marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
On 07/23/2013 06:15 AM in MLB

Some Tuesday MLB Helpful Information

Tuesday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet & Tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Tuesday's National League games:

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants (OFF, OFF) (Game 1)

Cold pitching stat: Reds starter Greg Reynolds will make his first start since 2011 as a member of the Colorado Rockies.

Cold batting stat: Reds slugger Joey Votto has just two homers in 20 career games at San Fran's AT&T Park.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-60s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds are 4-12 in their last 16 opening games of a double-header.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals (-105, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Since winning his first four starts, Pirates starter Gerrit Cole has lost his last three heading into Tuesday.

Cold batting stat: Pirates slugger Pedro Alvarez was 0-for-8 with three strikeouts this season against Washington heading into Monday's game.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 Tuesday games.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (+120, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Braves SP Kris Medlen is 1-0 in two starts versus the Mets this season. He has 16 strikeouts in 13 innings against the Mets - the most K's against any team he's pitched against this season.

Cold batting stat: The Braves roster hits a collective .136 (22 at-bats) against Mets starter Carlos Torres.

Weather: There is a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s and wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves are 9-1 in Medlen's last 10 Tuesday starts.

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-129, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Tyson Ross is slated to start for the Padres. He has not started since April 17 but limited the Dodgers to one run in 4 2/3 innings of work in that last outing.

Cold batting stat: Milwaukee's Ryan Braun was handed a season-ending suspension Monday.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Padres are 3-14 in their last 17 games versus a right-handed starter.

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals (-182, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies starter Jonathan Pettibone is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his three starts in July.

Cold batting stat: Prior to Monday's game, the Cardinals were one of just four NL teams that Phils slugger Domonic Brown had not homered against this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 4-0 in SP Shelby Miller's last four home starts versus a team with a losing record.

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies (-139, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins starter Jose Fernandez boasts an ERA of 1.80 and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings in July.

Cold batting stat: Marlins star Giancarlo Stanton is just 1-for-6 with three strikeouts versus Rockies starter Jhoulys Chacin.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Marlins are 4-0 in Fernandez's last four starts versus a team with a losing record.

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs starter Travis Wood is tied with the Cards' Adam Wainwright and Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw for the NL lead in quality starts with 17.

Hot batting stat: Prior to Monday's game, the Cubbies had swatted 20 dingers in July.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-100s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The Diamondbacks are 19-2 in SP Patrick Corbin's last 21 starts following a quality start in his last appearance.

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds (OFF, OFF) (Game 2)

Cold pitching stat: The Giants have lost seven of Barry Zito's last eight starts. Zito owns a 7.50 ERA in three July starts.

Hot batting stat: Reds 2B Brandon Phillips is 8-for-20 (.400) with three doubles and six walks in his career versus Zito.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-60s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Giants are 5-2 in their last seven second games of a double-header.

NOTE: The second game of the Reds/Giants double header is the result of the July 4 game that was postponed due to rain. The Reds will bat last in Game 2 but, for statistical purposes, the Giants are the home team for both games.

** Odds, probable pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 9:00 p.m. ET.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:16 AM

Tuesday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet & Tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Tuesday's American League games:

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (-152, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Sox starter Jon Lester owns a 6.35 ERA while suffering consecutive losses in his previous two starts.

Hot batting stat: Sox DH David Ortiz is 9-for-22 (.409) lifetime versus Rays starter Roberto Hernandez.

Weather: There is a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the high-70s and wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Hernandez's last four road starts.

New York Yankees at Texas Rangers (-165, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers starter Alexi Ogando will make his first start since June 5. The Rangers had won his last four starts prior to being placed on the DL.

Cold batting stat: Rangers slugger Adrian Beltre is 3-for-18 (.167) with six strikeouts in his career versus Yanks scheduled-starter Phil Hughes.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Ogando's last 11 starts overall.

Oakland A's at Houston Astros (+154, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: While not factoring in the decisions himself, the A's have lost SP Jarrod Parker's last four starts overall.

Cold batting stat: This will be the first time the 'Stros face Parker and the first time the A's face Houston starter Jarred Cosart.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 7-3 in Parker's last 10 starts versus the American League West.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (+116, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers starter Rick Porcello is fresh off a victory over the Pale Hose on July 10. He held the Sox to three runs on seven hits over six innings.

Cold batting stat: Sox SS Alexei Ramirez is 5-for-33 (.152) in his career versus Porcello.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 1-6 in SP Hector Santiago's last seven home starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals (-105, 9)

Cold pitching stat: O's starter Jason Hammel was roughed up his last time out. Hammel surrendered 10 hits and six earned runs en route to a 7-3 loss to the Blue Jays on July 13.

Hot batting stat: Orioles slugger Adam Jones has six hits - including one homer and five RBIs - in 16 at-bats in his career versus Royals starter Bruce Chen.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s and wind will blow in from left field at 15 mph.

Key betting note: The Orioles are 0-4 in Hammel's last four starts versus a team with a losing record.

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels (-171, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tommy Hanson will get the nod for the Angles and it will be his first start since coming off the DL. In his last outing, he gave up seven ER and six hits in two innings of work against the Seattle Mariners on June 20.

Cold batting stat: Twins OF Josh Willingham is 1-for-12 (.083) in his career versus Hanson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Angels score an average of 4.09 runs per game and give up 3.64 runs per game when wind blows out to right field.

Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners (+102, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Zach McAllister is slated to start for Cleveland. He limited the Mariners to two runs on six hits in 7 1/3 innings of work as the Indians triumphed 5-4 on May 18.

Cold batting stat: In that same game, Kyle Seager and Michael Morse both finished 0-for-4 against the combination of McAllister and the Tribe pen.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the high-70s. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Mariners are 1-4 in SP Erasmo Ramirez's last five home starts.

Interleague

Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays (-110, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers starter Chris Capuano has not given up an earned run in three of his previous five starts.

Hot batting stat: Collectively, the Blue Jays roster has hit .296 versus Capuano.

Weather: The roof may be closed in Toronto due to a 30 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow in from left field at 15 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in Capuano's last five interleague starts.

** Odds, probable pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 8:30 p.m. ET.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:16 AM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers on Monday and likes the Red Sox on Tuesday.

The deficit is 1445 sirignanos.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:16 AM

Chicago Syndicate Tuesday Top Plays (Might Add)

Al Game of the Month - Tigers -123

Red Sox -145
Rangers/Yankees Over 9.5
Royals +105
Cubs/Diamondbacks Under 8

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:16 AM

LA Syndicate Tuesday Top Plays

AL Total of the Month - Angels/Twins Over 8.5

Royals +105
A's/Astros Under 8.5
Tigers -125
Indians +100

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:17 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Torres allowed one run in five IP in his only '13 start.
-- Pettibone is 2-0, 2.79 in his last five starts.
-- Chacin is 6-1, 1.94 in his last seven starts. Fernandez is 1-1, 1.80 in his last four outings.
-- Arizona is 17-2 when Corbin starts (2-0, 1.23 last two). Wood is 1-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
-- Cingrani is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.

-- Capuano is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.

-- BChen blanked Indians for six innings in his first '13 start.
-- Ogando was 2-0, 2.38 in his last four starts before going on DL; June 5 was his last start.
-- Porcello is 2-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts. Santiago is 0-0, 2.29 in his last three starts (Sox bullpen lost all three).
-- Parker is 4-0, 2.58 in his last nine starts. Cosart blanked Rays for eight innings in winning his first MLB start.


Cold pitchers
-- Lordan is 0-2, 4.57 in his four starts this season. Cole is 0-3, 4.15 in his last three starts.
-- Medlen is 3-3, 6.11 in his last six starts.
-- Hand is 0-1, 3.07 in three starts (total of 14.2 IP). Ross is 0-1, 4.50 in his three starts this season, last of which was April 17.
-- Miller is 1-2, 6.87 in his last four starts.
-- First '13 start for Reynolds (10-2, 2.54 in 18 AAA starts); he is 5-8, 7.47 in 16 career big league starts, all for Colorado ('08, '11). Giants lost Zito's last four starts (0-2, 7.10). Surkamp was 2-2, 5.74 in six starts in '11; he is 2-0, 4.79 in four AAA starts this season.

-- Redmond has a 5.00 RA in two starts, but Toronto won both, scoring total of 15 runs in the two games.

-- Lester is 0-2, 6.35 in his last couple starts. Hernandez is 2-4, 4.89 in his last six starts, but won last two (2-0, 4.50).
-- Hughes is 1-5, 4.17 in his last six starts.
-- Hammel is 0-4, 5.59 in his last eight starts.
-- Hanson is 1-2, 7.66 in his last five starts, last of which was June 20. Gibson is 1-2, 8.27 in his last three starts.
-- McAllister is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts. Ramirez allowed seven runs in 4.2 IP in his first '13 start.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Cole 2-7; Jordan 1-4
-- Medlen 8-19 (5 of last 6); Torres 0-1
-- Ross 2-3; Hand 1-3
-- Pettibone 3-16; Miller 5-18 (0 of last 5)
-- Fernandez 4-18; Chacin 2-18
-- Wood 2-19; Corbin 4-19
-- Reynolds 0-0, Cingrani 1-10; Surkamp 0-0, Zito 8-19

-- Capuano 2-10; Redmond 0-2

-- Hernandez 7-18; Lester 6-20
-- Hughes 5-18 (1 of last 11); Ogando 1-10
-- Hammel 6-19; Chen 0-1
-- Parker 6-19; Cosart 0-1
-- Porcello 3-17 (0 of last 6); Santiago 2-12
-- Gibson 1-4; Hanson 4-9
-- McAllister 4-11; Ramirez 1-1

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- 11 of last 12 Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 12 Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Diamondback games.
-- Four of last five Cincinnati games went over the total.

-- Ten of last thirteen Dodger games stayed under the total.


-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Texas games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Baltimore road games.
-- Last ten Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games went over the total.
-- Last six Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Seattle games went over the total; nine of last eleven Cleveland games stayed under total.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Mets won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Rockies are 5-0 in game following their last five losses.
-- Cubs are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Reds won five of their last seven games.

-- Dodgers won ten of their last twelve games.

-- Rays won 18 of their last 20 games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels won four of their last six home games. Minnesota won five of its last six games overall.
-- Mariners won their last seven games, scoring 46 runs.


Cold teams
-- Nationals lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Braves lost three of their last five games.
-- Padres lost 16 of their last 20 games.
-- Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.
-- Giants lost 19 of their last 27 games.

-- Blue Jays lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox are 5-7 in their last twelve games.
-- Bronx lost seven of its last eleven games. Rangers lost seven of last nine.
-- Royals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Astros lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- White Sox lost 15 of their last 22 games.
-- Indians lost five of their last six road games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Wsh-- Over is 14-5-1 in last twenty Timmons games.
-- Atl-NY-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Schrieber games.
-- SD-Mil-- Underdogs won six of last ten Reynolds games.
-- Mia-Col-- Favorites won seven of last nine Davis games.
-- Chi-Az-- Underdogs won six of last ten Demuth games.
-- Cin-SF-- Over is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Hallion games.

-- LA-Tor-- Seven of last nine Everitt games went over total.

-- TB-Bos-- Eight of last nine Randazzo games stayed under.
-- NY-Tex-- Eight of last nine Danley games stayed under total.
-- Blt-KC-- Favorites won nine of last twelve Scott games.
-- A's-Hst-- Favorites won seven of last eight Hudson games.
-- Det-Chi-- Underdogs won four of last five Conroy games.
-- Min-LA-- Nine of last twelve TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Cle-Sea-- Ten of last twelve Johnson games stayed under.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:17 AM

MARC LAWRENCE

Play On: Boston w/Lester

When Jon Lester toes the slab against Roberto Hernandez and the Rays at Fenway Tuesday evening, the left-hander will do so knowing his 7-0 team start mark with a 2.96 ERA in this park in more than 2.5 runs per game lower than his 2-8 road start mark with a 5.61 road ERA this season.

On the flip side, Tampa's Hernandez is 2-7 at night and 2-6 against the AL East in his team starts this season. With that we recommend a 1-unit play on Boston

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:18 AM

ART ARONSON

This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Chicago Cubs and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday night (9:40 EST).

Travis Wood (6-6, 2.79 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Wood is coming off his first poor start in his last eight outings, giving up three runs over five innings in a setback to the Cardinals last Sunday. Wood actually leads the majors with 17 quality starts though and will take his very respectable 2.91 ERA road record into Arizona to throw opposite Patrick Corbin (11-1, 2.35 ERA) who dominated the Brewers in his final start of the first half, giving up a single run on seven hits with two walks while striking out 11 over 6 2/3's innings in his teams eventual 2-1 victory. The well rested All-Star will now look to improve upon his perfect 7-0, 1.54 ERA home record. With these two proven and capable starters battling it out in the second game of this four game set, all signs do indeed point to a lower-scoring affair; consider a second look at the "under" in this one.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:18 AM

JIMMY BOYD

Free Pick on Boston Red Sox

Roberto Hernandez is just 1-6 on the road this season and he has a 5.74 ERA. In his eight road games he has allowed 9 home runs and 30 earned runs. Those are not numbers you want to see from your starting pitcher before facing an offense like Boston's. The Red Sox have a .290 batting average at home this season and they are scoring 5.2 runs per game.

Tampa Bay's offense has struggled on the road with a .258 batting average, a number substantially lower than Boston's. They also have to face Red Sox ace Jon Lester. In his seven home starts this year the Red Sox are 7-0 and Lester has a 2.96 ERA. The Red Sox should have no problems getting off to an early lead against Hernandez and I don't think they will ever look back once they do.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:14986 Followers:140
07/23/2013 06:18 AM

JEFFREY BRANDES

ATLANTA BRAVES at NEW YORK METS

Pitchers:
ATLANTA BRAVES: KRIS MEDLEN (R) ERA: 3.64 W/L 6-9
NEW YORK METS: CARLOS TORRES (R) ERA: 0.79 W/L 0-1

I'm using the "eyes no lies" system here. I've been watching Carlos Torres for the Mets and he is definately flying under the radar. A 0.79 ERA won't be a secret after this game. It looks like he has the goods to be a solid starter. He broke into the rotation when Shaun Markham went down. After pitching long in the bullpen, he broke through because he was lights out solid. In his first start. Torres gave up just one run on five hits over five innings against Pittsburgh.

Kris Medlen is 1-2 with a worse than Hammels ERA of 7.63 in his last three starts. I'm going to rep my Mets cap and root root root for the home team in this one.

RECOMMENDATION: NEW YORK METS on the money line (+120)

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