marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
On 07/29/2013 05:18 AM in MLB

Some Monday MLB Helpful Information

Monday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet & Tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-140, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Cards starter Jake Westbrook went six strong innings in his last start against the Pirates on April 17. He gave up six hits but K'd six and did not allow a run.

Cold batting stat: Pirates star OF Andrew McCutcheon is batting .188 (3-for-16) against the Cardinals this season. It is his worst average against any team in the majors this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s and skies will be mostly sunny at gametime. Wind will blow out to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 1-8 in Westbrook's last nine road starts versus a team with a winning record.

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-145, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Braves pitcher Brandon Beachy is scheduled to make his first appearance of the season Monday. He made one start against the Rockies at Turner Field in 2012, lasting 6 1/3 innings and allowing two ER en route to a 7-2 victory.

Hot batting stat: With a home run Sunday, Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki has now homered in back-to-back games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Rockies are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins (-115, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mets starter Jeremy Hefner is 0-2 with an 18.47 ERA over his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Marlins star OF Giancarlo Stanton continues his torrid pace at the dish. Stanton is 9-for-13 (.692) over his last four games. He has four doubles and two homers over that span.

Weather: The roof could be closed in Miami due to a 20 percent chance of rain by gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-90s and wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Miami.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (-120, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs starter Jeff Samardzija took the loss in his only 2013 start against the Brewers on April 19. He lasted seven innings, giving up five runs on six hits en route to the 5-4 loss.

Hot batting stat: Cubs OF David DeJesus is a career .462 hitter (12-for-26) against Brewers scheduled starter Kyle Lohse. He has a double, triple, homer and four RBIs versus the veteran righty.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Brewers are 7-23 in their last 30 versus the National League Central.

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres (+130, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds starter Mike Leake is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: The Reds were 4-for-26 with runners in scoring position in their four-game series versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. They dropped three of the four games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies and 10 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow in from left field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds are 8-1 in Leake's last nine road starts.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers and weather forecasts as of 7:32 p.m. ET.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:19 AM

Monday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet & Tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (+105, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays ace David Price is 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA in his five starts since returning from the DL. He has three complete games in that span.

Cold batting stat: Sox DH David Ortiz is 7-for-31 (.226) with no homers and seven strikeouts in his career versus the lefty Price.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 7 mph

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings.

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-129, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers starter Matt Garza went 7 1/3 strong innings while giving up one run (unearned) on five hits in a 3-1 victory over the New York Yankees in his Rangers debut on July 24.

Hot batting stat: Rangers SS Elvis Andrus is 23-for-62 (.371) with four doubles, two homers and five RBIs in his career versus Angels starter Jered Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Texas.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-150, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Indians starter Zach McAllister is 0-3 with a 6.14 over his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: White Sox OF Alex Rios is 4-for-31 (.129) this season versus the Indians. It is his lowest batting average against any American League club.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies and 10 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-0-3 in Sox SP John Danks' last 12 starts versus the American League Central.

Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland A's (-162, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: A's starter A.J. Griffin has given up five homers in his last two starts (11 1/3 innings). He is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA over those two starts. Griffin has given up eight dingers in his five July starts.

Hot batting stat: Jays OF Colby Rasmus continued his scorching-hot July with the game-winning RBI in Sunday's 2-1 victory over the Houston Astros. Rasmus is hitting .375 with 11 doubles, three homers and 13 RBIs in the month.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 11-2 in Griffin's last 13 starts as a home favorite.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers and weather forecasts as of 7:27 p.m. ET.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:19 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Liriano is 5-1, 1.99 in his last six starts. Westbrook is 3-1, 2.96 in his last four outings.
-- Turner is 2-3, 2.70 in his last six starts.
-- de la Rosa is 3-1, 1.96 in his last seven starts.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 0.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Leake is 3-0, 2.70 in his last three starts; Reds won eight of his last nine road starts. .

-- Garza is 6-0, 1.64 in his last six starts. Angels won five of last six Weaver starts (4-1, 1.33).
-- Price is 4-1, 1.76 in five starts since coming off the DL. Doubront is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Oakland won Griffin's last three home starts (2-0, 2.78). Rogers is 1-1, 1.91 in his five road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hefner lost his last two starts, allowing 14 runs in 6.1 IP.
-- Beachy is making first '13 start; he is 12-10, 3.07 in 41 career starts (5-5, 2.00 in 13 starts LY)- he was 1-4, 3.00 in seven AAA rehab starts.
-- Samardzija is 1-2, 7.23 in his last four starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 0-2, 3.97 in two starts for San Diego.

-- Danks is 0-3, 5.60 in his last four starts. McAllister is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three outings.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Westbrook 4-14; Liriano 3-14
-- Hefner 8-20; Turner 1-10
-- de la Rosa 4-21; Beachy 0-0
-- Lohse 7-21; Samardzija 6-21
-- Leake 4-20; O'Sullivan 0-2

-- Danks 5-12 (3 of last 4); McAllister 5-12 (3 of last 3)
-- Weaver 2-13; Garza 0-12
-- Rogers 2-10; Griffin 2-21
-- Price 5-14; Doubront 4-18

Totals
-- Six of last seven St Louis games stayed under total.
-- 11 of last 12 Marlin games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road games stayed under.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over the total; six of last eight Cub games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincinnati games.

-- Seven of last nine Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last seven Texas games.
-- Five of last seven Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won four of their last five games.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.
-- San Diego won five of its last seven games.

-- Rays won 21 of their last 25 games; Boston won 13 of last 18 home games.
-- Indians won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- A's won 12 of their last 16 home games. Toronto won three of its last four games overall.

Cold teams
-- Mets lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cardinals lost their last two games, scoring one run. Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Colorado is 1-9 in game following its last ten wins.
-- Brewers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Reds lost their last three games, scoring two runs total.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost last four games (shut out three times); Angels lost six of their last eight games.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:20 AM

JOE WIZ

Monday....Play Under 8 runs Oakland and Toronto

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:20 AM

ROB VINCILETTI

On Monday the MLB Free Play is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Boston game. Rotation numbers 967/968 at 6;10 eastern. This is a one game affair here tonight as Both teams are burning a day off to get this one in. This game is also a rematch between these two Pitchers Doubront for Boston and Price for Tampa as both pitched here in their last start and the game went under. In the series 13 straight between these two here have played under and our system is to take the under for all road teams like Tampa that are off a road favored loss where they scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent who was a road favorite Like Boston that scored 2 or more runs. These games have gone under 9 times with 2 pushes the past few years. Boston has played under in 9 of 11 of late vs winning teams and 14 of 22 this month they were hitting just .219 over the past week heading into Sundays game. Tampa has played under in 6 of their last 8. Price for Tampa has a decent 3.33 road era and Doubront for Boston has a 2.92 home era. So we will back the under here tonight.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:20 AM

ART ARONSON

This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday night (7:05 EST).

Jake Westbrook (7-4, 2.95 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Westbrook and the Cards hammered the Phillies 11-3 on Wednesday. Westbrook gave up three earned runs off nine hits over seven strong innings while striking out two and walking no one. He takes his very respectable 6-2, 3.14 ERA "night game" record into Pittsburgh to throw opposite Francisco Liriano (10-4, 2.23 ERA) who went 7 2/3's scoreless frames in a 4-2 win over the Nationals on Wednesday, scattering two hits with three walks while striking out eight in the commanding performance. Liriano will now be looking to improve upon his near perfect 5-1, 1.67 ERA home record. While four of these teams first five games vs. each other in 2013 have flown above the posted number, I feel that trend gets bucked tonight as these two confirmed studs battle each other into the latter frames, the total ultimately sneaking below the posted number in the end; consider a second look at the "under" in this one.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:20 AM

MARC LAWRENCE

Play On: San Diego Padres vs Leake

The Reds and Padres open a three-games series in San Diego Monday evening where Mike Leake matches serves with Sean O'Sullivan.
Leake toes the rubber off a phony 'inside-out' win in his most recent start in which he lasted 6 innings while allowing 12 hits and 2 walks in an 8-3 win as San Francisco this past Wednesday. Meanwhile, O'Sullivan will look to maintain his spot in the starting lineup knowing he has cashed two of his three career home team starts during July. Look for a gritty effort by O'Sullivan and the Padres here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on San Diego.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 05:21 AM

Back with more after work.

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 04:16 PM

Baseball Crusher

Miami Marlins -115 over New York Mets

marksmoneymakers Posts:13267 Followers:140
07/29/2013 04:17 PM

Today's MLB Picks
Cincinnati at San Diego

The Padres look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. San Diego is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 29
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.220; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.869
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Under

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.585; Miami (Turner) 14.492
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 955-956: Colorado at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.311; Atlanta (Beachy) 14.206
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.274; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.634
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); N/A

Game 959-960: Cincinnati at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.284; San Diego (O'Sullivan) 16.384
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Under

Game 961-962: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.655; Cleveland (McAllister) 17.224
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-170); Over

Game 963-964: LA Angels at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.377; Texas (Garza) 14.016
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under

Game 965-966: Toronto at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.502; Oakland (Griffin) 15.905
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Over

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Boston (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.886; Boston (Doubront) 15.353
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under