coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
On 09/01/2013 02:22 PM in NFL

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: Preview and Pick

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: Preview and Pick
The Buffalo Bills hope that a recent youth movement will get this team ready to compete in the upcoming season. That will be tested right away in week one as they host the New England Patriots and superstar quarterback Tom Brady.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Odds
As expected the Patriots are anticipated to easily defeat the Bills and therefore there is a double digit spread in this game. When this point spread was originally released the Patriots were listed at less than a touchdown favorite at (-6.5) points. However with recent injuries to the Buffalo Bills and the public pounding the Patriots, this line has jumped up to (-10.5) at several online sportsbooks.

The Buffalo Bills had two possible starting quarterbacks when preseason started and now they are down to a signal caller in Jeff Tuel that they had to call in for tryouts. Veteran Kevin Kolb suffered a concussion that will most likely end his career and rookie EJ Manuel had to be shelved during the preseason for a minor surgery. Manuel looked good in preseason until he got hurt and is not ruled out as a possible starter for this game. Keep an eye on the updates as this game gets closer to kickoff.

Regardless of who is under center, the ball will go through running back CJ Spiller who is one of the most exciting players in football today. Spiller’s ability to run the ball will ultimately test the Patriots defense, but all eyes in New England will be on Brady and the new-look offense.

Wes Welker left for free agency and Aaron Hernandez is in jail. Rob Gronkowski is hurt and the Patriots will be ushering out a young receiving core of undrafted rookies to try and keep this offense on track.

Patriots coach Bill Belichick will make sure that his team is ready for this season and the opener against the Bills.
The football betting trends indicate that the Patriots have dominated this series over the years.

The Patriots are 8-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine meetings in Buffalo, and 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 meetings. The favorite is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 meetings and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. These trends were accumulated by a vastly superior Patriots team against a rebuilding Buffalo team. The Bills hope they have what it takes to be a different team this year that competes for an AFC East championship.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Pick
Since the injury news for the Bills can change the landscape of this game and the point spread, I will wait to post a pick as we get closer to game time!

Cole

  • Last 7 Days Record: 9-4-0
coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/02/2013 03:05 PM

The Buffalo Bills are set to carry just two quarterbacks into their season opener against the New England Patriots. And they're both rookies.

With just EJ Manuel (first round) and Jeff Tuel (undrafted) on their 53-man roster, the Bills would become the first team since at least the 1970 AFL-NFL merger to carry two rookie quarterbacks on their roster, according to Grantland.com's Bill Barnwell.

In his team-by-team previews, Barnwell sees the decision as a calculated risk by the Bills:

In a way, you can't really blame the Bills for taking the high-risk, high-reward route. If Manuel is awful and the Bills go 3-13, Buffalo likely ends up with an extremely high draft pick in what's shaping up to be an excellent NFL draft next year; you can certainly imagine how nice Jadeveon Clowney would look on the Buffalo defensive line next to Marcell Dareus, Kyle Williams, and Mario Williams. Or maybe they end up with Teddy Bridgewater, who profiles as much more of a can't-miss prospect than Manuel. Or, hey, maybe Manuel is good and the Bills find themselves a starting quarterback who will last for four full years as the starter for the first time since Jim Kelly.

It's an all-in approach by the Bills, who have the NFL's second-youngest offensive coordinator (Nathaniel Hackett, who is 33), a first-year head coach (Doug Marrone) and a first-year general manager (Doug Whaley).

Marrone was asked Sunday if he sees any problem in carrying two rookies at quarterback, forgoing an opportunity to bring in an experienced veteran to steady the position. "No, I don’t. I don’t worry about it. ... I think that’s our situation and we feel that we’re going to go into it with the players we feel give us the best chance to win," he said. "I don’t have a problem if someone is a rookie, a veteran, whatever it may be."

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coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/03/2013 04:15 PM

The New England Patriots' secondary has a significant game-plan obstacle to contend with as it prepares to face the Bills on Sunday. At least, according to Buffalo wide receiver Stevie Johnson.

"I don't think they got nobody that can stop me," Johnson said Monday, according to The Buffalo News. "For real.

Johnson -- the Bills' top receiver the past two seasons -- has 29 receptions for 382 yards and four touchdowns in seven career games against New England.

"They're athletic," Johnson said. "I give a lot of credit to the New England Patriots. I haven't played against Aqib Talib yet. I've checked him out on tape, long, athletic, try to play with vision. They play as one unit."

"I got a lot of respect for Chung," Johnson added. "I know him personally."

Even if Johnson gets free from his defender, it will be interesting to see if the QB can get him the ball.

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btb Posts:2244 Followers:160
09/04/2013 12:16 PM

Dont know which way your going on this one but


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coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/04/2013 04:20 PM

Bills first-round pick EJ Manuel practiced on Tuesday and the quarterback is now healthy and ready to go for Week 1. Buffalo head coach Doug Marrone named him the starter for the season opener Sunday against the New England Patriots.

Manuel, the 16th overall selection of the 2013 draft, injured his knee in a preseason game against Minnesota on Aug. 16. After undergoing a minor surgical procedure on his knee the following morning, Manuel missed the team’s final two preseason games.

Jeff Tuel, the undrafted rookie free agent out of Washington State who made headlines by making the Bills’ final 53-man roster, has been competing for the job with Manuel. Veteran free-agent signing Matt Leinart was released on Friday, and offseason acquisition Kevin Kolb was placed on injured reserve last week after his latest concussion




New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski, speaking for the first time publicly since his June back procedure, said Wednesday afternoon that he's improving every day but didn't specify when he'll be ready to return to game action.

"Right now, we just take it day by day and [I'm] improving a lot," he said. "I've been improving since last week, I've been improving since three weeks ago. The only thing I can ask out of myself, the coaches ask out of me, the trainers ask out of me, is just to take it every day at a time and just to improve every day."

"Do I expect to play on Sunday?" Gronkowski said. "I'm preparing every single day to the max of my ability and preparing every day to do the best I can. When my number is called, that's when I'll play."

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coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/05/2013 03:12 PM

When the Buffalo Bills announced quarterback EJ Manuel as their Week 1 starter against the Patriots, it ended over two weeks worth of speculation.

It's been about that long since Manuel had surgery on his left knee on August 18, but head coach Doug Marrone said Manuel is recovering ahead of schedule. Whether he is back to 100 percent, or reasonably close, we'll find out on Sunday. Any lingering effects of the surgery could impact his ability to use his legs to extend plays and/or pick up yards running the ball.

Either way, Patriots head coach Bill Belichick pointed out some of the difficulties in preparing to face a rookie quarterback. "To be honest with you, there isn't a ton of Buffalo film on either one of them," said Belichick of Manuel and rookie backup Jeff Tuel, who would have started if Manuel couldn't play. "We saw them play in college and scouted them both coming out there, but that doesn't really mean as much as what they do in this offense and how they do it. There's not a whole lot of film on either guy."

One look at the Bills preseason tape makes the game plan obvious: get ready to defend a lot of short passes. Manuel attempted 33 total passes in the preseason, and averaged six yards per pass attempt. For context, the NFL average in 2012 was 7.1 YPA.

In addition to sound coverage, the Patriots need to be ready to make a sure tackle. The Bills have a ton of speed at receiver in T.J. Graham (4.41 40-yard dash), Marquise Goodwin (4.27) and Robert Woods (4.51), and can be dangerous with the ball in their hands.

That being said, the Patriots can't afford to ignore the deep pass. Marrone wasn't necessarily in favor of not taking any deep shots with Manuel. "I told [offensive coordinator] Nathaniel [Hackett], 'Let’s just make sure we get some go's. That’s what [Manuel] does best. Throw some deep balls,'" Marrone said. "It was just a matter of the play calls dictating that, not going into the game. I'm surprised that we didn't throw more go's. I think we had some other things that we were working, but I would have liked to have seen more go's."

With Manuel, though, the preparation goes beyond the short and deep throws, and includes his ability to run the ball.

The Patriots need to keep an eye on Manuel's knee, and how comfortable he is on it. Will he be brave enough to run through the heart of the Patriots defense if he sees a hole? Will he be limited in his ability to extend plays in the pocket? Will he step into his throws with strength and confidence?

All legitimate questions, none of which we'll have the answer to until after the first whistle blows on September 8.

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coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/06/2013 02:54 PM


Buffalo Bills rookie quarterback EJ Manuel and his injured knee will be tested by the New England Patriots in his first career start Sunday.

Coach Doug Marrone continues to insist Manuel is fully healthy, according to WGR-AM. Marrone added Friday on WGR-AM that the full playbook is available to Manuel and there won't be "restrictions or limitations" placed on the rookie QB, per the Bills' official Twitter account.

Marrone was brought to Buffalo from Syracuse University in part because his up-tempo offensive style puts pressure on defenses. In his brief preseason performance, Manuel looked to have the athleticism to run the kind of offense Marrone envisioned.

Most rookies take time to digest the entire playbook and have a full grasp of the offense. Marrone's comments show his faith in the work the rookie quarterback put in during film-room sessions while rehabbing. His statement also most likely is a vague generality that will depend on how the game unfolds for Manuel.

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coleryan Posts:13308 Followers:19
09/08/2013 08:21 AM

PICK

I really liked the way that EJ Manuel looked when he did play in the preseason. While I am not ready to call for the outright upset, the Bills have what it takes to keep this close. I love the system that btb posted (see above) and I will take the points and the home team.

Buffalo +9.5

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