marksmoneymakers Posts:10065 Followers:137
07/10/2013 05:41 PM

STEPHEN NOVER

Washington Nationals+115

The pitching matchup is very even with a hot Gio Gonzalez facing Cliff Lee. There's no question, though, the Nationals are superior to the Phillies especially now they are healthy again.

So there is value getting Washington as a 'dog. The Phillies did edge the Nationals last night, but prior to that game they were one of nine teams having been outscored by an average of at least half a run per game.

As outstanding as Lee has been, the Phillies are 2-7 the past nine times they've been favored in this price range with Lee on the hill.

Gonzalez is 3-0 during his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA during this span. The Nationals have won 69 percent of Gonzalez's past 52 starts and have won 75 percent of his last 28 road contests.

Gonzalez is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in five starts versus the Phillies. It's interesting to note, too, that Gary Cederstrom is slated to be the home plate umpire. The Nationals are 11-1 the last 12 games he's been behind the plate for their games.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10065 Followers:137
07/10/2013 05:41 PM

ROB VINCILETTI

On Wednesday the free MLB System Play is on the New York Yankees. Game 916 at 7:05 eastern. The Yankees rarely lose 3 straight at home. However such is the case tonight when they face the KC Royals in the final game of the series. In games off 2 straight home losses in consecutive game the Yankees have won 6 straight. The Royals fit a negative system here tonight that plays against road dogs that are off a road dog win by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits, vs an opponent off a home favored loss at -140 or more while scoring 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits. These road teams have lost the last 7 times dating to last season. The Royals have W. Davis pitching tonight and he has a hideous 6.81 road era and a 6.60 era in his last 3 starts. In his 2 appearances here he has thrown just 7 innings, allowing 5 earned runs. The Yankees counter with I. Nova who has won 3 of his 4 home starts and has a 3.57 Home era. Look for the Yankees to get this one.

marksmoneymakers Posts:10065 Followers:137
07/10/2013 05:42 PM

BRUCE MARSHALL

Maybe it's time to put a hold on those plans for the Phils to become sellers at the trade deadline.
Just when the season seemed to be slipping away in Philly, Charlie Manuel's side has displayed a pulse and can climb back to the .500 level with a fourth straight win (and third in a row over the Nats) tonight at CBP. Interestingly, the man at the center of most trade talks, ace Cliff Lee, is on the mound tonight, with GM Ruben Amaro claiming he has little interest in dealing the star lefty and his 10-2 record. No complaints about the recent form of Nats starter Gio Gonzalez, simply a preference for Lee, who has a 2.06 ERA in his last five matchups vs. Washington and beating the Nats in three of the past four tries, the most recent on June 18 when he gave up 2runs in 8 IP with 9 Ks in a 4-2 win. Play Phillies on Money Line

marksmoneymakers Posts:10065 Followers:137
07/10/2013 05:42 PM

BRYAN POWER

1* Run Line St. Louis (8:15 ET):

The Cardinals won for me on the Run Line w/ yesterday's free pick, and there's no reason to think that they can't do the same again this evening behind Shelby Miller.
Note that in addition to my free winner, I also went 3-1 w/ "premium" selections Tuesday. My long-term MLB Run now stands at 121-68-2!
The Cardinals won 9-5 Tuesday. That final score was even a bit misleading as Houston scored four of its runs in the ninth inning. It was their fourth straight win while the Astros have lost 9 of their last 11. Over the last three seasons, Houston is just 2-11 at Busch Stadium. I just don't see them standing much of a chance in this series. Did you know that including last year, the Astros have now dropped 29 of 34 games in the month of July? They have the most losses in MLB w/ 58. At +126, St. Louis has by far and away the best run differential in MLB. At -137, Houston is by far and away the worst.
I expect Shelby Miller to pitch well for the home team in this one. He has a 1.59 ERA in eight starts at Busch Stadium this season. There's really no reason to believe St. Louis won't win this game by two or more runs. 1* Run Line St. Louis.