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steve_janus
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TUESDAY'S MLB FREE PICK ---Atlanta Braves -130---

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On 07/23/2013 11:14 AM in Cappers
Atlanta vs. NY Mets, 07/23/2013 19:10
Money Line: -130 Atlanta

TUESDAY'S MLB FREE PICK ---Atlanta Braves -130---

Atlanta's Kris Medlen has not had the kind of season everyone expected, as he's just 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA over 19 starts, but I'm confident he will rebound from two shaky starts vs the Phillies and Reds with a dominant performance tonight at New York. Some pitchers for whatever reason dominate certain opponents and for Medlen he's owned the Mets, going 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 7 starts (all Atlanta wins). In another key is Medlen has a very respectable 2.85 ERA in night games this season. In fact, he's 29-8 over his last 37 starts at night and a dominate 19-3 over his last 22 starts vs division opponents. As you can see, there is clearly some value here on Atlanta.

The Mets will counter with Carlos Torres, who pitched very well in his first start of 2013, limiting the Pirates to just 1 run on 5 hits over 5 innings. Not to take anything away from Torres, but the Pirates aren't exactly hitting the cover off the baseball this season. I expect him to have a lot more trouble against a potent Atlanta offense. The other thing is that Torres hasn't been stretched out enough to go deep into the game, which should allow the Braves to add on some runs late against a Mets bullpen that has a 4.17 ERA and 1.342 WHIP at home (4.04 ERA and 1.367 WHIP overall). BET THE BRAVES!

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