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On 08/31/2013 03:12 PM in Cappers

Stephen Nover Week 1 Free NFL Play

Tampa Bay vs. NY Jets, 09/08/2013 13:00
Point Spread: -3/-110 Tampa Bay

Do not get hung up on a 7-9 club laying points on the road. The Buccaneers play in a very strong division and are an improved team with a healthy offensive and defensive line, something they didn't have last year.

Much like the starting pitcher in baseball, quarterback means nearly everything in football. The Jets don't have an NFL starting caliber quarterback. Their wide receivers are well below average and their ground game lacks depth and any kind of star runner. Their defense has regressed.

The Jets aren't going to be able to stay within a field goal of Tampa Bay. Mark Sanchez isn't likely to play because of a shoulder injury. That means rookie Geno Smith probably is going to start. He's not nearly ready yet to be first-string. Sanchez committed a combined 52 turnovers during the last two years. No quarterback has a higher total during the past two seasons.

Tampa Bay was No. 1 against the run last year. The Buccaneers' weakness last year was pass defense caused by an anemic pass rush. Both of those areas have been shored up with the return to health of Tampa Bay's top pass rushing defensive ends and the addition of cornerback Darrelle Revis and safety Dashon Goldson.

The Buccaneers are a legitimate playoff threat. Greg Schiano restored discipline and toughness during his first season last year after the Buccaneers shamelessly quit on Raheem Morris.

Tampa Bay could have the deepest offensive line in football. Josh Freeman ranked in the top 10 in passing yards and is in a contract year. Wide receiver Vincent Jackson and running back Doug Martin are among the elite at their respective positions.

Right now the Buccaneers are floating under-the-radar while the Jets have big problems. I don't see Rex Ryan surviving this season.

The time to play on the Buccaneers is now. I'm putting this game out more than a week ahead of time in order to still be able to lay three. This line is going to go up. So if you like the Buccaneers, get down now.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover has beaten the NFL in 18 of the last 19 years. Nover is one of the premier NFL handicappers in the country. He had a fantastic 2012 season ranking No. 1 hitting 69 percent of his plays going a documented 48-21-5.)

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