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Cnotes CFL Best Bets 10/14-16/11 !

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On 10/14/2011 06:23 PM in NFL
CFL
Dunkel


Week 16

Calgary at Toronto
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games in Toronto. Toronto is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 291-292: Calgary at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.071; Toronto 107.325
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 114.453; Edmonton 115.615
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 295-296: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 107.335; Montreal 118.728
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 11 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Over

Game 297-298: BC at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 120.075; Saskatchewan 107.646
Dunkel Line: BC by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BC by 8; 48
Dunkel Pick: BC (-8); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 16

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Friday, October 14

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CALGARY (8 - 6) at TORONTO (3 - 10) - 10/14/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 15

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WINNIPEG (9 - 5) at EDMONTON (7 - 6) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 16

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HAMILTON (7 - 7) at MONTREAL (8 - 5) - 10/16/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (8 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 9) - 10/16/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 102-65 ATS (+30.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-5 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 16

Calgary (8-6) @ Toronto (3-11)—Argos started season by upsetting Stamps 23-21 (+7.5) in Alberta, but its been all downhill since; they’ve lost five of last six games, are 2-4 at home, 1-2 as home dog, with home losses by 9-13-13-15 points. Stamps lost three of last four games; they’ve allowed 31+ points in four of last six games. Calgary is 5-2 on road, but allowed 88 points in losing last two- they’re 6-5 as favorites, 3-1 on road. Six of last seven Toronto games stayed under the total; six of last nine Calgary games went over, including three of last four on road.

Winnipeg (9-5) @ Edmonton (8-6)— Bombers are 2-4 since starting season 6-1; they’re 8-0 vs spread as underdogs this season, 5-0 on road, with only road losses 27-7 in Regina, 25-24 in Toronto (the two worst teams in CFL). Eskimos (-1) were 5-0 when they went to Manitoba and lost 28-16 in Week 6, starting them on current 3-6 slide; they’ve lost three of last four home games, and are 3-3 as favorites this year, 3-2 at home. Under is 5-2 in both Winnipeg road games and Eskimo home games this season. Edmonton is 2-4 if they score 24 or less points, 6-0 if they score more.

Hamilton (8-6) @ Montreal (9-5)—Home side won all three series meetings this year; TiCats won 34-26 (+3.5) in Week 5, 44-21 (+2.5) six weeks later, then lost 43-13 (+5) a week later. Hamilton is 3-4 on road, 3-3 as road dog, losing away games by 18-12-3-30 points. Montreal scored 34-32-29 points in winning last three games; they’re 3-4 as home favorites (5-2 SU), with home wins by 4-23-23-30-10 points. Alouettes covered just two of their last seven games overall. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Hamilton games, 0-5 in Montreal’s last five games at home.

BCLions (8-6) @ Saskatchewan (4-10)—Red-hot Lions won last seven games after 1-6 start, winning last four road games, all by 13+ points; they’re 4-4 as favorites this season, 1-0 on road. Roughriders (+3) lost 24-11 at BC in Week 6, then 42-5 (-1.5) here three weeks ago, game that started Riders on skid where they’ve been outscored 99-9 the last three weeks. Saskatchewan is 2-5 at home, with four losses by 10+ points; they’re 3-8 as underdogs this season, 1-3 as home dogs. Under is 10-2 in last dozen Roughrider games, 7-3 in Lions’ last ten (1-3 in last four).




CFL


Week 16

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 14

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Calgary


Saturday, October 15

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton9-1-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


Sunday, October 16

1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Hamilton

4:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 10 games
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
Saskatchewan is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games


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CFL


Week 16

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 16 odds and picks
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Calgary Stampeders at Toronto Argonauts (+6, 52.5)

The Argos are now officially out of the playoff picture, so from now on it’s every man for himself in Toronto’s dressing room with each player having to prove he belongs on the team.

The acquisition of receiver Maurice Mann from the Tiger-Cats can only benefit QB Steven Jyles, who couldn’t rely on his wideouts since taking over Cleo Lemon’s job. Mann and Jyles know each other well having played with one another in Edmonton, but the Argonauts need a lot before becoming anything close to a respectable team.

Also keep in mind that they will host the Stampeders only four days after losing in Montreal. The Stampeders are going to Toronto needing a win to stay in contention for first place in the west where they are in the thick of a three way-tie. Calgary is 5-2 on the road and should leave Toronto with another road win.

Pick: Calgary


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Edmonton Eskimos (-2.5, 49)

The Blue Bombers need a win here to secure at least a home game in the playoffs, while Edmonton is battling for first place in its division. The Bombers will benefit from two extra days of rest and preparation with Edmonton coming off a short week. It could make a difference.

Winnipeg’s running game is coming around with the emergence of running back Chris Garrett, who picked up 131 yards in last week’s victory against Hamilton.
However, the Bombers will probably have play the Eskimos without DE Kenny Mainor following a death in his family. Fernand Kashama and Jason Vega will be taking turns replacing him.

Edmonton’s Jerome Messam picked up Canadian Player of the Week honors with 118 rushing yards and a touchdown against Saskatchewan on Monday but that didn’t stop the Eskimos from trading for RB Hugh Charles. The club hopes Charles will be a perfect complement to what Messam and Calvin McCarthy bring to the table.

Pick: Edmonton


Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-7.5, 56)

The Alouettes are in first place tie with the Blue Bombers, and a win would secure at least a playoff home game in Montreal.

The secondary of the Tiger Cats is once again depleted by injuries. Jason Shivers, Milt Collins and Carlos Thomas are all doubtful for this game. That means newly-acquired CB Dee Webb might have to move to the half-back position on the short side, where he will have the mission to contain SB Jamal Richardson. That is far from an ideal scenario for Tiger-Cats defensive coordinator Corey Chamblin.

On offense, Hamilton goes as well or as bad as Kevin Glenn goes. Glenn’s QB rating has been of 118.3 in his seven wins but is only 69.2 in seven losses. So it’s not surprising to hear head coach Marcel Bellefeuille warn that while Glenn is still his number one QB, we’ll see more of Quinton Porter in the upcoming weeks.

Pick: Montreal


B.C. Lions at Saskatchewan Roughriders (+8.5, 48)

Darian Durant is dinged up and we saw last week that neither Ryan Dinwiddie nor Cole Berquist has the right stuff to replace him anytime soon. Despite a broken bone on his left foot, Durant vows he will be starting this week and through the remainder of this season.

The Roughriders have not scored an offensive touchdown in more than three games and the club’s offensive line has to take a lot of the blame. Saskatchewan’s quarterbacks have been sacked twice and picked off three times in the last two games.

The Lions’ offense is hitting on all cylinders with Travis Lulay improving each week while the defense remains solid. The only concern comes with special teams. That unit conceded 299 yards to Calgary last week.

Last time the Lions and the Riders squared off, B.C. easily won 42-5. Besides the support of the loudest fans in the league, the Riders might face another humbling outcome this time around.

Pick: B.C.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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Pfile Nickname cnotes
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10/14/2011 06:24 PM
Friday, October 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 7:30 PM ET Toronto +6 500

Toronto - Over 52.5 500


Saturday, October 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 7:00 PM ET Winnipeg +2.5 500

Edmonton - Under 49 500


Sunday, October 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Hamilton - 1:00 PM ET Montreal -6.5 500

Montreal - Over 56 500

BC Lions - 4:00 PM ET BC Lions -8 500

Saskatchewan - Under 48 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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