of-conference schedule, landing in Tallahassee Saturday. They've already faced a Top 25 team at UCLA, and they were smashed 58-20 back on Aug. 31. Nevada has plenty of firepower, and it all starts with QB Cody Fajardo. They are averaging 28.0 ppg, thanks to a 36-7 victory over Cal-Davis in Reno last weekend. Fajardo not only can do it with his arm, but he has three rushing touchdowns as well. Florida State has just one game under their belt, and QB Jameis Winston is already a legend in Tally. He helped work over Pittsburgh back on Sept. 2, leading the Seminoles to 377 passing yards in a 41-13 victory. Nevada is just 5-12-1 ATS in their past 18 non-conference games, and 1-5 ATS in their past six road contests.

Maryland at Connecticut (7:30 p.m. ET)
The Terrapins have been one of the bigger surprises in the ACC, and perhaps their hot start secretly has teams happy they will be leaving the league after this season. Maryland stomped Florida International in their first contest, and they roughed up Old Dominion last weekend. Connecticut opened their season Aug. 29 with a 33-18 setback against FCS opponent Towson, and have had more than two weeks to lick their wounds. Make no mistake, they'll be ready for the challenge from Maryland after pouring over video from their embarrassing loss. Of course, they had a whole summer to get ready for their opener and look how that turned out. UConn is just 2-7-1 ATS in their past 10 games overall, and 1-4-1 ATS in their past six at home. Maryland enters as a seven-point favorite, and the public has pounded the Terps at a nearly three-to-one clip.

Other Games
Louisiana-Monroe at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. ET)
New Mexico at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. ET)
Wagner at Syracuse (4:00 p.m. ET)

Byes
Clemson, Miami (Fla.), North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27510 Followers:33
09/11/2013 06:11 PM

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Rice Owls

This week: -6.5 vs. Kansas

Rice kicked off its season with a tough road date at Texas A&M, but it accounted itself relatively well by pinning 31 points on the Aggies and covering the 28-point spread in a 52-31 loss. The Owls were even better last year against Kansas, going into Lawrence as 12-point underdogs and coming away with a 25-24 win.

Are the Jayhawks in line for some revenge? Maybe not. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against C-USA opposition. Rice is 4-0 ATS in its last four overall, 5-0 ATS in its last five out of conference, and 5-0 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records.

Team to beware: New Mexico State Aggies

This week: +6.5 vs. UTEP

It’s not like New Mexico State scheduled Texas and Minnesota to begin its season in order to get battle-tested for conference play. After all, the Aggies are independent. So it’s hard to see anything good having come from those two contests. New Mexico State lost at Texas 56-7 and to Minnesota 44-21. The Longhorns rushed for a bloated 359 yards and the Golden Gophers racked up 342 yards on the ground.

The Aggies are going up against a UTEP squad that gained 280 yards on 46 carries in a 42-35 loss last weekend. UTEP is 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in the last four season’s against New Mexico State. The Aggies’ own trends are not encouraging, either. They are 0-6 ATS in their last six overall, 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference contests, and 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Total team: Troy Trojans

This week: 66.5 at Arkansas State

Quarterback Corey Robinson, who has surpassed 3,000 yards through the air in each of his first three seasons, is already up to his old tricks. Through two games of 2013, Robinson has completed a ridiculous 47 of 51 passes for 499 yards and five touchdowns without throwing an interception. Troy also rushed for a combined 419 yards in victories over UAB and Savannah State.

The over is 8-1 in the Trojans’ last nine overall, including 2-0 this year (they beat UAB 34-31 and Savannah State 66-3). Four of their last five non-conference games have gone over the total. Troy is facing an Arkansas State team that is averaging 547 yards per game, including 329.5 on the ground, in 2013.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: