09/03/2013 02:29 PM
Tech Trends - Week 2
September 3, 2013
Thursday, Sept. 5
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at EAST CAROLINA...FAU now 7-1 as a road dog for Carl Pelini after opening-week cover vs. Canes, and 9-2 last 11 on board. Slight to FAU, based on Pelini road dog mark.
Friday, Sept. 6
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE...If chalk, note Eagles just 5-8 overall in role the past three years. Wake has won and covered last two years vs. Eagles, and was 3-1 as single-digit dog LY. Grobe, however, 7-14 vs. line away since 2009, and his once-gaudy dog numbers have deteriorated in recent years. Slight to Wake, based on recent series trends.
UCF at FIU...Although FIU has covered past two years vs. UCF, O'Leary 25-14 as chalk since 2009. UCF also 10-5 vs. line lest 15 vs. non-league foes. Pre-Ron Turner FIU only 1-4 LY as home dog for Cristobal. UCF, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 7
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
FLORIDA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...First meeting since 2008. If getting points, note Al Golden 8-3-1 as dog the past two years with Miami, 17-7-2 in role the past five years with Temple & Canes. Miami also 3-0 as home dog LY. Muschamp 4-0 vs. line as visitor LY (0-2 at neutral sites) but overall Gator spread mark just 12-15. Miami, especially if dog, based on Al Golden numbers.
MIAMI-OHIO at KENTUCKY...Mark Stoops home debut for UK, and Cats were 10-18-1 vs. line previous 29 entering this season. UK was 7-3 as Lexington chalk for Joker in 2010-12, however. Treadwell only 4-9 vs. line LY for RedHawks and 1-6 as road dog. UK, based on team trends.
SOUTH FLORIDA at MICHIGAN STATE...Though USF faded to 4-16-1 mark last 21 on board for Sip Holtz, note that Willie Taggart was 11-1 as dog the past two seasons while at WKU. MSU now no covers last seven as home chalk since after opening non-cover vs. WMU. USF, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at UTSA...Mike Gundy 26-12-1 vs. line since 2010. Although Cowboys were 0-3 as visiting chalk last season. Pokes also 10-4 vs. line non-Big 12 past three years. OSU, based on Gundy trends.
HOUSTON at TEMPLE...UH only 12-18-1 as visiting chalk since 2008. Owls were 17-8-1 as dog from 2007-11 but fell to 3-6 in role LY and only 1-3 as home dog LY. Slight to Temple, based on extended dog marks.
NORTH TEXAS at OHIO...Solich and McCarney used to square off in Big 12. Solich only 7-12 as chalk the past two seasons but is 7-4 vs. pts. against non-MAC that span. Slight to Ohio, based on team trends.
MTSU at NORTH CAROLINA...MTSU only 5-11 as dog since 2010 and 3-12 vs. spread last 15 vs. non-conf. foes Fedora 5-2 as Chapel Hill chalk in UNC debut LY and 18-11 in role dating to 2008 at USM. UNC, based on team trends.
CINCINNATI at ILLINOIS...Tuberville 5-0 as visiting chalk past two years while at Texas Tech. And Bearcats 5-2 the past three years in role for Butch Jones. Beckman 3-10 vs. line with Illini. Cincy, based on team and Tuberville trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA...WVU dropped last four spread decisions away from home LY, though Holgorsen is 5-2 as dog the past two seasons. Stoops only 16-17 laying DDs since 2009. Slight to WVU, based on team trends.
SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA...Spurrier has covered last four vs. Richt. Spurrier 10-5 as reg.-season dog since 2008. Richt only 13-15 as home chalk since 2008. South Carolina, based on recent series trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at OHIO STATE...Aztecs 9-4 as visiting dog since 2009 (4-2 last two years for Rocky). Aztecs 5-1 as DD dog since 2010. Though OSU closed with four covers LY, Urban only 4-5 as home chalk since LY and 1-4 vs. non-conf. foes, and 2-6 as DD chalk since 2012. SDSU, based on team trends.
UTAH STATE at AIR FORCE...Troy Calhoun 3-0 in rare home dog role since 2009, although Falcs subpar 3-11 vs. line since LY and 14-26 since 2010. Narrow loss for USU in opener but Utags still 11-3 vs. points since LY and 17-9 as visitor since 2009. USU, based on recent trends.
SOUTH ALABAMA at TULANE...Wave gets cover in opener vs. Jackson State but still only 6-11 last 17 in role. Wave now 6-2 last 8 on board since mid 2012. Note USA 0-5 as single-digit dog LY. Tulane, based on recent trends.
OREGON at VIRGINIA...Ducks have covered last 8 as visiting chalk and are 10-2 vs. spread away since 2011. Oregon, based on team trends.
DUKE at MEMPHIS...Tigers were hot late LY when winning last three SU and covering last four for Justin Fuente. Memphis 3-1 as home dog LY. Duke only favored once on road (at Army in 2009) since 2006, and was 1-5 vs. line away from Durham LY. But Cutcliffe was 4-0 vs. line as chalk LY. Slight to Memphis, based on recent trends.
SYRACUSE at NORTHWESTERN...Pat Fitzgerald 13-1 vs. line since LY and 7-0 vs. number at Evanston. Cats also 7-0 vs. number at home in 2012. Cuse was 5-2-1 as dog while Marrone was still coaching LY, but was 1-6 as dog in 2011. NU, based on recent trends.
NAVY at INDIANA...Niumatalolo 10-6 vs. line as visitor since 2010. Note Mids 6-2 as visiting dog since 2010. Kevin Wilson mostly 50-50 spread prop at IU. Slight to Navy based on team trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at NEBRASKA...USM was 1-5 vs. line away in the Ellis Johnson train wreck last season including 49-20 loss and non-cover at Lincoln in opener. Golden Eagles were 9-6 as dog previous four years. Pelini 4-3 as DD chalk LY but was 10-18 in role previous four seasons. Slight to Nebraska, based on recent USM woes.
TEXAS at BYU...Mack Brown 4-8 as single-digit chalk the past three seasons though Horns 7-2 vs. spread outside Big 12 and 4-2 as visiting favorite since 2011. But Bronco Mendenhall is 6-0 as dog the past two seasons and 18-9 overall vs. spread that span. BYU, based on team trends.
UAB at LSU...Les Miles just 8-11 as Baton Rouge chalk since 2010. Also just 9-14 vs. line non-SEC since 2008 and 3-7 vs. spread last 10 at home vs. non-SEC. UAB 11-7 as DD dog since 2010. UAB, based on LSU negatives.
TOLEDO at MISSOURI...Rockets 6-1 as dogs since LY and are 10-3 as visiting dog since 2010. Pinkel, however, 6-2 vs. line non-conf. past two years. Toledo, based on team trends.
COLORADO STATE at TULSA...CSU struggled 1-4 as road dog for McElwain in his debut LY, also 2-4 as DD dog. Tulsa off bad opening loss but was 5-2 as home chalk LY and 11-6 in role since 2010, also 7-4 as DD chalk since 2011. Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at AUBURN...Gus Malzahn game! Ark State 20-6 vs. line last two years and that includes 7-3 non-Belt spread mark and 10-2 spread record as visitor. Auburn 4-8 vs. line since LY. Ark State, based on team trends.
ARMY at BALL STATE...Pete Lembo now 15-5 his last 20 vs. spread after Ill State win, and Cards have also covered last five as Muncie chalk. Also won and covered last two years vs. Army. Ellerson 4-9 vs. points since LY after non-cover vs. the Morgan State Bears, West Point also 0-3 as visiting dog LY. And Black Knights 0-8 vs. line against MAC the past two seasons! Ball, based on team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at PENN STATE...Ron English 4-9 vs. line since LY after covering 5 of 6 as DD dog in 2011. Bill O'Brien 5-1 as Beaver Stadium chalk LY, covering last five in role. Penn State, based on team trends.
BUFFALO at BAYLOR...Buffalo 6-3 as dog after cover at OSU. Bulls 5-1 for Quinn their last six as DD dog. Buffalo, based on team trends.
BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE...BGSU now 11-5 last 16 vs. line after opening win over Tulsa. Although Kent State has won and covered last three years in this series. BGSU, based on recent team trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...Petrino and Butch Jones both new on the jobs this season. Petrino was 24-13-1 against line his last three years at Arkansas and 25-12 his last three years at Lvl, and now 55-31-1 spread mark since 2004 as a college coach. UT was poor 8-16 the past two years vs. line for Derek Dooley and just 1-7 last 8 against points at Knoxville. Butch Jones Cincy teams, however, were 8-5 vs. line at home 2011-12. WKU, based on Petrino trends.
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE at KANSAS STATE...Hudspeth 17-9-1 vs. line since 2011 and 10-2 as dog away from Lafayette. Also 7-2-1 vs. points against non-Belt sides. Louisiana, based on team trends.
NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN...Brian Kelly 6-4 as dog the past three years with Irish, 4-1 as visiting dog that span. Michigan had won and covered three straight vs. Irish prior to loss LY at South Bend. Brady Hoke 2-3 vs. non-Big 10 LY. Slight to ND, based on team trends.
aHAWAII at OREGON STATE...Norm Chow working on a 4-game cover streak after SC opener. But Chow was only 2-4 as road dog (all by 20 or more) in 2012. Mike Riley only 1-4 last four laying 20 or more, though Beavs were 9-4 against spread in 2012. OSU, based on team trends.
MINNESOTA at NEW MEXICO STATE...NMSU did upset Gophers in Minneapolis in 2011, but 7-15 as Las Cruces dog since 2008, also 2-7-1 overall as dog in 2012. Jerry Kill now 5-1 last 6 as chalk after UNLV win and the Minny has covered 5 of last 6 outside of Big Ten, too. Minnesota, based on team trends.
IDAHO at WYOMING...Vandals 2-8 as dog since LY. Idaho just 6-12 as DD dog since 2010. Wyo won 40-37 shootout at Moscow LY, though Cowboys only 2-4 as DD chalk since 2010. Slight to Wyo, based on Idaho negatives.
NEW MEXICO at UTEP...Regional rivals haven't met since 2010, teams used to play all of the time in old WAC. Davie covered 3 of last 5 on road in 2012. UTEP 0-3 as Sun Bowl chalk LY and 9-19 as home chalk since 2005. New Mexico, based on UTEP negatives.
WASHINGTON STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Lane Kiffin now 3-11 vs. line since 2012 and no covers last four. Although SC 7-3 as Coliseum chalk since 2011. Leach 6-3 as DD dog since 2012. WSU, based on recent Kiffin woes.
ARIZONA at UNLV...Bobby Hauck's best role for formful Rebels, 10-3-1 as home dog since 2010. Rebs 22-10-1 as Sam Boyd dog since 2005. Cats just 2-8-1 as road chalk since 2008 and 8-16-1 vs. line as visitor since 2008. UA 3-5 as chalk for Rich Rod 2012 and 9-15 in role since 2010. UNLV, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at STANFORD...SJSU got the cover LY and is now 15-2 last 17 on board after Caragher gets win and cover in debut vs. Sac State. David Shaw only 1-5 as Farm chalk LY. San Jose State, based on team trends.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: