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coleryan
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets: Preview and Pick

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On 09/01/2013 04:38 PM in NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets: Preview and Pick

The New York Jets are one team that is eagerly waiting for the start of the regular season. That is mainly due to the nightmare preseason that they had to endure which was full of injuries, gaffes and missteps. The only thing that will matter now is the play on the field when the Jets host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the season opener.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets Odds

When the NFL lines came out over the summer, the Jets were actually slim favorites (-2.5) in this game. That line has changed drastically in the last few months and now the visiting Buccaneers are (-3) point favorites. This is due to injuries, the quarterback play for the Jets and one very talented player that have switched teams in the off season.

Former Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis is now a member of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and after an injury plagued off season he is ready to suit up against his former team in week one. Revis joins a Bucs secondary that was torched on a regular basis all season long a year ago and that is why Tampa Bay took a chance on the aging veteran.

On offense the Bucs will look to get a full and successful year from Josh Freeman. Freeman is surrounded by a variety of weapons on offense to include Doug Martin at running back and Vincent Jackson at wide receiver.

While the Bucs are set on offense, the Jets are still looking for answers. The Jets drafted Geno Smith to compete with current quarterback Mark Sanchez. While neither signal caller had a successful campaign in the preseason, the battle is all about over as Sanchez was injured in the preseason after a questionable move by head coach Rex Ryan.

The trends in this game favor the road team. The Buccaneers are 19-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last 26 games on turf, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 5-1 ATS in the last six games in September.

The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf and 1-5 ATS in the last six games overall. The Jets will look to buck these football betting trends by hosting the first game of the season in front of what should be a friendly home crowd, at least at first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets Pick

With Ryan still mum on the starter and the status of several players up in the air, I will wait to release a pick on this game until we get close to game time.
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Pfile Nickname coleryan
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09/02/2013 02:43 PM
New York will kick off its season at home against the much-improved Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs boast excellent talent on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Josh Freeman may be inconsistent, but he has explosive weapons in Doug Martin, Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams at his disposal.

As for the defense, Tampa Bay is solid on the front seven and in the secondary. Gerald McCoy and Lavonte David lead an above-average run defense, while new additions Darrelle Revis and Dashon Goldson are expected to anchor the pass defense. To beat the favored Bucs, the Jets will not only have to play mistake-free football, but also win a variety of crucial individual matchups.

Here are three one-on-one matchups to watch this Sunday at MetLife Stadium.

Antonio Cromartie vs. Vincent Jackson
With Revis now playing for the opposition, Antonio Cromartie is the unquestioned leader in New York's secondary. Cromartie is coming off a tremendous season, but he will draw an incredibly tough matchup to open the season in Pro Bowl wideout Vincent Jackson.

Jackson is among one of the most dangerous deep threats in the NFL. In his first season in Tampa Bay in 2012, Jackson put up the best season of his career. The 30-year-old formed a terrific rapport with Freeman and recorded 72 receptions, 1,384 yards and eight touchdowns. Jackson also led the league in yards per catch.

While Cromartie is one of the biggest cover corners in the NFL at 6'2", Jackson is an absolute behemoth at 6'5". Cromartie and Jackson possess extremely similar straight-line speeds, with Jackson boasting a 4.46 40-time and Cromartie a 4.47 40-time, respectively.

Jackson is the heart and soul of Tampa Bay's passing attack. If Cromartie can manage to contain the former second-round pick in single coverage, New York's defense can focus in on stopping Martin and the Bucs' rushing game.


Stephen Hill vs. Darrelle Revis
Speaking of Revis, he will also be involved in one of the most critical individual matchups of this Week 1 contest. The Jets' top receiver, Santonio Holmes, is still a major question mark for the season opener. His absence likely means sophomore wideout Stephen Hill will have the formidable task of lining up across from Revis.

Revis, as all Jets fans know, is a year removed from tearing his ACL. Before the injury, the Pittsburgh product was undoubtedly the game's top cover corner. It will be interesting to see if Revis is still the same player he once was.

Hill, on the other hand, is trying to prove he isn't just a freak athlete. The 2012 second-round pick has a rare combination of elite size and top-notch speed, but he has struggled with drops and route-running throughout his young career. Hill has improved his game dramatically this offseason, but he's still too inconsistent for the Jets to be confident with him as the team's No. 1 receiver.

The Georgia Tech product will assuredly have problems separating from Revis, but he does have a few advantages in terms of physical tools. Hill is five inches taller than the Bucs' top corner, and he also possesses better straight-line speed. One big play from Hill could be the difference between a win and loss for the Jets, but just one big play is tough to come by against Revis.


Sheldon Richardson vs. Davin Joseph
It's an age-old saying that the game is won in the trenches. On Sunday, this saying could prove true. The Jets possess one of the most athletic defensive lines in football, while Tampa Bay boasts three Pro Bowlers on their offensive line.

The most important individual matchup up front will assuredly be between rookie defensive tackle/defensive end Sheldon Richardson and Pro Bowl guard Davin Joseph. Richardson, the 13th overall pick in this offseason's draft, has been impressive throughout training camp and the preseason. From rushing the passer to stuffing the run, the Missouri product can seemingly do it all along the defensive line.

However, Richardson will have a tough time making a substantial impact in his NFL debut, as he will likely be matched up against one of the league's top guards in Joseph.

Joseph missed the entire 2012 season with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, but the two-time Pro Bowler is expected to be back playing at an elite level this upcoming season.

For the Jets to stop Pro Bowl running back Martin and create interior pressure on Freeman, they need Richardson to win the battle up front against Joseph.
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09/03/2013 04:00 PM
New York Jets Quarterback Carousel.
The Jets are carrying four quarterbacks heading into Week 1 -- Geno Smith, Mark Sanchez, Matt Simms and newly acquired Brady Quinn. With Sanchez hurt, Smith is likely to start. The question is, how long of a leash do head coach Rex Ryan and offensive coordinator Marty Morninweg give the rookie? If he plays like he did against the New York Giants in the preseason (16-30, 199 yards, 3 INTs, 45.7 QBR), does Simms get the call?

Can the Jets Stop Doug Martin?
Tampa Bay's All-Pro running back returns to action after missing much of the preseason with concussion-like symptoms. He rushed for more than 1,400 yards last season and is facing a Jets unit that ranked 26th in the NFL against the run in 2012. The Jets need to stop Martin to have a chance.

Which New York Jets Running Back Steps Up?
Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell and Green Bay Packers castoff Alex Green will face a Tampa Bay defense that ranked first in rushing defense last season (82.5 YPG). Ivory missed much of the preseason with injuries, while Powell was mostly ineffective as the featured back this preseason. This unit has to be effective to give Smith -- or whoever lines up behind center -- a chance to succeed Sunday.

Can the Jets pressure Josh Freeman?
Losing LB/DE Quinton Couples for the first month (as is being reported) doesn't help the Jets' pass-rush. So it's up to Muhammad Wilkerson and rookie Sheldon Richardson to lead the charge for a unit that ranked 25th in the league last season in sacks. And it won't be easy in Week 1. Tampa Bay ranked 3rd in the NFL in sacks allowed (only 26 allowed last season).

Welcome Home, Darrelle Revis.
If ever there was a team that needed Revis' services (besides the Jets, of course), it is the Buccaneers, who ranked dead-last in passing defense (nearly 300 YPG allowed) in 2012. If the Jets fall behind early and are forced to air it out, Revis might be in for a big day against his former team.
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09/04/2013 04:02 PM
1. Rookie quarterback Geno Smith will make his first NFL start for the Jets.

The Jets decided to draft West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith in the second round of April’s Draft, which was expected due to the incumbent quarterback’s struggles the past few years. A shoulder injury to Mark Sanchez gave Smith the opportunity to become the starter against the Bucs.

Smith had a great senior year for West Virginia. He totaled 42 touchdowns, only six interceptions and 4,205 yards. Succeeding the Jets’ drafting Smith, there was immediate speculation that he would be the team’s starting quarterback for the upcoming season. Ryan announced that it would be an open competition for the starting quarterback job following the Draft.


2. Darrelle Revis’ Homecoming.
The Bucs’ acquisition of Revis from the Jets was considered by NFL experts to be a high-risk, high-reward move. Revis can show the Jets and the NFL that he is back to his vintage self by having a dominant week one performance against his former team.

NFL experts have considered Revis to be one of the best cornerbacks since the Jets drafted him in 2007. Prior to last season, Jets owner Woody Johnson had been hesitant to make Revis one of the highest-paid players in the NFL. Revis’ torn ACL in week two of last season made that decision much easier for Johnson. He pressured newly hired general manager John Idzik to trade Revis because Johnson believed that Revis did not deserve such a high salary.

This led to the trade with the Bucs. Revis has spent this offseason recovering from the torn ACL and he is expected to start week one against the Jets. Following the trade, he did a bold move by signing a contract that had no guaranteed money. This shows that he is determined to prove his critics wrong.

Revis can show that “Revis Island” is back by being so dominant that Smith would be hesitant to throw the football near him on Sunday. The Bucs’ pass defense ranked last in the NFL last season, so it will be interesting to see how much better it is in week one with Revis in the secondary.
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09/05/2013 02:57 PM
In case there were any questions about where Darrelle Revis’ loyalties lie, the elite cornerback said Wednesday he has no problem dishing on the Jets’ defensive tendencies to his new team. Revis will return to MetLife Stadium on Sunday, four-and-a-half months after the Jets dealt him to the Bucs.

“I’ll spill the beans and let (offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan) know what we used to run and let him know what things coach (Rex) Ryan might do,” Revis told reporters in Tampa. “It’s almost like stealing a little bit. That’s what you’ve got to do. You take the information and pass it to the offensive coordinator.”

The coaches won’t be the only ones to benefit from Revis’ in-depth knowledge. “I know these guys,” Revis said. “I played against them every day in practice. I’ve got a bunch of tips on those guys and the good thing about it is I’ve been sharing them with our secondary. . . . We’ll come into this game real comfortable just from the experience I had there and knowing these guys.”

Revis was careful in speaking to the New York media via conference call Wednesday, saying he wasn’t extra motivated for the game because it was against his old team. That being said, Revis the Buc doesn’t miss being Revis the Jet. “No. I’ve moved on,” the cornerback said. “I had a great six years there and now I’ve just got to move on.”

Revis praised rookie Geno Smith, who will start at quarterback for the Jets, after watching film of him. “It looks like he’s a gunslinger, he can throw the ball very well. Seems like he’s very accurate. So I tip my hat off to him for that.”

But Revis also responded to Smith saying that he hadn’t watched any old Jets film to watch the cornerback. “I don’t understand why he didn’t study me because I will be on the opposite side,” Revis said.
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09/06/2013 02:33 PM
Tight end Tom Crabtree will miss the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ season opener against the New York Jets, coach Greg Schiano said Friday.

Crabtree has been out with an ankle injury. He had been projected to share playing time with Luke Stocker. Crabtree’s absence probably means more playing time for Stocker, and Nate Byham likely will be the second tight end.

In other injury news, Schiano still wouldn’t rule out the possibility of guard Carl Nicks, who is recovering from a staph infection, playing against the Jets. But it appears to be a long shot that Nicks will play in the opener. Nicks hasn’t practiced all week.

If Nicks is out, Schiano said the Bucs have plenty of options at left guard. But the coach said reserve tackle Gabe Carimi has gotten most of the first-team work this week

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The New York Jets have tabbed Bilal Powell as their starting running back on their depth chart in week 1. Chris Ivory is listed at No. 2. Ivory has tons more talent, and Powell is worse than the departed Shonn Greene. IT seems like both will start out in a committee that will be fruitless, as the team will fall behind early and often, forcing them to go to the air, where Geno Smith and Mark Sanchez are well-below average. Ivory has a lifetime 5.1 YPC in the NFL in a sample size twice as large as Powell's, but Powell averaged only 3.7 yards per tote on his 123 career carries. Mike Goodson could even enter the picture in passing downs after he serves his 4 game suspension, so he (hypothetically) could see more work than the rest if they're just passing
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09/08/2013 08:27 AM
PICK

I look for the Jets to actually be a bit inspired today with the world (ESPN) trashing them. However they don't have the talent to keep this close and with a rookie starting under center for the Jets, the Bucs will roll.

Bucs -3.5
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