We continue our series of studying teams’ performances in and out of the bye week. What you’ll see here should open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of these powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of at least 65 percent or at most 35 percent.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (0-5)
at CINCINNATI BENGALS (3-2)
ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 ATS in Cincinnati’s pre-bye week games since 2001. The trend held true last year, as the Bengals lost at home to Tampa Bay, 24-21, despite being 6½-point favorites over the Buccaneers. Bettors who rode the wave last year have Carson Palmer to thank—the Bengals were ahead 21-14 and in position to close it out with 2:28 to go when Palmer tried to get the ball to Terrell Owens on a third-and-13 play from midfield. Aqib Talib picked off the pass to set up the Bucs’ tying touchdown about a minute later, then on the next drive Palmer was picked by Tampa Bay’s Sabby Piscitelli, who returned it to the 34-yard line with 14 seconds to go. A 21-yard completion and 31-yard field goal sealed the deal.
Play On: INDIANAPOLIS ATS.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (1-4)
at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (3-1)
PHILADELPHIA has not done well in the game before the bye week, going 3-8-1 ATS in such situations since 1999. One of the Eagles’ worst performances of the 2010 season came in the game prior to their bye, a 37-19 loss to the Titans. Philadelphia led 19-10 early in the fourth quarter before giving up 27 unanswered points to the Titans, who were sparked by Kenny Britt’s 225 receiving yards, the most receiving yards ever given up by the Eagles.
Play On: WASHINGTON ATS
BUFFALO BILLS (4-1)
at NEW YORK GIANTS (3-2)
BUFFALO is still looking for its first pre-bye week win of the 21st century—the Bills haven’t won a game heading into their bye week since 1999, and they’re 2-9-1 ATS over that span. Oddsmakers expected Buffalo to buck that trend last season, making the Bills a 3-point home favorite over the Jaguars the week prior to their bye. Jacksonville, however, left Western New York with a 36-26 victory.
Play On: NEW YORK GIANTS (SU & ATS)
HOUSTON TEXANS (3-2)
at BALTIMORE RAVENS (3-1)
BALTIMORE is on a run of 8-1 ATS over its last nine post-bye week games. The Ravens stayed true to form last season with a convincing 26-10 win at home against a Miami team that won and covered all of its other 2010 road games except for the season finale in New England.
Play On: BALTIMORE ATS
CLEVELAND BROWNS (2-2)
at OAKLAND RAIDERS (3-2)
OVER the total is 8-3 in Cleveland’s last 11 games after the team’s bye. The Browns kept their high-scoring post-bye ways going last year with a 34-14 win at home over the Patriots when the Over/Under was 43½.
Play On: OVER THE TOTAL