marksmoneymakers Posts:13323 Followers:140
08/16/2013 09:13 AM

FREDDY WILLS

Tigers -155 2.5* FREE PLAY

Justin Verlander has had a weird season highlighted by control problems, but he's posted a 2.57 ERA over his last three starts and 2 of those came on 5 days rest which means he's plenty rested for this day start on Thursday. Verlander has actually flat out dominated during day starts this season posting a 2.46 ERA this season and looking back further he has a 2.41 ERA over the last three years. He's pitched well on 4 days rest with 12 of 14 quality starts and has a 2.77 ERA at home on 4 days rest. Tigers are 40-16 in his last 56 overall on 4 days rest. He's had plenty of success dominating the Royals too especially at home where he posts a 1.74 ERA since 2011.

Royals on the other hand start Danny Duffy who had a 5 IP and 5 ER performance in his only start at Detroit. Duffy has not been very good int he minors over 9 AAA starts he is walking 4.13 guys per 9 and that is just not going to cut it on the road against the Tigers who are scoring 5.85 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home. These are great for the Tigers if you can grab these odds early as they are 39-12 in their last 51 as a favorite -151-200.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13323 Followers:140
08/16/2013 09:13 AM

JIM FEIST

Take: (979) HOUSTON ASTROS

Reason: So who is playing better baseball the last 3 nights? That would be underdog Houston. This is a tough situational spot for the Angels, playing yesterday on the East Coast at Yankee stadium, flying 3,000 miles and having to play tonight. And this underachieving group has had all kinds of problems, worst in baseball in fielding and struggling on the mound. Starter Jerome Williams (5-8, 4.85 ERA) is no ace and is 1-3 against Houston. The Angels are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 2-10 in Williams' last 12 home starts. And the Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Play the Astros.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13323 Followers:140
08/16/2013 09:14 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

DBacks - Pirates over 7.5

Twins -130