Chicago Syndicate Top Plays
NL Game of the Month - Cardinals
Astros/White Sox Under 7.5
Dodgers/Cubs Over 7.5
Wednesday's MLB National League Betting Cheat Sheet
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's National League games:
Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (-225, 8)
Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Edwin Jackson has struggled of late, going 0-2 in his previous four starts while surrendering 20 runs over that stretch.
Hot batting stat: Chicago C Dioner Navarro has seven hits in 15 career-at bats against Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco, with two double and a homer.
Weather: Clear skies are expected with temperatures in the mid-80s. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The Dodgers are 8-1 in their last nine Wednesday games.
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-161, 8)
Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton is enjoying his best stretch of the season, posting four consecutive quality starts while allowing just seven runs over 27 2/3 innings in that span.
Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh 3B Pedro Alvarez is 1-for-5 with three strikeouts in his career against Brewers starter Tom Gorzelanny.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms that will taper off by 8 pm. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The under is 14-3 in Morton's last 17 home starts.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-260, 7)
Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg had one of the worst starts of his career in his last encounter with Miami, lasting just two innings while allowing seven runs on five hits and four walks.
Hot batting stat: Miami slugger Giancarlo Stanton has had the upper hand on Strasburg to date, going 7-for-17 with two homers and five RBIs in his career.
Weather: There is a 35 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s while wind will be calm.
Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Strasburg's last eight Wednesday starts.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (+137, 7.5)
Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels has surrendered a paltry 10 runs over his last six starts, though he's only 1-1 over that stretch.
Cold batting stat: Hamels has dominated Mets OF Lucas Duda, who is just 1-for-13 with seven strikeouts against him.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.
Key betting note: The Mets have lost seven consecutive games against left-handed starters.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-149, 7.5)
Cold pitching stat: Reds right-hander homer Bailey is just 3-9 with a 5.61 ERA in 15 career starts against the Cardinals.
Cold batting stat: Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright is one of the few pitchers to have contained Cincinnati 1B Joey Votto, holding him to three hits in 23 at-bats against him.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.
Key betting note: Cincinnati has lost Bailey's last seven road starts against St. Louis.
San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (-104, 9)
Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Madison Bumgarner was masterful in his last encounter with the Rockies, limiting them to a run on four hits over seven innings of a 5-2 win.
Hot batting stat: San Francisco C Buster Posey has seven hits in 13 career at-bats against Colorado starter Jhoulys Chacin.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.
Key betting note: The Giants have won just twice in their last 14 Wednesday games.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks (-177, 8.5)
Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Wade Miley has surrendered three runs or fewer in 14 of his last 15 starts, and has given up just three home runs in his previous seven outings.
Hot batting stat: Giants SS Everth Cabrera has eight hits - including a triple and a homer - in 14 career at-bats against Miley, and went 2-for-3 with a walk in their last encounter June 15.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in umpire Cory Blaser's last six games behind home plate.
Cleveland Indians at Atlanta Braves (-112, 7.5)
Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Justin Masterson has been strong in back-to-back road starts, allowing four runs over 14 1/3 innings against Oakland and the Los Angeles Angels.
Hot batting stat: Braves OF B.J. Upton is 4-for-10 with a home run and four walks in his career against Masterson.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 5 mph.
Key betting note: Cleveland has won 12 of its last 15 games against a lefty starter.
** Odds, probable starting pitchers, weather forecast and stats as of 1:15 p.m. ET Tuesday.
Wednesday's MLB American League Betting Cheat Sheet
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's American League games:
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners (-153, 7)
Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez allowed five runs over five innings in his last encounter with the Rangers, falling to 12-19 against them in his career.
Hot batting stat: Rangers OF David Murphy is a .329 career hitter with three homers and 16 RBIs in 73 at-bats against Hernandez.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: Seattle is 1-9 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts against teams with winning records.
Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers (-161, 8.5)
Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister is 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and just three home runs allowed in 66 career innings against the Athletics.
Hot batting stat: Detroit OF Torii Hunter, the only Tigers batter to have faced Athletics starter Dan Straily, is 4-for-7 with a pair of solo home runs against him.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.
Key betting note: Detroit has won seven consecutive Wednesday games.
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (+123, 9)
Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda has been dreadful in back-to-back road starts, surrendering 12 runs over 11 2/3 innings in losses to Boston and Tampa Bay.
Hot batting stat: Blue Jays SS Jose Reyes is 7-for-15 with a double and two triples in his career against Kuroda.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The under is 22-5-1 in Kuroda's last 28 road starts.
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-141, 9.5)
Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander John Lackey is 12-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 142 1/3 career innings against the Orioles.
Hot batting stat: Every member of the Boston roster to have faced Orioles starter Bud Norris has at least one hit against him except for OF Jacoby Ellsbury, who is 0-for-4.
Weather: There will be a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms at gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing from right to left field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Lackey's last 11 starts against a team with a winning record.
Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays (-161, 8)
Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer is coming off back-to-back impressive outings, allowing a combined three runs on eight hits in 14 innings against the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.
Hot batting stat: Angels OF Mike Trout will bat better than .300 for a career-best fourth consecutive month.
Key betting note: The under is 11-2 in Tampa Bay's last 13 Wednesday games.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (+122, 8)
Cold pitching stat: Royals left-hander Bruce Chen is coming off consecutive rough outings against Detroit and Washington, surrendering 13 runs over nine innings in that span.
Cold batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 5-for-22 with seven strikeouts in his career against Chen.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 5 mph.
Key betting note: Kansas City is 6-0 in Chen's last six Wednesday starts.
Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox (-205, 7.5)
Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jarred Cosart has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his first seven major-league starts.
Cold batting stat: Members of the Houston roster are a combined 7-for-38 with 16 strikeouts against Chicago starter Chris Sale.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 10 mph.
Key betting note: Chicago is 6-1 in Sale's last seven home starts against a team with a losing record.
** Odds, probable starting pitchers, weather forecast and stats as of 2:25 p.m. ET Tuesday.
Rewards: 3,598 [Donate]
-- Nolasco is 4-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
-- Strasburg is 1-0, 2.81 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 2-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 1-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts. Bailey is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five outings.
-- Chacin is 3-2, 2.29 in his last five starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 2.36 in his last six starts.
-- Masterson is 4-2, 3.04 in his last seven starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two home starts. Perez is 4-0, 3.07 in his last four outings.
-- Fister is 5-1, 2.56 in his last eight starts.
-- Lackey is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple home starts.
-- Richards is 1-1, 0.89 in his last three road starts. Archer is 1-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Cosart is 1-1, 1.80 in seven starts this season.
-- Kansas City won both Duffy starts (1-0, 1.86).
-- Jackson is 0-2, 8.18 in his last four starts.
-- Alvarez is 0-2, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-1, 12.97 in his last couple starts.
-- Matsuzaka allowed five runs in five IP in his first start for the Mets.
-- Giants lost last four Bumgarner starts (0-2, 4.50).
-- Erlin is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts, last of which was July 7.
-- Maholm is 0-3, 9.95 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-3, 5.19 in his last four starts. Toronto lost last four Redmond starts (0-1, 5.89).
-- Straily is 0-4, 6.75 in his last six starts.
-- Norris has a 7.63 RA in his last three starts, but Baltimore won all five of his starts (3-0, 5.08).
-- Albers is 0-1, 7.11 in his last two starts.
-- Sale is 3-4, 4.13 in his last seven starts.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Jackson 9-26; Nolasco 7-26
-- Alvarez 1-9; Strasburg 6-25
-- Gorzelanny 3-9; Morton 2-13
-- Hamels 4-27 (1 of last 17); Matsuzaka 1-1
-- Bailey 3-26 (0 of last 8); Wainwright 7-27 (3 of last 7)
-- Bumgarner 3-26 (0 of last 6); Chacin 2-25 (0 of last 20)
-- Erlin 2-4; Miley 8-26 (4 of last 8)
-- Masterson 5-27; Maholm 6-21 (3 of last 5
-- Perez 6-13; Hernandez 4-27 (1 of last 14)
-- Straily 5-21; Fister 6-27 (1 of last 8)
-- Kuroda 6-26 (0 of last 9); Redmond 2-8
-- Norris 10-24 (3 of last 3); Lackey 9-23 (3 of last 6)
-- Richards 1-10; Archer 5-16 (3 of last 4)
-- Duffy 1-2; Albers 1-4
-- Cosart 2-7; Sale 8-25
-- Five of last six Washington games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Philadelphia games.
-- Last four Bailey starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Colorado games.
-- Four of last six San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Under is 15-5-2 in last 22 Dodger home games.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Oakland games went over the total.
-- 12 of last 16 Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Nine of last 12 White Sox games stayed under the total; eight of last eleven Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Seattle home games.
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Brewers are 8-4 in their last twelve road games.
-- St Louis won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Colorado won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last ten home games.
-- Dodgers are 47-13 in last 60 games, 5-5 in last ten.
-- Atlanta won five of its last six home games. Indians won five of their last seven games overall.
-- Oakland won three of its last four games.
-- Angels won last four games, outscoring foes 20-7.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last 11 games. Houston won three of last five.
-- Kansas City won its last three games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Texas won 21 of its last 27 games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last six games.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last sixteen games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine road games.
-- San Diego lost four of its last five road games.
-- Cubs lost 16 of their last 23 games.
-- Tigers lost four of their last five home games.
-- Rays lost their last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Orioles lost last four road games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Blue Jays lost 12 of their last 19 games. Bronx lost three of last five.
-- Mariners lost their last five games, outscored 26-8.
-- Twins lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Chi-LA-- 14 of last 16 Danley games stayed under total.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Four of last five Barry games went over total.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Davis games.
-- Phil-NY-- 11 of last 15 Hernandez games went over total.
-- Cin-StL-- Underdogs are 11-8 in last 19 TWelke games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind the plate.
-- SF-Col-- Seven of last eight Cooper games stayed under total.
-- SD-Az-- Three of last four Blaser games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Atl-- Last nine Joyce games stayed under the total.
-- Tex-Sea-- 10 of last 15 Scott games stayed under the total.
-- A's-Det-- Favorites won last seven Darling games, with four of last five going over the total.
-- NY-Tor-- Five of last six Wolcott games went over the total.
-- Balt-Bos-- Six of last seven Hudson games went over the total.
-- LA-TB-- Nine of last twelve Diaz games went over the total.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 12-6 in last 18 Wendelstedt games, with underdogs winning four of his last five games behind the plate.
-- Hst-Chi-- Underdogs won five of last six Culbreth games; under is 3-1-1 in his last five games behind the plate.
Free Pick on Detroit Tigers
Detroit does not have a lot of problems scoring runs. The Tigers have scored six runs per game with a .338 batting average over their past seven games. They face an Oakland team that is batting .249 and scoring 4.1 runs per game over their past seven games. The Tigers will also have a big advantage at the starting pitcher matchup when Daniel Straily and Doug Fister face off.
Fister has been lethal at home for the Tigers, posting a 7-3 record in 12 starts. He has a 3.11 ERA and a 1.210 WHIP in those games. Detroit is 8-4 as a team in those 12 games. Oakland has not been as successful when Straily is on the mound. In his 12 road starts, Straily is 3-3 with a 4.70 ERA. He is trending in the wrong direction, posting a 5.51 ERA and 0-1 record in his last three starts.
Take: (963) SAN DIEGO PADRES
Reason: The Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter and face southpaw Wade Miley, a guy they have smoked this year: He is 0-3 with a 7.36 ERA in three starts against the Padres this season. The Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. the National League West. The Padres are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Miley's last six starts against the Padres, so grab the live dog. Play the Padres. Submit
NICK "BOOKIE KILLER" PARSONS
1* free play "over" Orioles/Red Sox.
I am a "situational" handicapper by heart. When it comes to baseball, starting pitching is also one of the main factors I'll take into consideration.
Bud Norris (9-10, 4.22 ERA)
Norris was shelled for seven runs off nine hits with three walks over just 4 2/3's innings of work in a fortunate no-decision vs. the A's on Friday.
Norris has now given up a ghastly 11 earned runs over his last 10 1/3's frames of work. Note that he's already had difficulties vs. the Red Sox as well this year, giving up five runs over six innings back on April 28th as a member of the Astros.
Norris owns a poor 3-6, 5.33 ERA road record.
John Lackey (8-11, 3.17 ERA)
Lackey gave up two runs off three hits with no walks while striking out six over eight innings in a 2-0 setback to the Dodgers on Friday.
The Red Sox veteran has for the most part been pretty sharp this season, but he's struggled in two starts vs. the Orioles in 2013, going 1-1 with a pedestrian 4.73 ERA.
Note that Lackey is just 3-8 with a 3.33 ERA in all "night games" this year.
The bottom line: Two explosive lineups vs. a confirmed "gas can" in Norris and an inconsistent Lackey = runs scored in bunches. Consider a second look at the "over" in this one.
Play On: Cleveland w/Masterson vs Maholm
When the Indians send staff ace Justin Masterson to the mound against journeyman Paul Maholm Wednesday night in Atlanta, the Tribe will do so knowing Masterson is 7-2 against left-handers and 2-0 versus NL Central foes in his team starts this season.
With Maholm 0-4 with a 9.38 ERA his last four team starts, look for more of the same this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on Cleveland.
Back with more later on today.