Joe Gavazzi Monday MLB (looking for Kelso 100*, Burns, Ness and Big Al. Will post if/when I see them)
Texas (Perez) (-110) at LAA (Williams) 10:05 ET
3% Texas (-110)
By game time tonight, the Rangers should know whether Cruz is being suspended and if he will appeal. We make this play regardless of that decision. Texas has beaten LAA in 7/9 series meetings this year. That is a microcosm of why the Rangers lead the Angels by 10 games and why the Angels will not be a factor in the division race. Recent form indicates that LAA is 7-13 of late while Texas has begun their late season surge to catch Oakland with a 6-1 recent record. The pitching records of tonight’s mound opponents are similar. Each has an ERA of 6.00 or higher road and home respectively and each have pitched a return to form game when they matched up against each other last Wednesday night. Texas had lost 3 straight starts by Perez in which he allowed 16 runs in 15 IP. But last Wednesday against LLA, he allowed just 1 run in 7 1/3 IP. Williams had gone 0-5 with a 8.90 ERA since mid June. Last Wednesday he allowed 1 run on 8 hits an 7 2/3 IP v. Texas. With no clear edge in the starting pitching matchup, we take the better team who is the hotter team with the better bullpen in a win situation.
Atlanta (Minor) at Washington (Strasburg) (-115) 7:05 ET
4% Atlanta (Minor) (+105)
The Atlanta current 10 game winning streak during which they averaged 6.6 RPG has coincided with an 8-15 slide by Washington to result in a 12 ½ game division lead for the Braves. That puts all the pressure on Washington in this critical early August series. Strasburg has pitched well at home with a 1.68 ERA but the Achilles Heel of the NATS has been lack of timely hitting that has led to Washington winning 4/11 Strasburg home starts. The pressure has gotten to the Washington Ace resulting in a record of 0-3 with a 5.08 ERA L4 starts. No such problems for emerging Ace Minor. Minor is 11-5 with a 2.75 ERA for the season. On the road, Atlanta has won 7/10 Minor starts in which he has a 2.47 ERA, and in his last 5 starts, Minor is 3-1 with a 1.53 ERA. We take clearly the superior team as Underdog
Minnesota (Correia) at KC (Guthrie) (-155) 8:10 ET
4% KC (-155)
Not impressed by the 3-0 weekend sweep of a Houston team that is on a 7-27 slide by Minnesota. Now they send Correia to the mound who has seen the Twins win just 3/10 of his road starts in which he has authored a 6.11 ERA with 1.68 WHIP. Far prefer to ride our recent meal ticket in KC. The Royals enter tonight on an 11-1 run. Guthrie has returned to good form in going 3-0 and allowing just 3 runs in 12 IP of his last 2 starts. The Royals have won 8/10 home starts by Guthrie and his recent resume is rounded out by a record of 3-1 with 3.24 ERA against Minnesota.
Toronto (Dickey) at Seattle (Iwakuma) (-125) 10:10 E)
4% Seattle (-125)
I acknowledge that Dickey has pitched better on the road where he has a 3.28 ERA. Yet he has a poor history against Seattle with a 10.03 ERA in a pair of starts. An 11-0 surge by the Blue Jays in June gave the appearance this team would reach its potential but they enter tonight on a 13-24 slide with no hope of reaching the playoffs. Seattle had no such aspirations and actually has a winning record on this field where they have won the last 3 meetings against Toronto as part of a 7-2 series record. After hitting a brief speed bump, Iwakuma has returned to form going 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last 4 starts. Seattle has won 9/12 Iwakuma home where he has a 2.49 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. In a pair of starts vs. Toronto this season, Iwakuma has 1.20 ERA.