The pitching matchup is very even with a hot Gio Gonzalez facing Cliff Lee. There's no question, though, the Nationals are superior to the Phillies especially now they are healthy again.
So there is value getting Washington as a 'dog. The Phillies did edge the Nationals last night, but prior to that game they were one of nine teams having been outscored by an average of at least half a run per game.
As outstanding as Lee has been, the Phillies are 2-7 the past nine times they've been favored in this price range with Lee on the hill.
Gonzalez is 3-0 during his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA during this span. The Nationals have won 69 percent of Gonzalez's past 52 starts and have won 75 percent of his last 28 road contests.
Gonzalez is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in five starts versus the Phillies. It's interesting to note, too, that Gary Cederstrom is slated to be the home plate umpire. The Nationals are 11-1 the last 12 games he's been behind the plate for their games.